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Archive for August, 2019

Live from the CD-45 Candidate Forum at OC GOP Central Committee

Posted by Chris Nguyen on August 19, 2019

We are live from the OC GOP Central Committee, where tonight’s agenda includes the CD-45 Republican candidate forum and a pair of resolutions opposing recall efforts in Santa Ana and Westminster. The meeting began shortly after 7:00 PM.

Kathy Tavoularis delivers an invocation in memory of the late Orange County Auditor-Controller Eric Woolery, who had served on the Central Committee in the 1990s as Ethics Committee Chairman, Treasurer, and Second Vice Chairman. A number of people holding “Gene James for San Clemente City Council” signs continue talking during the invocation.

Orange County Treasurer Shari Freidenrich speaks in memory of Eric Woolery, while a smaller number of Gene James sign holders continue talking. Freidenrich then leads the Pledge of Allegiance.

Steve Sarkis and Cynthia Thacker are nominated by the 65th District caucus to replace Chris Norby and Jack Bedell. Jeff Barke is nominated by the 72nd District caucus to replace Jim Cunneen. All three nominations are approved unanimously by the full Central Committee.

The roll is taken, and elected officials are introduced.

Central Committee Chairman Fred Whitaker speaks in memory of Eric Woolery.

Whitaker speaks about the Democrats taking the lead in voter registration in Orange County, noting Republicans took the lead back after Democrats gained the lead in the aftermath of Watergate. He also notes Republicans still hold 2/3 of all elected offices in Orange County. He speaks about the importance of conducting voter registration. He speaks of the importance of winning Congressional and legislative seats.

Whitaker introduces the 45th Congressional District candidate forum for the Republicans seeking to unseat Congresswoman Katie Porter (D). He explains each candidate will get the same questions and will not be allowed to attack other Republican candidates.

He notes Democrats do not allow non-members to attend Central Committee while Republicans allow the public to attend, even pointing out a Democrat in attendance.

He requests that audience members be respectful and not yell or shout.

Whitaker introduces the candidates, who get three minutes to deliver opening statements.

Deputy District Attorney Ray Gennawey speaks about his deep roots in the district. He speaks about his work as a prosecutor. He talks about California’s rising crime and rising cost of living. He wants to end sanctuary for violent criminals. He wants to help the 7,000 homeless people in Orange County. He speaks of a human trafficking victim he worked with as a prosecutor and the value of her life.

Yorba Linda Councilwoman Peggy Huang legally immigrated to the U.S. at the age of 7. When she became a citizen, she registered as a Republican and became active in Republican causes. She expresses her support for Donald Trump and says her daughter is the youngest Trump volunteer. She speaks of her work as a Deputy Attorney General. She says she is running for Congress because of immigration, health care, and student loans. She wants to help the next generation with student loans.

Mission Viejo Mayor Greg Raths speaks of marrying his wife in the district, and raising his children and grandchildren in the district. He speaks of his career in the U.S. Marine Corps. He was an Eagle Scout like Gennawey. He discusses 30 years of USMC missions, joining during the Vietnam War. He speaks of his graduate education. He speaks of being assigned to the White House Military Office. He speaks of his election and re-election to the Mission Viejo City Council. He speaks of immigration, the military, personal freedoms, and the Constitution. He filed suit against the State of California over its exclusion of candidates from the presidential ballot.

Laguna Hills Mayor Don Sedgwick notes he is the only candidate who has signed both the front and back of the check. He speaks of curbing regulations that harm business. He speaks of illegal immigration and the rule of law. He notes that Congresswoman Katie Porter is a protege of Senator Elizabeth Warren and one of only two candidates to already be endorsed by Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. He speaks about rising crime.

Orange County Board of Education Trustee Lisa Sparks grew up in a small Midwestern town. There she learned the principles of fiscal responsibility. She is a wife, mother, and the founding dean of the School of Communications at Chapman University. She is an international expert ranked in the top 10 of health care communicators. She speaks of her conservative record on the Orange County Board of Education. She argues Congresswoman Katie Porter is one of the most vulnerable incumbents in the nation due to her liberal record. Sparks currently represents more constituents in the 45th Congressional District than any other candidate. She knows how to communicate to students, and notes UCI precincts went 91% for Porter over Walters.

Whitaker announces a lightning round asking each candidate how they will win the district.

Huang says she has an aggressive plan to walk all district precincts 3 times before the election.

Raths plans to reach out to veterans and win over their votes. His wife taught at UCI, and his children teach in Irvine.

Sedgwick notes his 23 years of experience in elected office in the 45th District surpasses all the other Republicans and Porter combined. He notes he has raised 2/3 of a million dollars already. He will use the money to get his message out to the voters, noting Porter raised $1 million, more than any other Congressional freshman.

Sparks speaks of her family’s roots in the district. She speaks of already representing 35% of the district. She has hired several members from Mimi Walters’s team.

Gennawey will go to places where candidates have not sought voters before. He points to the first-time volunteers in the room who are volunteering for him.

Whitaker asks the candidates what is the top issue in the district.

Raths states veterans are the top issue. He speaks of veteran mental health and suicide. He has spent $700,000 in the past raising his name ID in the district.

Sedgwick states immigration is important but highlights the opioid epidemic’s effect on homelessness.

Sparks notes her husband is an immigrant. She speaks about free market choices for health insurance, allowing people to buy health insurance across state lines. She speaks of her mother’s high cost for life insurance.

Huang speaks of the high cost of health care. She is a cancer survivor. She wants to expand Health Savings Accounts and make them more flexible. She wants free market options to allow people to buy health insurance across state lines. She wants small business owners, like her husband, to be able to get a tax deduction for health insurance.

Gennawey speaks the drug crisis and how it contributes to homelessness.

Whitaker asks how the candidates will deal with the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction limitation in the 2017 tax reform.

Sedgwick calls for lifting the SALT limit because it harms California families. He praises various administration accomplishments but blasts SALT as a detriment.

Sparks says she will fight to lower taxes for Californians. She says the recent tax reforms had 80% of people paying less and 5% of people paying more. She says it has largely helped American taxpayers but the SALT limitation and mortgage limitation must be repealed because it hurts Californians.

Gennawey says he will fight to repeal the SALT limitation but points out it is only a problem because California has high state taxes.

Huang blasts the SALT limitation but praises the economic opportunity zones in the tax reform.

Raths similarly opposes the SALT limitation but praises the rest of the tax reform bill.

Whitaker asks about health care reform.

Sparks speaks about the impact of health care costs upon seniors and families. She calls for an informed scientific approach to alleviate the costs.

Gennawey worked in the House of Representatives when the Affordable Care Act was passed. He says it has been anything but affordable. He calls for lowering prescription costs.

Huang calls for the expansion of Health Savings Accounts and the ability to buy health insurance in the free market across state lines. She speaks of her challenges battling cancer at age 44.

Raths jokes that his Marine recruiter lied to him about getting free health care for life through the VA. He speaks of market approaches on health insurance.

Sedgwick says government cannot afford to provide all things. He calls for a private sector approach, increasing competition in health insurance, including purchases across state lines. He calls for reducing regulations that keep prescription costs artificially high.

Whitaker announces an ultra lightning round. He asks for ways to control spending.

Huang cites various pork barrel projects that should be cut.

Raths has run a balanced budget at the City. He understands the Pentagon budget. He gives the example of a particular type of aircraft that is three times the cost of other military aircraft.

Sedgwick speaks of his budget in Laguna Hills. He calls for examining the proper role of government.

Sparks speaks of balancing the budget as a dean. She warns government cannot tax and spend its way to prosperity.

Gennawey blasts $22 trillion in debt. He says his generation is saddled by the spending of prior generations.

Whitaker asks if the candidates will support the Republican nominee if it is one of the other candidates.

All say yes.

Whitaker asks what endorsement each candidate is proudest of.

Sedgwick cites the endorsement of his entire City Council because they know he is someone who they can work with. He cites his conservative approaches when he was with the California School Board Association.

Sparks lists numerous elected officials and businesspeople but does not specify which one she is proudest of.

Gennawey says former Congressman Dana Rohrabacher gave him a surfboard and his endorsement. He also notes the Deputy District Attorneys have endorsed him.

Huang lists various elected officials but does not specify which one she is proudest of.

Raths lists various elected officials and cites Orange County Assessor Claude Parrish as the one he is most proud of.

Whitaker asks how much each candidate raised in the prior quarter and how much they plan to raise in this quarter.

Sparks raised $151,000. She plans to raise $300,000 more.

Gennawey raised $73,000 and plans to raise as much as he can.

Huang raised $264,000 and is aiming for $300,000.

Raths raised $212,000 and plans to raise $600,000.

Sedgwick raised $625,000 last quarter. He is aiming for nearly $1,000,000. He wants $1,500,000 by the general election.

Whitaker asks who the campaign consultants are.

Gennawey has hired Chip Englander and Michael Antonoupoulos.

Huang has hired Chris Emami, Erik Brown, and Lou Penrose.

Raths has a pro bono campaign consultant, Paul Jensen.

Sedgwick has hired John Thomas.

Sparks has hired seven members of Mimi Walters’s team, including Sam Oh, who is now with a 150-person consulting firm.

Whitaker ask what committee each candidate would want to serve on.

Huang cites Transportation, noting how much in taxes flow from Orange County and how little flows back in transportation dollars.

Raths cites Armed Services, Budget, and Ways & Means.

Sedgwick cites Judiciary, Budget, and Ways & Means. He notes the nation’s judges have a long, profound effect on the country.

Sparks cites Health Care, Education, Budget, and Ways & Means. She states she would like to help recruit more Republican women to run for Congress.

Gennawey cites Judiciary and Armed Services. He wants to help obtain federal funding for an Orange County veterans’ cemetery.

Whitaker asks about student loans and college affordability.

Gennawey notes he and his wife are still paying their student loans. He blasts high loan interest rates and opposes free college.

Huang is still paying her student loans. She calls for a tax deduction for employees who receive employer loan assistance.

Raths calls for more community college attendance, citing his daughters’ experiences. He also calls for limits on student loan interest rates.

Sedgwick opposes free college and questions whether people who already graduated should get refunds.

Sparks is a college dean. She calls for greater financial literacy education in K-12 schools and opposes free college as too expensive.

Sedgwick previously served two terms on Central Committee. He has walked precincts and phone banked for candidates.

Sparks was recruited to run for the Orange County Board of Education. She recalled her father’s values when deciding to run for Congress.

Gennawey speaks of various campaigns he volunteered on, he was College Republicans President, and he encouraged his mother to run for City Council while he was studying for the State Bar Exam. He notes, “She won, and I passed!”

Huang has volunteered for 30 years. She serves on Central Committee as Vice Chair and is a member of the Lincoln Club.

Raths has volunteered for numerous candidates and run in his own election.

After over an hour, the forum is complete.

Whitaker recognizes the RWF. He then recognizes the Volunteer of the Month, Cynthia Thacker.

Whitaker brings up resolutions opposing the recall efforts in Westminster and Santa Ana.

The Central Committee votes unanimously to suspend the rules to consider the resolutions.

The Central Committee then votes unanimously for the resolution to oppose the recall of Westminster Mayor Tri Ta and Councilmembers Kimberly Ho and Chi Charlie Nguyen.

The Central Committee then votes unanimously for the resolution to oppose the recall of Santa Ana Councilwoman Ceci Iglesias, though Orange County District Attorney Todd Spitzer recuses himself due to a complaint received by his office regarding this recall.

Various officer and club reports are delivered.

Whitaker thanks all the volunteers who helped register voters at the Republican Party booth at the OC Fair. He announces various upcoming opportunities to register voters.

The Central Committee adjourns at 8:58 PM in memory of Eric Woolery.

Posted in 45th Congressional District, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

RIP Auditor-Controller Eric Woolery (1966-2019)

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on August 8, 2019

The Honorable Eric H. Woolery, CPA was elected Auditor-Controller of Orange County in 2014 and re-elected in 2018.  He previously served as Orange City Treasurer from 2014-2015, a member of the Orange County Board of Education from 1996-2000, and on the Executive Board of the Central Committee of the Republican Party of Orange County in the 1990s.  He is survived by his wife, former Rancho Santiago Community College District Trustee Lisa Woolery, and their two young children.

This terrible news was announced by the Orange County Auditor-Controller’s office this morning:

It is with tremendous regret that we share the unexpected passing of Orange County’s 10th Auditor-Controller, Eric H. Woolery. The community’s thoughts and prayers for Mr. Woolery’s family and our staff are appreciated. Business and financial operations for the County will continue uninterrupted under the direction of the Chief Deputy.

Posted in Orange County Auditor-Controller, Orange County Board of Education | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Democrats Overtake Republicans in OC Voter Registration for First Time Since Watergate’s Aftermath

Posted by Chris Nguyen on August 6, 2019

August 6, 2019 marks a day that Democrats have been eagerly awaiting and Republicans have been dreading, for today marks the day that the Democrats have surpassed the Republicans to gain a plurality of voter registration in Orange County for the first time since Watergate. While each party still holds 34% of the electorate with No Party Preference Voters (independents) at 27% and third parties collectively holding 5%, there are now more registered Democrats than registered Republicans in Orange County for the first time in over 40 years.

14 of Orange County’s 34 cities hold Democratic pluralities: Anaheim, Buena Park, Costa Mesa, Cypress, Fullerton, Garden Grove, Irvine, La Habra, La Palma, Laguna Beach, Laguna Woods, Santa Ana, Stanton, and Tustin.

Aliso Viejo is likely next to flip, with Republicans holding a razor-thin 0.5% voter registration advantage there.

In the three largest cities in the County:

  • Anaheim: Democrats: 41.5%, Republicans: 27.5%, NPP: 26.7%
  • Santa Ana: Democrats: 51.6%, NPP: 27.9%, Republicans: 16.8%
  • Irvine: Democrats: 36.0%, NPP: 34.9%, Republicans: 25.2%

Those 3 cities comprise 24% of Orange County voters. However, 30% of all Orange County Democrats are registered in those three cities compared to only 17% of all Orange County Republicans and 26% of all Orange County NPPs.

In the 1970s, two of three Congressmen, one of three State Senators, four of six Assemblymen, three of the five County Supervisors, the County Treasurer, and even the State Controller were Orange County Democrats. In contrast, today in Orange County, all seven members of Congress, two of five State Senators, three of seven Assemblymembers, and one of five County Supervisors, are Democrats. Comparing today versus the 1970s, Democrats have performed better for Congress while Republicans have performed better for the Assembly, the Board of Supervisors, and the executive Countywide offices. The State Senate is a wash.

However, in 1995-1996, Republicans had managed to shut out Democrats out of every Congressional, Senate, Assembly, and County office. In 1994, Republicans held an 18% registration advantage, including 52.6% of all registered voters in Orange County.

Democrats have held fairly steady for the last quarter-century at approximately one-third of the electorate. Republicans had about half the electorate. The Republican advantage was 17%-18%, but then eroded by 5% between 2006-2008. It slowed back down to a 1.7% decline over 2008-2012, but then picked up speed, falling by 3.1% over 2012-2014 (1.55% per year), 3.9% over 2014-2016 (1.95% per year), 2.9% over 2016-2018 (1.45% per year), and actually slowed to 0.9% this past year. However, this has not been a smooth decline. Republicans actually recovered in 2015 and early 2016 before a precipitous Republican drop and Democratic increase during most of 2016.

  • October 1996: 51.6%-32.7%, R+18.9%
  • October 2000: 49.9%-32.2%, R+17.7%
  • October 2002: 49.1%-32.0%, R+17.1%
  • October 2004: 48.4%-30.2%, R+18.2%
  • October 2006: 47.9%-30.1%, R+17.8%
  • October 2008: 44.4%-31.9%, R+12.5%
  • October 2010: 43.3%-32.2%, R+11.1%
  • October 2012: 42.2%-31.4%, R+10.8%
  • October 2014: 40.7%-32.0%, R+7.7%
  • February 2015: 40.6%-31.8%, R+8.9%
  • January 2016: 40.0%-31.2%, R+8.8%
  • April 2016: 40.5%-32.3%, R+8.2%
  • May 2016: 40.0%-33.5%, R+6.5%
  • July 2016: 39.5%-33.9%, R+5.6%
  • September 2016: 39.2%-34.1%: R+5.1%
  • October 2016: 37.8%-34.0%, R+3.8%
  • October 2018: 34.7%-33.6%, R+0.9%
  • August 2019: 34.0%-34.0%, Even

It is not simply a rise in Democratic voter registration among new voters, for even the raw number of Republican voters has fallen since February 2015:

  • February 2015: 575,329
  • January 2016: 573,646
  • April 2016: 538,550
  • May 2016: 557,789
  • July 2016: 562,016
  • September 2016: 561,252
  • October 2016: 580,398
  • February 2017: 580,251
  • January 2018: 563,992
  • April 2018: 537,728
  • May 2018: 541,278
  • September 2018: 534,134
  • October 2018: 541,665
  • February 2019: 541,711
  • August 2019: 547,394

Political watchers had been monitoring the registration numbers over the past several days, with the Republican advantage at 375 voters on Thursday, falling to roughly 175 on Friday, and dwindling to just 9 voters yesterday. Today, the Democrats have overtaken the Republicans.

Today, while Orange County’s Congressional seats are all held by Democrats, Republicans still hold registration advantages in the 45th (Katie Porter), 48th (Harley Rouda), as well as the Orange County portions of the 39th (Gil Cisneros) and 49th (Mike Levin).

With the exception of the 29th Senate District (held by Republican Ling-Ling Chang), each Senate district has a Senator whose party affiliation matches the district’s registration, with Republicans holding the 36th (Patricia Bates) and 37th (John Moorlach) and Democrats holding the 32nd (Bob Archuleta) and 34th (Tom Umberg).

With the exception of the 74th Assembly District (held by Democrat Cottie Petrie-Norris), each Assembly district has an Assemblymember whose party affiliation matches the district’s registration, with Republicans holding the 55th (Phillip Chen), 68th (Steven Choi), 72nd (Tyler Diep), and 73rd (Bill Brough), and Democrats holding the 65th (Sharon Quirk-Silva) and 69th (Tom Daly). Even the 65th, which went Democrat in 2012, Republican in 2014, and back to Democrat in 2016, now has a 12% Democratic voter registration advantage.

With the exception of the 1st Supervisorial District (held by Republican Andrew Do), each Supervisorial district has a Supervisor whose party affiliation matches the district’s registration, with Republicans holding the 2nd (Michelle Steel), 3rd (Don Wagner), and 5th (Lisa Bartlett) while Democrats hold the 4th (Doug Chaffee). The 1st District has an 18% Democratic registration advantage.

Posted in Orange County | 9 Comments »