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Irvine Mayor Steven Choi Won 75% of Precincts, Including Every Region in the City Except UCI

Posted by Chris Nguyen on December 12, 2012

The New Irvine Council Majority: Mayor Pro Tem Jeff Lalloway, Councilwoman Christina Shea, and Mayor Steven Choi

The New Irvine Council Majority: Mayor Pro Tem Jeff Lalloway, Councilwoman Christina Shea, and Mayor Steven Choi

Last night, Steven Choi was sworn in as the first Republican Mayor of Irvine since 2000.  That last Republican Mayor was Christina Shea, who was sworn in to a new term last night as an Irvine Councilwoman after terming out in 2010.  The man who won Shea’s seat in 2010 was fellow Republican Jeff Lalloway, who became Mayor Pro Tem last night.

With all of that occurring last night, Larry Agran and Beth Krom were placed in the Irvine Council minority for the first time in a dozen years.  That 2000 election that gave the Democrats control of the Irvine Council majority saw Agran elected Mayor unopposed and Krom elected to the Council.  The 2012 election saw Krom re-elected to Council but Agran defeated for Mayor by Choi (though Agran remains on the Council as his term is 2010-2014).

The official results of Choi’s mayoral victory over Agran are as follows:

Steven S. Choi 32,505 45.7%
Larry Agran 28,741 40.4%
Katherine Daigle 9,951 14.0%

When a race is this close, you would expect there would be certain geographic areas in the city where Choi was strong and other areas where Agran was strong.  So let’s take a closer look; of the 127 precincts in the City of Irvine:

  • Choi won 95 (75% of all precincts, or 79% of precincts that cast votes for Mayor).
  • Agran won 24 (19% of all precincts, or 20% of precincts that cast votes for Mayor).
  • They tied in 2 (2% of all precincts and 2% of precincts that cast votes for Mayor).
  • Zero votes were cast for Mayor in 6 precincts (5% of all precincts).

Choi’s victory was quite evenly distributed in the city, with him winning all regions in the city except for the UCI campus precincts.  At UCI, Agran won 56% of the vote.  Choi won everywhere else.

It didn’t matter what districts were used – Choi won everywhere that wasn’t UCI.  He won the Irvine portions of both the 3rd and 5th Supervisorial Districts, both the 68th and 74th Assembly Districts, and both the Rancho Santiago and South Orange County Community College Districts (winning both the RSCCD Trustee Areas that cross Irvine and all three SOCCCD Trustee Areas that cross Irvine).  He won in the Irvine Unified School District and the Irvine portions of Santa Ana Unified and Tustin Unified.  He won in both divisions of the Orange County Water District and both divisions of the Municipal Water District of Orange County that crossed into Irvine.

Unfortunately for Agran, only 49% of registered voters in the UCI precincts turned out while 68% of registered voters in Irvine turned out.

It’s clear that other than UCI, there was no geographic divide in Steven Choi’s mayoral victory over Larry Agran to give Republicans control of the Irvine City Council for the first time in a dozen years.

Posted in Irvine | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Democrats Capture AD-36 to Take 55 Assembly Seats

Posted by Chris Nguyen on December 2, 2012

Map pf the 36th Assembly District (Courtesy of Meridian Pacific)

Map pf the 36th Assembly District (Courtesy of Meridian Pacific)

In an unexpected turn of events, Democrats have captured their 55th Assembly seat by taking the 36th Assembly District that covers LA County’s Antelope Valley, southeastern Kern County, and the San Bernardino County communities of Phelan, Pinon Hills, and Wrightwood.  Republicans now hold just 25 seats.  2/3 of the seats is 54.

Democrat Attorney/Teacher Steve Fox defeated Republican Lancaster Councilman/Business Owner Ron Smith by 145 votes after LA County finished counting its ballots today.  Smith had led Fox by 1,952 votes after Election Night counting.

Fox (D) Smith (R)
Kern 4631 6691
LA 59282 54826
SB 2092 4343
Total 66005 65860

The Assembly had already assigned an office to Republican Smith and posted his picture on the wall of Assembly Members.  Smith had hired most of his staff, and the office of Legislative Counsel had already prepared two pieces of legislation for Smith to introduce.  Smith has stated that he will seek a recount.

Photo of Ron Smith's name plate next to the door of Capitol Room 3149 (Courtesy of OneVoter.org)

Photo of Ron Smith’s name plate next to the door of Capitol Room 3149 (Courtesy of OneVoter.org)

The Assembly is set to swear in its new members tomorrow at 12 noon.  It is unclear if Fox will be sworn in or if the Assembly will wait for the results of the recount.

The old 36th Assembly District seat was held by Steve Knight, who left after two terms to successfully win election to the new 21st Senate District.

LA County Registrar Dean Logan’s claim to national fame was as Elections Director in King County, Washington in 2004.

  • In the 2004 Washington gubernatorial election, Republican Dino Rossi led Democrat Christine Gregoire by 261 votes at the end of vote counting.
  • After the first recount (triggered by Washington’s automatic machine recount law), Rossi’s lead shrunk to 42.
  • In the second recount (a manual one request by the Washington Democratic Party), Logan announced that 561 rejected absentee ballots would be counted, and workers in Logan’s county found another 162 uncounted ballots on a tray in a warehouse.  This totaled 723 ballots that had not been counted before.  After they were counted, Rossi’s 42-vote lead became a 129-vote deficit.
  • After much legal wrangling, Gregoire was sworn in as Governor on the day Governor Gary Locke’s term expired.  Gregoire defeated Rossi 53%-47% in a 2008 rematch.

Posted in California | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Half are Republicans, Half are Democrats, and Other Random Stats on Orange County’s Directly-Elected Mayors

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 20, 2012

The New Republican Irvine City Council Majority:
Councilman Jeff Lalloway, Councilwoman-Elect Christina Shea, and Mayor-Elect Steven Choi

Partisan Breakdown

Since 2004, Republicans have held a 4-2 advantage among Orange County’s directly-elected mayors:

  • Anaheim: Tom Tait (since 2010), Curt Pringle (2002-2010)
  • Garden Grove: Bill Dalton (2004-2012)
  • Orange: Carolyn Cavecche (2006-2012), Mark Murphy (2000-2006)
  • Westminster: Margie Rice (Republican 2004-2012; Democrat 2000-2004)

The two Democrats were:

  • Irvine: Sukhee Kang (2008-2012), Beth Krom (2004-2008)
  • Santa Ana: Miguel Pulido (since 1994)

Anaheim’s Tait has Orange County’s only four-year mayoral seat, so he was not up for election this year. Major changes were in store with three mayors termed out (Garden Grove’s Dalton, Irvine’s Kang, and Orange’s Cavecche) and one mayor voluntarily retiring (Westminster’s Rice), leaving only Santa Ana’s Pulido seeking re-election this year.

While Steven Choi captured the Irvine mayoral seat for the Republicans, Bruce Broadwater of Garden Grove and Tita Smith of Orange captured their respective mayor’s posts for the Democrats.

The Republicans are:

  • Anaheim: Tom Tait (term limit: 2018)
  • Irvine: Steven Choi (term limit: 2016)
  • Westminster: Tri Ta (no term limit)

The Democrats are:

  • Garden Grove: Bruce Broadwater (term limit: 2020)
  • Orange: Tita Smith (term limit: 2018)
  • Santa Ana: Miguel Pulido (term limit: 2020)

It could be worse though, like the 2000-2002 line-up of directly-elected mayors, which had Orange’s Mark Murphy as the sole Republican:

  • Anaheim: Tom Daly (1992-2002)
  • Garden Grove: Bruce Broadwater (1994-2004)
  • Irvine: Larry Agran (2000-2004)
  • Orange: Mark Murphy (2000-2006)
  • Santa Ana: Miguel Pulido (since 1994)
  • Westminster: Margie Rice (2000-2004 as a Democrat; 2004-2012 as a Republican)

2012 Demographics

An odd sidenote about 2012: in an election that saw Asian Americans vote 3-1 for Barack Obama, Orange County’s Asian American directly-elected mayors went from consisting of one Democrat (Kang) to consisting of two Republicans (Choi and Ta).

While Cavecche was replaced by Smith in Orange, women lost ground as Rice was replaced by Ta in Westminster.

Term Limits

Anaheim, Garden Grove, and Santa Ana have eight-year term limits (two four-year terms in Anaheim and four two-year terms in Garden Grove and Santa Ana).  Orange has a six-year term limit (three two-year terms).  Irvine has a four-year term limit (two two-year terms).  Westminster has no term limits (two-year terms).

Santa Ana’s mayoral term limit is the newest, having been adopted this month.  Irvine’s mayoral term limit is the oldest, taking effect in 1991.

Anaheim has the toughest term limit on Councilmembers who want to be Mayor.  A first-term Councilmember running for Mayor may only serve one mayoral term.  A second-term Councilmember may not run for Mayor.

Excluding Westminster’s non-limit, Garden Grove and Irvine have the most generous term limit for Councilmembers who want to be Mayor.  In both of those cities, when Councilmembers term out, they can run for Mayor, and when they term out as Mayor, they can run for Council, in a never-ending merry-go-round.

Age

After the 2012 election, the mayoral median age is 60.5 with a mean age is 59.3:

  • Garden Grove: Bruce Broadwater (74)
  • Irvine: Steven Choi (68)
  • Orange: Tita Smith (65)
  • Santa Ana: Miguel Pulido (56)
  • Anaheim: Tom Tait (54)
  • Westminster: Tri Ta (39)

Before the 2012 election, the mayoral median age was 58 with a mean age of 62.3:

  • Westminster: Margie Rice (83)
  • Garden Grove: Bill Dalton (69)
  • Irvine: Sukhee Kang (60)
  • Santa Ana: Miguel Pulido (56)
  • Anaheim: Tom Tait (54)
  • Orange: Carolyn Cavecche (52)

The biggest age change was in Westminster, where Margie Rice was replaced by Tri Ta, who is 44 years younger than her.  The smallest age change (excluding Tait and Pulido, for obvious reasons) was in Garden Grove, where Bill Dalton was replaced by Bruce Broadwater, who is 5 years older than him.

While Westminster had a dramatic age decrease for mayor, Garden Grove, Irvine, and Orange all had age increases for mayor.

The Democrat median and mean ages both increased from 58 to 65.

The Republican median age decreased from 61.5 to 54 while the Republican mean age decreased from 64.5 to 53.7.

Posted in Anaheim, Garden Grove, Irvine, Orange, Santa Ana, Westminster | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

OC’s Closest Races: Still Too Close to Call

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 15, 2012

There are seven races in Orange County where less than 0.5% separates two candidates for the last spot in office. Countywide, there are 73,719 ballots remaining to be counted (9,371 absentee ballots, 64,217 provisional ballots, and 131 Election Day paper ballots).  In all seven of these races, fewer than 500 votes separate the last winner and the first runner-up.  These range from the 442-vote margin for the Santa Ana Unified School Board to the 4-vote margin (yes, just four votes) for Fullerton City Council.

In the Santa Ana Unified School Board race, incumbent Jose Alfredo Hernandez (D) is hanging on to a 442-vote (0.5%) lead over challenger Valerie Amezcua (D).  In an unusual situation for Santa Ana, two Democrats are fighting for the third place spot and the board’s last seat while Republicans occupy the top two slots, with challenger Ceci Iglesias ahead of incumbent Rob Richardson.

SANTA ANA UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 89 of 89
Vote Count Percentage
CECILIA “CECI” IGLESIAS 17,814 21.6%
ROB RICHARDSON 17,465 21.2%
JOSE ALFREDO HERNANDEZ 14,640 17.8%
VALERIE AMEZCUA 14,198 17.3%
MYRIAM TINAJERO 12,836 15.6%
ROBERT ALLEN 5,330 6.5%

 

In the Mission Viejo City Council race, Councilwoman Cathy Schlicht (R) is clinging on to a 270-vote (0.4%) lead over challenger Wendy Bucknum (R).  Bucknum ran on a slate with Councilman Frank Ury (R) while Schlict ran on a slate with Ed Sachs (R).  If Schlicht hangs on, the voters will have split the baby by picking the incumbent from each slate leaving the status quo in place with a Council majority of Trish Kelley (R), Dave Leckness (R), and Ury versus a Council minority of Rhonda Reardon (R) and Schlicht.  If Bucknum overtakes Schlicht, then the Council majority will grow to 4 members.

CITY OF MISSION VIEJO Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 71 of 71
Vote Count Percentage
FRANK URY 18,051 27.4%
CATHY SCHLICHT 15,247 23.1%
WENDY BUCKNUM 14,977 22.7%
ED SACHS 9,642 14.6%
RICHARD W. COLEMAN 4,521 6.9%
DESI J. KISS 3,532 5.4%

 

In the Westminster City Council race, challenger Diana Carey (D) has seen her lead over incumbent Councilman Tyler Diep (R) dwindle to 200 votes (0.4%).  In 2008, Diep was behind Penny Loomer (D) by 1,500 votes on Election Night and ended up winning the election by edging out Loomer by 49 votes.  On Election Night 2012, Diep was behind Carey by 709 votes.  Can Diep pull off the late surge again?

CITY OF WESTMINSTER Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 57 of 57
Vote Count Percentage
SERGIO CONTRERAS 11,039 25.9%
DIANA CAREY 8,471 19.8%
TYLER DIEP 8,271 19.4%
CHARLIE NGUYEN MANH CHI 7,254 17.0%
HELENA RUTKOWSKI 2,792 6.5%
KHAI DAO 2,477 5.8%
AL P. KRIPPNER 2,372 5.6%

 

In the Huntington Beach City Council race, former Councilman Dave Sullivan (R) wields a 264-vote (0.1%) lead over Barbara Delgleize (R).  Regardless of whether Sullivan or Delgleize wins, the conservative majority has already been reduced to a minority with the election of Jill Hardy (D) and Jim Katapodis (R).

CITY OF HUNTINGTON BEACH Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 158 of 158
Vote Count Percentage
JILL HARDY 26,161 14.1%
JIM KATAPODIS 23,875 12.9%
DAVE SULLIVAN 23,470 12.6%
BARBARA DELGLEIZE 23,206 12.5%
DEVIN DWYER 18,609 10.0%
ERIK PETERSON 17,203 9.3%
WILLIAM BILLY O’CONNELL 16,405 8.8%
TIM RYAN 13,616 7.3%
ALEXANDER S. POLSKY 7,603 4.1%
BRUCE J. BRANDT 6,600 3.6%
TONY JAMES CARTER 5,407 2.9%
BOB WENTZEL 3,456 1.9%

 

In the Costa Mesa City Council race, Councilman Gary Monahan (R) has a 131-vote (0.1%) lead over challenger John Stephens (D).  At stake is the conservative Council majority, with Jim Righeimer (R), Steve Mensinger (R), and Monahan.  If Monahan holds on, the 4-1 Council majority will shrink to 3-2, as former Councilwoman Sandy Genis (R) captured the seat of termed-out conservative Councilman Eric Bever (R).  If Stephens overtakes Monahan, the conservative Council majority will become the minority.

CITY OF COSTA MESA Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 71 of 71
Vote Count Percentage
SANDRA L. “SANDY” GENIS 15,732 17.9%
STEVE MENSINGER 13,998 15.9%
GARY MONAHAN 13,743 15.6%
JOHN STEPHENS 13,612 15.5%
COLIN MCCARTHY 13,254 15.1%
HAROLD WEITZBERG 11,561 13.2%
AL MELONE 3,591 4.1%
JAMES RADER 2,411 2.7%

 

In the Yorba Linda City Council race, challenger Gene Hernandez (R) has a 114-vote (0.1%) lead over incumbent Councilwoman Nancy Rikel (R).  At stake is the Council majority.  If Rikel can overtake Hernandez, the YLRRR majority of Mark Schwing (R), John Anderson (R), and Rikel will maintain control of the Council.  If Hernandez hangs on, the majority of Tom Lindsey (R), Craig Young (R), and Hernandez would push YLRRR into the minority, with Schwing and Anderson.

CITY OF YORBA LINDA Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 47 of 47
Vote Count Percentage
MARK SCHWING 14,709 18.8%
CRAIG YOUNG 14,156 18.1%
EUGENE J. “GENE” HERNANDEZ 13,246 16.9%
NANCY RIKEL 13,132 16.8%
KENNITH L. PETERSON 9,400 12.0%
TODD P. COOPER 7,211 9.2%
LOUIS LEE KNAPPENBERGER JR. 6,440 8.2%

 

In the Fullerton City Council race, former Councilwoman Jan Flory (D) has a 4-vote lead over incumbent Councilman Travis Kiger (R). If Flory wins, the Fullerton City Council will have two liberal Democrats (Doug Chaffee and Flory), two libertarian-leaning conservative Republicans (Bruce Whitaker and Greg Sebourn), and one more traditional conservative Republican (Jennifer Fitzgerald).  If Kiger can overtake Flory’s 4-vote lead, he would cement the results of the June recall and maintain Orange County’s most libertarian council.

CITY OF FULLERTON Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 88 of 88
Vote Count Percentage
BRUCE WHITAKER 15,269 13.9%
JENNIFER FITZGERALD 14,957 13.6%
JAN M. FLORY 12,670 11.6%
TRAVIS KIGER 12,666 11.6%
RICK ALVAREZ 11,200 10.2%
JANE RANDS 8,769 8.0%
KITTY JARAMILLO 7,457 6.8%
BARRY LEVINSON 7,274 6.6%
DON BANKHEAD 7,229 6.6%
BRIAN BARTHOLOMEW 6,218 5.7%
MATTHEW HAKIM 4,149 3.8%
ROBERTA REID 1,778 1.6%

 

Posted in Costa Mesa, Fullerton, Huntington Beach, Mission Viejo, Santa Ana Unified School District, Westminster, Yorba Linda | 1 Comment »

How Well Did the OC Register’s Endorsements Go?

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 13, 2012

This year marked the first time that The Orange County Register endorsed candidates for office.  While the paper has endorsed for or against ballot measures on a regular basis, this was the paper’s first foray into endorsing City Council candidates.

So here’s who they endorsed, and whether the candidate won or loss (I should note these numbers are subject to change pending further results from the Registrar of Voters, as there are several close races, including, but not limited to, Costa Mesa, Fullerton, Huntington Beach, Mission Viejo, Tustin, and Yorba Linda):

Aliso Viejo (1-2)
W: William “Bill” Phillips
L: Greg Ficke
L: Don Garcia

Anaheim (1-1)
W: Lucille Kring
L: John Leos

Brea (1-1)
W: Marty Simonoff
L: Steven Vargas

Buena Park (1-0)
W: Fred Smith

Costa Mesa (2-1)
W: Steve Mensinger
W: Gary Monahan
L: Colin McCarthy

Cypress (0-0)
No endorsement

Dana Point (1-1)
W: Carlos N. Olvera
L: Ed Stevenson

Fountain Valley (1-1)
W: Steve A. Nagel
L: Patrick Tucker

Fullerton (3-0)
W: Bruce Whitaker
W: Jennifer Fitzgerald
W: Travis Kiger

Garden Grove (0-0)
No endorsement

Huntington Beach (1-2)
W: Dave Sullivan
L: Erik Peterson
L: Barbara Delgleize

Irvine (2-1)
W: Steven S. Choi (Mayor)
W: Christina Shea
L: Lynn Schott

La Habra (0-0)
Uncontested

La Palma (1-2)
W: Peter Kim
L: Robert Carruth
L: Sylvia Colannino Smith

Laguna Beach (1-0)
W: Steve Dicterow

Laguna Hills (1-1)
W: Andrew Blount
L: Raghu P. Mathur

Laguna Niguel (2-1)
W: Jerry McCloskey
W: Laurie Davies
L: Brad Barber

Laguna Woods (3-0)
W: Cynthia S. Conners
W: Milton W. Robbins
W: Noel Hatch

Lake Forest (1-1)
W: Dwight Robinson
L: Jim Gardner

Los Alamitos (1-0)
W: Richard D. Murphy

Mission Viejo (1-1)
W: Frank Ury
L: Wendy Bucknum

Newport Beach (0-0)
Uncontested

Orange (1-2)
W: Tita Smith (Mayor)
L: Ray Grangoff
L: Richard Callahan

Placentia (3-0)
W: Jeremy Yamaguchi
W: Scott Nelson
W: Constance “Connie” Underhill

Rancho Santa Margarita (3-0)
W: Tony Beall
W: Carol Gamble
W: Brad McGirr

San Clemente (0-2)
L: Jim Dahl
L: Mike Mortenson

San Juan Capistrano (1-1)
W: Roy L. Byrnes
L: Kim McCarthy

Santa Ana (0-1)
L: Charles Hart

Seal Beach (0-0)
Uncontested

Stanton (2-0)
W: Carol Warren
W: Al Ethans

Tustin (2-1)
W: John Nielsen
W: Charles E. “Chuck” Puckett
L: Tracy Worley Hagen

Villa Park (0-0)
Uncontested

Westminster (0-3)
L: Ha Minch Mach (Mayor)
L: Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi
L: Helena Rutkowski

Yorba Linda (2-1)
W: Mark Schwing
W: Eugene J. “Gene” Hernandez
L: Nancy Rikel

The Register went 39-27 in Council races (2-1 in mayoral races if you count those separately from Council races), endorsing the winner 59% of the time.

On ballot measures, here’s what happened with The Register’s endorsements:

Ballot Measure OC Register OC Voters Statewide Voters
Proposition 30 No No Yes
Proposition 31 No No No
Proposition 32 Yes Yes No
Proposition 33 Yes Yes No
Proposition 34 No No No
Proposition 35 Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 36 Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 37 No No No
Proposition 38 No No No
Proposition 39 No Yes Yes
Proposition 40 Yes Yes Yes
Measure M (Coast Community College District – Needs 55% to Pass) No Yes
Measure N (Fountain Valley School District – Needs 55% to Pass) No No
Measure O (La Habra City School District – Needs 55% to Pass) No Yes
Measure P (Ocean View School District – Needs 55% to Pass) No No
Measure Q (Rancho Santiago Community College District – Needs 55% to Pass) No Yes
Measure S (Tustin Unified School District – Needs 55% to Pass) No Yes
Measure T (Brea) No Yes
Measure U (Brea) No No
Measure V (Costa Mesa) Yes No
Measure W (Fullerton) Yes No
Measure X (Fullerton) Yes Yes
Measure Y (Garden Grove) No Yes
Measure Z (Huntington Beach) Yes No
Measure AA (Huntington Beach) Yes Yes
Measure BB (Irvine) No Yes
Measure CC (Laguna Beach) No No
Measure DD (Los Alamitos) No Yes
Measure EE (Newport Beach) No Yes
Measure FF (Orange) Yes No
Measure GG (Santa Ana) No Yes
Measure HH (Tustin) Yes Yes

On statewide ballot measures, The Register went 10-1 (91%) with Orange County voters but 7-4 (64%) with California voters.

On local ballot measures, The Register went 7-14 (33%) with the voters.

I’ll still be number crunching over the next days and weeks, but despite what looks like a dismal endorsement record, it appears The Register was actually middle of the pack on their endorsement success rate in Orange County.

Posted in Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Brea, Buena Park, California, Coast Community College District, Costa Mesa, Cypress, Dana Point, Fountain Valley, Fountain Valley School District, Fullerton, Garden Grove, Huntington Beach, Irvine, La Habra, La Habra City School District, La Palma, Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Los Alamitos, Mission Viejo, Newport Beach, Ocean View School District, Orange, Orange County, Placentia, Rancho Santa Margarita, Rancho Santiago Community College District, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Santa Ana, Seal Beach, Stanton, Tustin, Tustin Unified School District, Villa Park, Westminster, Yorba Linda | 3 Comments »

Top Ten OC Stories of the 2012 General Election

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 8, 2012

The top ten stories from the results of the 2012 general election in Orange County:

  1. 65th Assembly District – With an influx of hundreds of thousands of dollars in union and Democratic Party money, Sharon Quirk-Silva leads by 1,034 votes in her bid to unseat Republican Assemblyman Chris Norby and deliver a Democratic supermajority in the State Assembly.
  2. 72nd Assembly District – Travis Allen defeats fellow Republican Troy Edgar by 11% to win a seat in the Orange County legislative delegation.
  3. Irvine (Mayor and 2 Council seats) – After years of trying, Republicans finally defeat Larry Agran to capture the majority of the Irvine City Council, with Councilman Steven Choi defeating Larry Agran for Mayor and former Councilwoman Christina Shea returning to the Council, creating a majority of Choi, Shea, and Jeff Lalloway with a Council minority of Agran and Beth Krom.
  4. Fullerton (3 Council seats) – Councilman Travis Kiger (R) leads former Councilwoman Jan Flory (D) by 114 votes in their respective bids for new Council terms.  If Kiger’s lead holds, he will join fellow Republican election winners Bruce Whitaker and Jennifer Fitzgerald on the Council.  Kiger, Whitaker, and Councilman Greg Sebourn are libertarian conservatives, Fitzgerald is a more traditional conservative, and Councilman Doug Chaffee is a Democrat.  Kiger’s re-election would cement the results of the recall and maintain Orange County’s most libertarian council.
  5. Costa Mesa (3 Council seats and Measure V) – Voters delivered a mixed bag by re-electing Republican Councilmen Steve Mensinger and Gary Monahan (two of the 3Ms), but also electing Republican former Councilwoman Sandy Genis and rejecting Measure V.  If Monahan’s 319-vote lead over Democrat John Stephens holds, the reform majority will have shrunk from four seats to three seats (Mensinger, Monahan, and Jim Righeimer), yet would still be the majority.
  6. Anaheim (2 Council seats) – Voters delivered a mixed bag by electing former Councilwoman Lucille Kring (R) from Mayor Tom Tait’s slate and electing School Board Member Jordan Brandman (D) from Councilwomen Kris Murray and Gail Eastman’s slate.  Brandman’s election maintains the 3-2 majority that supports allowing the GardenWalk Hotel to keep 80% of its Transient Occupancy Tax revenue.
  7. 47th Congressional District – Long Beach State Senator Alan Lowenthal (D) defeats Long Beach Councilman Gary DeLong (R), becoming the third Democrat in Orange County’s Congressional delegation, joining the Sanchez sisters.
  8. Yorba Linda (3 Council seats) – If Gene Hernandez’s 35-vote lead over Councilwoman Nancy Rikel holds, YLRRR will have lost control of the Yorba Linda City Council.  Re-elected Councilman Mark Schwing and holdover Councilman John Anderson are the two remaining members of the YLRRR Council coalition.  Though originally backed by YLRRR, holdover Councilman Tom Lindsey has broken with the group.  Newly-elected Councilman Craig Young is not backed by YLRRR.  A Lindsey-Young-Hernandez majority would face off against a Schwing-Anderson YLRRR minority (this entire set of people I’ve mentioned for Yorba Linda are Republicans).  If Rikel is overtakes Hernandez, status quo is restored in Yorba Linda.
  9. Aliso Viejo (3 Council seats) – Voters tossed two incumbents from office, ousting Councilmen Greg Ficke (R) and Don Garcia (NPP) in favor of Ross Chun (D) and Mike Munzing (R).  Councilman Bill Phillips (R) was the sole incumbent re-elected.
  10. Mission Viejo (2 Council seats) – Voters delivered a mixed bag by re-electing Republican Councilmembers Frank Ury and Cathy Schlict, who ran on opposing slates.  Schlict leads Ury’s running mate, Republican Wendy Bucknum, by 0.5%.  Schlict’s running mate, Republican Ed Sachs, trails by 7.8%.

Posted in 47th Congressional District, 65th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Costa Mesa, Fullerton, Irvine, Mission Viejo, Yorba Linda | 18 Comments »

“Citizens for Good Government” Slate Mailer Improperly Uses Trademarked CRA Logo, Advocates Against CRA Positions

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 5, 2012

It seems every election year, one slate mailer or another draws attention for their negative actions.  In 2012, it’s “Citizens for Good Government” in the negative spotlight.

It recommends the entire Republican slate of candidates along with the following ballot recommendations:

Prop 30 – Yes (CRA Says No on 30)
Prop 31 – No
Prop 32 – No (CRA Says Yes on 32)
Prop 33 – Yes (CRA is Neutral on 33)
Prop 34 – No
Prop 35 – Yes
Prop 36 – No
Prop 37 – No
Prop 38 – No
Prop 39 – Yes (CRA Says No on 39)
Prop 40 – No

Now you may be wondering why I brought up four measures where the California Republican Assembly disagreed with the “Citizens for Good Government” slate mailer.  Well look closely at the inside of the mailer (in the lower left corner of the mailer) to the left of Yes on 39 and below No on 38.

Citizens for Good Government Slate Mailer - Outside  Citizens for Good Government Slate Mailer - Inside

Yep, that’s the CRA logo.  If you click on the photo to blow it up to full size, you’ll see the CRA logo they used even has the “TM” symbol to indicate it’s trademarked.

(The particular one above was sent to Stanton Republicans, but Republicans in Garden Grove and Fullerton also received versions of this slate mailer.)

The caption for the CRA logo reads:

If you would like to volunteer to help elect good Republicans to public office, go to http://www.californiarepublicanassembly.com for the name of your local Republican club.

Hopefully voters who might have used this slate mailer took its advice and visited  http://www.californiarepublicanassembly.com, where the home page clearly lists CRA’s positions on ballot measures, in which the CRA differed with “Citizens for Good Government” on Props 30, 32, 33, and 39.

No CRA officer has stated they gave “Citizens for Good Government” permission to use the CRA logo, especially since the slate mailer is designed to show that it is supportive of CRA and imply (falsely) that its recommendations are backed by CRA.

CRA officials are consulting attorneys to see what action, if any, can be taken to prevent future use of the CRA logo and what can be done to repair the damage done to CRA by this slate mailer.

Posted in California, Mail | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Robert “Bob” Ausmus Supporters Steal Royce Sign and Deligianni Signs Again – This Time From Private Residences

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 4, 2012

As you may recall from my previous post, supporters of Orange Unified School District Candidate Robert “Bob” Ausmus abused school resources by sending information about his candidacy to hundreds of people on a school district list, placed a sign on school district property, snubbed voters by refusing to write a candidate’s statement for the sample ballot, and stole signs promoting his opponent for OUSD, incumbent Alexia L. Deligianni.

Well, now Bob Ausmus supporters are stealing signs from private property. At 7:35 PM, my father called to report that the two Alexia Deligianni signs and an Ed Royce sign were stolen from my parents’ home.

My parents had three signs in the corner of their yard: one each for Ed Royce, Alexia Deligianni, and Lucille Kring. They also had another set of those three signs along their long fence.

My father reported both Alexia Deligianni signs and one of the Ed Royce signs was stolen. The stakes were left behind, but the signs were stolen.

Stealing the Ed Royce sign on top of the two Alexia Deligianni signs is an indication of just the kinds of RINOs Robert Ausmus supporters are.

This isn’t surprising, as Robert “Bob” Ausmus got booed when he spoke at the Orange Republican Women Federated when he spoke in support of raising taxes by $1,000,000,000.

(It should be noted that Custom Campaigns is the consultant on the re-election campaign of the Orange County Republican Party-endorsed Deligianni, who is also endorsed by the California Republican Assembly. Before Custom Campaigns existed, the people who eventually became the founders of Custom Campaigns ran Deligianni’s successful election to the board in 2008.)

Posted in Orange Unified School District | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Humongous Grid of Endorsements: State Assembly, City Council, School Board, Special Districts, and Ballot Measures

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 4, 2012

You may have seen my prior post entitled, “Republican? Democrat? Independent?  The Partisan Affiliations of Everyone Running for Everything in Orange County.” In an effort to bring more information to voters, here is my humongous grid of endorsements, showing endorsements from the Democratic Party of Orange County, the Democratic Foundation of Orange County, the Orange County Register, the Republican Party of Orange County, the California Republican Assembly, the Lincoln Club of Orange County, Atlas PAC, and Family Action PAC.

Regrettably, I’ve been unable to find a comprehensive, countywide listing of chamber and union endorsements.

Also, some of these organizations endorsed in uncontested races.  I excluded those from the grid.

State Assembly

DPOC DFOC OC Register OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
65th District Sharon Quirk-Silva Sharon Quirk-Silva Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby
72nd District Travis Allen Troy Edgar Travis Allen Troy Edgar

City Council

DPOC DFOC OC Register OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
Aliso
Viejo
Ross Chun Greg Ficke
Bill Phillips
Don Garcia
Greg Ficke
Mike Munzing
Mike Munzing Mike Munzing
Anaheim Jordan Brandman Jordan Brandman John Leos
Lucille Kring
Brian Chuchua
Lucille Kring
Brian Chuchua
Lucille Kring
Lucille Kring Brian Chuchua
Lucille Kring
Brea Marty Simonoff
Steven Vargas
Steven Vargas
Buena
Park
Art Brown Fred Smith Baron Night Baron Night Baron Night
Costa
Mesa
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Cypress Rob Johnson Rob Johnson
Bijan Mohseni
Rob Johnson
Bijan Mohseni
Dana
Point
Carlos N. Olvera
Ed Stevenson
Carlos N. Olvera Carlos N. Olvera
Ed Stevenson
Carlos N. Olvera
Fountain
Valley
Steve A. Nagel Steve A. Nagel Steve A. Nagel Cheryl Brothers
Patrick Tucker
Fullerton Jan Flory
Kitty Jaramillo
Jan Flory
Kitty Jaramillo
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Jennifer Fitzgerald
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Barry Levinson
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Jennifer Fitzgerald
Bruce Whitaker
Barry Levinson
Jennifer Fitzgerald
Garden
Grove
Kris Beard Kris Beard Steve Jones Mayor:
Myke Cossota
Council:
Steve Jones
Zack Barrett
Huntington
Beach
Jill Hardy Jill Hardy
Alexander Polsky
Barbara Delgleize
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Barbara Delgleize
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Irvine Mayor:
Larry Agran
Council:
Beth Krom
Mayor:
Larry Agran
Council:
Beth Krom
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
La Palma Steven Shanahan Peter Kim
Robert Carruth
Sylvia Smith
Peter Kim Christine Barnes
Laguna
Beach
Verna Rollinger Steve Dicterow Steve Dicterow
Laguna
Hills
Andrew Blount
Raghu P. Mathur
Bill Hunt
Raghu P. Mathur
Andrew Blount
Dore Gilbert
Andrew Blount
Bill Hunt
Laguna
Niguel
Cynthia Conners Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Brad Barber
Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Jerry Slusiewicz
Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Lake
Forest
Jim Gardner
Dwight Robinson
Adam Nick
Dwight Robinson
Dwight Robinson Dwight Robinson Dwight Robinson Dwight Robinson
Los
Alamitos
Richard Murphy Richard Murphy Dean Grose Dean Grose
Ken Stephens
Dean Grose
Mission
Viejo
Frank Ury
Wendy Bucknum
Ed Sachs
Cathy Schlict
Frank Ury Ed Sachs
Cathy Schlict
Cathy Schlict
Orange Larry Labrado
Robert Douglas
Mayor:
Tita Smith
Council:
Larry Labrado
Robert Douglas
Mayor:
Tita Smith
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Richard Callahan
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Mark A. Murphy
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Mike Alvarez
Ray Grangoff
Mark A. Murphy
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Placentia Scott Nelson
Connie Underhill
Jeremy Yamaguchi
Council:
Scott Nelson
Treasurer:
Greg Sowards
Rancho
Santa
Margarita
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Short Term:
Brad McGirr
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Short Term:
Brad McGirr
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Short Term:
Brad McGirr
Tony Beall Tony Beall
San
Clemente
Mike Mortenson
Jim Dahl
Mike Mortenson Mike Mortenson Mike Mortenson
Jim Dahl
San Juan
Capistrano
Roy Byrnes
Kim McCarthy
Santa Ana Mayor:
David Benavides
Ward 1:
Vincent Sarmiento
Ward 3:
Eric Alderete
Ward 5:
Roman Reyna
Mayor:
Miguel Pulido
Ward 1:
Vincent Sarmiento
Ward 3:
Eric Alderete
Ward 5:
Roman Reyna
Ward 3:
Charles Hart
Mayor:
George M. Collins
Ward 3:
Charles Hart
Brett Franklin
Ward 5:
Karina Onofre
Ward 3: Charles Hart Ward 3: Charles Hart Ward 5: Karina Onofre
Stanton Carol Warren Carol Warren
Al Ethans
Al Ethans Al Ethans
Tustin Tracy Worley Hagen
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
Westminster Mayor:
Penny Loomer
Council:
Sergio Contreras
Mayor:
Penny Loomer
Council:
Sergio Contreras
Diana Carey
Mayor:
Ha Mach
Council:
Helena Rutkowski
Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi
Mayor:
Tri Ta
Council:
Tyler Diep
Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi
Yorba
Linda
Nancy Rikel
Mark Schwing
Gene Hernandez
Nancy Rikel
Mark Schwing
Gene Hernandez
Craig Young

School Districts
Note: The Orange County Register did not endorse in any school board races.

DPOC DFOC OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
Rancho Santiago
Community College
District, Area 3
Nelida Yanez Nelida Yanez
Rancho Santiago
Community College
District, Area 5
Mark McLoughlin Mark McLoughlin
Claudia Alvarez
South Orange
County Community
College District,
Trustee Area 3
Jennifer Long
Anaheim City
School District
Al Jabbar Al Jabbar
John Santoianni John Santoianni
Anaheim Union
High School District
Annemarie Randle-Trejo Hoagy Holguin
Buena Park
School District
Barbara Michel
Capistrano Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 2
Jim Readon Jim Readon Jim Readon Jim Readon Jim Readon
Capistrano Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 3
Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang
Capistrano Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 5
Bill Perkins Bill Perkins Bill Perkins Bill Perkins
Cypress
School District
Brian Nakamura Alexandria Coronado Alexandria Coronado
Candice Kern
Fountain Valley
School District
Jeanne Galindo Jeanne Galindo
Jim Cunneen
Garden Grove
Unified School District
Bao Nguyen Bao Nguyen
George West
Huntington Beach
Union High
School District
John Briscoe Edward Pinchiff John Briscoe
Irvine Unified
School District
Paul Bokota Paul Bokota Michelle Ollada Alipio
Cyril Yu Cyril Yu
Los Alamitos
Unified School District
Karen Russell
Ocean View
School District
Debbie Cotton Debbie Cotton
Orange Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 3
Alexia L. Deligianni Alexia L. Deligianni
Orange Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 6
Mark Wayland
Santa Ana
Unified School District
Valerie Amezcua Valerie Amezcua Ceci Iglesias Ceci Iglesias Ceci Iglesias
Myriam Tinajero Myriam Tinajero
Tustin Unified
School District
Monique Ketteringham
Elias Teferi
Westminster
School District
Jamison Power Jamison Power
Jo-Ann Purcell Jo-Ann Purcell

Water and Other Special Districts
Note: The Orange County Register did not endorse in any special district races.

DPOC DFOC OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
East Orange County Water District Douglass S. Davert Douglass S. Davert
Bill Vanderwerff
Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 1 Eric Bever Eric Bever Eric Bever
Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 2 James R. Fisler James R. Fisler James R. Fisler
Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 3 Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka
Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 3 Larry R. Crandall
Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 7 Jeffery Thomas
Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 7 Susan Hinman
Orange County Water District, Division 2 Denis R. Bilodeau
Orange County Water District, Division 3 Roger C. Yoh
South Coast Water District Wayne Rayfield
Costa Mesa Sanitary District Don Harper Don Harper Don Harper Don Harper
Jeff R. Mathews Jeff R. Mathews Jeff R. Mathews Jeff R. Mathews
Midway City Sanitary District Joy L. Neugebauer
Rossmoor Community Services Jeffrey Rips

Ballot Measures

Note: Family Action PAC did not endorse any ballot measures.

DPOC DFOC OC Register OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC
Proposition 30 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 31 No No Yes No Yes No
Proposition 32 No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 33 No Yes Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 34 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 35 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 36 Yes Yes No No No
Proposition 37 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 38 No No No No No No
Proposition 39 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 40 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes
Measure M (Coast Community College District) No No
Measure N (Fountain Valley School District) No No No
Measure O (La Habra City School District) No No
Measure P (Ocean View School District) No No
Measure Q (Rancho Santiago Community College District) No No
Measure S (Tustin Unified School District) No No
Measure T (Brea) No
Measure U (Brea) No
Measure V (Costa Mesa) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Measure W (Fullerton) Yes Yes
Measure X (Fullerton) Yes
Measure Y (Garden Grove) No
Measure Z (Huntington Beach) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Measure AA (Huntington Beach) Yes Yes
Measure BB (Irvine) No
Measure CC (Laguna Beach) No
Measure DD (Los Alamitos) No No No
Measure EE (Newport Beach) No Yes
Measure FF (Orange) Yes Yes Yes Yes
Measure GG (Santa Ana) No
Measure HH (Tustin) Yes Yes

Posted in 65th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Anaheim City School District, Anaheim Union High School District, Brea, Buena Park, Buena Park School District, Capistrano Unified School District, Centralia School District, Costa Mesa, Costa Mesa Sanitary District, Cypress, Cypress School District, Dana Point, Democrat Central Committee, East Orange County Water District, Fountain Valley, Fountain Valley School District, Fullerton, Fullerton Joint Union High School District, Garden Grove, Garden Grove Unified School District, Huntington Beach, Huntington Beach City School District, Huntington Beach Union High School District, Independent Expenditures, Irvine, Irvine Unified School District, La Palma, Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Los Alamitos, Los Alamitos Unified School District, Mesa Consolidated Water District, Midway City Sanitary District, Mission Viejo, Moulton-Niguel Water District, Municipal Water District of Orange County, North Orange County Community College District, Ocean View School District, Orange, Orange County Water District, Orange Unified School District, Placentia, Rancho Santa Margarita, Rancho Santiago Community College District, Republican Central Committee, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District, Seal Beach, South Orange County Community College District, Stanton, Tustin, Westminster, Westminster School District, Yorba Linda | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

CD-39: Royce, Chen, and Chen SuperPAC Spend $2.7 Million or How My Father Received Over 41 Feet of Mail

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 2, 2012

Jay Chen & Ed Royce

Democrat Jay Chen is challenging Republican Representative Ed Royce

151,311 voters live in the City of Anaheim: 10,196 voters live in Ed Royce’s 39th Congressional District, 27,431 live in John Campbell’s 45th Congressional District, and 113,684 live in Loretta Sanchez’s 46th Congressional District.  You’ve seen Emami’s endless mail count on the Anaheim City Council race, but he has the good fortune to be one of the 27,431 Anaheim voters in CD-45.  This is a tale of the mailboxes for the 10,196 Anaheim voters in CD-39.

(For those of you wondering, Gail Eastman lives in Sanchez’s CD-46, Harry Sidhu lives in Royce’s CD-39, and Lorri Galloway, Kris Murray, and Tom Tait live in Campbell’s CD-45.  For those of you wondering for even more info, Steve Chavez Lodge lives in Campbell’s CD-45 while Lucille Kring, John Leos, and Jordan Brandman all live in Sanchez’s CD-46.)

Before I get into the mail, I should note there are precinct walkers and phone bankers from both camps scurrying and calling across CD-39.

An OC Political friend passed on a transcript he made of a phone call he received from the Jay Chen campaign in October.  The content of this script is clearly geared toward Republicans, and the OC Political friend who transcribed this call is a high-propensity Republican in a pure Republican household.

Here’s the transcript…

Hi.  Good afternoon.  My name is Andrew and I am a volunteer with the Jay Chen for Congress Campaign.

I’m calling you today to tell you a little bit about Jay and about his campaign for congress in your district.

Jay is a small businessman, a school board member and US Naval Reserves intelligence officer who is running to represent you in Congress.

Unlike his opponent, Ed Royce, Jay volunteered to serve our country and he will protect our veterans when they come home.

Jay was recruited right out of Harvard University to work for Bain and Company, a section of the successful Bain Capital, and he has valuable experience balancing the books and improving results without raising taxes.

Jay is clearly the right person to serve this district in Washington.  For more information about Jay or our campaign, please visit our website at chenforcongress.com.  And since you are registered to vote by mail your ballots will be arriving around October 8th.  Please remember to vote and sent them back in.

Thank you for very much your time and I hope you vote for Jay in the upcoming November election.

Here’s an excerpt from Chen’s 2011 school board re-election campaign biography:

In 2002 Jay joined Bain & Company, a global business consulting firm. While at Bain he worked closely with top executives of Fortune 500 companies to develop and implement crucial business strategies. He managed the roll-out and evaluation of new products for a global logistics company and analyzed the cost-savings for a mergers and acquisition in the technology space with a combined value of over $1 billion. Jay believes his financial and business experience will be of great value to the school board, which manages an operating budget of over $360 million dollars and nearly 3000 employees.

Anyone else find it fun that Democrat Jay Chen is touting his Bain experience while Republican Mitt Romney is getting trashed for his Bain experienced by national Democrats?

Now, on to the money: From July 1 to October 17, Royce spent $1,232,479 while Chen spent $406,351.  However, Super PAC America Shining (run by Chen’s brother) has spent $762,316, with $65,894 supporting Chen and $696,162 against Royce.

In other words, between America Shining and Jay Chen, the pro-Chen/anti-Royce spending since July 1 has reached $1,458,478 while Ed Royce has spent $1,232,479.

For both candidates, over 60% of their direct contributions came from individual citizens.  However, if you account for America Shining, the pro-Chen/anti-Royce money received has been 52% from PACs, and 33% from individual citizens, while pro-Royce/anti-Chen money that’s been received is 62% from individual citizens and 36% from PACs.

While Emami religiously scans each piece of mail that falls into his hand, I’m just going to take a picture of all the mail.  For my father, who is likely in the most coveted demographic group in all of CD-39 (high-propensity Asian independent), this is what $2.7 million of campaign spending looks like:

35 Pieces of CD-39 Mail

My poor father was inundated with CD-39 mail

He’s received 36 mailers, and there’s still three more mailing days before Election Day (today, tomorrow, and Monday).  I “only” received 15 mailers, and my Republican mother “only” received 8 mailers.  Inexplicably, my independent sister only got 1 mailer (it was pro-Royce).

I should note my 52-year-old father was not pleased to receive the America Shining piece entitled, “Senior News.”

Here are other ways to look at the 36 mailers sent to Dad:

  • Stacked on top of each other, they are 1/2 inch thick.
  • They weigh a combined 1 lb. 7 oz.
  • Laid end to end, they are 41 feet, 3 inches long.

They have achieved near-perfect parity in Dad’s collection:

  • 18 from Royce’s side, 18 from Chen’s side
  • 6 pro-Royce, 4 pro-Chen
  • 12 anti-Chen, 14 anti-Royce

From my father’s mail: For every pro-Royce, there were exactly two anti-Chen pieces.  For every pro-Chen piece, there were more than three anti-Royce pieces.  While both sides have sent virtually the same amount of mail and both have been pretty negative, Chen’s side has sent out more negative mail and less positive mail than Royce’s side.

Apparently, as registered Republicans, my mother and I were each ignored by Chen.  All 15 of my mailers and all 8 of hers were from Royce.  I received 6 pro-Royce and 9 anti-Chen.  Mom received 2 pro-Royce and 6 anti-Chen.

The anti-Chen pieces are making an impact on regular voters: one of my mother’s co-workers dislikes Chen because he seems so creepy because he’s always behind sunglasses in his pictures.  None of Chen’s photos have him behind sunglasses, except the one being used on Royce’s anti-Chen pieces.

In CD-39, postal workers and mailhouses are getting together to throw a big party about the post offices saved from closure and the mailhouses’ unexpected 2012 profits, but somewhere, there’s an environmentalist crying about the forests that Chen and Royce destroyed.

On a final note, my father’s siding with the family Republicans: Dad’s voting for Royce.

Posted in 39th Congressional District, Fundraising, Mail | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »