OC Political

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Archive for the ‘State Assembly’ Category

Orange County Business Council Endorses Tom Daly for State Assembly

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on April 22, 2012

This came over the wire from OCBC via the Tom Daly for Assembly campaign on Monday…

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

April 16, 2012

ORANGE COUNTY BUSINESS COUNCIL ENDORSES

TOM DALY FOR STATE ASSEMBLY

 IRVINE, CA—Orange County Business Council (OCBC), the leading voice of business in Orange County, has endorsed Tom Daly for State Assembly, 69th District. Daly currently serves as the Orange County Clerk-Recorder, and has for the last ten years. Prior to his election as Clerk-Recorder, Daly served as Mayor of Anaheim for ten years, as an Anaheim City Councilman for four years, and as member of the Anaheim Union High School District Board of Trustees for three years. Read the rest of this entry »

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Assembly Candidate Jose Moreno Counters Hatch Act Violation Allegations

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on April 22, 2012

This came over the wire from the Jose Moreno for Assembly campaign (Assembly candidate Jose Moreno should not be confused with Anaheim City School District Trustee Jose F. Moreno) this weekend…

ASSEMBLY CANDIDATE JOSE MORENO  COUNTERS HATCH ACT VIOLATION ALLEGATIONS

PRESS RELEASE, FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE, April 21, 2012

ANAHEIM – There has been a lot of speculation regarding my candidacy for the 69th Assembly District,  and whether the federal Hatch Act applies to my campaign, which I am addressing in this press release. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Tagged: , | 1 Comment »

Assemblymember Wagner’s April E-Newsletter

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on April 21, 2012

This came over the wire from Assemblyman Wagner’s office last week…

Posted in 68th Assembly District | Tagged: | 1 Comment »

Proven Tax Fighter Long Pham Just What the Doctor Ordered for 72nd Assembly District Taxpayers

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on April 21, 2012

This came across the wire from the Long Pham for Assembly campaign:

Proven Tax Fighter Long Pham Just What the Doctor Ordered for 72nd Assembly District Taxpayers

This tax day Orange County voters have a candidate with a proven record of fighting for lower taxes 

(Fountain Valley, CA) – 72nd Assembly District GOP contender Dr. Long Pham continues to stand out as the proven conservative in a field of candidates for this Orange County seat. With his calls for renewing California’s commitment to limiting government and fostering economic growth to reduce burdensome regulations and taxes, Pham doesn’t just talk about it, he’s actually Read the rest of this entry »

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Norby Notes 8 – Common-Sen​se Discipline & Resilient Red Tape

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on April 21, 2012

This came over the wire from Assemblyman Chris Norby’s office on Wednesday…

Image
Norby Notes

This Issue

Common-Sense Discipline

When does an innocent high school prank become a misdemeanor? When does childish horseplay become assault? When does a playground insult become a hate crime? When does a friend offering a classmate an aspirin for a headache become a drug offense? Read the rest of this entry »

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Council Colleague Rush Hill Endorses Leslie Daigle in AD74 Race

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on April 18, 2012

As a Republican, I am glad to see a Democrat in the AD 74 race for the same reason that I was hoping for no Republican to run in the AD 69 race. This is a post Prop 14 world and we need to realize the way that the game works now.

I have predicted that Robert Rush will defeat Leslie Daigle for the number 2 slot in the AD 74 June election (Read more about this race here).

Leslie Daigle has apparently realized this as well. She issued a press release that could best be described as a shot across the bow to the Robert Rush campaign. See the press release here: Read the rest of this entry »

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2012 Primary Election Predictions: 74th Assembly District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on April 18, 2012

This race will also be an interesting one, but I will go out on a limb and say that it will be less interesting than people think.

Credit goes to Meridian Pacific for posting these maps on their website.

This seat would normally be considered another Republican stronghold with a 13 point registration advantage but based on the results of the 2008 election I will hold off judgement until after 2012. Democrats have just a 6 point registration gap above DTS voters. In 2008 Democrats did have som major victories in the new AD 74 where Obama won and Proposition 8 failed.

Incumbent Assemblyman Allan Mansoor currently holds this seat and his running for his first re-election. He is backed by the current Republican establishment along with most of the grassroots and volunteer organization. I have met Chad Morgan who is running his race and he is a nice guy.

His challengers include:

Leslie Daigle a Council Member/Businesswoman from Newport Beach who is running as a Republican. My interactions with her have never been pleasant.

Robert Rush a Business Owner/Accountant who is running as a Democrat.

The factors at play- Alan Mansoor has incumbency, name ID, and party affiliation on his side. I don’t buy the argument that his name ID is low in the new parts of the district thus making him vulnerable.

The anti-incumbency vote will be split between Rush and Daigle but Rush has the advantage of being an alternative to a Republican for Democrats and DTS voters.

Daigle has high name ID on Newport Beach, but I just think that most of the obstacles in this race seem to hurt her more than Mansoor or Rush. It appears that Daigle is not trilled with Rush being in this race, stay tuned for a press release from her that I will post in a bit.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the 2 candidates advancing to November will be:

Allan Mansoor & Robert Rush

Posted in 74th Assembly District | Tagged: , , | 1 Comment »

2012 Primary Election Predictions: 72nd Assembly District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on April 17, 2012

The race in the 72nd Assembly District will be by far the most competitive race in Orange County for June. This race features 3 Republicans that could spend a lot of money to win this seat.

Credit goes to Meridian Pacific for posting these maps on their website.

This seat is currently a safe Republican seat with an 11 point registration advantage. DTS voters also lean pretty far to the right in this neck of the woods. This seat is a more beach heavy version of the old AD 68 that was represented by Van ran and then Allan Mansoor. Republicans have one every major race here both in 2008 and 2010.

The main reason that it is such a fight is because the race is for an open seat in the Assembly. Jim Silva who currently lives in this area is termed out. The Democrats also appear to think that they have a shot at this seat and are getting behind Joe Dovinh.

The challengers include:

Albert Ayala a Retired Police Commander who is running as a Democrat.

Joe Dovinh a City Commissioner/Businessperson who has experience running for office after having run for the old 68th Assembly District in the primary back in 2010. He is running as a Democrat.

Travis Allen a Small Business Owner that is running as a Republican.

Troy Edgar the Los Alamitos Mayor and wealthy businessman. He was initially planning on running for the 49th Congressional District but with Matt Harper leaning towards dropping out of this race, Edgar made the right choice to jump in.

Long Pham the other elected official running who is a member of the Orange County Board of Education and also a candidate for the Assembly back in 2010 in the primary for the old AD 68.

The factors at play- Troy Edgar has the most money, supporters, and n my honest opinion the best campaign team behind him on this race. He is the clear favorite, and it will take a miraculous effort to get him into second place let alone out of the top 2.

Vietnamese voters will be split between Long Pham and Joe Dovinh regardless of the fact that one is a Republican and the other a Democrat.

With multiple candidates on both sides party affiliation becomes a factor with Democrats likely to take the number 2 slot and Republicans likely to take the number 1 slot.

Fundraising numbers were not great for anybody in this race other than Troy Edgar. Personal loans do not count unless it is over $100,000 as that is the number that can be returned to a candidate.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the 2 candidates advancing to November will be:

Troy Edgar & Joe Dovinh

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Useless, Meaningless, Ridiculous Campaigns In June

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on April 16, 2012

One of the major flaws that I have found in Prop 14 is the way t moves candidates from June to November. As an example, if Troy Edgar was running for Supervisor with the same field that he had in the Assembly race, and received over 50% of the vote he would win and no November election would take place.


(Infamous Abel Maldonado)

However, if that same race was to take place for a seat in the California State Assembly the race under the new Prop 14 rules even if a candidate received only 1 vote they would still advance to November in a head to head race. This therefore creates a number of races that essentially are glorified polls in June.

Races that would fall under this category include:

SD 29- A race between State Senator and Workers Rights Attorney Greg Diamond. I am hoping that Huff wins this race based on his policy decisions (Even though he is a bit of a squish on certain issues.). Greg Diamond is an Orange Juice blogger, a very smart man (he will let you know it, too) with an education that would rival my fellow blogger Chris Nguyen, and his best quality is that he reads this blog.

SD 37- This race is between sitting Senator Mimi Walters and perennial candidate Steve Young. Walter s is running for reelection after having defeated Harry Sidhu in her first race for Senate. Steve Young appears willing to run for any seat as I believe this is the 3rd campaign I have seen him run.

AD 55- Curt Hagman against Greg Fritchle. This race is a true yawner as it involves a district that covers Orange, Los Angeles, and San Bernardino. Hagman is a former Chino Hills City Councilman that defeated Larry Dick for this seat back in 2008. He is now running for his last term in the Assembly. (Did I mention that I am happy to have Don Wagner as my Assemblyman).

AD 65- Chris Norby is running against Sharon Quirk-Silva for this seat. This race actually does matter in June, despite the fact that both candidates will advance to November. If Quirk-Silva does well in June, we could see some more Democratic resources be poured into this race. It is important for Norby to crush her in June.

AD 68- Assemblyman Don Wagner is running against perennial candidate Christina Avalos. The new AD 68 is pretty awesome and a huge step up for Anaheim Hills from the old AD 60. Wagner is in probably the safest seat for any Republican Assembly member in California, although I may be wrong on this particular statistic.

AD 73- This one will be interesting to watch in terms of the mail that gets sent out with Assemblywoman Diane Harkey facing off against infamous Capistrano Unified School District teacher James Corbett. The question comes down to whether or not mail gets sent out in June, or if it is held off until the November election.

1st Supervisorial District-  Some of you may think that you have caught me slipping up, as this race will be decided in June. However read the title and you will understand. This race will be a good one to chuckle over. Rocco is best known for his conspiracy that he is part of a murder plot concocted by Albertsons, Smokecraft Sausage, and Kodak.

I would say to sit back and enjoy watching the races to see who wins, but in this case nobody actually wins. This is with the obvious exception of the 1st Supervisorial District.

Posted in 29th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 55th Assembly District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Nuclear Engineer & GOP Assembly Candidate Long Pham Blasts High Speed Rail for Poor Planning

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on April 13, 2012

This came across the wire from the Long Pham for Assembly campaign:

Nuclear Engineer & GOP Assembly Candidate Long Pham Blasts High Speed Rail for Poor Planning 

(Fountain Valley, CA)- Nationally renowned nuclear engineer and GOP Assembly Candidate Dr. Long Pham blasted the latest High Speed Rail plan today, calling it short-sighted and wrought with poor planning. Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: | 1 Comment »