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CRA Endorsements for the June 7 Primary Election

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 19, 2016

CRA_LogoI live-blogged the Orange County CRA Endorsing Convention in this prior post, but I’ve been asked to put a condensed list of the results of the Orange County CRA Endorsing Convention. So here they are:

  • U.S. Representative, 39th District: Ed Royce
  • U.S. Representative, 45th District: Greg Raths
  • U.S. Representative, 46th District: Bob Peterson
  • U.S. Representative, 47th District: Andy Whallon
  • U.S. Representative, 48th District: Dana Rohrabacher
  • U.S. Representative, 49th District: No Endorsement
  • State Senator, 29th District: No Endorsement
  • State Senator, 37th District: John M.W. Moorlach
  • Member of the State Assembly, 55th District: (Los Angeles County will host this endorsing convention)
  • Member of the State Assembly, 65th District: Young Kim
  • Member of the State Assembly, 68th District: Deborah Pauly
  • Member of the State Assembly, 69th District: Ofelia Velarde-Garcia
  • Member of the State Assembly, 72nd District: No Endorsement
  • Member of the State Assembly, 73rd District: William (Bill) Brough
  • Member of the State Assembly, 74th District: Matthew Harper
  • Orange County Supervisor, 1st District: No Endorsement
  • Orange County Supervisor, 3rd District: Todd Spitzer
  • Orange County Board of Education, Trustee Area 1: Robert M. Hammond
  • Orange County Board of Education, Trustee Area 3: Ken L. Williams, Jr.
  • Orange County Board of Education, Trustee Area 4: Zonya Marcenaro-Townsend
  • Judge of the Superior Court, Office No. 3: Megan L. Wagner
  • Judge of the Superior Court, Office No. 40: No Endorsement
  • Judge of the Superior Court, Office No. 48: Karen Lee Schatzle
  • Judge of the Superior Court, Office No. 49: No Endorsement
  • Central Committee, 65th District: Jerry Jackson, Baron Night, David John Shawver, Alexandria A. “Alex” Coronado, Sou Moua, and Zonya Marcenaro-Townsend
  • Central Committee, 73rd District: Mary Young, Jennifer Beall, Tony Beall, Ed Sachs, Laurie Davies, and Mike Munzing

The individual units in the 55th, 68th, 69th, 72nd, and 74th Districts have not yet decided if they will endorse for those Central Committee races.

Last month, the Statewide CRA endorsed Ted Cruz for President and Tom Del Beccaro for U.S. Senate.

Posted in 1st Supervisorial District, 29th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 39th Congressional District, 3rd Supervisorial District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, Orange County, Orange County Board of Education, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Live from CRA Endorsing Convention

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 19, 2016

We’re live from the CRA endorsing convention this morning where endorsements will be considered for Congress, State Senate, State Assembly, County Supervisor, County Board of Education, Superior Court Judge, AD-65 Central Committee, and AD-73 Central Committee.

To be endorsed, a candidate must get 2/3 of the vote.

CONSENT CALENDAR

The consent calendar consists of:

  • Congressman Ed Royce
  • Congressman Dana Rohrabacher
  • Congressman Darrell Issa (pulled)
  • Senator John Moorlach
  • Assemblywoman Young Kim
  • Assemblyman Travis Allen (pulled)
  • Assemblyman Bill Brough
  • Orange County Supervisor Todd Spitzer
  • Orange County Board of Education Trustee Robert Hammond
  • Orange County Board of Education Trustee Ken Williams

9:35 AM: The consent calendar was approved, except for Congressman Darrell Issa and Assemblyman Travis Allen, who were both pulled by individual delegates.  (Editor’s note: See 12:18 PM near the end of this post for the convention’s discussion of Issa and Allen)

45TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

9:39: The first race up is 45th Congressional District between Mimi Walters and Greg Raths.

Raths speaks first. He notes that he is a Mission Viejo City Councilman. He talks about being from a large Catholic family and followed his father into military service. He served in the Marine Corps for 30 years. He moved into the 45th Congressional District in 1978. He blasts Congresswoman Walters’s residency. He speaks of the Constitution. He speaks of the national debt exploding. He says he wants to be part of a coalition of patriots in Congress to fight the debt.

A delegate asks Raths about his plan to secure the border.

Raths says Walters has low scores from various conservative groups. He blasts her for voting for the omnibus appropriations bill and the TPA. He says he would shut down the border, build a wall, and deport illegal immigrants. He notes Republicans took control of the Congress, yet these bills still passed. He states he wants adoption clinics to replace abortion clinics. He says he is pro-life. He says he is a 100% conservative like Dave Brat (who defeated House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in a primary).

Walters is not present.

Balloting begins.

46TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

9:52: The 46th Congressional District begins.

Louie Contreras says he is an NRA member. He supports the 2nd Amendment. He says he is a Christian. He says he is pro-life. He opposes funding Planned Parenthood.

A delegate asks about physician assisted suicide.

Contreras says he opposes suicide in any form.

Bob Peterson states his family was homeless in 1982. They lived in a warehouse. He graduated from Loara High School. In 1987, he got a job washing jail clothes at the Sheriff’s Department. By 2009, he was Commander of that unit. He speaks about being a hardworking Christian who worked his way through the ranks in his career. He speaks about the challenges of law enforcement. He has been married 23 years. His son is in law school. His daughter is getting a master’s degree in Ireland.

A delegate asks if he is accepting union money.

Peterson states he has not done so but would consider accepting money from law enforcement union members to help get out his message. He speaks of Prop 47 and rising crime.

A delegate asks if he is a resident of the district and speaks Spanish.

He says he lives in Orange and speaks Spanish “mas o menos.”

A delegate asks about his #1 priority.

He says immigration is. He gives the example of locking the door at his home but allowing guests in.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 45TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

10:03: Ballots counted in CD-45: RATHS ENDORSED.

47TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

10:04: No candidate in the 47th Congressional District is present.

29TH SENATE DISTRICT

10:05: Ling-Ling Chang did not submit an application and is not present.

10:05: Intermission

10:07: Voting commences in the 29th Senate District.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 46TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

10:08: Ballots counted in the 46th Congressional District: PETERSON ENDORSED.

68TH ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

10:10: The big one begins: 68th Assembly District.

Deborah Pauly thanks the delegates for attending. She speaks of getting good candidates elected, passing good ballot measures, and fighting bad measures. She speaks of gratitude and thankfulness. She speaks of having many volunteers stepping forward and people encouraging her. She speaks of her love of the United States. She says it is important to her to be accessible to her constituents. She says most delegates have her personal cell phone number and personal email address. She says she wants to be a servant in Sacramento and not get pulled off the right path due to the trappings of office.

No delegates have questions for Pauly.

Steven Choi states he is the Mayor of Irvine, a former Councilman, and a former School Board Member. He notes that he defeated the liberal Larry Agran coalition. He speaks of his faith in Jesus Christ which led him to his career in public service. He states he is pro-life, anti-tax, and pro-limited government. He says he is a strong supporter of the 2nd Amendment. He says he will stand up to liberals and defend Judeo-Christian values. He states he started he is pro-business, starting the Business Advisory Council. He states he added In God We Trust to the City Council Chambers.

A delegate asks about what his Business Advisory Council has done.

He states it gathers opinions from business leaders, which led to the Tech Valley Initiative, which brought $636 million of business and jobs to Irvine.

A delegate asks about having a military cemetery at the Great Park.

He speaks of getting wasteful spending under Agran audited. He says the Council approved a cemetery 5-0.

Alexia Deligianni-Brydges speaks of volunteering for Republican causes. She points to her OCYR service, having been CRA State Vice President, and having started the Orange-Villa Park CRA unit. She speaks of her family fleeing from Communism, and citing that as a reason she opposes socialism and liberal ideas. She states she is a real estate businesswoman and educator. She has served two terms on the school board and was the sole vote on the school board against a bond. She opposes Common Core. She supports cutting taxes.

A delegate asks about her CRA unit’s growth.

She says she grew it from nothing, as she founded it. She speaks of monthly meetings. She says she since passed its leadership on to others.

A delegate asks about how she plans to lower taxes since she stated it.

She blasts Prop 30 as an anti-business tax. She expresses concern about jobs fleeing California.

Harry Sidhu speaks of immigrating to the United States. He says he has had 28 different businesses. He blasts state regulations. He expresses concern about jobs leaving the state. He wants to oppose tax increases. He says he will fight the Sacramento spending problem. He says he will use his business experience in the Assembly, like he did on the City Council. He calls for government to take a haircut like business has to.

An Anaheim delegate asks how they can match what Sidhu says with his record.

Sidhu points to the Platinum Triangle. He speaks of helping 17,000 people find employment. He points to reducing pensions for new firefighters and police officers. He speaks of the City business development plan.

A delegate asks why Sidhu takes union money.

He denies it. He says he only took police union money on Anaheim City Council.

Kostas Roditis calls for challenging people’s world view. He says people do not own their land; they lease it from the government since people must pay property taxes. He wants to end property taxes for owner-occupied homes by having people pay a one-time 8% property tax.

A delegate asks why did Roditis enter the race so late and what city he lives in.

He says he lives in Anaheim Hills and is a businessman who is fed up with what is happening in Sacramento. He wants to propose his property tax and business ideas.

A delegate asks if a state legislator can implement his property tax plan.

He says yes by amending the constitution.

A delegate asks how long he has been a Republican.

He says he has gone back and forth. He says he was a College Republican, became a Democrat in his 20s, then an independent, and eventually switched to Republican but doesn’t remember when.

SUPERIOR COURT JUDGE OFFICE NO. 3

10:39: Superior Court Judge Office No. 3 Candidate Megan Wagner is allowed to speak early on her judicial race due to a scheduling issue.

She says it’s ironic she is speaking after the 68th Assembly District candidates and that she’s the kinder, smarter Wagner. She urges the delegates to be careful and proactive in examining the judicial candidates. She cites her unanimous endorsement by the Orange County Board of Supervisors, which she notes is unusual. She is endorsed by Sheriff Sandra Hutchens. She speaks of her career as a prosecutor.

Craig Alexander asks about whether she has taken any union money.

She says she has not taken any.

Another delegate asks about whether she will take any union money.

She says she would consider law enforcement union money because her opponent is a criminal defense attorney from LA who previously spent $250,000 on his own race.

Kermit Marsh asks where she stands on the death penalty.

She says she would enforce the law.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 47TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

10:45: Ballots counted in the 47th Congressional District: WHALLON ENDORSED.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 29TH SENATE DISTRICT

10:45: Ballots counted in the 29th Senate District: NO ENDORSEMENT.

Voting begins in the 68th Assembly District.

10:48: Vote count released for the 29th Senate District at request of delegates: 11 for Ling-Ling Chang and 10 for No Endorsement.

10:49: Intermission

74TH ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

10:51: 74th District Assemblyman Matthew Harper speaks of being a Huntington Beach CRA member since 1995. He speaks of volunteering for Republican causes in high school and college. He speaks of being statewide chair of the Young Republican Federation of California. He speaks of being on the school board and being mayor. He says he overturned a racial preference policy at the school board and got a court precedent. He speaks of opposing SB 277 on vaccinations while in the Assembly. He says he has a 100% record against taxes. He says he is pro-life. He has a 100% record with numerous conservative organizations, including the CRA. He notes low scores and zero scores from various liberal groups.

Balloting begins.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 68TH ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

10:59: Ballots counted in AD-68: PAULY ENDORSED.

69TH ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

11:01: Tim Whitacre speaks on behalf of Ofelia Velarde-Garcia. He speaks of her work helping the all-Republican Board of Supervisors. He says she is pro-life, pro-family, anti-tax, and pro-business. She is a lifelong Republican resident of the district. While Whitacre served in the military, Velarde-Garcia tried but was medically discharged.

A delegate asked where she is this morning.

Whitacre explained she had a family matter in Arizona and had to leave yesterday.

Voting begins.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 74TH ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

11:06: Ballots counted in AD-74: HARPER ENDORSED.

ORANGE COUNTY BOARD OF EDUCATION TRUSTEE AREA 4

11:07: Orange County Board of Education Trustee Area 4 Candidate Zonya Marcenaro Townsend speaks of her marriage and her birth in El Salvador. She speaks of Education being important for her life. She speaks of America being the greatest country on earth. She says she doesnt have the money or name ID of her opponents. She says Jack Bedell has $150,000 from the California Teachers Association. She says Chris Norby has high name ID. She says she opposes Common Core. She says she supports vocational schools. She says Common Core data will be used to market to children for life. She says the money came from the Gates Foundation.

A delegate asks where she stands on charter schools.

She says they need to be carefully vetted. She says many are businesses that seek to undermine America’s Judeo-Christian values.

A delegate asks how she would differ from Jack Bedell.

She says he has not taken a stand against Common Core and against the threat of wireless.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 69TH ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

11:13: Ballots counted in AD-69: VELARDE-GARCIA ENDORSED.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: ORANGE COUNTY BOARD OF EDUCATION TRUSTEE AREA 4

11:14: Voting begins in Orange County Board of Education Trustee Area 4.

11:18: Ballots counted in Orange County Board of Education Trustee Area 4: MARCENARO-TOWNSEND ENDORSED.

FIRST SUPERVISORIAL DISTRICT

11:19: First Supervisorial District begins.

Phat Bui jokes about his name. He talks about a flash mob video he did in 2014. He thanks the delegates for their attendance. He speaks of fleeing Vietnam and being grateful for the generosity of the American people. He registered as a Republican when he became a U.S. citizen. He wants minimalist government. He says the Vietnamese government preys on its citizens. He wants to give back to America. He says his company saved the California state government $1 million per year.

Long Pham asks about the Orange County Board of Supervisors competing against Bui’s group on the Tet Festival. Pham asks about open bidding.

Bui says he would support open bidding and would not allow the Board of Supervisors to compete for the Tet Festival against Bui’s group. He accuses Supervisor Andrew Do of saying one thing in English and another thing in Vietnamese.

11:25: Bui’s city council campaign consultant, Tim Whitacre, speaks on behalf of Supervisor Andrew Do’s re-election. He says this is difficult because Whitacre played such a key role in Bui’s City Council race. Whitacre says Do is at a community seminar on taxpayer rights. Whitacre highlights Do’s strongly conservative voting record. Whitacre reminds everyone that the First Supervisorial District is more than just the Vietnamese community and squabbles over Tet should not be a reason to topple a sitting Supervisor. He says Bui has made a number of allegations but no factual statements.

Pham asks if Whitacre believes that Vietnamese voters will vote for Democrats if there is no alternative to Do.

Whitacre disputes Pham’s premise.

Voting begins.

SUPERIOR COURT JUDGE OFFICE NO. 3 (CONTINUED)

11:31: In Superior Court Judge Office No. 3, neither Andrew Stein nor Wayne Phillips are here. Megan Wagner spoke earlier.

FIRST SUPERVISORIAL DISTRICT (CONTINUED)

11:33: Ballots counted leave a deadlock in the First Supervisorial District.

Tim Whitacre repeats that Do is a good sitting incumbent who has followed the Republican platform and the CRA platform. He urges that Do winning in June frees up Republican money for school board races, city council races, and legislative races.

Phat Bui accuses Do of being a former Democrat and accuses him of donating to Democrats in 2000-2002.

11:39: Still no result in First Supervisorial District: Do 4, Bui 3.

Phat Bui alleges he did the research on Do’s campaign finance contributions. He says he was worked in IT, which could help streamline County government.

Whitacre notes Do fought for an anti-tax plank in the County legislative platform and a fiscal transparency measure for the ballot. Whitacre notes the unanimous endorsement of the Board of Supervisors and the early endorsements of the Republican Party of Orange County. He says Bui is a divider casting aspersions against a good Republican. He says Bui will only represent a small constituency not all the people of the whole district.

Ballots were counted: NO ENDORSEMENT (4 voted for Andrew Do while 3 voted for Phat Bui).

SUPERIOR COURT JUDGE OFFICE NO. 3 (CONTINUED)

11:57: Voting is underway for Superior Court Judge Office No. 3 between Megan Wagner, Andrew Stein, and Wayne Phillips.

SUPERIOR COURT JUDGE OFFICE NO. 48

11:58: Superior Court Judge Office No. 48 Candidate Karen Lee Schatzle is challenging Judge Scott Steiner. She points to Steiner’s admissions of sex in his judicial chambers and trying to get them jobs. She blasts his endorsers. She says she is a career prosecutor. She speaks of being a peace officer before being a prosecutor. Her parents immigrated from Argentina. She says she is running to stand against abuse of power and protect judicial power. She makes it clear she is running against Scott Steiner, not Bill Steiner.

A delegate asks where she stands on sanctuary cities and immigration.

She says she opposes sanctuary cities and regulated legal immigration. She believes people need to follow the law. She says both judges and immigrants need to follow the law.

Craig Alexander asks her viewpoint on the separation of church and state.

She says there will be no separation in Hell. However, she says judges must follow the laws on the book. She will not make policy from the bench. She wants to go back to God and country. She believes the separation of church and state is in the Constitution.

A delegate asks for an example of walking the talk.

She talks about working full-time to support her way through school. She was pregnant while taking the bar. Her children are working while in school.

Voting begins Superior Court Judge Office No. 48.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: SUPERIOR COURT JUDGE OFFICE NO. 3

12:07 PM: Ballots counted for Superior Court Judge Office No. 3: WAGNER ENDORSED with 44 of 54 votes cast.

SUPERIOR COURT JUDGE OFFICES NO. 40 & 49

12:09: No candidates for either Superior Court Judge Office No. 40 or Superior Court Judge Office No. 49 are present.

Convention Chairman Dale Tyler asks for unanimous consent for no endorsement in either seat. In Office No. 49, no endorsement is approved unanimously between Mike Murray and Thomas Martin.

In Office No. 40 between Democrat Larry Yellin and unknown registration for Thuy Pham, Benita Gagne of Anaheim objects because one of her delegates likes Pham.

A delegate asks why Pham should be endorsed when he didn’t seek an endorsement.

The Gagne objection is withdrawn.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: SUPERIOR COURT JUDGE OFFICE NO. 48

12:17: Ballots counted in Superior Court Judge Office No. 48: SCHATZLE ENDORSED.

49TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

12:18: In the 49th Congressional District, Craig Alexander opposes Congressman Darrell Issa’s endorsement for a number of votes. Among those, he cited were the House Budget reconciliation bill that didn’t repeal Obamacare (HR 3762). He voted for the continuing resolution that included Planned Parenthood funding (HR 719). He voted for the Import-Export bank (HR 597).

(Editor’s Note: Alexander sped through his list of Issa’s votes faster than this blogger could type: In addition to those noted above, Alexander objected to Issa’s votes for Transportation, Housing, Urban Development Appropriations (HR 329); No Child Left Behind Reauthorization (S. 1177), and $1.1 Trillion Year-End Omnibus Spending Bill.  Alexander also objected to Issa’s failure to co-sponsor the First Amendment Defense Act (HR 2802), Transportation Empowerment Act (HR 2716), and Employee Rights Act (HR3222).  In his remarks to the convention, Alexander noted that he had written to Issa months ago about HR 2802.)

Voting begins.

72ND ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

12:21: In the 72nd Assembly District, the objector to Assemblyman Travis Allen declines to speak.

Voting begins.

ENDORSEMENTS NOT CONSIDERED TODAY

12:23: There is unanimous consent for the CRA President’s Council to make any remaining endorsements for the June 7 ballot, excluding Central Committee and races affecting only one CRA unit.

VOTE ANNOUNCEMENT: 49TH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT

12:24: Ballots counted in the 49th Congressional District: NO ENDORSEMENT.

72ND ASSEMBLY DISTRICT (CONTINUED)

12:28: Ballots counted in the 72nd Assembly District: NO ENDORSEMENT.

12:28: The 72nd Assembly District objector from Fountain Valley decides to speak against Travis Allen in the second round. She says Allen did not respond to her inquiry about his stance on abortion. She says another woman said that Allen is pro-choice.

12:33: Ballots counted in the 72nd Assembly District: NO ENDORSEMENT (No Endorsement 12, Allen 1).

REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE: 65TH AND 73RD DISTRICTS

12:35: The endorsements process is beginning for Central Committee in the 65th and 73rd Districts.

Both districts are voting in caucuses.

1:08: The endorsements for 73rd District Central Committee are:
Tony Beall
Jennifer Beall
Mike Munzing
Laurie Davies
Ed Sachs
Mary Young

1:33: The endorsements for 65th District Central Committee are:
Alexandria Coronado
David Shawver
Jerry Jackson
Zonya Marcenaro Townsend
Sou Moua
Baron Night

The convention is complete.

Posted in Uncategorized | 5 Comments »

Are Unions Using Phat Bui as a Decoy for Michele Martinez?

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 9, 2016

Andrew Do, Michele Martinez, Steve Rocco, and Phat Bui

Supervisor Andrew Do (R-Westminster), Councilwoman Michele Martinez (D-Santa Ana), Steve Rocco (NPP-Santa Ana), and Councilman Phat Bui (R-Garden Grove)

Since I broke the story Friday of Garden Grove Councilman Phat Bui (R) pulling papers for First District Supervisor, I’ve had many people ask why Bui is joining convicted ketchup thief Steve Rocco (NPP) and Santa Ana Councilwoman Michele Martinez (D) in challenging the re-election bid of Supervisor Andrew Do (R).

I have heard lots of different rumors as to why Bui is running, considering he is a Councilman just 15 months into his first term. The most logical conclusion is that labor unions have either put Bui up to this or have tricked Bui into running in order to split the Vietnamese-American vote, the Republican vote, and the Garden Grove vote to force a run-off election between Do and Martinez.

Democrats have been plagued by low voter turnout throughout the presidential primaries and caucuses between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders while Republican voter turnout has been at record levels in nearly every state.

Democrats and labor unions hope forcing Do into a run-off against Martinez will utilize the high presidential general election turnout of Democrats and Latinos to allow Martinez to pull off an upset.  While it is unlikely Martinez would win, this scenario is still the best hope she has of victory.

Bui’s City Council election web site showed only eight endorsements: Orange County District Attorney Tony Rackauckas, a labor union, two non-Orange County elected officials, and four private citizens.  With Rackauckas endorsing Do, that only leaves labor in Bui’s corner.

Labor knows they need Martinez in the run-off, and Bui’s entry helps that effort.

It is still possible for Do to break 50% and avert a run-off.  Do likely would have been able to easily do so in a Do-Martinez-Rocco field.  With Bui in the race, Martinez’s supporters can hope Bui can siphon off enough votes to keep Do under 50%.

Bui was probably either promised lots of support that won’t materialize (in which case he was tricked into running) or else told to be a spoiler with the promise of support for something else in the future.

Things tend to go poorly for Vietnamese American elected officials who try to unseat other Vietnamese American elected officials.  For example, eight years ago, Garden Grove Councilwoman Dina Nguyen challenged Supervisor Janet Nguyen’s re-election to this same seat.  Janet Nguyen is now a Senator while Dina Nguyen is now on a water board.

Shunned by the Republican Party and abandoned by labor is not a great spot for any Republican elected official.  This candidacy for Supervisor could lead to being in a no-man’s land, which is not a great place for a newly-elected Councilman.

(Cue my usual Nguyen disclaimer: I am not related to the State Senator Janet Nguyen or Water Board Director Dina Nguyen.  The last name Nguyen is held by 36% of Vietnamese people.)

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Nick is Nuts Newspaper

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 8, 2016

About six weeks ago, Bieber Communications prepared the “Nick is Nuts” mailer highlights an August article from the Voice of OC and a December article from the Orange County Register describing Lake Forest Councilman Adam Nick’s bizarre behavior and his effort to recall Mayor Andrew Hamilton and Councilmen Scott Voigts and Dwight Robinson.

This month, Bieber and the Nick is Nuts committee delivered a newspaper to the voters of Lake Forest compiling Nick’s numerous controversies:

  • The $250,000 cost of the recall to taxpayers, and Nick spending $100,000 on the recall
  • Nick’s numerous name changes
  • Petition circulators being paid $9 per hour
  • Broad coalition opposing the recall
  • Nick’s vote to get rid of the Sheriff’s Department, who provides police services to Lake Forest
  • Nick’s “cash, bribes, and rage” as covered by prior media articles
  • Nick’s campaign sign controversy
  • Nick claiming to have a CPA license when it appears the State of California has no record of him having one

Nick and his allies obtained the official recall petition on December 22 and have until April 20 to submit more than 8,000 valid signatures.

Here’s the mailer (click on any of the newspaper images for a PDF of the newspaper):

Lake Forest - Lake Forest News_Page_1 Lake Forest - Lake Forest News_Page_2 Lake Forest - Lake Forest News_Page_3 Lake Forest - Lake Forest News_Page_4

Posted in Lake Forest | Tagged: , , , | 2 Comments »

1st District Chaos: Garden Grove Councilman Phat Bui Pulls Papers to Challenge Andrew Do

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 4, 2016

Andrew Do, Michele Martinez, Steve Rocco, and Phat Bui

Supervisor Andrew Do (R-Westminster), Councilwoman Michele Martinez (D-Santa Ana), Steve Rocco (NPP-Santa Ana), and Councilman Phat Bui (R-Garden Grove)

Garden Grove Councilman Phat Bui (R) has joined convicted ketchup thief Steve Rocco (NPP) in pulling papers to challenge the re-election bid of Supervisor Andrew Do (R).  Additionally, Santa Ana Councilwoman Michele Martinez (D) and the enigmatic Robert Bao Nguyen have also pulled papers to challenge Do’s re-election bid in the First Supervisorial District, which consists of Santa Ana, Garden Grove, Westminster, Midway City, and northern Fountain Valley.

Bui’s entry into the race had been rumored for days, with Bui himself reportedly seeking support for his race in Sacramento on Wednesday despite the Republican Party’s official endorsement of Do’s re-election.

Bui, who was just elected to the Garden Grove City Council just sixteen months ago with labor union support, is the third member of his council to make a bid for higher office in the last fourteen months, joining Mayor Bao Nguyen (D), who is currently running for the 46th Congressional District but trails former Senator Lou Correa (D) badly in polling, and Councilman Chris Phan (R), who made an ill-fated bid for First District Supervisor against Do and Correa, coming in a distant third.

Bui’s home had displayed signs supporting both Correa and Phan in the 2015 special election for Supervisor that Do had won.

By splitting the Vietnamese-American vote, the Republican vote, and the Garden Grove vote, Republican Bui’s entry into the race substantially increases the risk of forcing a Do-Martinez run-off, which many Democrats hope and many Republicans fear will pull resources away from the re-election bid of Assemblywoman Young Kim (R) against former Assemblywoman Sharon Quirk-Silva (D) and the Senate bid of Assemblywoman Ling-Ling Chang (R) against former Irvine Mayor Sukhee Kang (D).

There’s no perfectly analogous race, but these are the four closest I’m aware of:

  • In 2014, there was a five-way race for Auditor-Controller, featuring Orange Treasurer/CPA Eric Woolery (R), Property Tax Director Frank Davies (R), Accountant Mike Dalati (D), Assistant Human Resources Director John Willard (NPP), and Audit Advisor Jim Benuzzi (D).  Woolery won 57%, Davies 17%, Dalati 11%, Willard 7%, and Benuzzi 7%.  Despite not being the incumbent, Woolery managed to avoid a run-off in a five-way race.
  • In 2014, Clerk-Recorder Hugh Nguyen (R) was challenged for re-election by Businesswoman Monica Maddox (R), Capistrano Unified School District Trustee Gary Pritchard (D), and convicted ketchup thief Steve Rocco (NPP).  Nguyen avoided a run-off by winning 61% of the vote to Maddox’s 18%, Pritchard’s 12%, and Rocco’s 8%.
  • In 2010, Public Administrator John Williams (R) was challenged by Superior Court Clerk Colleen Callahan, convicted ketchup thief Steve Rocco (DTS), and Deputy Public Guardian Kevin Vann (D).  Williams avoided a run-off by winning 58% of the vote to Callahan’s 24%, Rocco’s 11%, and Vann’s 7%.
  • In 1998, Supervisor Jim Silva (R) was challenged for re-election by Huntington Beach Councilman Dave Sullivan (R), former Costa Mesa Councilwoman Sandy Genis (R), and a mysterious Ralph Silva.  Jim Silva won 45%, Sullivan 26%, Genis 17%, and Ralph Silva 11%.  In the run-off, Silva defeated Sullivan 56%-44%.

It appears the current Garden Grove Councilmembers are dreaming of replicating the success of their predecessors: in 2012, Phan won the seat that was once held by Do and once held by former State Assemblyman Ken Maddox (R); State Senator Janet Nguyen (R) also previously sat on the Garden Grove City Council (her former seat is now held by Councilman Steve Jones, also a Republican).

Cue my usual Nguyen disclaimer: I am not related to the mysterious Robert Bao Nguyen, Garden Grove Mayor Bao Nguyen, Clerk-Recorder Hugh Nguyen, or State Senator Janet Nguyen.  The last name Nguyen is held by 36% of Vietnamese people.)

Posted in 1st Supervisorial District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Where Have All the OC Democrats Gone?

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 3, 2016

Have the Democrats surrendered huge swaths of Orange County to the Republicans?  Are Orange County Democrats in such poor shape that they can’t afford to pay $1,001.13 filing fees?

With eight days left in candidate filing, it appears the Democrats have abandoned the 37th Senate District, the 68th Assembly District, and the 73rd Assembly District. The Democrats also appear to be on the verge of failing to have someone make the top two to get to November in the 45th Congressional District and 48th Congressional District.  There are also only 35 Democrats running for 42 directly-elected spots on their Central Committee.  There are 82 Republicans running for 42 directly-elected spots on the Republican Central Committee.  Let’s also not forget each party’s top vote-getter for Congress, Senate, and Assembly get ex officio spots for their respective Central Committee.

Democrats have bragged of closing the registration gap with Republicans, even overtaking Republican registration in five cities: Santa Ana, Anaheim, Garden Grove, La Habra, and as reported in the Orange County Register last month: Irvine.

Closing the registration gap or having a plurality in a city is all well and good, except the hilarious thing is the 143,487 Democrats in the 37th Senate District, the 67,657 Democrats in the 68th Assembly District, and the 68,202 Democrats in the 73rd Assembly District will have to vote for a Republican.

Perhaps, the Democrats just can’t afford to pay the $1,001.13 filing fee for candidates for the State Legislature.

In 2015, the Democratic Party of Orange County raised $66,193 in 2015 while the Republican Party of Orange County raised $248,989.  The Democratic Foundation of Orange County raised $26,635 while the (Republican) Lincoln Club of Orange County raised $208,171 ($160,977 in its state PAC and $47,194 in its issues PAC).

In the 45th Congressional District, Congresswoman Mimi Walters faces a challenge from Mission Viejo Councilman Greg Raths, yet there are two Democrats running who will presumably split the vote and fail to make the top two.  In the 48th Congressional District, Dana Rohrabacher faces a challenge from Colin Melott, yet there are two Democrats running who will presumably split the vote and fail to make the top two.  In the 37th Senate District, Senator John Moorlach faces a challenge from Assemblyman Don Wagner, with no Democrats running.  In the 68th Assembly District, there are five Republicans and no Democrats running.

Some might argue the lack of Democrats in the legislative races and exactly two Democrats in the Congressional races is a malevolent scheme to get Republican vs. Republican races in November.  Well, that’s hard to believe when there are only 35 Democrats are running for 42 directly-elected spots on their Central Committee.  Orange County Democrats are simply so disorganized that they have no candidates in huge swaths of Orange County and are in grave danger of failing to make the top two in more swaths of Orange County.

Posted in 37th Senate District, 45th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 68th Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District | Tagged: , , , | 3 Comments »

Orange County Young Republicans Make Early Endorsements for June Primary Election

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 2, 2016

Orange County Young RepublicansThe Orange County Young Republicans met on Monday night with Supervisor Andrew Do as the keynote speaker.

The OCYR also voted on early endorsements for the June Primary Election:

(If you need to keep your judicial races straight, here’s OC Political’s most recent post on the judicial races.)

More endorsements are expected later this month.

Posted in 1st Supervisorial District, 3rd Supervisorial District, 55th Assembly District, Orange County Board of Education | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Michele Martinez Pulls Papers for Supervisor, But Warchest Can’t Buy Denny’s Moons Over My Hammy

Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 22, 2016

Andrew Do, Michele Martinez, Steve Rocco

Supervisor Andrew Do (R-Westminster), Councilwoman Michele Martinez (D-Santa Ana), and Steve Rocco (NPP-Santa Ana)

Santa Ana Councilwoman Michele Martinez (D) has joined convicted ketchup thief Steve Rocco (NPP) in pulling papers to challenge the re-election bid of Supervisor Andrew Do (R).  Additionally, the enigmatic Robert Bao Nguyen has also pulled papers to challenge Do’s re-election bid in the First Supervisorial District, which consists of Santa Ana, Garden Grove, Westminster, Midway City, and northern Fountain Valley.

Martinez clearly wasn’t planning a challenge to Do until recently, as she still doesn’t have a campaign account for Supervisor open, and her City Council account had $8.16 in it as of December 31.  No, that’s not a typo: she had eight dollars and sixteen cents.  If she had a campaign meeting at Denny’s, she wouldn’t even be able to buy the $8.99 Moons Over My Hammy with her Council account.  The good news for her is she has no loans or unpaid bills, so she has the $8.16 free and clear.

Even if she is depending on independent expenditures to assist her in a bid against Do, IEs alone cannot power a campaign.  The candidate has to have some funds available.  Additionally, most IEs like to see candidates be able to give themselves self-help before the IEs will intervene, particularly when a challenger is seeking to unseat an incumbent.

Martinez is clearly the Democrats’ last-minute replacement candidate, as Santa Ana Mayor Pro Tem Vince Sarmiento (D) had been exploring a run for Supervisor for quite some time, even opening a campaign committee for Supervisor on January 8 (interestingly, an IE PAC supporting Sarmiento for Supervisor opened on January 7).

By entering the 2016 race against Do, Martinez continues her decade-long streak of alternating between bids for higher office and bids for re-election:

  • In 2006, Martinez won her bid for City Council with 32.6% of the vote in a four-way race, narrowly edging Republican Evangeline Gawronski, who got 30.2% of the vote.
  • In 2008, Martinez made an ill-fated bid to unseat Mayor Miguel Pulido, who crushed her 55.0%-29.3% in a four-way race.
  • In 2010, Martinez was unopposed for re-election.
  • In 2012, Martinez won only 16.7% of the vote for the open 69th Assembly District seat, coming in second-to-last out of five candidates.
  • In 2014, she won 52.0% of the vote in a four-way race in her bid for a third term on the City Council.

Martinez raised $31,108 in her 2014 re-election bid for Council.  Do reported $113,786 cash-on-hand at the end of 2015.  Rocco has never raised money in any of his numerous bids for office.

Awkwardly, the same day that Martinez pulled papers against Do, CBS 2/KCAL 9 ran a story entitled, “On Average, 1 Shooting Reported Each Day In Santa Ana In 2016.”  It’s safe to assume the campaign of former prosecutor Do will highlight the rising crime in Martinez’s city.

Convicted ketchup thief Steve Rocco, a former Orange Unified School District Trustee, pulled papers in early January and completed filing on Tuesday.  He is running as “Retired Educator/Writer” on the ballot.

Curiously, on Wednesday, the enigmatic Robert Bao Nguyen pulled papers to challenge Do.  It is unclear if he is simply another Rocco-type running, or if there is a more sinister motive behind his candidacy, such as pulling Vietnamese American votes away from Do in an effort to force him into a November run-off against Martinez.  Even the name Robert Bao Nguyen seeks to benefit from the name ID of Garden Grove Mayor Bao Nguyen (D), who is running for Congress in the 46th District, which includes, among other places, Santa Ana and small portions of Garden Grove.

(Cue my usual Nguyen disclaimer: I am not related to the mysterious Robert Bao Nguyen nor Garden Grove Mayor Bao Nguyen.  The last name Nguyen is held by 36% of Vietnamese people.)

Posted in 1st Supervisorial District, Santa Ana | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Judicial Campaigns: LA Deputy DA Jumps into Nelson-Yellin Race; Defeated HB City Attorney McGrath Jumps into Wagner-Zicbeck Race

Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 17, 2016

In a fascinating turn of events that will assuredly cause a run-off election, Los Angeles County Deputy District Attorney Thuy Dinh Pham (who is an Orange County resident despite working for LA County) has entered the race for Superior Court Judge Office No. 40, which currently includes Orange County Supervisor Shawn Nelson and Orange County Deputy District Attorney Larry Yellin, who is the immediate past president of the Orange County attorneys union.  Former Huntington Beach City Attorney Jennifer McGrath has entered the race for Superior Court Judge Office No. 3, which currently includes Deputy District Attorneys Megan Wagner and Scott Zidbeck.

Office No. 40 – Nelson, Yellin, and Now Pham

Pham’s entry adds a female Vietnamese-American prosecutor to a race already featuring a prosecutor and a County Supervisor, both white men.  In the June primary, Pham will presumably draw the lion’s share of the high-propensity Vietnamese-American vote.  As the only woman on the ballot, Pham will also draw a significant portion of the women’s vote, though she is hampered by the fact that not all voters know Thuy is a woman’s name.  Her entry into the race deals the biggest blow to Yellin since the Deputy District Attorney vote will be split between Pham and Yellin.

Supervisor Shawn Nelson should come in first in June for Office No. 40, but in a race with three major candidates, it is unlikely he can break 50% in the primary, thereby causing a November run-off.  The question is who comes in second: Yellin or Pham?  With identical ballot designations, demographics could become a factor.  Their ballot statements will also play a role.  Will Pham describe her prosecutorial career without mentioning it has been in the LA County DA’s office or will she highlight that fact to try to capitalize on the negative publicity surrounding the Orange County DA’s office?  Pham’s entry has made a contentious race for Judge a complete toss-up.

Office No. 3 – Wagner, Zidbeck, Stein, Philips, and Now McGrath

McGrath has joined, by far, Orange County’s largest field of candidates for Superior Court Judge, which already includes Deputy District Attorneys Wagner and Zidbeck, along with attorneys Andrew Stein and Wayne Philips.

In 2014, McGrath was defeated in her bid for a fourth term as the elected Huntington Beach City Attorney in 2014, losing 56%-44% against Michael Gates.  While she brings the most elected experience of any candidates, she faces a steep uphill battle against two prosecutors, and her name ID outside of Huntington Beach is likely as poor as that of Philips or Stein.  McGrath likely comes in a strong third though due to her Huntington Beach name ID, her ballot statement presumably touting her experience, and the fact that she is one of only two women in the five-person race.

Wagner and Zidbeck should take the top two spots.  Who gets first and who gets second is tougher to predict but largely irrelevant since both would make the November run-off.  With five candidates in the race, including two prosecutors, it is highly unlikely there would not be a run-off.

Wagner is married to Assemblyman Don Wagner.  In 2014, Stein lost a run-off for Superior Court Judge in Los Angeles County against prosecutor Tom Griego.

Fascenelli Out

It appears attorney Fred Fascenelli has not filed the Declaration of Intention form required for candidates for Superior Court Judge by yesterday’s deadline, so he will not be able to continue the filing process for either Office No. 3 or Office No. 40, both of which he had previously pulled papers for.  Fascenelli is married to Villa Park Councilwoman Diana Fascenelli.

All Quiet for Office No. 49 – Murray vs. Martin

In the race for Superior Court Judge Office No. 49, unless one of the candidates fails to complete filing, it will be a head-to-head race between Deputy District Attorney Mike Murray and attorney Thomas E. Martin.

Posted in Orange County | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

AD-74: Katherine Daigle Pulls Papers, Joining Karina Onofre in Field of Increasingly Bizarre Challengers to Matt Harper

Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 11, 2016

Assemblyman Matt Harper (R-Huntington Beach)

Assemblyman Matt Harper (R-Huntington Beach)

Katherine Daigle (R), Perennial candidate for Mayor of Irvine, has pulled papers to challenge the re-election bid of Assemblyman Matt Harper (R-Huntington Beach).  Daigle, who received 14% of the vote in 2012 and 11.6% of the vote in 2014, was accused of being a decoy candidate to split the Republican vote in the mayoral races, but Steven Choi (R) prevailed over Larry Agran (D) in 2012 and Mary Ann Gaido (D) in 2014 despite Daigle’s presence in the race.

Daigle’s quixotic bid for State Assembly means one of two things: she wasn’t a decoy candidate in her mayoral bids or her handlers to make her a decoy candidate for mayor have inadvertently unleashed her desires for any public office.

I don’t understand people who lose bids for office who decide to run for higher office.  How does losing two races for mayor make Daigle think she could win a race for Assembly?  (Similar note: How did Carly Fiorina think losing a U.S. Senate race would make her a good candidate for President?  At least Fiorina finally had the good sense to drop out of the presidential race yesterday.)

Daigle pulling papers combined with Karina Onofre being the sole Democrat to pull papers could well give AD-74 the most bizarre field of challengers for a sitting incumbent.

Readers may recall Onofre inadvertently played a key role in getting Harper elected to the Assembly in 2014.  That year, Onofre pulled papers for AD-74 as a Republican but filed papers as a Democrat (she had only been a Republican for 20 months).  Onofre pulled enough of the Democratic vote away from actual Democrat Anila Ali to push Ali into third place.  Harper then landed in second place behind Newport Beach Councilman Keith Curry (R).  Thanks to the top two primary and Onofre getting Ali into third place, Republicans Curry and Harper advanced to the run-off where Harper prevailed.  Had Onofre not gotten into the race, it would have been Curry vs. Ali in November, where Curry would have won by a landslide.

For the entire OC Political file on the bizarreness of Karina “Karina” Onofre, click here.

Posted in 74th Assembly District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »