OC Political

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Archive for September, 2019

Polling Shows Diane Dixon and Her Message Beat Cottie Petrie-Norris

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on September 19, 2019

This press release came over the wire from the Diane Dixon for Assembly campaign…

Polling Shows Diane Dixon and Her Message Beat Cottie Petrie-Norris

Dixon Holds Wide Lead Among Republican Voters, Petrie-Norris Beats Ernby Even Among Republicans

Orange County, California (September 17, 2019) – Polling from Public Opinion Strategies shows Newport Beach Councilwoman Diane Dixon (R-Newport Beach) pulls ahead of freshman Assemblywoman Cottie Petrie-Norris (D-Laguna Beach) for the 74th District seat when voters hear about Dixon’s record. The poll also shows that more Republican voters cross party lines to support Petrie-Norris than support Deputy District Attorney Kelly Ernby (R-Huntington Beach).

In name identification across the 74th District, the poll showed that Petrie-Norris only narrowly surpasses Dixon by 4% despite being the incumbent Assemblywoman. Ernby’s total name identification was only 5%, and her limited resources are inadequate to catch the other candidates. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 4.9%.

Dixon has higher name ID than Petrie-Norris among Republicans and among independent voters. She also has higher favorability and lower unfavorability than Petrie-Norris among each of those two voter groups.

In the initial ballot test, Diane Dixon, Republican, Councilmember, leads Kelly Ernby, Republican, Deputy District Attorney, by 18%. After voters hear about Dixon’s record on the City Council, Diane Dixon, Republican, Councilmember, outpolls Cottie Petrie-Norris, Democrat, California State Assemblymember, by 5% and Kelly Ernby, Republican, Deputy District Attorney, by 40%.

Among Republican voters in the initial ballot test, Dixon holds a 36% lead over Petrie-Norris. Democrat Petrie-Norris holds a 2% lead among Republicans over Republican Ernby. After voters hear about her record on the City Council, Dixon quickly consolidates 77% of Republicans behind her and opens up a 10% lead over Petrie-Norris among independents.

According to campaign finance reports from the latest reporting period, Dixon is the best-funded challenger running against an Assembly incumbent in the entire state, regardless of party. During that time, she raised over $207,000 and had more than $177,000 cash on hand. Additionally, Dixon raised the money after entering the race with only two months remaining in the six-month reporting period. She also outraised 42 Assembly incumbents, including 31 Democrats and 11 Republicans. During the reporting period, Dixon raised more than the majority of the Republicans in Orange County’s legislative delegation did.

Next week, Dixon has two fundraisers scheduled, one headlined by Senate Republican Leader Shannon Grove and another headlined by former Governor Pete Wilson.

The 74th Assembly District has the strongest Republican registration advantage of any Assembly seat held by a Democrat.  There are 6 sitting Republican Assemblymembers who hold seats with weaker Republican registration advantages or even Democratic registration advantages.

Diane Dixon spent 40 years in the private sector as a business executive before being elected to the Newport Beach City Council in 2014.  She is serving her second term as Mayor, and has served as Chair of the Water Quality and Tidelands Committee and member of the Finance Committee for nearly five years, including four years as Chair.  During her tenure at City Hall, she has actively engaged city residents, holding over 23 town hall meetings, working closely with local business owners and residents to solve community problems, and initiating numerous neighborhood and community improvement programs.

An active member on several philanthropic community-based boards of directors for nearly four decades, Mayor Dixon has been married for 44 years to career prosecutor Pat Dixon, with whom she has a daughter, a former prosecutor, and three grandchildren.

The 74th Assembly District consists of Newport Beach, Costa Mesa, Laguna Beach, Laguna Woods, southern Huntington Beach, and most of Irvine.

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Paid for by Diane Dixon for Assembly 2020, ID #1418525.

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Live from OC GOP Central Committee: Call for Brough to Retire

Posted by Chris Nguyen on September 16, 2019

We’re live from the OC GOP Central Committee, where tonight’s agenda includes endorsements of Shawn Steel for re-election as RNC Committeeman, Harmeet Dhillon for re-election as RNC Committeewoman, Ken Williams for re-election to the County Board of Education, Gale Oliver for the Santa Ana Council Ward 4 special election, Gene James for the San Clemente City Council special election, and Gisela Contreras for the Santa Ana Unified School District Board of Education special election. (Christina Selter for the San Clemente City Council special election is also eligible to be considered, but the Endorsements Committee recommendation is for James. Selter did not receive the recommendation of the Endorsements Committee.) Finally, there is a closed Executive Session on a resolution regarding Assemblyman Bill Brough.

Irvine Mayor Pro Tem Anthony Kuo delivers the invocation. OC GOP intern Joe Gonzalez leads the Pledge of Allegiance.

Two new alternate members are sworn in.

Chairman Fred Whitaker gives updates on the 39th, 45th, and 48th Congressional District races. Publicly released polling shows Supervisor Michelle Steel in a tie with 48th District Congressman Harley Rouda and shows former Assemblywoman Young Kim slightly ahead of 39th District Congressman Gil Cisneros. The field has narrowed in the 45th Disrict, with Deputy District Attorney Ray Gennawey dropping out.

Whitaker wins unanimous votes from the Cebtral Committee to appoint the Resolutions and Financial Review Committees.

Steel and Dhillon are endorsed for re-election unanimously after a motion to suspend the rules to allow their endorsement resolution to be considered passed nearly unanimously, with Deborah Pauly opposing the suspension.

The featured speaker is Crime Survivors Founder and CEO Patricia Wenskunas. She speaks about crime victims and the crime victims’ movement. She ends her remarks urging the passage of the resolution calling for Brough to not seek re-election and directly addresses Brough urging him to resign.

Ken Williams is endorsed for re-election unanimously to the Orange County Board of Education. Gale Oliver is endorsed unanimously for the Santa Ana Council Ward 4 special election, as is Gisela Contreras for the Santa Ana Unified School District Board of Education special election.

Committee Member Diane Harkey moves to endorse Gene James. Committee Member Jennifer Beall offers a substitute motion for no endorsement since there are two Republican candidates.

Beall urges a respectful process, expressing concern about the contentiousness. She had urged the Endorsements Committee to wait until after filing closed. She notes both Republicans have good ballot designations. Selter is the only woman running. Both have good ballot positions. The 19-year-old Democrat who won 7% in the last election is not a real threat.

Committee Member Jon Fleischman warns that the number of Republican elected officials is declining each election cycle. He says James is the candidate who can win the seat for Republicans. He argues the Democrat has received funding and support from unions and other Democratic leaders. Fleischman argues the Beall motion is unnecessary because it takes 2/3 to endorse a candidate, and it is entirely possible no one gets to 2/3, which would have the same end result as the Beall motion.

The parliamentarian notes the Beall motion needs a majority of those present and voting.

14 vote in favor of the Beall motion while 27 vote against.

Endorsements Committee Chair Peggy Huang delivered the report of the committee. The other members are Mark Bucher, Laurie Davies, Tyler Diep, Gene Hernandez, Leroy Mills, and Erik Weigand. The committee met with James and recommended his endorsement 4-2. Later, when it met with Selter, the vote was 5-0 for neutrality and 4-1 to recommend Selter be able to speak to the Central Committee.

James notes he was endorsed last year. He says he came within 0.4% of winning in 2018 despite only living in San Clemente for two years. He blasts the “20-year-old socialist” who received $5,000 from the firefighters union and the endorsement of four former Mayors. James is an Army veteran who served at Checkpoint Charlie. He is a pro-life, limited government conservative. He has taught homeland security and criminal justice. He serves on the national USO board.

Selter was born and raised in OC and has lived for 10 years in San Clemente. She sits on two County board representing San Clemente. She works to help provide services to senior citizens. She volunteers with her church. She opposes the toll road extension into San Clemente.

Deborah Pauly asks how long each has been a Republican. Both have been lifelong Republicans.

Kermit Marsh asks how much each candidate has raised and how much cash is on hand.

James says he has raised $20,000 and has $10,000 cash-on-hand.

Selter says she has several thousand and is willing to self-fund.

The motion on James has 26 votes in favor and 13 against. That is exactly 2/3. James is endorsed.

July Volunteer of the Month Abigail Scott is recognized by Chairman Fred Whitaker, 1st Vice Chair Peggy Huang, Senator John Moorlach, and Assemblyman Steven Choi.

August Volunteer of the Month Amy Freeman is recognized by Chairman Fred Whitaker, 1st Vice Chair Peggy Huang, and the office of Senator Ling Ling Chang.

Officer reports are delivered.

Two alternates are sworn in before Executive Session.

The Central Committee enters Executive Session at 8:22 PM.

The Central Committee returned from Executive Session at 8:50 PM and announced the following resolution passed:

Resolution on Assemblyman Bill Brough

BE IT RESOLVED that based on the totality of the circumstances and controversies surrounding the Assemblyman, the Republican Party of Orange County calls on Bill Brough to not file for re-election to the State Assembly, and retire at the end of his current term.

Posted in 73rd Assembly District, Orange County Board of Education, Republican Central Committee, San Clemente, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »