
One of the last times we’ll use this graphic of Supervisor Andrew Do (R-Westminster), former Senator Lou Correa (D-Santa Ana), Councilman Chris Phan (R-Garden Grove), Chuyen Van Nguyen (NPP-Garden Grove), and Lupe Morfin-Moreno (R-Santa Ana)
After recounting 6,250 ballots in 16 precincts (12.85% of all ballots cast and 15.84% of all precincts) in the First Supervisorial District, no ballots changed.
Correa has opted to suspend the recount to instead focus on provisional ballots, a strategy suggested in a colorful post by Orange Juice Blogger Greg Diamond.
Diamond cited the effort to overturn the North Orange County Community College District’s Measure J in which the measure’s opponents initiated the recount but focused on gathering information about the provisional ballots in order to challenge the provisionals in court. Their court date is Wednesday, February 18.
However, Measure J opponents have a much shorter road to victory than Correa does.
Simple math explains this: Measure J opponents need to toss 34 out of 154,118 (0.02206%) votes cast. Correa needs to toss 43 out of 48,626 (0.08843%) votes cast.
Measure J opponents also have the advantage of a multicounty district: they can challenge ballots in the LA County portion of the North Orange County Community College District (that district really needs a name change for the sake of geographic accuracy). Correa can only challenge ballots in Orange County.
The history books are about to be written on the First Supervisorial District Special Election.
County Supervisor First District, Short Term |
Completed Precincts: 101 of 101 |
Vote Count | Percentage | |
ANDREW DO | 18,905 | 39.1% |
LOU CORREA | 18,862 | 39.0% |
CHRIS PHAN | 7,857 | 16.3% |
CHUYEN VAN NGUYEN | 1,879 | 3.9% |
LUPE MORFIN-MORENO | 834 | 1.7% |
MARK I. LOPEZ (W) | 2 | 0.0% |
Yesterday, Registrar of Voters Neal Kelley sent out this unintentionally symbolic tweet, as political eyes turn away from the First Supervisorial District Special Election and toward the 37th Senate District Special Election:
It’s only 35 days until the SD-37 Special Election, and the first mailer should arrive in my mailbox any day now.