OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Posts Tagged ‘Jay Chen’

Greg Diamond Says He’s Running For Congress, Gets Assistance From Fly By Night Karma Repair, And Pays 20% Fundraising Commission To Household Member For Out-Of-District Funds

Posted by Lassie on November 5, 2012

Greg Diamond

Greg Diamond

In his July, August, September campaign finance report, Democrat Senate candidate Greg Diamond raised $2,560 for the period, and he paid $500 to a fundraising consultant.  Why would anyone pay a 20% fundraising commission when the normal commission is 10%-15%?

Maybe it’s because he’s paying it to a person who lives in his house.

That’s right, Greg Diamond campaign donors, you’re contributing to a campaign who’s sending money straight into the candidate’s household’s pockets.

Although since his donors are largely from outside the district, I guess they wouldn’t really notice.  Of his $1640 itemized contributions, there is exactly one from the 29th Senate District: $100 contribution from former Assembly Democrat Sacrificial Lamb John MacMurray.  Even widening the net to all of California south of San Francisco, there’s only two more: a $50 contribution from Garden Grove and a $25 contribution from Glendale.  All of California only adds one more $250 contribution from El Cerrito (north of Berkeley) from the CEO of Fly by Night Karma Repair.  Yes, he’s reporting $250 from the CEO of something called “Fly by Night Karma Repair.”

His contributions are from so far out of the district that he even got $500 from a foreign country.  Weirdly, that’s the same amount he paid to the fundraising consultant living in his house.

Diamond opposes Proposition 35, which according to its official summary on the ballot, “Increases prison sentences and fines for human trafficking convictions. Requires convicted human traffickers to register as sex offenders. Requires registered sex offenders to disclose Internet activities and identities.”

Of course, I should note that it could be that the donors didn’t know what office Diamond was running for.  I’m not sure he does either.  Check out his web site’s “About Why I’m Running” page at http://www.gregdiamond2012.com/aboutwhyirun, where Diamond says, “I decided to run for Congress because, among the people in the Occupy movement here, I’m among those who could most easily be considered a credible potential candidate.”  There is so much silliness in that one sentence.

I wonder how Ed Royce and Jay Chen feel about Diamond’s Congressional campaign.

Posted in 29th Senate District | Tagged: , , , , | 4 Comments »

CD-39: Royce, Chen, and Chen SuperPAC Spend $2.7 Million or How My Father Received Over 41 Feet of Mail

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 2, 2012

Jay Chen & Ed Royce

Democrat Jay Chen is challenging Republican Representative Ed Royce

151,311 voters live in the City of Anaheim: 10,196 voters live in Ed Royce’s 39th Congressional District, 27,431 live in John Campbell’s 45th Congressional District, and 113,684 live in Loretta Sanchez’s 46th Congressional District.  You’ve seen Emami’s endless mail count on the Anaheim City Council race, but he has the good fortune to be one of the 27,431 Anaheim voters in CD-45.  This is a tale of the mailboxes for the 10,196 Anaheim voters in CD-39.

(For those of you wondering, Gail Eastman lives in Sanchez’s CD-46, Harry Sidhu lives in Royce’s CD-39, and Lorri Galloway, Kris Murray, and Tom Tait live in Campbell’s CD-45.  For those of you wondering for even more info, Steve Chavez Lodge lives in Campbell’s CD-45 while Lucille Kring, John Leos, and Jordan Brandman all live in Sanchez’s CD-46.)

Before I get into the mail, I should note there are precinct walkers and phone bankers from both camps scurrying and calling across CD-39.

An OC Political friend passed on a transcript he made of a phone call he received from the Jay Chen campaign in October.  The content of this script is clearly geared toward Republicans, and the OC Political friend who transcribed this call is a high-propensity Republican in a pure Republican household.

Here’s the transcript…

Hi.  Good afternoon.  My name is Andrew and I am a volunteer with the Jay Chen for Congress Campaign.

I’m calling you today to tell you a little bit about Jay and about his campaign for congress in your district.

Jay is a small businessman, a school board member and US Naval Reserves intelligence officer who is running to represent you in Congress.

Unlike his opponent, Ed Royce, Jay volunteered to serve our country and he will protect our veterans when they come home.

Jay was recruited right out of Harvard University to work for Bain and Company, a section of the successful Bain Capital, and he has valuable experience balancing the books and improving results without raising taxes.

Jay is clearly the right person to serve this district in Washington.  For more information about Jay or our campaign, please visit our website at chenforcongress.com.  And since you are registered to vote by mail your ballots will be arriving around October 8th.  Please remember to vote and sent them back in.

Thank you for very much your time and I hope you vote for Jay in the upcoming November election.

Here’s an excerpt from Chen’s 2011 school board re-election campaign biography:

In 2002 Jay joined Bain & Company, a global business consulting firm. While at Bain he worked closely with top executives of Fortune 500 companies to develop and implement crucial business strategies. He managed the roll-out and evaluation of new products for a global logistics company and analyzed the cost-savings for a mergers and acquisition in the technology space with a combined value of over $1 billion. Jay believes his financial and business experience will be of great value to the school board, which manages an operating budget of over $360 million dollars and nearly 3000 employees.

Anyone else find it fun that Democrat Jay Chen is touting his Bain experience while Republican Mitt Romney is getting trashed for his Bain experienced by national Democrats?

Now, on to the money: From July 1 to October 17, Royce spent $1,232,479 while Chen spent $406,351.  However, Super PAC America Shining (run by Chen’s brother) has spent $762,316, with $65,894 supporting Chen and $696,162 against Royce.

In other words, between America Shining and Jay Chen, the pro-Chen/anti-Royce spending since July 1 has reached $1,458,478 while Ed Royce has spent $1,232,479.

For both candidates, over 60% of their direct contributions came from individual citizens.  However, if you account for America Shining, the pro-Chen/anti-Royce money received has been 52% from PACs, and 33% from individual citizens, while pro-Royce/anti-Chen money that’s been received is 62% from individual citizens and 36% from PACs.

While Emami religiously scans each piece of mail that falls into his hand, I’m just going to take a picture of all the mail.  For my father, who is likely in the most coveted demographic group in all of CD-39 (high-propensity Asian independent), this is what $2.7 million of campaign spending looks like:

35 Pieces of CD-39 Mail

My poor father was inundated with CD-39 mail

He’s received 36 mailers, and there’s still three more mailing days before Election Day (today, tomorrow, and Monday).  I “only” received 15 mailers, and my Republican mother “only” received 8 mailers.  Inexplicably, my independent sister only got 1 mailer (it was pro-Royce).

I should note my 52-year-old father was not pleased to receive the America Shining piece entitled, “Senior News.”

Here are other ways to look at the 36 mailers sent to Dad:

  • Stacked on top of each other, they are 1/2 inch thick.
  • They weigh a combined 1 lb. 7 oz.
  • Laid end to end, they are 41 feet, 3 inches long.

They have achieved near-perfect parity in Dad’s collection:

  • 18 from Royce’s side, 18 from Chen’s side
  • 6 pro-Royce, 4 pro-Chen
  • 12 anti-Chen, 14 anti-Royce

From my father’s mail: For every pro-Royce, there were exactly two anti-Chen pieces.  For every pro-Chen piece, there were more than three anti-Royce pieces.  While both sides have sent virtually the same amount of mail and both have been pretty negative, Chen’s side has sent out more negative mail and less positive mail than Royce’s side.

Apparently, as registered Republicans, my mother and I were each ignored by Chen.  All 15 of my mailers and all 8 of hers were from Royce.  I received 6 pro-Royce and 9 anti-Chen.  Mom received 2 pro-Royce and 6 anti-Chen.

The anti-Chen pieces are making an impact on regular voters: one of my mother’s co-workers dislikes Chen because he seems so creepy because he’s always behind sunglasses in his pictures.  None of Chen’s photos have him behind sunglasses, except the one being used on Royce’s anti-Chen pieces.

In CD-39, postal workers and mailhouses are getting together to throw a big party about the post offices saved from closure and the mailhouses’ unexpected 2012 profits, but somewhere, there’s an environmentalist crying about the forests that Chen and Royce destroyed.

On a final note, my father’s siding with the family Republicans: Dad’s voting for Royce.

Posted in 39th Congressional District, Fundraising, Mail | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Royce Mailer Hits Chen on $716 Billion cuts from Medicare

Posted by Allen Wilson on September 22, 2012

Today, the Royce for Congress campaign has hit the mailboxes throughout the 39th CD (Diamond Bar, Fullerton) on a devastating glossy black and white four piece attack towards Democratic candidate for Congress Jay Chen.

It opens up with these words:

“Jay Chen supports CUTTING $716 Billion from Medicare — to pay for the Federal Health Care Take Over”

The insert goes on to say:

“Jay Chen’s plan for Health Care?  Rob $716 Billion from Medicare, Tax Wheelchairs and Medical Devices, Bloat the federal bureaucracy with 159 new boards, agencies and programs to regulate doctors and patients”

“If you are like most Americans, you pay for Medicare with every paycheck you receive.  It’s an investment you made – and deserve to collect”

It appears the continuing campaign theme of “Medicare” by Congressional Republicans campaign to retain control of the House by hitting the Democrats hard on the issue of $716 Billion cuts from Medicare to pay for the “Affordability Care Act” a.k.a. “Obamacare”.

My colleague, Chris Emami, penned his article dated September 10, 2012 entitled “2012 General Election Predictions: 39th Congressional District” predicting that Rep. Ed Royce will win the seat for the Republicans.

Though, Rep. Ed Royce is taking no chances and with $2 Million plus in his campaign war chest could help deliver the GOTV efforts not just for himself, but for other Republicans in the area like Senator Bob Huff (R-Diamond Bar) and Assemblymembers Curt Hagman (R-Chino Hills) and Chris Norby (R-Fullerton).

The mailer is effective and by all accounts the campaign charge of accusing the Democrats of cutting $716 Billion from Medicare must by an indicator that is working, because key Congressional Democrats are increasingly writing off retaking control of the House in 2012.




Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , | 5 Comments »

2012 General Election Predictions: 39th Congressional District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on September 10, 2012

The 39th Congressional District is another one that is not going to be a very close race. The map on this one will show you a seat split between Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Bernardino County.  Here is the map:

Thank you to the good people at Meridian-Pacific for the use of the map.

The results from the primary are also a pretty one-sided victory as you can see from the results it was a big victory for Ed Royce:

United States Representative; District 39

  • Ed Royce, Republican ………. 62,874 votes 66.3%
  • Jay Chen, Democratic ………. 28,457 votes 30.0%
  • D’Marie Mulattieri ………. 3,561 votes 3.8%

Any time that you can achieve a 2/3 vote in a primary election (open primary) it is a virtual guarantee that you will win in November.

Republican registration is just 41% with the Democrats not that far behind at 32.7%. However the 22.3% of DTS voters are leaning pretty far to the right. This is why Royce ran over 20 points higher than Republican registration. Jay Chen  was a huge disappointment finishing 2% below Democratic registration.

Royce also has the advantage of having a $2,000,000 campaign account to help him if he feels that he needs it. I would be shocked if he dips into this to a great extent. Jay Chen is not doing poorly for a candidate in this race with a $350,000 cash on hand total after June 30th, but it will take a lot more than that to defeat Royce.

Another factor is the map of the district geographically where Royce has extremely high name ID in Orange County which makes up the majority of the district. In fact Fullerton which is the home town of Royce is the largest city in the 39th Congressional District.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the winner will be:

Ed Royce

Posted in 39th Congressional District | Tagged: , | 2 Comments »

2012 Primary Election Predictions: 39th Congressional District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on April 10, 2012

UPDATED 2:45 PM With Explanation.

Many may be asking the question as to why we are handicapping this race along with CD 38, since they are not considered to be in play. I simply retort that we will cover every race no matter how one-sided over the next few weeks.

Once again thank you to Meridian Pacific for posting these maps on their website as they are extremely informative in showing exactly what each district covers.

Republicans have 10 point advantage in this seat although DTS voters are likely to lean a bit more conservative in this district.  Republican won every major race in this seat back in both 2010 and 2008.

With the addition of a large chunk of Los Angeles County and all of Chino Hills I expect to see some pretty heavy campaigning from the Ed Royce who does not have the high level of name ID in these portions of his new district.

As stated before, the Incumbent is Congressman Ed Royce a solid Republican who has been a consistently good vote during his tenure. I pick on him a bit because I believe he now owns Red County, but he is actually a really nice person if you ever interact with him in public.

His challengers include D’ Marie Mulattieri a Community Volunteer from Orange. She is listed as running with No Party Preference on the ballot.

The other challenger is Jay Chen a Businessmann/School Boardmember who is not in the Orange County portion of the district. He is listed as a Democrat on the ballot.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the 2 candidates advancing to November will be:

Ed Royce & Jay Chen

The factors at play- As noted in the first post I have gotten a couple of e-mails asking me to further explain what factors are at play that made me arrive at my prediction.

Ed Royce is the only Republican on the ballot in what is a conservative seat. He has incumbency, a huge war chest, and a solid campaign team behind him. Knowing Royce he will campaign very hard in the primary as he always does a really good job of working the district.

D’ Marie Mulattieri will get her fair share of votes based on being the no party preference candidate, which makes her effectively the only non-politico in the race. Without a huge financial backing though to get her message out, I just don;t think that she will be able to advance to the top two.

Jay Chen is an elected official who has been on the ballot before thus giving him some name ID and an idea of how to run a campaign. Being the only Democrat is what puts him over the top though, since Democrats have a 10 point advantage over DTS voters in this district.

Posted in 39th Congressional District | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

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