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Republican? Democrat? Independent? The Partisan Affiliations of Everyone Running for Everything in Orange County

Posted by Chris Nguyen on October 30, 2012

There’s been a lot of talk and mail about the partisan affiliations of candidates, so I’m providing the definitive guide of partisan affiliations for every candidate running for everything in Orange County in the November 6, 2012, general election.  Whether they’re running for President of the United States or Director of the Silverado-Modjeska Canyon Recreation and Park District, we’ve got it all:

FEDERAL OFFICES

President and Vice President
Roseanne Barr/Cindy Sheehan – Peace and Freedom
Thomas Hoefling/Robert Ornelas – American Independent
Gary Johnson/James P. Gray – Libertarian
Barack Obama/Joe Biden – Democrat
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan – Republican
Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala – Green

United States Senator
Elizabeth Emken – Republican
Dianne Feinstein – Democrat

United States Representative, 38th District
Linda T. Sánchez – Democrat
Benjamin Campos – Republican

United States Representative, 39th District
Jay Chen – Democrat
Ed Royce – Republican

United States Representative, 45th District
John Campbell – Republican
Sukhee Kang – Democrat

United States Representative, 46th District
Jerry Hayden – Republican
Loretta Sanchez – Democrat

United States Representative, 47th District
Gary DeLong – Republican
Alan Lowenthal – Democrat

United States Representative, 48th District
Dana Rohrabacher – Republican
Ron Varasteh – Democrat

United States Representative, 49th District
Darrell Issa – Republican
Jerry Tetalman – Democrat

STATE LEGISLATURE

State Senator, 29th District
Greg Diamond – Democrat
Robert “Bob” Huff – Republican

State Senator, 37th District
Mimi Walters – Republican
Steve Young – Democrat

Member of the State Assembly, 55th District
Gregg D. Fritchle – Democrat
Curt Hagman – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 65th District
Chris Norby – Republican
Sharon Quirk-Silva – Democrat

Member of the State Assembly, 68th District
Christina Avalos – Democrat
Donald P. “Don” Wagner – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 69th District
Tom Daly – Democrat
Jose “Joe” Moreno – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 72nd District
Travis Allen – Republican
Troy Edgar – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 73rd District
James Corbett – Democrat
Diane L. Harkey – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 74th District
Allan R. Mansoor – Republican
Robert Rush – Democrat

MUNICIPAL OFFICES

Aliso Viejo City Council
Ross Chun – Democrat
Greg Ficke – Republican
Donald A. Garcia – No Party Preference
Mike Munzing – Republican
William A. “Bill” Phillips – Republican

Anaheim City Council
Jordan Brandman – Democrat
Brian Neil Chuchua – Republican
Rodolfo “Rudy” Gaona – Democrat
Lucille Kring – Republican
John Leos – Republican
Linda Linder – Republican
Steven Albert Chavez Lodge – Republican
Jennifer Rivera – Republican
Duane Roberts – Green

Brea City Council
Christine Marick – No Party Preference
Chris Parkin – Republican
Marty Simonoff – Republican
Tory Stone – Republican
Steven Vargas – Republican

Brea City Treasurer
Glenn G. Parker – Democrat

Buena Park City Council
Art Brown – Democrat
Paul D. Gonzales – Republican
Baron Night – Republican
Al Salehi – No Party Preference
Fred R. Smith – Republican
Michael Sohn – No Party Preference
Rod P. Williams – Democrat
Cristi Woodward – No Party Preference

Costa Mesa City Council
Sandra L. “Sandy” Genis – Republican
Colin McCarthy – Republican
Al Melone – No Party Preference
Steve Mensinger – Republican
Gary Monahan – Republican
James Rader – No Party Preference
John Stephens – Democrat
Harold Weitzberg – Democrat

Cypress City Council
Rob Johnson – Republican
Bijan Mohseni – Republican
Jay Sondhi – Republican
Mariellen Yarc – No Party Preference

Dana Point City Council
Norm Denton – Republican
Carlos N. Olvera – Republican
J. Scott Schoeffel – Republican
Ed Stevenson – Republican

Fountain Valley City Council
Cheryl Brothers – Republican
Steve A. Nagel – Republican
Duy T. Nguyen – Republican
Bryan J. Tice – American Independent
Patrick Tucker – Republican

Fullerton City Council
Rick Alvarez – Republican
Don Bankhead – Republican
Brian Bartholomew – No Party Preference
Jennifer Fitzgerald – Republican
Jan M. Flory – Democrat
Matthew Hakim – Democrat
Kitty Jaramillo – Democrat
Travis Kiger – Republican
Barry Levinson – Republican
Jane Rands – Green
Roberta Reid – No Party Preference
Bruce Whitaker – Republican

Mayor of Garden Grove
Bruce A. Broadwater – Democrat
Myke Cossota – Republican
Sherry Runnells Williams – Republican
James Torres Ybarra – Republican

Garden Grove City Council
Zack Barrett – Republican
Kris Beard – Democrat
Phat Bui – Republican
Steve Jones – Republican
Josh McIntosh – No Party Preference
Jenny Nguyen – No Party Preference
John R. O’Neill – Republican
Chris Phan – Republican

Huntington Beach City Council
Bruce J. Brandt – Republican
Tony James Carter – No Party Preference
Barbara Delgleize – Republican
Devin Dwyer – Republican
Jill Hardy – Democrat
Jim Katapodis – Republican
William “Billy” O’Connell – Republican
Erik Peterson – Republican
Alexander S. Polsky – Democrat
Tim Ryan – No Party Preference
Dave Sullivan – Republican
Bob Wentzel – Republican

Huntington Beach City Clerk
Joan L. Flynn – Republican

Huntington Beach City Treasurer
Alisa Cutchen – Republican

Mayor of Irvine
Larry Agran – Democrat
Steven S. Choi – Republican
Katherine Daigle – Republican

Irvine City Council
Evan Chemers – Republican
Gavin Huntley-Fenner – No Party Preference
Beth Krom – Democrat
Lynn Schott – Republican
Christina L. Shea – Republican
PK Wong – No Party Preference

Laguna Beach City Council
Steve Dicterow – Republican
Jane Egly – Democrat
Verna Rollinger – Democrat
Robert M. Ross – No Party Preference
Bob Whalen – Democrat

Laguna Beach City Clerk
Lisette Chel-Walker – Democrat

Laguna Beach City Treasurer
Laura Parisi – No Party Preference

Laguna Hills City Council
Raghu P. Mathur – Republican
Aj Djowharzadeh – Republican
Andrew Blount – Republican
Dore Gilbert – Republican
Bill Hunt – Republican

Laguna Niguel City Council
Laurie Davies – Republican
Tony English – Republican
Jerry McCloskey – Republican
Jerry Slusiewicz – Republican
Brad Barber – Republican

Laguna Woods City Council
Mara G. Hodgkins – Republican
Shari L. Horne – No Party Preference
Milton W. Robbins – Democrat
David Russell Ohrn – No Party Preference
Cynthia S. Conners – Democrat
Noel Hatch – Republican

Lake Forest City Council
Marcia Rudolph – Republican
Ken Carrell – Democrat
Kathy “Kathyz” Zechmeister – Republican
Adam Nick – Republican
Jim Gardner – Republican
Dwight Robinson – Republican
Terry D. Anderson – Republican

La Palma City Council
Robert Carruth – No Party Preference
Patricia “Pat” Craig – Republican
Sylvia Colannino Smith – Republican
Steve Shanahan – Democrat
Gerard Goedhart – Republican
Christine Barnes – Republican
Peter Kim – Republican

Los Alamitos City Council
Ken Stephens – Republican
Dean Grose – Republican
Demi Devaney – Democrat
Richard D. Murphy – Republican

Mission Viejo City Council
Richard W. Coleman – American Independent
Wendy Bucknum – Republican
Frank Ury – Republican
Desi J. Kiss – Republican
Cathy Schlicht – Republican
Ed Sachs – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 2
Anthony Petros – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 5
Edward D. Selich – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 7
Keith D. Curry – Republican

Mayor of Orange
Teresa “Tita” Smith – Democrat
Jon Dumitru – Republican

Orange City Council
Lawrence R. “Larry” Labrado – Democrat
Robert L. Douglas – Democrat
Ray Grangoff – Republican
Mike Alvarez – Republican
Brian A. Del Vecchio – Republican
Mark A. Murphy – Republican
Josh Nothom – Democrat
Richard Callahan – Republican

Orange City Clerk
Mary E. Murphy – Republican

Orange City Treasurer
George Small – Republican
Helen Y. Walker – Republican

Placentia City Council
Jeremy Yamaguchi – Republican
Alan D. Frank – Republican
Scott William Nelson – Republican
Constance “Connie” Underhill – Republican

Placentia City Treasurer
Greg Sowards – Republican
Craig Green – Republican

Rancho Santa Margarita City Council, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Kenney Hrabik – Republican
Carol Gamble – Republican
Tony Beall – Republican

Rancho Santa Margarita City Council, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Lawrence McCook – Republican
Glenn Acosta – Republican
Brad McGirr – Republican

San Clemente City Council
0 Robert “Bob” Baker – Democrat
1 Robert “Bob” Baker – Republican
Jim Dahl – Republican
Chris Hamm – Republican
David Clegg – Republican
Mike Mortenson – Republican

San Clemente City Clerk
Joanne Baade – Democrat

San Clemente City Treasurer
T. Pall Gudgeirsson – Republican

San Juan Capistrano City Council
Kim McCarthy – Republican
Roy L. Byrnes – Republican
Sam Allevato – Republican
Ginny Kerr – Republican
Melissa Abbott-Kaffen – Republican
Tom Marantz – Republican

Mayor of Santa Ana
Roy Alvarado
George M. Collins – Republican
Lupe Moreno – Republican
Miguel Angel Briseno – No Party Preference
Miguel A. Pulido – Democrat
P. David Benavides – Democrat

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 1
Estela Amezcua – Democrat
Vincent F. Sarmiento – Democrat

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 3
Angelica Amezcua – Democrat
Shane Ramon Barrows – Democrat
Eric M. Alderete – Democrat
Brett Elliott Franklin – Republican
Charles Hart – Republican
Stefano “Steve” Rocco – No Party Preference

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 5
Karina Onofre – Republican
Roman A. Reyna – Democrat

Stanton City Council
Andrew N. Marques – No Party Preference
Sou Moua – Republican
Bryan Palomares – Republican
Carol Warren – Democrat
Al Ethans – Republican

Tustin City Council
John Nielsen – Republican
Tracy Worley Hagen – Republican
Charles E. “Chuck” Puckett – Republican
David Waldram – Republican
Allan Bernstein – Republican

Mayor of Westminster
Ha Mach – Republican
Tri Ta – Republican
Penny Loomer – Democrat
Al Hamade – Republican
Tamara Sue Pennington – Republican

Westminster City Council
Tyler Diep – Republican
Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi – Republican
Helena Rutkowski – Republican
Sergio Contreras – Democrat
Khai Dao – Libertarian
Diana Carey – Democrat
Al P. Krippner – Republican

Yorba Linda City Council
Kennith L. Peterson – Republican
Mark Schwing – Republican
Nancy Rikel – Republican
Eugene J. “Gene” Hernandez – Republican
Louis Lee Knappenberger, Jr. – Democrat
Craig Young – Republican
Todd P. Cooper – Republican

COMMUNITY COLLEGE BOARDS

North Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 7
M. Tony Ontiveros – Republican
Monika Koos – Republican

Rancho Santiago Community College District, Trustee Area 3
Nelida M. Yanez – Democrat
Thomas Anthony Gordon – Republican
Antonio Jesus “Tony” Tapia – Democrat

Rancho Santiago Community College District, Trustee Area 5
Claudia Alvarez – Democrat
Mark McLoughlin – Democrat
R. David Chapel – No Party Preference

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 1
Dave Lang – Republican
David L. Martin – No Party Preference

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 3
William “Bill” Jay – Republican
Arlene C. Greer – Republican
Jennifer J. Long – Democrat

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 7
John S. Williams – Republican
Mike Moodian – No Party Preference
Jan Serrantino Cox – No Party Preference
Timothy “Tim” Jemal – No Party Preference

SCHOOL BOARDS

Anaheim City School District
John Santoianni – Democrat
Bob Gardner – Democrat
Al Jabbar – Democrat
James Derek Vanderbilt – Republican
Jerry Silverman – Democrat

Anaheim Union High School District, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Katherine H. Smith – Republican
Gerald C. Adams – Republican
Brian O’Neal – Republican
Thomas “Hoagy” Holguin – Republican

Anaheim Union High School District, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Annemarie Randle-Trejo – Democrat
Vernon F. Beckett – Republican
Thomas Peters – Republican

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 1
Karin Schnell – Democrat
Amy Hanacek – Democrat

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 2
Jim Reardon – Republican
Carol L. McCormick – Republican
Don Franklin Richardson – Republican
Michele Taylor-Bible – No Party Preference

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 3
Yolanda McNamara – Democrat
Steve R. Lang – Republican
John Alpay – Republican

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 5
Gary Pritchard – Democrat
William “Bill” Perkins – Republican

Centralia School District
Ashi Kothary – Republican
Dennis Salts – Republican
Steve Harris – Democrat
Art Montez – Democrat

Cypress School District
Alexandria Coronado – Republican
Candi Kern – Democrat
Jimmy Fuller – Republican
Brian Nakamura – Democrat

Fountain Valley School District
Jeanne Galindo – Republican
Thomas Hobbs – No Party Preference
Jim Cunneen – Republican
Ian Collins – Democrat

Fullerton Joint Union High School District
William E. “Bill” Dunton – Republican
James A. Najera – Democrat
Andy Montoya – Republican
Barbara R. Kilponen – Republican

Garden Grove Unified School District
Linda Zamora – Democrat
Linda Paulsen-Reed – Republican
Bao Quoc Nguyen – Democrat
George West – Democrat

Huntington Beach City School District
Rob Fishel – No Party Preference
Brian Rechsteiner – Republican
Bridget Kaub – Republican

Huntington Beach Union High School District, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Edward C. Pinchiff – Republican
Tom Dern – Republican
Susan Henry – Republican
Michael H. Simons – Republican
John Briscoe – Republican

Huntington Beach Union High School District, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Cathey Ryder – Republican
Duane Dishno – Republican

Irvine Unified School District
Michelle Ollada Alipio – Republican
Margaret Brown – Republican
Michael Parham – Republican
Bob Vu – Republican
Paul Bokota – Democrat
Omar Ezzeldine – No Party Preference
Lauren Brooks – Republican
Carolyn Inmon – No Party Preference
Cyril Yu – Democrat

La Habra City School District
John Dobson – Republican
Elizabeth “Liz” Steves – No Party Preference
Kevin Jacobson – Republican
Susan M. Hango – Republican

Laguna Beach Unified School District
Dee Namba Perry – Democrat
Tammy Keces – Democrat
Jan Vickers – Democrat
Bill Landsiedel – Democrat

Lowell Joint School District
Martha Leonard – Democrat
Fred W. Schambeck
Brandon R. Jones – Republican

Magnolia School District
Nathan Zug – Republican
Gary Shields – Republican
Barbara J. Clendineng – Republican

Ocean View School District
Debbie Cotton – Republican
Gina Clayton-Tarvin – Democrat
Norm Westwell – Libertarian

Orange Unified School District, Trustee Area 3
Robert “Bob” Ausmus – Republican
Alexia L. Deligianni – Republican
Michele Gabbard – No Party Preference

Orange Unified School District, Trustee Area 6
Mark Wayland – Republican
Tracey L. Colombo Curtis – No Party Preference

Saddleback Valley Unified School District
Suzie R. Swartz – Republican
Don Sedgwick – Republican
Ginny Fay Aitkens – Democrat
Earl H. Carraway – Republican

Santa Ana Unified School District
Cecilia “Ceci” Iglesias – Republican
Robert Allen – Republican
Rob Richardson – Republican
Jose Alfredo Hernandez – Democrat
Myriam Tinajero – Democrat
Valerie Amezcua – Democrat

Tustin Unified School District
Tammie Bullard – Republican
Monique Ketteringham – Democrat
Elias Teferi – Democrat
James H. Laird – Republican
Francine Pace Scinto – Republican

Westminster School District
Jamison Power – Democrat
Jo-Ann W. Purcell – Democrat
Amy Walsh – Republican

WATER BOARDS

East Orange County Water District
Bill Vanderwerff – Republican
Douglas M. Chapman – Republican
Douglass S. Davert – Republican

El Toro Water District
Ralph Sogliuzzo – Republican
Ted F. Martin – Republican
Carol Moore – Republican
Edward Fern – Libertarian
Jose Vergara – Republican
Scott Goldman – Democrat

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 1
Eric Bever – Republican
Fred R. Bockmiller – Republican

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 2
Dan Worthington – Republican
James R. Fisler – Republican

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 3
Ethan Temianka – Republican
Trudy Ohlig-Hall – Republican

Moulton-Niguel Water District, Division 6
Wayne Posey – Republican
Larry McKenney – Republican

Moulton-Niguel Water District, Division 7
Michael Kogus – Republican
Gary R. Kurtz – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 3
David Vu Pham – Republican
Wayne Osborne – Republican
Larry R. Crandall – Republican
Joel M. Rattner – Democrat

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 4
Joan Finnegan – Republican
Dwayne Smith – No Party Preference
Daniel “Skip” Marshall – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 6
Don Chadd – Republican
Jeffery Thomas – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 7
Vanessa A. Mathews – Republican
Susan Hinman – Republican

Orange County Water District, Division 2
Douglas M. Chapman – Republican
Denis R. Bilodeau – Republican

Orange County Water District; Division 3
Roger C. Yoh – Republican
Frank Alonzo – Republican

Santa Margarita Water District
Stan Dziecielski – Democrat
Betty H. Olson – No Party Preference
Charley Wilson – Republican
Fred Carr – Republican
Charles “Chuck” Gibson – Republican

Serrano Water District, Division 3
Jim Fasbender – Republican
Robert “Woody” Rickerl – Republican

South Coast Water District
Rick Erkeneff – Republican
Joel Bishop – Republican
Gary “Water Watch Dog” Langdale – Republican
Richard Gardner – Democrat
Dick Dietmeier – No Party Preference
Wayne Rayfield – Democrat

OTHER SPECIAL DISTRICTS

Costa Mesa Sanitary District
Art Perry – Republican
James Ferryman – Republican
Jeff R. Mathews – Republican
Don Harper – Republican

Midway City Sanitary District
Jerry Vilander – Republican
Frank Fry – Republican
Joy L. Neugebauer – Republican
Al P. Krippner – Republican

Placentia Library District
Richard DeVecchio – No Party Preference
Diane Cunningham – Democrat
Gayle Carline – Democrat
Joann Sowards – Republican
Elizabeth Minter – Republican

Rossmoor/Los Alamitos Area Sewer District
William C. Poe – Republican
Van M. Jew – No Party Preference
Jim Bell – Republican
Carolyn T. Sylvia – Republican
Eric Frankenberg – Democrat

Silverado-Modjeska Recreation and Park District
Chalynn “Chay” Peterson – No Party Preference
Lisa Collins – Republican
Steve Kerrigan – Liberatrian
Timothy Janca – Democrat
Jane Bove – Democrat

Posted in 29th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 55th Assembly District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Anaheim City School District, Anaheim Union High School District, Brea, Buena Park, Capistrano Unified School District, Centralia School District, Costa Mesa, Costa Mesa Sanitary District, Cypress, Cypress School District, Dana Point, East Orange County Water District, El Toro Water District, Fountain Valley, Fountain Valley School District, Fullerton, Fullerton Joint Union High School District, Garden Grove, Garden Grove Unified School District, Huntington Beach, Huntington Beach City School District, Huntington Beach Union High School District, Irvine, Irvine Unified School District, La Habra City School District, La Palma, Laguna Beach, Laguna Beach Unified School District, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Los Alamitos, Lowell Joint School District, Magnolia School District, Mesa Consolidated Water District, Midway City Sanitary District, Mission Viejo, Moulton-Niguel Water District, Municipal Water District of Orange County, Newport Beach, North Orange County Community College District, Ocean View School District, Orange, Orange Unified School District, Placentia, Placentia Library District, Rancho Santa Margarita, Rancho Santiago Community College District, Rossmoor/Los Alamitos Area Sewer District, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District, Santa Margarita Water District, Seal Beach, Serrano Water District, Silverado-Modjeska Recreation and Park District, South Coast Water District, South Orange County Community College District, Stanton, Tustin, Tustin Unified School District, Westminster, Westminster School District, Yorba Linda | 7 Comments »

AD-69: Moreno Drops Out Citing Hatch Act, Name Will Remain on Ballot

Posted by Chris Nguyen on September 28, 2012

In case you hadn’t read the other blogs (like Liberal OC or Orange Juice) yesterday, Republican 69th Assembly District candidate Jose “Joe” Moreno announced that he was dropping out of the AD-69 race because of the Hatch Act.

While the timing is surprising, this development itself should not be of surprise to anyone:

  • On March 29, Moreno wrote to the Registrar of Voters attempting to withdraw from the AD-69 race, citing the Hatch Act.  (The Registrar denied this request.)
  • In the second week of April, OC Political, the OC Register, the Liberal OC, and then OC Political again speculated/warned/advised that Moreno’s candidacy likely violated the Hatch Act.
  • On April 21, Moreno issued this press release declaring his candidacy was not in violation of the Hatch Act.
  • On April 23, the Liberal OC again wrote that Moreno’s candidacy violated the Hatch Act.
  • On July 18, unbeknownst to the OC mainstream media and blogosphere, the U.S. Office of Special Counsel issued an advisory opinion, entitled “California’s Voter-Nominated Primary Elections are Presumptively Partisan for Purposes of the Hatch Act.”

In that July 18 advisory opinion, the U.S. Office of Special Counsel  stated:

In short, California’s voter-nominated elections are presumptively partisan elections for purposes of the Hatch Act. As such, an SSA employee covered by the Hatch Act may not be a candidate in voter-nominated primary elections.

The advisory opinion also states:

…even if voter-nominated elections were designated nonpartisan by the California Constitution, and therefore presumed nonpartisan for purposes of section 1503, the presumption would be rebutted. The California Constitution allows candidates in the voter-nominated primaries to list a party preference following their names on the ballot…

Though the advisory opinion is redacted, it’s fairly obvious that this was the advisory opinion requested regarding Moreno.  There are only 306 candidates running in a California voter-nominated race in November (2 each for the U.S. Senate, for 53 U.S. House races, for 20 State Senate races, and for 78 Assembly races, plus Assemblywoman Susan Bonilla (D-14) and Assemblyman Isadore Hall III (D-64), both of whom are unopposed).  Moreno is the only one of the 306 to work for a Social Services Agency.

(One interesting footnote in the advisory opinion:

Arguably, if in a particular voter-nominated primary election all of the candidates were to run without designating a political party as their party preference then the election could be considered a nonpartisan election for purposes of section 1503 of the Hatch Act.

So a bunch of NPPs running could technically make the race nonpartisan for purposes of the Hatch Act.)

In April, OC Political had noted the case of Geof Lickey, who was able to get off of the June 2012 ballot for the AD-31 seat due to the Hatch Act because he acted more quickly than Moreno did.

The fifth commenter on this June post from Liberal OC pointed to the case of Judge Ronald Kline, who withdrew in the tiny window after the primary but before certification of the election.  The courts eventually ruled that third-place finisher Gay Sandoval would replace Kline on the November runoff ballot.  (John Adams, who had originally won the right to face off against Kline, defeated Sandoval.)

Had Moreno or the Orange County Social Services Agency moved more quickly to seek an advisory opinion from the U.S. Office of Special Counsel back in April, Moreno’s ineligibility could have been discovered sooner, and he could have withdrawn during the primary.  Considering Moreno only edged out Julio Perez by 242 votes, it is not inconceivable that more than 242 voters had Googled the race and discovered that Moreno’s press release or the various blog posts (such as this one from Orange Juice) in which he declared as lies the Jobs PAC IEs on behalf of Daly that claimed Moreno had dropped out (I believe his claim was also posted on his web site before he took it down).

Or if Moreno had withdrawn before the June primary was certified, voters in AD-69 would have had a choice between first-place finisher Tom Daly and third-place finisher Julio Perez.  Due to Prop 14, voters don’t even have the choice of a write-in candidate, so this late withdrawal leaves AD-69 voters with the choice of Daly or the withdrawn Moreno.

While this was Moreno’s first run for partisan office, this was not his first time throwing his hat in the political ring.  According to JoinCalifornia, Moreno had previously run unsuccessfully for Orange County Board of Education (2000 primary), Rancho Santiago Community College District (2000 general), and Anaheim Union High School District (2010 general).

We are now left with just two questions: Will Moreno resign his ex officio seat on the Republican Central Committee?  What will Garden Grove Councilman Steve Jones do about his endorsement flip-flopping between Democrat Daly and Republican Moreno.

Moreno’s site is down, but this is what he wrote before he took it down: Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in 69th Assembly District, Anaheim Union High School District, Garden Grove, Orange County Board of Education, Rancho Santiago Community College District | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

2012 General Election Predictions: 69th Assembly District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on September 18, 2012

This prediction won’t make Republicans happy, but my goal here is to be realistic not optimistic.The 69th Assembly District has been a nightmare for Republicans since forever. The district is an Orange County seat that covers Santa Ana and part of Anaheim:

Thank you to Meridian Pacific for the use of the map.

As you can see Democrats have a registration of 50.2%, Republican have a registration of 28.0%, and DTS have a registration of 18.2%. Republicans won nothing in this district back in 2010 but on an interesting note these are socially conservative Democrats as Prop 8 passed by over 20 points.

In the June election Jose Moreno advanced to June but he actually did worse than I projected falling almost 7% below Republican registration. Here are the results:

Member of the State Assembly; District 69

  • Tom Daly, Democratic ………. 10,939 votes 39.2%
  • Jose “Joe” Moreno, Republican ………. 5,980 votes 21.4%
  • Julio Perez, Democratic ………. 5,738 votes 20.6%
  • Michele Martinez, Democratic ………. 4,651 votes 16.7%
  • Francisco “Paco” Barragán, Democratic ………. 605 votes 2.2%

Francisco Barragans total just utterly shocks me as I cannot believe he only got 605 votes. As you can see from the above numbers Moreno finished almost 18% behind Tom Daly and he was the only Republican in the race.

On an interesting note Daly is not doing so well on fundraising with only $22,000 left in his account after the primary election. Sadly Moreno is doing worse without the fundraising ability to trigger online filing.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the winner will be:

Tom Daly

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Tagged: , | 2 Comments »

Did Garden Grove Councilman Steve Jones Endorse Tom Daly or Jose Moreno for AD-69?

Posted by Chris Nguyen on September 18, 2012

Almost five months ago, the Tom Daly for Assembly campaign issued a press release called, “Four Garden Grove City Councilmembers Endorse Tom Daly for Assembly” (which you can still find on Daly’s web site, which we ran on OC Political, and which Liberal OC ran).  You can also find Jones still listed in Daly’s endorsement list.

Jones sought the Republican Party of Orange County’s endorsement last night.  Central Committee Member Tim Whitacre pulled Jones from consideration because Jones had endorsed Democrat Tom Daly (as the press release above indicated).

When questioned, Jones denied that he endorsed Daly (contradicting the press release above).

OC GOP Chairman Scott Baugh then asked if Jones had endorsed AD-69 Republican Candidate Jose “Joe” Moreno (not to be confused with Anaheim City School District Trustee Jose F. Moreno).

Jones said he had not but then immediately endorsed Moreno in front of the ~150 people in attendance at the OC GOP Central Committee meeting.

With Jones denying that he endorsed Daly and with him endorsing Moreno live, the Central Committee then had a unanimous voice vote to endorse Jones.

The discrepancy still needs to be resolved however.  Was the Daly press release from the spring erroneous, and is Daly still erroneously listing Jones? Or did Jones flip his endorsement just last night?  Has Jones contacted Daly to discuss the present status of his endorsement?

Posted in 69th Assembly District, Garden Grove, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Assemblyman Jose Solorio Pulls Papers for Rancho Santiago Community College District

Posted by Chris Nguyen on July 16, 2012

According to the Orange County Registrar of Voters, Assemblyman Jose Solorio (D-Santa Ana) has pulled papers for the Rancho Santiago Community College District Trustee Area 1.  (There is no incumbent, as the RSCCD board recently switched from a multi-member three-area at-large election system to a vote-by-area system, but drew three incumbents into Area 5, with Brian Conley choosing to retire in June, leaving David Chapel and Mark McLoughlin to duke it out in Area 5.)

Solorio had been rumored for months to be interested in the RSCCD seat after the Bernie Madoff of California Democrats, Kinde Durkee, stole $700,000+ from Solorio, putting an end to his bid to challenge Supervisor Janet Nguyen (R-Garden Grove).  Between his Assembly campaign committee and a ballot measure committee, Solorio has over $200,000 cash on hand.

Due to the fact there are no contribution limits for the college board seat in Rancho Santiago, Solorio can transfer the entire $200,000 to his RSCCD account without raising another penny.

Santa Ana LULAC President Zeke Hernandez is rumored to be Solorio’s top challenger.

Will union anger at Solorio’s endorsement of Tom Daly for Assembly result in enormous contributions to Hernandez for college board?  (Remember, there are no contribution limits, so they can give all the money to Hernandez instead of doing an IE.)

Trustee Area 1’s eastern border follows Main Street in Santa Ana from 17th Street down to the 55 Freeway.  Its southern border is the Santa Ana city limit.  Its far northern border is 17th Street.  Its western border is a zig-zag involving Flower Street from 17th Street to 1st Street, Bristol Street from 1st Street to St. Andrew Place, Rene Drive from St. Andrew Place to Warner Avenue, and roughly Raitt Street from Warner Avenue to the city limit.

Posted in 69th Assembly District, Rancho Santiago Community College District | Tagged: , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

AD-69: Anaheim Saved Republican Moreno, Pushed Democrat Perez into Third, Averting Dem vs. Dem Slugfest in November

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 28, 2012

Last week, I blogged two city-by-city breakdowns of the results in two Assembly races.

First up was AD-72, which showed Mayor Troy Edgar (R-Los Alamitos) and Businessman Travis Allen (R-Huntington Beach) the top two in four cities, OC Board of Education Member Long Pham (R-Fountain Valley) and Planning Commissioner Joe Dovinh (D-Garden Grove) the top two in two cities, and Pham and Edgar the top two in Garden Grove.

Next up was AD-74, which showed Assemblyman Allan Mansoor (R-Costa Mesa) and Businessman Robert Rush (D-Newport Beach) alternating as first and second place in each city in the district, with the sole exception being Newport Beach, where Councilwoman Leslie Daigle (R-Newport Beach) slipped in ahead of Rush but behind Mansoor.

Up today is the final OC Assembly race that featured more than two candidates: AD-69.  First, let’s recall the districtwide numbers:

Orange County Clerk-Recorder Tom Daly (D) 10,939 39.2%
Eligibility Technician Jose “Joe” Moreno (R) 5,980 21.4%
Union Leader Julio Perez (D) 5,738 20.6%
Santa Ana Councilwoman Michele Martinez (D) 4,651 16.7%
Businessman Francisco “Paco” Barragan (D) 605 2.2%

So let’s take a look at how the voting broke down in the four cities of AD-69: Santa Ana, Anaheim, Garden Grove, and Orange.

(Thanks to Matt Rexroad and Chandra Sharma at Meridian Pacific for the map, which I’ve cropped here and to which I have added graphics.  Note that the population numbers on the map apply to each whole city, not just the portion of the city in AD-69.  The bulk of Santa Ana and a sliver of Garden Grove are in AD-69 while a sliver of Santa Ana and the bulk of Garden Grove are in AD-72.  A sliver of Orange is in AD-69 but the bulk of it is in AD-68.  Anaheim is divided into nearly even thirds, with the western 1/3 in AD-65, the central 1/3 in AD-69, and the eastern 1/3 in AD-68.)

Daly was consistently first in each city while Barragan was consistently fifth.  Moreno, Perez, and Martinez swapped around for the second, third, and fourth place positions.  The humongous Daly head is indicative of his first place finish in all four cities; taking his head out of the individual cities allows us to more closely examine second and third place, which actually differed in the four cities.  In each individual city, the candidate with the larger head came in second while the candidate with the smaller head came in third:

  • Moreno came in second with Perez third in Anaheim and Garden Grove.
  • Perez came in second with Martinez third in Santa Ana.
  • Moreno came in second with Martinez third in Orange.

Here’s their vote totals broken down visually by city:

Since Daly came in first by such a large margin (indeed, Daly’s Santa Ana total nearly bested everyone else’s districtwide total) and Barragan fell to fifth by such a large margin (Daly’s Garden Grove total outpaced Barragan’s districtwide total), let’s take a closer look with just Moreno, Perez, and Martinez, who were closer together in the results:

It’s clear that without Anaheim, Perez would have made it into the top two and on to November, rather than Moreno.  Moreno’s final vote total was 5,980 while Perez’s was 5,738.  Without Anaheim, Moreno would have had 4,105 while Perez would have had 4,308. (Anaheim gave Moreno 1,875 votes and Perez 1,430 votes, a 445-vote margin).  Perez lost districtwide to Moreno by 242 votes; without Anaheim, Moreno would have lost to Perez by 203 votes.

Anaheim was a crucial stronghold for Moreno, as he came in fourth in Santa Ana but second in Anaheim.

However, with so few cities in AD-69, and Santa Ana such a strong majority of that district (59% of registered voters in AD-69 live in Santa Ana, and 60% of ballots cast in AD-69 were from Santa Ana), it would be more useful to break this result down into regions smaller than cities.  Luckily for this purpose, the City of Santa Ana has Council wards.

Here, the larger head came in first while the smaller head came in second:

  • Daly came in first with Moreno second in Wards 3 and 6.
  • Perez came in first with Daly second in Wards 1 and 4.
  • Perez came in first with Martinez second in Wards 2 and 5 (Martinez represents Ward 2 on the Santa Ana City Council, by the way).

Despite the fact that Perez won four wards and Daly only won two, Daly actually won Santa Ana by a 10% margin.  How?  Well, 48% of registered voters in Santa Ana live in the two wards that Daly won: Wards 3 and 6.  49% of Santa Anans who voted in the AD-69 race live in Wards 3 and 6, so those two wards did not have disproportionate voter turnout – they just have a disproportionate share of the voters to begin with.  A picture is worth a thousand words, so…

The overwhelming majority of Daly and Moreno’s votes in Santa Ana came from Wards 3 and 6, with 59% of Daly’s Santa Ana votes and 66% of Moreno’s Santa Ana votes coming from those two wards.  By contrast, 29% of Perez’s Santa Ana votes and 38% of Martinez’s Santa Ana votes came from those two wards.  Here’s each candidate’s vote totals broken down visually by ward:

Once again, due to Daly’s landslide first-place finish and Barragan’s distant fifth-place finish, let’s take a closer look with just Moreno, Perez, and Martinez, who were closer together in the results:

Perez’s vote totals were fairly evenly spread out across the wards, Martinez got a bump from Ward 3, but Moreno’s performance was very strong in Wards 3 and 6 and disastrous in Wards 2, 4, and 5.

Had Perez done a stronger push in Anaheim or a three-prong strategy in Anaheim, Santa Ana’s Ward 3, and Santa Ana’s Ward 6, there’d be a Democrat vs. Democrat intraparty battle in AD-69 in November between business-backed Tom Daly and union-backed Julio Perez.

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

How Fast is the Registrar of Voters Counting Ballots? When Will They Finish? Who Will This Affect?

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 14, 2012

On Friday evening, there were 17,125 uncounted ballots.

By Monday evening, there were 14,724 uncounted ballots, meaning 2,401 ballots were resolved on Monday.

By Tuesday evening, there were 9,528 uncounted ballots, meaning 5,196 ballots were resolved on Tuesday.

By last night, there were 4,625 uncounted ballots, meaning 4,903 ballots were resolved on Wednesday.

At the rate they’re going, it’s highly likely the Registrar of Voters completes the vote count today.

For visual learners:

There are only a few races that could still be affected by the outstanding ballots.

  • Will Ray Grangoff close his 51-vote deficit to overtake Jeff Lalloway for the last slot on the Republican Central Committee from the 68th District?  Will Ken Williams close both his 115-vote deficit to overtake Jeff Lalloway and his 64-vote deficit to overtake Ray Grangroff for the last slot on the Republican Central Committee from the 68th District?
  • Will Bill Dunlap close his 62-vote deficit to overtake John Draper for the last slot on the Republican Central Committee from the 74th District?

Those two races are the only ones in all of Orange County where the gap between the elected and the unelected (or 2nd and 3rd place in those fighting to advance to November from primaries) is 0.3% or less.  It is highly unlikely the 4,625 outstanding ballots would move the needle any more than 0.3%.

There are a couple races where the current leads would be unaffected by the remaining 4,625 ballots, but where the gap could close enough to lead the 3rd or 4th place candidate to pay for a recount to advance to November from the primaries.  (I’m assuming no one’s going to pay for a recount for any party’s Central Committee.)

69th Assembly District
Tom Daly (D) 10,862 39.3%
Jose “Joe” Moreno (R) 5,933 21.5%
Julio Perez (D) 5,649 20.4%
Michele Martinez (D) 4,614 16.7%
Francisco “Paco” Barragan (D) 594 2.1%

Team Perez is likely contemplating whether they’ll pay for a recount if they get within 1% of Jose Moreno (not to be confused with Anaheim City School District Trustee Jose F. Moreno).  Perez’s allies spent six figures trying to elect him, so the cost of a recount wouldn’t be out of the question for them.

72nd Assembly District
Troy Edgar (R) 17,968 28.0%
Travis Allen (R) 12,726 19.8%
Joe Dovinh (D) 12,353 19.3%
Long Pham (R) 12,325 19.2%
Albert Ayala (D) 8,756 13.7%

Long Pham is likely contemplating if he will pay for a recount if he gets within 0.5% of Travis Allen.  It’s unlikely Joe Dovinh or his team have the financial resources to pay for a recount.  Pham would need to dig into his own pockets for a recount.  He’s already spent $100,000 of his personal funds on his campaign and making 2nd place to get to the November general election against Troy Edgar may be the only way he recoups that $100,000.

The 1% for Perez vs. the 0.5% for Pham is on the basis that Perez would be more aggressive than Pham in pursuing a recount, as Perez’s allies spent more and have deeper pockets to pay for a recount while Pham spent less and has more shallow (less deep?) pockets.

Posted in 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, Orange County, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

AD-69: Traditional D vs. R Match-Up in Daly vs. Moreno; Martinez Plays Spoiler for Perez

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 13, 2012

On Monday, I took a look at AD-72, and in this post, I’ll be looking at another of OC’s multi-candidate Assembly races that has now narrowed down to two: AD-69.

Conventional wisdom held that if any OC district was going to feature an intraparty battle in November (courtesy of Prop 14), it was going to be the Republicans in AD-74 between Assemblyman Allan Mansoor and Newport Beach Councilwoman Leslie Daigle or the Democrats in AD-69 between OC Clerk-Recorder Tom Daly and either labor leader Julio Perez or Santa Ana Councilwoman Michele Martinez.  (Unexpectedly, it was AD-72 that created OC’s sole intraparty battle with an all-Republican November matchup between Los Alamitos Mayor Troy Edgar and Huntington Beach Businessman Travis Allen.)

AD-69 will come down to Daly and Republican OC Eligibility Technician Jose “Joe” Moreno (not to be confused with Anaheim City School District Trustee Jose F. Moreno).

We here at OC Political predicted Daly vs. Moreno here, here, and here. (While we made several predictions that went wrong [like nearly everybody else, we failed to predict Edgar vs. Allen in AD-72], we’ve been consistent in predicting Daly 1st and Moreno 2nd in AD-69.)

This race was incredibly evenly divided.  Daly was far and away the top vote-getter, getting nearly double the number of votes of the second-place candidate.

Tom Daly 10,724 39.6%
Jose “Joe” Moreno 5,843 21.6%
Julio Perez 5,440 20.1%
Michele Martinez 4,506 16.6%
Francisco “Paco” Barragan 577 2.1%

Some readers may be wondering if Perez could still catch Moreno with the remaining uncounted ballots.   There just aren’t enough out there. 27,090 out of the 417,965 ballots counted in Orange County so far cast votes in AD-69, which equals 6.5% of the votes.  There are 9,528 uncounted ballots remaining in Orange County, which leaves approximately 619 votes remaining in AD-69.  To make up his current 403-vote deficit, Perez would need to be ahead of Moreno by 65.1%.  If Moreno captures 10% of the vote, that would require Perez get 75.1%, leaving just 14.9% to be split between Daly, Martinez, and Barragan.  Let’s say AD-69 has a disproportionate share of the outstanding ballots, and double that to 1,238 ballots remaining in AD-69, Perez would need to be ahead of Moreno by 32.6%.  That is a tough margin for Perez.  If Moreno captures 10% of the vote, that would require Perez get 42.6%, leaving just 47.4% to be split between Daly, Martinez, and Barragan.

It’s clear from the results that Martinez was Perez’s spoiler.  If just 10% of Martinez’s votes had gone to Perez, he would have surpassed Moreno and advanced to a run-off against Daly.  Martinez and Perez were clearly the liberal Democrats in the race, with Daly and Barragan the more moderate Democrats, and Moreno was the Republican.  The lion’s share of Martinez’s votes would have gone to Perez.

It’s now clear that without Michele Martinez in the race, union-backed Democrat Julio Perez would have advanced to the November run-off against business-backed Democrat Tom Daly.

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments »

AD-69: Daly 42.8%, Moreno 21.7%, Martinez 17.8%, Perez 15.7%, Barragan 2.1%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Leave a Comment »

Anaheim Chamber of Commerce Endorses Former Anaheim Mayor Tom Daly for State Assembly

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on May 18, 2012

This came across the wire from the Tom Daly for Assembly campaign on Monday…

ANAHEIM CHAMBER OF COMMERCE
ENDORSES FORMER ANAHEIM MAYOR
TOM DALY FOR STATE ASSEMBLY

 The Organization Joins A Growing List Of Business Groups
And Leaders Supporting Daly’s Candidacy For The 69th Assembly District Seat Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Tagged: , | 3 Comments »

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