Archive for the ‘39th Congressional District’ Category

CD-39: Royce, Chen, and Chen SuperPAC Spend $2.7 Million or How My Father Received Over 41 Feet of Mail

Posted by Chris Nguyen on November 2, 2012

Democrat Jay Chen is challenging Republican Representative Ed Royce

151,311 voters live in the City of Anaheim: 10,196 voters live in Ed Royce’s 39th Congressional District, 27,431 live in John Campbell’s 45th Congressional District, and 113,684 live in Loretta Sanchez’s 46th Congressional District. You’ve seen Emami’s endless mail count on the Anaheim City Council race, but he has the good fortune to be one of the 27,431 Anaheim voters in CD-45. This is a tale of the mailboxes for the 10,196 Anaheim voters in CD-39.

(For those of you wondering, Gail Eastman lives in Sanchez’s CD-46, Harry Sidhu lives in Royce’s CD-39, and Lorri Galloway, Kris Murray, and Tom Tait live in Campbell’s CD-45. For those of you wondering for even more info, Steve Chavez Lodge lives in Campbell’s CD-45 while Lucille Kring, John Leos, and Jordan Brandman all live in Sanchez’s CD-46.)

Before I get into the mail, I should note there are precinct walkers and phone bankers from both camps scurrying and calling across CD-39.

An OC Political friend passed on a transcript he made of a phone call he received from the Jay Chen campaign in October. The content of this script is clearly geared toward Republicans, and the OC Political friend who transcribed this call is a high-propensity Republican in a pure Republican household.

Here’s the transcript…

Hi. Good afternoon. My name is Andrew and I am a volunteer with the Jay Chen for Congress Campaign.

I’m calling you today to tell you a little bit about Jay and about his campaign for congress in your district.

Jay is a small businessman, a school board member and US Naval Reserves intelligence officer who is running to represent you in Congress.

Unlike his opponent, Ed Royce, Jay volunteered to serve our country and he will protect our veterans when they come home.

Jay was recruited right out of Harvard University to work for Bain and Company, a section of the successful Bain Capital, and he has valuable experience balancing the books and improving results without raising taxes.

Jay is clearly the right person to serve this district in Washington. For more information about Jay or our campaign, please visit our website at chenforcongress.com. And since you are registered to vote by mail your ballots will be arriving around October 8^th. Please remember to vote and sent them back in.

Thank you for very much your time and I hope you vote for Jay in the upcoming November election.

Here’s an excerpt from Chen’s 2011 school board re-election campaign biography:

In 2002 Jay joined Bain & Company, a global business consulting firm. While at Bain he worked closely with top executives of Fortune 500 companies to develop and implement crucial business strategies. He managed the roll-out and evaluation of new products for a global logistics company and analyzed the cost-savings for a mergers and acquisition in the technology space with a combined value of over $1 billion. Jay believes his financial and business experience will be of great value to the school board, which manages an operating budget of over $360 million dollars and nearly 3000 employees.

Anyone else find it fun that Democrat Jay Chen is touting his Bain experience while Republican Mitt Romney is getting trashed for his Bain experienced by national Democrats?

Now, on to the money: From July 1 to October 17, Royce spent $1,232,479 while Chen spent $406,351. However, Super PAC America Shining (run by Chen’s brother) has spent $762,316, with $65,894 supporting Chen and $696,162 against Royce.

In other words, between America Shining and Jay Chen, the pro-Chen/anti-Royce spending since July 1 has reached $1,458,478 while Ed Royce has spent $1,232,479.

For both candidates, over 60% of their direct contributions came from individual citizens. However, if you account for America Shining, the pro-Chen/anti-Royce money received has been 52% from PACs, and 33% from individual citizens, while pro-Royce/anti-Chen money that’s been received is 62% from individual citizens and 36% from PACs.

While Emami religiously scans each piece of mail that falls into his hand, I’m just going to take a picture of all the mail. For my father, who is likely in the most coveted demographic group in all of CD-39 (high-propensity Asian independent), this is what $2.7 million of campaign spending looks like:

My poor father was inundated with CD-39 mail

He’s received 36 mailers, and there’s still three more mailing days before Election Day (today, tomorrow, and Monday). I “only” received 15 mailers, and my Republican mother “only” received 8 mailers. Inexplicably, my independent sister only got 1 mailer (it was pro-Royce).

I should note my 52-year-old father was not pleased to receive the America Shining piece entitled, “Senior News.”

Here are other ways to look at the 36 mailers sent to Dad:

Stacked on top of each other, they are 1/2 inch thick.
They weigh a combined 1 lb. 7 oz.
Laid end to end, they are 41 feet, 3 inches long.

They have achieved near-perfect parity in Dad’s collection:

18 from Royce’s side, 18 from Chen’s side
6 pro-Royce, 4 pro-Chen
12 anti-Chen, 14 anti-Royce

From my father’s mail: For every pro-Royce, there were exactly two anti-Chen pieces. For every pro-Chen piece, there were more than three anti-Royce pieces. While both sides have sent virtually the same amount of mail and both have been pretty negative, Chen’s side has sent out more negative mail and less positive mail than Royce’s side.

Apparently, as registered Republicans, my mother and I were each ignored by Chen. All 15 of my mailers and all 8 of hers were from Royce. I received 6 pro-Royce and 9 anti-Chen. Mom received 2 pro-Royce and 6 anti-Chen.

The anti-Chen pieces are making an impact on regular voters: one of my mother’s co-workers dislikes Chen because he seems so creepy because he’s always behind sunglasses in his pictures. None of Chen’s photos have him behind sunglasses, except the one being used on Royce’s anti-Chen pieces.

In CD-39, postal workers and mailhouses are getting together to throw a big party about the post offices saved from closure and the mailhouses’ unexpected 2012 profits, but somewhere, there’s an environmentalist crying about the forests that Chen and Royce destroyed.

On a final note, my father’s siding with the family Republicans: Dad’s voting for Royce.

Posted in 39th Congressional District, Fundraising, Mail | Tagged: Ed Royce, Gail Eastman, Harry Sidhu, Jay Chen, John Campbell, John Leos, Jordan Brandman, Kris Murray, Loretta Sanchez, Lorri Galloway, Lucille Kring, Mitt Romney, Steve Chavez Lodge, Tom Tait | 2 Comments »

Republican? Democrat? Independent? The Partisan Affiliations of Everyone Running for Everything in Orange County

Posted by Chris Nguyen on October 30, 2012

There’s been a lot of talk and mail about the partisan affiliations of candidates, so I’m providing the definitive guide of partisan affiliations for every candidate running for everything in Orange County in the November 6, 2012, general election. Whether they’re running for President of the United States or Director of the Silverado-Modjeska Canyon Recreation and Park District, we’ve got it all:

FEDERAL OFFICES

President and Vice President
Roseanne Barr/Cindy Sheehan – Peace and Freedom
Thomas Hoefling/Robert Ornelas – American Independent
Gary Johnson/James P. Gray – Libertarian
Barack Obama/Joe Biden – Democrat
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan – Republican
Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala – Green

United States Senator
Elizabeth Emken – Republican
Dianne Feinstein – Democrat

United States Representative, 38th District
Linda T. Sánchez – Democrat
Benjamin Campos – Republican

United States Representative, 39th District
Jay Chen – Democrat
Ed Royce – Republican

United States Representative, 45th District
John Campbell – Republican
Sukhee Kang – Democrat

United States Representative, 46th District
Jerry Hayden – Republican
Loretta Sanchez – Democrat

United States Representative, 47th District
Gary DeLong – Republican
Alan Lowenthal – Democrat

United States Representative, 48th District
Dana Rohrabacher – Republican
Ron Varasteh – Democrat

United States Representative, 49th District
Darrell Issa – Republican
Jerry Tetalman – Democrat

STATE LEGISLATURE

State Senator, 29th District
Greg Diamond – Democrat
Robert “Bob” Huff – Republican

State Senator, 37th District
Mimi Walters – Republican
Steve Young – Democrat

Member of the State Assembly, 55th District
Gregg D. Fritchle – Democrat
Curt Hagman – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 65th District
Chris Norby – Republican
Sharon Quirk-Silva – Democrat

Member of the State Assembly, 68th District
Christina Avalos – Democrat
Donald P. “Don” Wagner – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 69th District
Tom Daly – Democrat
Jose “Joe” Moreno – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 72nd District
Travis Allen – Republican
Troy Edgar – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 73rd District
James Corbett – Democrat
Diane L. Harkey – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 74th District
Allan R. Mansoor – Republican
Robert Rush – Democrat

MUNICIPAL OFFICES

Aliso Viejo City Council
Ross Chun – Democrat
Greg Ficke – Republican
Donald A. Garcia – No Party Preference
Mike Munzing – Republican
William A. “Bill” Phillips – Republican

Anaheim City Council
Jordan Brandman – Democrat
Brian Neil Chuchua – Republican
Rodolfo “Rudy” Gaona – Democrat
Lucille Kring – Republican
John Leos – Republican
Linda Linder – Republican
Steven Albert Chavez Lodge – Republican
Jennifer Rivera – Republican
Duane Roberts – Green

Brea City Council
Christine Marick – No Party Preference
Chris Parkin – Republican
Marty Simonoff – Republican
Tory Stone – Republican
Steven Vargas – Republican

Brea City Treasurer
Glenn G. Parker – Democrat

Buena Park City Council
Art Brown – Democrat
Paul D. Gonzales – Republican
Baron Night – Republican
Al Salehi – No Party Preference
Fred R. Smith – Republican
Michael Sohn – No Party Preference
Rod P. Williams – Democrat
Cristi Woodward – No Party Preference

Costa Mesa City Council
Sandra L. “Sandy” Genis – Republican
Colin McCarthy – Republican
Al Melone – No Party Preference
Steve Mensinger – Republican
Gary Monahan – Republican
James Rader – No Party Preference
John Stephens – Democrat
Harold Weitzberg – Democrat

Cypress City Council
Rob Johnson – Republican
Bijan Mohseni – Republican
Jay Sondhi – Republican
Mariellen Yarc – No Party Preference

Dana Point City Council
Norm Denton – Republican
Carlos N. Olvera – Republican
J. Scott Schoeffel – Republican
Ed Stevenson – Republican

Fountain Valley City Council
Cheryl Brothers – Republican
Steve A. Nagel – Republican
Duy T. Nguyen – Republican
Bryan J. Tice – American Independent
Patrick Tucker – Republican

Fullerton City Council
Rick Alvarez – Republican
Don Bankhead – Republican
Brian Bartholomew – No Party Preference
Jennifer Fitzgerald – Republican
Jan M. Flory – Democrat
Matthew Hakim – Democrat
Kitty Jaramillo – Democrat
Travis Kiger – Republican
Barry Levinson – Republican
Jane Rands – Green
Roberta Reid – No Party Preference
Bruce Whitaker – Republican

Mayor of Garden Grove
Bruce A. Broadwater – Democrat
Myke Cossota – Republican
Sherry Runnells Williams – Republican
James Torres Ybarra – Republican

Garden Grove City Council
Zack Barrett – Republican
Kris Beard – Democrat
Phat Bui – Republican
Steve Jones – Republican
Josh McIntosh – No Party Preference
Jenny Nguyen – No Party Preference
John R. O’Neill – Republican
Chris Phan – Republican

Huntington Beach City Council
Bruce J. Brandt – Republican
Tony James Carter – No Party Preference
Barbara Delgleize – Republican
Devin Dwyer – Republican
Jill Hardy – Democrat
Jim Katapodis – Republican
William “Billy” O’Connell – Republican
Erik Peterson – Republican
Alexander S. Polsky – Democrat
Tim Ryan – No Party Preference
Dave Sullivan – Republican
Bob Wentzel – Republican

Huntington Beach City Clerk
Joan L. Flynn – Republican

Huntington Beach City Treasurer
Alisa Cutchen – Republican

Mayor of Irvine
Larry Agran – Democrat
Steven S. Choi – Republican
Katherine Daigle – Republican

Irvine City Council
Evan Chemers – Republican
Gavin Huntley-Fenner – No Party Preference
Beth Krom – Democrat
Lynn Schott – Republican
Christina L. Shea – Republican
PK Wong – No Party Preference

Laguna Beach City Council
Steve Dicterow – Republican
Jane Egly – Democrat
Verna Rollinger – Democrat
Robert M. Ross – No Party Preference
Bob Whalen – Democrat

Laguna Beach City Clerk
Lisette Chel-Walker – Democrat

Laguna Beach City Treasurer
Laura Parisi – No Party Preference

Laguna Hills City Council
Raghu P. Mathur – Republican
Aj Djowharzadeh – Republican
Andrew Blount – Republican
Dore Gilbert – Republican
Bill Hunt – Republican

Laguna Niguel City Council
Laurie Davies – Republican
Tony English – Republican
Jerry McCloskey – Republican
Jerry Slusiewicz – Republican
Brad Barber – Republican

Laguna Woods City Council
Mara G. Hodgkins – Republican
Shari L. Horne – No Party Preference
Milton W. Robbins – Democrat
David Russell Ohrn – No Party Preference
Cynthia S. Conners – Democrat
Noel Hatch – Republican

Lake Forest City Council
Marcia Rudolph – Republican
Ken Carrell – Democrat
Kathy “Kathyz” Zechmeister – Republican
Adam Nick – Republican
Jim Gardner – Republican
Dwight Robinson – Republican
Terry D. Anderson – Republican

La Palma City Council
Robert Carruth – No Party Preference
Patricia “Pat” Craig – Republican
Sylvia Colannino Smith – Republican
Steve Shanahan – Democrat
Gerard Goedhart – Republican
Christine Barnes – Republican
Peter Kim – Republican

Los Alamitos City Council
Ken Stephens – Republican
Dean Grose – Republican
Demi Devaney – Democrat
Richard D. Murphy – Republican

Mission Viejo City Council
Richard W. Coleman – American Independent
Wendy Bucknum – Republican
Frank Ury – Republican
Desi J. Kiss – Republican
Cathy Schlicht – Republican
Ed Sachs – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 2
Anthony Petros – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 5
Edward D. Selich – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 7
Keith D. Curry – Republican

Mayor of Orange
Teresa “Tita” Smith – Democrat
Jon Dumitru – Republican

Orange City Council
Lawrence R. “Larry” Labrado – Democrat
Robert L. Douglas – Democrat
Ray Grangoff – Republican
Mike Alvarez – Republican
Brian A. Del Vecchio – Republican
Mark A. Murphy – Republican
Josh Nothom – Democrat
Richard Callahan – Republican

Orange City Clerk
Mary E. Murphy – Republican

Orange City Treasurer
George Small – Republican
Helen Y. Walker – Republican

Placentia City Council
Jeremy Yamaguchi – Republican
Alan D. Frank – Republican
Scott William Nelson – Republican
Constance “Connie” Underhill – Republican

Placentia City Treasurer
Greg Sowards – Republican
Craig Green – Republican

Rancho Santa Margarita City Council, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Kenney Hrabik – Republican
Carol Gamble – Republican
Tony Beall – Republican

Rancho Santa Margarita City Council, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Lawrence McCook – Republican
Glenn Acosta – Republican
Brad McGirr – Republican

San Clemente City Council
0 Robert “Bob” Baker – Democrat
1 Robert “Bob” Baker – Republican
Jim Dahl – Republican
Chris Hamm – Republican
David Clegg – Republican
Mike Mortenson – Republican

San Clemente City Clerk
Joanne Baade – Democrat

San Clemente City Treasurer
T. Pall Gudgeirsson – Republican

San Juan Capistrano City Council
Kim McCarthy – Republican
Roy L. Byrnes – Republican
Sam Allevato – Republican
Ginny Kerr – Republican
Melissa Abbott-Kaffen – Republican
Tom Marantz – Republican

Mayor of Santa Ana
Roy Alvarado
George M. Collins – Republican
Lupe Moreno – Republican
Miguel Angel Briseno – No Party Preference
Miguel A. Pulido – Democrat
P. David Benavides – Democrat

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 1
Estela Amezcua – Democrat
Vincent F. Sarmiento – Democrat

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 3
Angelica Amezcua – Democrat
Shane Ramon Barrows – Democrat
Eric M. Alderete – Democrat
Brett Elliott Franklin – Republican
Charles Hart – Republican
Stefano “Steve” Rocco – No Party Preference

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 5
Karina Onofre – Republican
Roman A. Reyna – Democrat

Stanton City Council
Andrew N. Marques – No Party Preference
Sou Moua – Republican
Bryan Palomares – Republican
Carol Warren – Democrat
Al Ethans – Republican

Tustin City Council
John Nielsen – Republican
Tracy Worley Hagen – Republican
Charles E. “Chuck” Puckett – Republican
David Waldram – Republican
Allan Bernstein – Republican

Mayor of Westminster
Ha Mach – Republican
Tri Ta – Republican
Penny Loomer – Democrat
Al Hamade – Republican
Tamara Sue Pennington – Republican

Westminster City Council
Tyler Diep – Republican
Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi – Republican
Helena Rutkowski – Republican
Sergio Contreras – Democrat
Khai Dao – Libertarian
Diana Carey – Democrat
Al P. Krippner – Republican

Yorba Linda City Council
Kennith L. Peterson – Republican
Mark Schwing – Republican
Nancy Rikel – Republican
Eugene J. “Gene” Hernandez – Republican
Louis Lee Knappenberger, Jr. – Democrat
Craig Young – Republican
Todd P. Cooper – Republican

COMMUNITY COLLEGE BOARDS

North Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 7
M. Tony Ontiveros – Republican
Monika Koos – Republican

Rancho Santiago Community College District, Trustee Area 3
Nelida M. Yanez – Democrat
Thomas Anthony Gordon – Republican
Antonio Jesus “Tony” Tapia – Democrat

Rancho Santiago Community College District, Trustee Area 5
Claudia Alvarez – Democrat
Mark McLoughlin – Democrat
R. David Chapel – No Party Preference

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 1
Dave Lang – Republican
David L. Martin – No Party Preference

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 3
William “Bill” Jay – Republican
Arlene C. Greer – Republican
Jennifer J. Long – Democrat

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 7
John S. Williams – Republican
Mike Moodian – No Party Preference
Jan Serrantino Cox – No Party Preference
Timothy “Tim” Jemal – No Party Preference

SCHOOL BOARDS

Anaheim City School District
John Santoianni – Democrat
Bob Gardner – Democrat
Al Jabbar – Democrat
James Derek Vanderbilt – Republican
Jerry Silverman – Democrat

Anaheim Union High School District, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Katherine H. Smith – Republican
Gerald C. Adams – Republican
Brian O’Neal – Republican
Thomas “Hoagy” Holguin – Republican

Anaheim Union High School District, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Annemarie Randle-Trejo – Democrat
Vernon F. Beckett – Republican
Thomas Peters – Republican

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 1
Karin Schnell – Democrat
Amy Hanacek – Democrat

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 2
Jim Reardon – Republican
Carol L. McCormick – Republican
Don Franklin Richardson – Republican
Michele Taylor-Bible – No Party Preference

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 3
Yolanda McNamara – Democrat
Steve R. Lang – Republican
John Alpay – Republican

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 5
Gary Pritchard – Democrat
William “Bill” Perkins – Republican

Centralia School District
Ashi Kothary – Republican
Dennis Salts – Republican
Steve Harris – Democrat
Art Montez – Democrat

Cypress School District
Alexandria Coronado – Republican
Candi Kern – Democrat
Jimmy Fuller – Republican
Brian Nakamura – Democrat

Fountain Valley School District
Jeanne Galindo – Republican
Thomas Hobbs – No Party Preference
Jim Cunneen – Republican
Ian Collins – Democrat

Fullerton Joint Union High School District
William E. “Bill” Dunton – Republican
James A. Najera – Democrat
Andy Montoya – Republican
Barbara R. Kilponen – Republican

Garden Grove Unified School District
Linda Zamora – Democrat
Linda Paulsen-Reed – Republican
Bao Quoc Nguyen – Democrat
George West – Democrat

Huntington Beach City School District
Rob Fishel – No Party Preference
Brian Rechsteiner – Republican
Bridget Kaub – Republican

Huntington Beach Union High School District, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Edward C. Pinchiff – Republican
Tom Dern – Republican
Susan Henry – Republican
Michael H. Simons – Republican
John Briscoe – Republican

Huntington Beach Union High School District, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Cathey Ryder – Republican
Duane Dishno – Republican

Irvine Unified School District
Michelle Ollada Alipio – Republican
Margaret Brown – Republican
Michael Parham – Republican
Bob Vu – Republican
Paul Bokota – Democrat
Omar Ezzeldine – No Party Preference
Lauren Brooks – Republican
Carolyn Inmon – No Party Preference
Cyril Yu – Democrat

La Habra City School District
John Dobson – Republican
Elizabeth “Liz” Steves – No Party Preference
Kevin Jacobson – Republican
Susan M. Hango – Republican

Laguna Beach Unified School District
Dee Namba Perry – Democrat
Tammy Keces – Democrat
Jan Vickers – Democrat
Bill Landsiedel – Democrat

Lowell Joint School District
Martha Leonard – Democrat
Fred W. Schambeck
Brandon R. Jones – Republican

Magnolia School District
Nathan Zug – Republican
Gary Shields – Republican
Barbara J. Clendineng – Republican

Ocean View School District
Debbie Cotton – Republican
Gina Clayton-Tarvin – Democrat
Norm Westwell – Libertarian

Orange Unified School District, Trustee Area 3
Robert “Bob” Ausmus – Republican
Alexia L. Deligianni – Republican
Michele Gabbard – No Party Preference

Orange Unified School District, Trustee Area 6
Mark Wayland – Republican
Tracey L. Colombo Curtis – No Party Preference

Saddleback Valley Unified School District
Suzie R. Swartz – Republican
Don Sedgwick – Republican
Ginny Fay Aitkens – Democrat
Earl H. Carraway – Republican

Santa Ana Unified School District
Cecilia “Ceci” Iglesias – Republican
Robert Allen – Republican
Rob Richardson – Republican
Jose Alfredo Hernandez – Democrat
Myriam Tinajero – Democrat
Valerie Amezcua – Democrat

Tustin Unified School District
Tammie Bullard – Republican
Monique Ketteringham – Democrat
Elias Teferi – Democrat
James H. Laird – Republican
Francine Pace Scinto – Republican

Westminster School District
Jamison Power – Democrat
Jo-Ann W. Purcell – Democrat
Amy Walsh – Republican

WATER BOARDS

East Orange County Water District
Bill Vanderwerff – Republican
Douglas M. Chapman – Republican
Douglass S. Davert – Republican

El Toro Water District
Ralph Sogliuzzo – Republican
Ted F. Martin – Republican
Carol Moore – Republican
Edward Fern – Libertarian
Jose Vergara – Republican
Scott Goldman – Democrat

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 1
Eric Bever – Republican
Fred R. Bockmiller – Republican

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 2
Dan Worthington – Republican
James R. Fisler – Republican

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 3
Ethan Temianka – Republican
Trudy Ohlig-Hall – Republican

Moulton-Niguel Water District, Division 6
Wayne Posey – Republican
Larry McKenney – Republican

Moulton-Niguel Water District, Division 7
Michael Kogus – Republican
Gary R. Kurtz – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 3
David Vu Pham – Republican
Wayne Osborne – Republican
Larry R. Crandall – Republican
Joel M. Rattner – Democrat

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 4
Joan Finnegan – Republican
Dwayne Smith – No Party Preference
Daniel “Skip” Marshall – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 6
Don Chadd – Republican
Jeffery Thomas – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 7
Vanessa A. Mathews – Republican
Susan Hinman – Republican

Orange County Water District, Division 2
Douglas M. Chapman – Republican
Denis R. Bilodeau – Republican

Orange County Water District; Division 3
Roger C. Yoh – Republican
Frank Alonzo – Republican

Santa Margarita Water District
Stan Dziecielski – Democrat
Betty H. Olson – No Party Preference
Charley Wilson – Republican
Fred Carr – Republican
Charles “Chuck” Gibson – Republican

Serrano Water District, Division 3
Jim Fasbender – Republican
Robert “Woody” Rickerl – Republican

South Coast Water District
Rick Erkeneff – Republican
Joel Bishop – Republican
Gary “Water Watch Dog” Langdale – Republican
Richard Gardner – Democrat
Dick Dietmeier – No Party Preference
Wayne Rayfield – Democrat

OTHER SPECIAL DISTRICTS

Costa Mesa Sanitary District
Art Perry – Republican
James Ferryman – Republican
Jeff R. Mathews – Republican
Don Harper – Republican

Midway City Sanitary District
Jerry Vilander – Republican
Frank Fry – Republican
Joy L. Neugebauer – Republican
Al P. Krippner – Republican

Placentia Library District
Richard DeVecchio – No Party Preference
Diane Cunningham – Democrat
Gayle Carline – Democrat
Joann Sowards – Republican
Elizabeth Minter – Republican

Rossmoor/Los Alamitos Area Sewer District
William C. Poe – Republican
Van M. Jew – No Party Preference
Jim Bell – Republican
Carolyn T. Sylvia – Republican
Eric Frankenberg – Democrat

Silverado-Modjeska Recreation and Park District
Chalynn “Chay” Peterson – No Party Preference
Lisa Collins – Republican
Steve Kerrigan – Liberatrian
Timothy Janca – Democrat
Jane Bove – Democrat

Posted in 29th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 55th Assembly District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Anaheim City School District, Anaheim Union High School District, Brea, Buena Park, Capistrano Unified School District, Centralia School District, Costa Mesa, Costa Mesa Sanitary District, Cypress, Cypress School District, Dana Point, East Orange County Water District, El Toro Water District, Fountain Valley, Fountain Valley School District, Fullerton, Fullerton Joint Union High School District, Garden Grove, Garden Grove Unified School District, Huntington Beach, Huntington Beach City School District, Huntington Beach Union High School District, Irvine, Irvine Unified School District, La Habra City School District, La Palma, Laguna Beach, Laguna Beach Unified School District, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Los Alamitos, Lowell Joint School District, Magnolia School District, Mesa Consolidated Water District, Midway City Sanitary District, Mission Viejo, Moulton-Niguel Water District, Municipal Water District of Orange County, Newport Beach, North Orange County Community College District, Ocean View School District, Orange, Orange Unified School District, Placentia, Placentia Library District, Rancho Santa Margarita, Rancho Santiago Community College District, Rossmoor/Los Alamitos Area Sewer District, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District, Santa Margarita Water District, Seal Beach, Serrano Water District, Silverado-Modjeska Recreation and Park District, South Coast Water District, South Orange County Community College District, Stanton, Tustin, Tustin Unified School District, Westminster, Westminster School District, Yorba Linda | 7 Comments »

2012 General Election Predictions: 39th Congressional District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on September 10, 2012

The 39th Congressional District is another one that is not going to be a very close race. The map on this one will show you a seat split between Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Bernardino County. Here is the map:

Thank you to the good people at Meridian-Pacific for the use of the map.

The results from the primary are also a pretty one-sided victory as you can see from the results it was a big victory for Ed Royce:

United States Representative; District 39

Ed Royce, Republican ………. 62,874 votes 66.3%
Jay Chen, Democratic ………. 28,457 votes 30.0%
D’Marie Mulattieri ………. 3,561 votes 3.8%

Any time that you can achieve a 2/3 vote in a primary election (open primary) it is a virtual guarantee that you will win in November.

Republican registration is just 41% with the Democrats not that far behind at 32.7%. However the 22.3% of DTS voters are leaning pretty far to the right. This is why Royce ran over 20 points higher than Republican registration. Jay Chen was a huge disappointment finishing 2% below Democratic registration.

Royce also has the advantage of having a $2,000,000 campaign account to help him if he feels that he needs it. I would be shocked if he dips into this to a great extent. Jay Chen is not doing poorly for a candidate in this race with a $350,000 cash on hand total after June 30th, but it will take a lot more than that to defeat Royce.

Another factor is the map of the district geographically where Royce has extremely high name ID in Orange County which makes up the majority of the district. In fact Fullerton which is the home town of Royce is the largest city in the 39th Congressional District.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the winner will be:

Ed Royce

Posted in 39th Congressional District | Tagged: Ed Royce, Jay Chen | 2 Comments »