OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Archive for the ‘Independent Expenditures’ Category

OC’s Top 10 Races to Watch

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2018

Here are OC’s top 10 races to watch tonight when the polls close at 8:00 PM, and the Registrar of Voters begins reporting results at 8:05 PM, 9:30 PM, and then every half-hour after that until 1:00 AM.

The Big Three: Congress

  1. 39th Congressional District
    This could well be the most chaotic seat in the country.  There are 17 candidates running, and only two can advance to November to succeed retiring Congressman Ed Royce (R-Fullerton).  A whopping $14 million has been spent in this primary, as this is one of the most competitive seats in the country, but it is entirely possible that two Republicans could make the top two, thereby turning a highly competitive seat into a guaranteed Republican win in November.  Democrats have spent millions trying to make sure one of their self-funding first-time candidates makes the top two while Republicans have spent millions trying to make sure two of their elected officials take both of the top two slots.  The front-runners (in alphabetical order) are lottery-winning philanthropist Gil Cisneros (D-Yorba Linda), former State Senate Republican Leader Bob Huff (R-Diamond Bar), former State Assemblywoman Young Kim (R-Fullerton), Orange County Supervisor Shawn Nelson (R-Fullerton), and businessman Andy Thorburn (R-Villa Park).

    Of the $14 million spent in this seat, the candidates’ campaigns spent over $10.6 million while there has been nearly $3.4 million in Independent Expenditure (IE) spending from PACs and other outside groups. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) alone spent nearly $2.1 million, with more than $829,000 against Huff, nearly $679,000 against Nelson, and over $560,000 supporting Cisneros.

  2. 49th Congressional District
    The 49th District was the closest Congressional race in the country in 2016, when Congressman Darrell Issa (R-Vista) won re-election over Retired Colonel Doug Applegate (D-Oceanside) by 0.5%.  A staggering $15.5 million has been spent in this seat.  While it is possible for two Republicans to make the top two, it is more likely that this one will be a traditional Republican vs. Democrat race in November.  As in the 39th, Democrats have spent millions trying to make sure one of their self-funding never-before-elected candidates makes the top two while Republicans have spent millions trying to make sure two of their elected officials take both of the top two slots.  The front-runners (in alphabetical order) are 2016 Candidate Doug Applegate (D-Oceanside), Assemblyman Rocky Chavez (R-Oceanside), Board of Equalization Member Diane Harkey (R-Dana Point), Qualcomm Heiress Sara Jacobs (D-Encinitas), Real Estate Investor Paul Kerr (D-Rancho Santa Fe), and Attorney Mike Levin (D-San Juan Capistrano).

    Of the $15.5 million spent in this seat, the candidates’ campaigns spent nearly $9.6 million while there has been over $5.9 million in IE spending from PACs and other outside groups.  Women Vote! has spent nearly $2.3 million alone to support Jacobs.  The DCCC spent nearly $1.7 million against Chavez.

  3. 48th Congressional District
    The 48th Congressional District race was upended when former Assembly Republican Leader and OC GOP Chairman Scott Baugh (R-Huntington Beach) jumped in the race against Congressman Dana Rohrabacher (R-Huntington Beach).  A relative piker compared to the 39th and 49th, “only” $9.6 million has been spent in this seat.  While it is possible for two Republicans to make the top two, it is more likely that this one will be a traditional Republican vs. Democrat race in November.  As in the 39th and 49th, Democrats have spent millions trying to make sure one of their self-funding first-time candidates makes the top two while Republicans have spent millions trying to make sure two of their elected officials take both of the top two slots.  Rohrabacher (R-Huntington Beach) is widely expected to win the plurality of the vote.  The three candidates vying for the second slot (in alphabetical order) are Baugh (R-Huntington Beach), Scientist Hans Hans Keirstead (D-Laguna Beach), and Businessman Harley Rouda (D-Laguna Beach).

    Of the $9.6 million spent in this seat, the candidates’ campaigns spent nearly $5.3 million while there has been nearly $4.3 million in IE spending from PACs and other outside groups.  The DCCC alone spent over $1.8 million, with nearly $1.7 million against Baugh and $137,000 to promote Republican Businessman John Gabbard (R) in an attempt to siphon votes from Baugh.  Gabbard has condemned the DCCC’s spending.

Would-Normally-Be-The Big Three if Congress Hadn’t Descended Into Chaos

  1. 29th Senate District Recall
    Will Josh Newman (D-Fullerton) survive the recall?  What would ordinarily be one of the biggest races in the state has seen both pro-recall and anti-recall forces battling just to get voter attention, as the millions spent in SD-29 have been swamped by the mega-spending 39th Congressional District, with more than 2/3 of all SD-29 voters residing in CD-39.
  2. 72nd Assembly District
    As the sole Democrat in the race FreeConferenceCall.com President Josh Lowenthal (D-Huntington Beach) is expected to win the plurality in his race against 4 Republicans to replace Assemblyman Travis Allen (R-Huntington Beach) who is leaving this seat to run for Governor.  The two leading Republicans are Councilman Tyler Diep (R-Westminster) and former OC GOP Executive Director/current Pepsico Government Affairs Director Greg Haskin (R-Fountain Valley).  Diep and Haskin spent over $650,000 combined, a healthy sum for an Assembly race.  Unfortunately for them, they were swamped by the mega-spending 48th Congressional District, with more than 62% of all AD-72 voters residing in CD-48.
  3. 4th Supervisorial District
    In the race to succeed termed out Supervisor Shawn Nelson, the candidates in this race got drowned out by the 39th Congressional District and the 29th Senate District Recall Election.  Retired Fire Captain Joe Kerr (D-Placentia) and Mayor Tim Shaw (R-La Habra) are the endorsed candidates of their respective political parties.  However, Mayor Doug Chaffee (D-Fullerton) and Councilwoman Lucille Kring (R-Anaheim) came roaring in after their parties endorsed with spending to match Kerr and Shaw and outsized name ID from years in elected office in the two largest cities in the district.  Unfortunately for them all, they were swamped by both the mega-spending 39th Congressional District and the high-spending 29th Senate District recall, with nearly 62% of all BOS-4 voters residing in CD-39 and almost 85% of BOS-4 voters residing in SD-29.

The Rest of the Top 10

  1. 32nd Senate District
    This is the race that OC forgot, as only Buena Park lies in the LA County-based 32nd Senate District.  This is the seat vacated by Senator Tony Mendoza (D-Artesia) who resigned in the wake of a sexual harassment scandal.  Mendoza filed to run for his old seat in hopes voters will send him back to the Senate.  The anti-Mendoza vote among just Democrats is split between two Mayors, two City Councilmembers, a Community College Board Member, and a former Assemblyman.  There are exactly two Republicans running.  This chaos could well send Mendoza back into the top two – and possibly against a Republican.  It is unclear what would happen if the top two were Mendoza and a Republican in this strongly Democratic district.  Also, voters have to cast two votes for this seat: one for the special primary election today for the six months remaining on Mendoza’s term when he resigned and one for the regular primary election today for the four years of the 2018-2022 term on the seat.
  2. District Attorney
    When a County Supervisor with high Countywide name ID and a campaign warchest far exceeding $1 million decides to challenge the sitting District Attorney’s re-election bid, how could this not be a major race? Virtually everyone expects this to go to a run-off, including the candidates themselves judging by their campaign spending.   While Supervisor Todd Spitzer (R-Orange) spend several hundred thousand dollars on mail and slates, he appears to be holding $900,000 back for a run-off.  District Attorney Tony Rackauckas (R-San Clemente) seemed to have only bought slates and digital advertising for the primary.
  3. Sheriff
    Undersheriff Don Barnes (R-Lake Forest) is the front-runner to succeed Sheriff Sandra Hutchens.  The question is whether Retired Sergeant/Mayor Dave Harrington (R-Aliso Viejo) and Detective/Senior Investigator Duke Nguyen (D-Tustin) can pull enough of the vote to prevent Barnes from getting to 50%.  Harrington has relied heavily on slates while Nguyen has done direct mail to Democrats.
  4. County Board of Education, Trustee Area 5
    For eight straight elections, the incumbent was elected time and time again, even defeating future Assemblymen Chuck DeVore (R-Irvine) and Don Wagner (R-Irvine) for this seat.  Yet, now for the second election in a row, the voters will be electing a new trustee. In 2014, Linda Lindholm (R-Laguna Niguel) knocked off 32-year Incumbent Liz Parker (R-Costa Mesa), who was running for a ninth term.  Parker had been elected to the County Board of Education the same month she graduated from UCLA at the age of 22.  After a single 4-year term, Lindholm chose not to run for re-election.  Chapman University Dean Lisa Sparks (R-Newport Beach) is the front-runner to succeed Lindholm.

Snoozer in June, Battle in November

  • 45th Congressional District
    Congresswoman Mimi Walters (R-Irvine) is the sole Republican in the race.  The question is which Democrat will face off against Walters?  This is the safest of the four OC Congressional seats held by a Republican.
  • 34th Senate District
    Former Assemblyman Tom Umberg (D-Villa Park) is almost certainly the Democrats’ standard-bearer against Senator Janet Nguyen (R-Garden Grove).  Nguyen beat Umberg 11 years ago in the race for County Supervisor when front-running Umberg fell to third behind two candidates named Nguyen.  As a non-incumbent, Nguyen handily won the Senate seat in 2014 against former Assemblyman Jose Solorio (D-Santa Ana), who was a stronger candidate than Umberg.
  • 65th Assembly District
    Assemblywoman Sharon Quirk-Silva (D-Fullerton) and former County Board of Education Trustee Alexandria Coronado (R-Cypress) are the only candidates on the ballot in June, so they will both advance to November due to the Top Two rule for Legislative and Congressional races.

Near-Snoozers

  • 55th Assembly District
    This one should be a snoozer, but it gets awkward if a second Republican gets into the top two with Assemblyman Phillip Chen (R-Diamond Bar) since there’s two Democrats running who could split the vote, allowing a Republican to slip into second behind Chen.
  • 74th Assembly District
    This one should be a snoozer, but it gets awkward if “Republican” Katherine Daigle (R-Irvine) gets into the top two with Assemblyman Matthew Harper (R-Huntington Beach) since there’s three Democrats running who could split the vote.
  • Assessor
    With two opponents, there’s a tiny chance Assessor Claude Parrish (R-Tustin) could be forced into a run-off, but it is more likely he breaks 60%.
  • County Board of Education, Trustee Area 2
    While there has been immense spending by charter schools for Mari Barke (R-Los Alamitos), there has also been immense spending by unions for David Boyd (D-Costa Mesa).  However, while this spending is immense in a school board race, it’s not much compared to the spending in a Congressional race or an Assembly race.  Most of this trustee area was drowned out by the 48th Congressional District and the 72nd Assembly District.  Additionally, there’s a third candidate, Matt Nguyen (D-Westminster), who will split the anti-incumbent vote, but unlike most other seats on the June ballot, there’s no run-off for County Board of Education.

Total Snoozer That Could Have Been Interesting

  • 73rd Assembly District
    For some reason, Mayor Ed Sachs (R-Mission Viejo) raised and spent literally nothing in his bid to unseat Assemblyman Bill Brough (R-Dana Point).  Sachs’s campaign finance reports show he didn’t raise or spend a single dollar after paying to get on the ballot.  Had Sachs actually spent money, the 73rd could have been interesting.

Total Snoozers

  • Judge Ted Howard, Supervisor Michelle Steel (R-Sunset Beach), Auditor-Controller Eric Woolery (R-Orange), and Clerk-Recorder Hugh Nguyen (R-Santa Ana) will cruise to victory in June, probably each with more than 70% of the vote. 38th District Congresswoman Linda Sanchez (D-Lakewood), 46th District Congressman Lou Correa (D-Santa Ana), 47th District Congressman Alan Lowenthal (D-Long Beach), 36th District Senator Patricia Bates (R-Laguna Niguel), and 68th District Assemblyman Steven Choi (R-Irvine) will cruise to victory in November; they can’t end their elections in June due to the Top Two rule for Legislative and Congressional races.

Virtually Unopposed

  • 69th District Assemblyman Tom Daly (D-Anaheim) has one opponent: Libertarian write-in candidate Autumn Browne (L-Santa Ana).  She will come in second and appear on the ballot in November.

Unopposed

  • Superintendent Al Mijares (R-Tustin), Supervisor Lisa Bartlett (R-Dana Point), and Treasurer Shari Freidenrich (R-Huntington Beach) are literally unopposed.  As long as at least one person in all of Orange County (or the 5th Supervisorial District) remembers to vote for each of them, they’ll all be re-elected.

(In the interest of full disclosure, Choi and Woolery are clients of Western American, the firm that owns this blog.  For his City Council campaign, Sachs retained Custom Campaigns, the defunct firm that previously owned this blog, as did Lindholm for her County Board of Education race.  The writer of this article is Spitzer’s alternate on the Republican Central Committee and is the Legislative Manager in Woolery’s office.  Finally, the writer of this article is [as far as he knows] not related to Janet Nguyen, Matt Nguyen, or Hugh Nguyen.  Nguyen is the most common Vietnamese last name, held by 36% of Vietnamese people.)

Posted in 29th Senate District, 2nd Supervisorial District, 32nd Senate District, 34th Senate District, 36th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 4th Supervisorial District, 55th Assembly District, 5th Supervisorial District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, Independent Expenditures, Orange County Assessor, Orange County Auditor-Controller, Orange County Board of Education, Orange County Clerk-Recorder, Orange County District Attorney's Office, Orange County Sheriff, Orange County Treasurer-Tax Collector | Leave a Comment »

Why Republicans have the advantage this fall

Posted by Thomas Gordon on September 2, 2014

The scales tip toward Republicans: Welcome to the campaign. Post-Labor Day, the table is set for what is on pace to be the most expensive midterm in history. It could lead to a Republican majority in both the House and Senate for the last two years of President Barack Obama’s time in office. So why do Republicans have the advantage starting out? First, with primary season all but wrapped up — Delaware, Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Rhode Island hold the last primaries next Tuesday — Republicans have done all they can structurally to prevent problematic candidates from emerging, unlike in years past. But most importantly, it’s where these races are taking place — largely in conservative-leaning states. In fact, of the 12 states with competitive Senate races that are likely to decide the outcome of control of the Senate, Republican Mitt Romney won nine of them in the 2012 presidential election by an average of 16 points. And that’s in a year when Republicans lost the Electoral College by 126 votes. (Republicans need to net six states seats to wrest control.) What’s more, if you add in the three states won by President Obama, Republicans still have an 11-point advantage. Democrats are defending more states — 10 of the 12 are seats held by Democrats. And the two Democratic targets are in states Romney won by an average of 15 points. Plus, the demographics of who shows up in midterm elections favor Republicans. The electorate in midterms is generally whiter, older, more likely to be married and have better paying jobs.

The above was copied in its entirety from the PBS website and can be read HERE

Posted in Independent Expenditures, National | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Michelle Steel Receives First IE – AOCDS Delivers, While Mansoor Appeals to Facebook Friends

Posted by Marion Morrison on May 22, 2014

The first IE for the 2nd Supervisorial District has hit mailboxes today.  The Association of Orange County Deputy Sheriffs has come out in support of Michelle Steel with this positive piece.

Steel IE 2 of 2 Steel IE 1 of 2

Meanwhile, Allan Mansoor appeals to friends on Facebook to let people know what has transpired:

Public Employee Unions Rally for Michelle Steel

Friends,

Over the weekend, I received notice that the Association of Orange County Deputy Sheriffs union will be sending out its first mailer on behalf of Michelle Steel sometime in the next 24 hours. The union endorsement, shown below, is the most important part.

Given Michelle’s history, it’s not surprising. I’ve known it was only a matter of time before public employee unions started lining up to support her.

In 2006, public employee unions spent hundreds of thousands of dollars opposing my reelection to City Council. That same year, Michelle received multiple $1000+ union contributions to her campaign for BOE. (see attached photo below)

Given that independent expenditures rarely seem “independent” this probably isn’t a surprise for Steel either. Perhaps it’s why she refused to rule out immediate raises for county employees to offset increased employee pension contributions.

Have trouble believing that Michelle Steel, self-proclaimed “taxpayer advocate”, would undermine pension reform? Her comments starting at the 12:30 mark of the Feet to the Fire Forum speak for themselves.

What do union endorsements like this mean? It means that a candidate can be trusted by union bosses to help increase their power. It doesn’t mean that rank and file membership support the candidate.

I continue to have strong support from my former colleagues – rank and file Deputy Sheriffs – who know that pension reform is the only way to save our pensions. Everyone who has worked in law enforcement and is expecting a pension – myself included – depends on sustainable pensions. A bankrupt pension system might leave us with nothing.

This isn’t the only time union leaders have been out of touch with the membership. In 2006, when convicted-Sheriff Mike Carona was running for reelection, I joined many of my fellow Deputies in standing up against Mike Carona and supported Lt. Bill Hunt.

We knew then that Mike Carona was corrupt and that it was only a matter of time before he went to prison. But then we watched with disappointment as our “leadership” fell over themselves to undermine Lt. Hunt’s campaign and continue supporting Carona until the bitter end.

Not much has changed since the days of Carona. Union bosses still prefer candidates who will engage in backroom dealmaking and are more interested in holding office than serving the community.

My desire to make Orange County a better place to live is shared by rank and file members, many of whom have my sign in their yards. It’s the union bosses and other special interests that oppose me because I will always stand up for what is right, regardless of the political consequences.

We’re in the final stretch of the campaign, and I need your help. With your help, we can keep the public employee union bosses from buying a seat on the Orange County Board of Supervisors.

Please contribute here and together we can help keep this seat for the residents of Orange County’s 2nd District.

Thank you for your continued friendship and support.

Allan

http://www.facebook.com/allanmansoor/posts/10201131476609410

Posted in 2nd Supervisorial District, Independent Expenditures, Mail | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

Humongous Grid of Endorsements: State Assembly, City Council, School Board, Special Districts, and Ballot Measures

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 4, 2012

You may have seen my prior post entitled, “Republican? Democrat? Independent?  The Partisan Affiliations of Everyone Running for Everything in Orange County.” In an effort to bring more information to voters, here is my humongous grid of endorsements, showing endorsements from the Democratic Party of Orange County, the Democratic Foundation of Orange County, the Orange County Register, the Republican Party of Orange County, the California Republican Assembly, the Lincoln Club of Orange County, Atlas PAC, and Family Action PAC.

Regrettably, I’ve been unable to find a comprehensive, countywide listing of chamber and union endorsements.

Also, some of these organizations endorsed in uncontested races.  I excluded those from the grid.

State Assembly

DPOC DFOC OC Register OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
65th District Sharon Quirk-Silva Sharon Quirk-Silva Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby Chris Norby
72nd District Travis Allen Troy Edgar Travis Allen Troy Edgar

City Council

DPOC DFOC OC Register OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
Aliso
Viejo
Ross Chun Greg Ficke
Bill Phillips
Don Garcia
Greg Ficke
Mike Munzing
Mike Munzing Mike Munzing
Anaheim Jordan Brandman Jordan Brandman John Leos
Lucille Kring
Brian Chuchua
Lucille Kring
Brian Chuchua
Lucille Kring
Lucille Kring Brian Chuchua
Lucille Kring
Brea Marty Simonoff
Steven Vargas
Steven Vargas
Buena
Park
Art Brown Fred Smith Baron Night Baron Night Baron Night
Costa
Mesa
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Colin McCarthy
Steve Mensinger
Gary Monahan
Cypress Rob Johnson Rob Johnson
Bijan Mohseni
Rob Johnson
Bijan Mohseni
Dana
Point
Carlos N. Olvera
Ed Stevenson
Carlos N. Olvera Carlos N. Olvera
Ed Stevenson
Carlos N. Olvera
Fountain
Valley
Steve A. Nagel Steve A. Nagel Steve A. Nagel Cheryl Brothers
Patrick Tucker
Fullerton Jan Flory
Kitty Jaramillo
Jan Flory
Kitty Jaramillo
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Jennifer Fitzgerald
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Barry Levinson
Bruce Whitaker
Travis Kiger
Jennifer Fitzgerald
Bruce Whitaker
Barry Levinson
Jennifer Fitzgerald
Garden
Grove
Kris Beard Kris Beard Steve Jones Mayor:
Myke Cossota
Council:
Steve Jones
Zack Barrett
Huntington
Beach
Jill Hardy Jill Hardy
Alexander Polsky
Barbara Delgleize
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Barbara Delgleize
Devin Dwyer
Erik Peterson
Dave Sullivan
Irvine Mayor:
Larry Agran
Council:
Beth Krom
Mayor:
Larry Agran
Council:
Beth Krom
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
Council:
Lynn Schott
Christina L. Shea
Mayor:
Steven S. Choi
La Palma Steven Shanahan Peter Kim
Robert Carruth
Sylvia Smith
Peter Kim Christine Barnes
Laguna
Beach
Verna Rollinger Steve Dicterow Steve Dicterow
Laguna
Hills
Andrew Blount
Raghu P. Mathur
Bill Hunt
Raghu P. Mathur
Andrew Blount
Dore Gilbert
Andrew Blount
Bill Hunt
Laguna
Niguel
Cynthia Conners Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Brad Barber
Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Jerry Slusiewicz
Laura A. Davies
Jerry McCloskey
Lake
Forest
Jim Gardner
Dwight Robinson
Adam Nick
Dwight Robinson
Dwight Robinson Dwight Robinson Dwight Robinson Dwight Robinson
Los
Alamitos
Richard Murphy Richard Murphy Dean Grose Dean Grose
Ken Stephens
Dean Grose
Mission
Viejo
Frank Ury
Wendy Bucknum
Ed Sachs
Cathy Schlict
Frank Ury Ed Sachs
Cathy Schlict
Cathy Schlict
Orange Larry Labrado
Robert Douglas
Mayor:
Tita Smith
Council:
Larry Labrado
Robert Douglas
Mayor:
Tita Smith
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Richard Callahan
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Mark A. Murphy
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Mike Alvarez
Ray Grangoff
Mark A. Murphy
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Mayor:
Jon Dumitru
Council:
Ray Grangoff
Placentia Scott Nelson
Connie Underhill
Jeremy Yamaguchi
Council:
Scott Nelson
Treasurer:
Greg Sowards
Rancho
Santa
Margarita
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Short Term:
Brad McGirr
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Short Term:
Brad McGirr
Full Term:
Tony Beall
Carol Gamble
Short Term:
Brad McGirr
Tony Beall Tony Beall
San
Clemente
Mike Mortenson
Jim Dahl
Mike Mortenson Mike Mortenson Mike Mortenson
Jim Dahl
San Juan
Capistrano
Roy Byrnes
Kim McCarthy
Santa Ana Mayor:
David Benavides
Ward 1:
Vincent Sarmiento
Ward 3:
Eric Alderete
Ward 5:
Roman Reyna
Mayor:
Miguel Pulido
Ward 1:
Vincent Sarmiento
Ward 3:
Eric Alderete
Ward 5:
Roman Reyna
Ward 3:
Charles Hart
Mayor:
George M. Collins
Ward 3:
Charles Hart
Brett Franklin
Ward 5:
Karina Onofre
Ward 3: Charles Hart Ward 3: Charles Hart Ward 5: Karina Onofre
Stanton Carol Warren Carol Warren
Al Ethans
Al Ethans Al Ethans
Tustin Tracy Worley Hagen
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
John Nielsen
Chuck Puckett
Allan Bernstein
Westminster Mayor:
Penny Loomer
Council:
Sergio Contreras
Mayor:
Penny Loomer
Council:
Sergio Contreras
Diana Carey
Mayor:
Ha Mach
Council:
Helena Rutkowski
Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi
Mayor:
Tri Ta
Council:
Tyler Diep
Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi
Yorba
Linda
Nancy Rikel
Mark Schwing
Gene Hernandez
Nancy Rikel
Mark Schwing
Gene Hernandez
Craig Young

School Districts
Note: The Orange County Register did not endorse in any school board races.

DPOC DFOC OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
Rancho Santiago
Community College
District, Area 3
Nelida Yanez Nelida Yanez
Rancho Santiago
Community College
District, Area 5
Mark McLoughlin Mark McLoughlin
Claudia Alvarez
South Orange
County Community
College District,
Trustee Area 3
Jennifer Long
Anaheim City
School District
Al Jabbar Al Jabbar
John Santoianni John Santoianni
Anaheim Union
High School District
Annemarie Randle-Trejo Hoagy Holguin
Buena Park
School District
Barbara Michel
Capistrano Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 2
Jim Readon Jim Readon Jim Readon Jim Readon Jim Readon
Capistrano Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 3
Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang Steve R. Lang
Capistrano Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 5
Bill Perkins Bill Perkins Bill Perkins Bill Perkins
Cypress
School District
Brian Nakamura Alexandria Coronado Alexandria Coronado
Candice Kern
Fountain Valley
School District
Jeanne Galindo Jeanne Galindo
Jim Cunneen
Garden Grove
Unified School District
Bao Nguyen Bao Nguyen
George West
Huntington Beach
Union High
School District
John Briscoe Edward Pinchiff John Briscoe
Irvine Unified
School District
Paul Bokota Paul Bokota Michelle Ollada Alipio
Cyril Yu Cyril Yu
Los Alamitos
Unified School District
Karen Russell
Ocean View
School District
Debbie Cotton Debbie Cotton
Orange Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 3
Alexia L. Deligianni Alexia L. Deligianni
Orange Unified
School District,
Trustee Area 6
Mark Wayland
Santa Ana
Unified School District
Valerie Amezcua Valerie Amezcua Ceci Iglesias Ceci Iglesias Ceci Iglesias
Myriam Tinajero Myriam Tinajero
Tustin Unified
School District
Monique Ketteringham
Elias Teferi
Westminster
School District
Jamison Power Jamison Power
Jo-Ann Purcell Jo-Ann Purcell

Water and Other Special Districts
Note: The Orange County Register did not endorse in any special district races.

DPOC DFOC OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC Family Action PAC
East Orange County Water District Douglass S. Davert Douglass S. Davert
Bill Vanderwerff
Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 1 Eric Bever Eric Bever Eric Bever
Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 2 James R. Fisler James R. Fisler James R. Fisler
Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 3 Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka Ethan Temianka
Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 3 Larry R. Crandall
Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 7 Jeffery Thomas
Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 7 Susan Hinman
Orange County Water District, Division 2 Denis R. Bilodeau
Orange County Water District, Division 3 Roger C. Yoh
South Coast Water District Wayne Rayfield
Costa Mesa Sanitary District Don Harper Don Harper Don Harper Don Harper
Jeff R. Mathews Jeff R. Mathews Jeff R. Mathews Jeff R. Mathews
Midway City Sanitary District Joy L. Neugebauer
Rossmoor Community Services Jeffrey Rips

Ballot Measures

Note: Family Action PAC did not endorse any ballot measures.

DPOC DFOC OC Register OCGOP CRA Lincoln Club Atlas PAC
Proposition 30 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 31 No No Yes No Yes No
Proposition 32 No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 33 No Yes Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 34 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 35 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Proposition 36 Yes Yes No No No
Proposition 37 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 38 No No No No No No
Proposition 39 Yes No No No No No
Proposition 40 Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes
Measure M (Coast Community College District) No No
Measure N (Fountain Valley School District) No No No
Measure O (La Habra City School District) No No
Measure P (Ocean View School District) No No
Measure Q (Rancho Santiago Community College District) No No
Measure S (Tustin Unified School District) No No
Measure T (Brea) No
Measure U (Brea) No
Measure V (Costa Mesa) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Measure W (Fullerton) Yes Yes
Measure X (Fullerton) Yes
Measure Y (Garden Grove) No
Measure Z (Huntington Beach) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Measure AA (Huntington Beach) Yes Yes
Measure BB (Irvine) No
Measure CC (Laguna Beach) No
Measure DD (Los Alamitos) No No No
Measure EE (Newport Beach) No Yes
Measure FF (Orange) Yes Yes Yes Yes
Measure GG (Santa Ana) No
Measure HH (Tustin) Yes Yes

Posted in 65th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Anaheim City School District, Anaheim Union High School District, Brea, Buena Park, Buena Park School District, Capistrano Unified School District, Centralia School District, Costa Mesa, Costa Mesa Sanitary District, Cypress, Cypress School District, Dana Point, Democrat Central Committee, East Orange County Water District, Fountain Valley, Fountain Valley School District, Fullerton, Fullerton Joint Union High School District, Garden Grove, Garden Grove Unified School District, Huntington Beach, Huntington Beach City School District, Huntington Beach Union High School District, Independent Expenditures, Irvine, Irvine Unified School District, La Palma, Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Los Alamitos, Los Alamitos Unified School District, Mesa Consolidated Water District, Midway City Sanitary District, Mission Viejo, Moulton-Niguel Water District, Municipal Water District of Orange County, North Orange County Community College District, Ocean View School District, Orange, Orange County Water District, Orange Unified School District, Placentia, Rancho Santa Margarita, Rancho Santiago Community College District, Republican Central Committee, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District, Seal Beach, South Orange County Community College District, Stanton, Tustin, Westminster, Westminster School District, Yorba Linda | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Munger Drops Another $366,604 into Pro-Daigle PAC Bringing Total Contributions to $876,826

Posted by Chris Nguyen on May 18, 2012

Two days ago, I wrote about the $360,222 that Santa Clara County Republican Party Chairman Charles Munger, Jr. dumped into the Spirit of Democracy California, a committee that spent $217,583 on behalf of Newport Beach City Councilwoman Leslie Daigle and $83,171 on behalf of Assemblywoman Beth Gaines.  Daigle is challenging Assemblyman Allan Mansoor while Gaines is being challenged by attorney Andy Pugno.  (Daigle, Gaines, Mansoor, and Pugno are all registered Republicans.)

The California Dental Association had also dropped $150,000 into the committee.  The committee has now received $876,826 from Munger’s two contributions and the Dental Association’s single contribution.

The PAC has since spent $20,973 for a pro-Daigle mailer, on top of the $217,583 it previously spent for her, bringing its total pro-Daigle spending to $238,556.

The PAC has since spent $17,992 for a pro-Gaines mailer and $15,000 for pro-Gaines TV ads, on top of the $83,171 it previously spent for her, bringing its total pro-Gaines spending to $116,163.

The Spirit of Democracy California PAC still has more than half a million dollars cash on hand ($522,107, to be exact).  Munger has also demonstrated he can still dump in hundreds of thousands of dollars at a moment’s notice.

Posted in 74th Assembly District, Independent Expenditures | Tagged: , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

Dentists & Bay Area’s Munger Spend $218,000 in 4 Days to Support Leslie Daigle

Posted by Chris Nguyen on May 16, 2012

Leslie Daigle, Charles Munger, Beth Gaines

Newport Beach Councilwoman Leslie Daigle, Santa Clara County Republican Party Chairman Charles Munger, Jr., and Assemblywoman Beth Gaines

Santa Clara County Republican Party Chairman Charles Munger, Jr., who funded Proposition 11 of 2008 and Proposition 20 of 2010 (Prop 11 formed the redistricting commission while Prop 20 extended the commission’s jurisdiction to Congressional districts), and the California Dental Association together spent $218,000 between May 10-14 to support Republican Newport Beach Councilwoman Leslie Daigle in her bid to unseat incumbent Republican Assemblyman Allan Mansoor.

  • On April 13, Munger dropped $360,222 into the “Spirit of Democracy California” PAC.
  • On Thursday (May 10), the California Dental Association IE PAC dropped another $150,000 into the PAC.  That same day, the SDC spent $39,110 in for Daigle.
  • On Monday (May 14), SDC spent $83,171 to support Sacramento-area incumbent Republican Assemblywoman Beth Gaines in her bid to defend her seat against Republican Attorney Andy Pugno.  That same day, SDC also spent $178,473 to support Daigle.

That leaves $209,469 left in the SDC PAC.

For visual learners:

Munger
Contributions
Dental
Contributions
Pro-Gaines
Expenditures
Pro-Daigle
Expenditures
Cash on
Hand
Spirit of Democracy
California
 $360,222 $150,000 $83,171 $217,583 $209,469

Here’s a breakdown of the Spirit of Democracy California IEs for Daigle thus far: one $150,000 payment for TV ads, three mailer payments totaling $52,583, and two consultant payments, each $7,500.  For Gaines, there’s one $54,000 payment for radio ads, one $14,171 payment for a mailer, and two consultant payments each $7,500.

For visual learners:

TV Ads Radio Ads Mailers Consultants Total
Pro-Daigle IEs  $150,000 $0 $52,583 $15,000 $217,583
Pro-Gaines IEs  $0 $54,000 $14,171 $15,000 $83,171

For those of you reading carefully, you may have noticed the $150,000 figure for TV ads for Daigle is exactly the dollar amount that the California Dental Association dropped into the Spirit of Democracy California.

Munger’s spending a lot of money this month.  Just last week, he spent $750,000 to fund the California Reform Institute, run by Senator Sam Blakeslee.

With $209,469 left in the Spirit of Democracy California PAC (and Munger’s very deep pockets), this could be a long three weeks for Mansoor and Pugno.

Posted in 74th Assembly District, Independent Expenditures | Tagged: , , , , , , | 6 Comments »