This just came across the wire from the Harper for Assembly campaign:
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Posted by Newsletter Reprint on March 7, 2012
This just came across the wire from the Harper for Assembly campaign:
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Posted in 72nd Assembly District, Fundraising | Tagged: Matt Harper | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 15, 2012
Compared to most Democrats who had Kinde Durkee as their treasurer, Irvine Mayor Sukhee Kang actually fared pretty well (Irvine is the largest city in the new 45th Congressional District, and Kang is a directly-elected mayor). Kang raised $289,398 and spent $35,715 (for those looking at the FEC summary sheet, please note these figures account for a $1,000 refund), only $188,523 was frozen by the LA County Superior Court, pending resolution of the Kinde Durkee case. He reports $189,559 cash on hand. (I realize the math doesn’t seem to add up, but this is what’s on his FEC report.) Kang’s best case scenario is he has all his money. His worst case scenario is he gets none of the cash back, but that’s only 40% of what he’s raised compared to the wipe-out Jose Solorio and Lou Correa suffered.
Unfortunately, for Kang, even if he gets all of that money back, incumbent Republican Congressman John Campbell‘s $1,096,043 warchest still dwarfs Kang’s. Not only that, Congressional finance disclosures indicate Campbell is California’s fourth wealthiest member of the House (behind only Darrell Issa, Nancy Pelosi, and Gary Miller), with a net worth between $8-$33 million. (Including both houses of Congress, Senator Dianne Feinstein comes in ahead of Pelosi but behind Issa). When Durkee embezzled $4.6 million from Feinstein’s re-election, the Senator loaned her campaign $5 million. Needless to say, fantastically wealthy members of Congress can easily drop millions into their campaigns if they feel the need.
In the comparison of remarkably similar warchests, Todd Spitzer has $2,988 more cash on hand than John Campbell.
Republican challenger John Webb raised $23,047 and loaned himself an additional $3,200, but has already spent $23,786, leaving himself $2,460 cash on hand before accounting for debts (I assume the $1 differential on the math is due to rounding on his report).
For people wondering, the Registrar of Voters reports a 16.9% Republican registration advantage in this district. Despite a challenge from the right and a challenge by the mayor of the district’s largest city from the left, John Campbell will still cruise to re-election.
Posted in 45th Congressional District, Fundraising | Tagged: Darrell Issa, Dianne Feinstein, Gary Miller, John Campbell, John Webb, Kinde Durkee, Nancy Pelosi, Sukhee Kang, Todd Spitzer | 4 Comments »
Posted by Newsletter Reprint on February 10, 2012
This just came in from the Matt Harper for Assembly race:
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Posted in 72nd Assembly District, Fundraising | Tagged: Matt Harper | Leave a Comment »
Posted by HBK on February 7, 2012
I am prepared to see Todd Spitzer give Deborah Pauly a little sweet chin music this election, and someone pointed out something very interesting to me about Todd and his committee. Deborah Pauly has an incredible $1,250, which is enough to spend 1/3 of a cent per voter (how would that work?), while Todd Spitzer has over $1,000,000.
If you look closely at his report though you will find that Todd gained a lot of interest on the bank account holding his campaign warchest: about $64,000 of it. This is almost 60 times what Pauly has in her campaign account. While Shirley Grindle is currently busy going after Susan Schroeder, I wouldn’t be surprised to see her propose a new campaign finance law that would outlaw bank account interest.
$64,000 will certainly buy a lot of mail, and it will be awfully hard to combat with Spitzer when the bank interest he accrues could fund an entire campaign on its own. This could become very fun to watch.
Posted in 3rd Supervisorial District, Fundraising | Tagged: Deborah Pauly, Todd Spitzer | 3 Comments »
Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 2, 2012
It had been well-reported in the Fall that Kinde Durkee is charged with embezzling “hundreds of thousands of dollars” from Senator Lou Correa and over $677,000 from Assemblyman Jose Solorio. Well, now we know the totals: over $1.7 million between the two.
According to Solorio’s campaign finance filings from his four accounts, he lost $721,176, and another $154,053 is being held by the LA Superior Court pending resolution of the Durkee case. This means Solorio’s losses could be as much as $875,229. This leaves Solorio with $124,820 cash on hand. However, he has $13,489 in unpaid bills, which leaves him with just $111,331.
From Correa’s campaign finance filings from his two accounts, he lost $795,739, and another $68,744 is being held by the LA Superior Court pending resolution of the Durkee case. This means Correa’s losses could be as much as $864,483. This leaves Correa with $52,683 cash on hand. However, he has $2,346 in unpaid bills, which leaves him with $50,337. (He did set up a third account, which was a legal defense fund, in September after Durkee was charged, but that account only has a $200 personal loan from Correa).
The unintentional big winner in this is Supervisor Janet Nguyen. Correa and Solorio are Nguyen’s two most formidable potential challengers.
Nguyen has $282,577 cash on hand and $11,826 in unpaid bills, leaving her with $270,751. Solorio and Correa have $161,668 combined.
For visual learners:
| Embezzled | Held By Court |
Cash on Hand |
Unpaid Bills |
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| Solorio | $721,176 | $154,053 | $124,820 | $13,489 |
| Correa | $795,739 | $68,744 | $52,683 | $2,346 |
| Nguyen | $0 | $0 | $282,577 | $11,826 |
For the record, I am not related to Supervisor Nguyen. The last name Nguyen is held by 36% of Vietnamese people.
Posted in 1st Supervisorial District, 34th Senate District, Fundraising | Tagged: Janet Nguyen, Jose Solorio, Kinde Durkee, Lou Correa | 6 Comments »
Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 2, 2012
Former Supervisor/Assemblyman Todd Spitzer entered the race for 3rd District Supervisor in early March while Villa Park Councilwoman Deborah Pauly entered the race in mid-October. About a week ago, Pauly told Frank Mickadeit she had about $3,000 while Spitzer told Mickadeit that he had between $1-$1.5 million. The numbers in their campaign finance filings should surprise no one.
In the first 2.5 months after entering the race, Pauly raised $2,810, of which she spent $1,637. That was split between a $74 nonmonetary contribution and two payments: one for campaign literature and the other for her web site. Pauly had $1,247 cash on hand at the end of 2011.
During 2011, Spitzer transferred $1,011,583 from his DA and Central Committee accounts. On top of that, he raised $126,229, raising his warchest to $1,137,812. He spent $154,395 and has outstanding bills of $29,401, for a total of $183,796. His spending was scattered across virtually anything you can think of: consultants, treasurer, fundraiser, slate mailers, web work, printing, and even civic donations. Spitzer had $1,099,031 cash on hand at the end of 2011.
For visual learners:
| Raised | Transferred | Spent | Cash on Hand |
Unpaid Bills | |
| Pauly | $2,810 | $0 | $1,637 | $1,247 | $0 |
| Spitzer | $126,229 | $1,011,583 | $154,395 | $1,099,031 | $29,401 |
The new 3rd District consists of 336,640 voters in Anaheim Hills, Orange, Tustin, Villa Park, Yorba Linda, and most of Irvine. The new district includes the 4,600 voters in Villa Park who elected Deborah Pauly to two terms on the Council, but those voters (along with 44,000 voters in Yorba Linda) also elected Todd Spitzer to two terms on the Board of Supervisors in the 1990s version of the 3rd District. Substantial portions of the 73,000 voters in Orange elected Spitzer to two terms on the Board of Supervisors and three terms in the State Assembly. The 36,000 voters in Tustin elected Spitzer to three terms in the State Assembly.
Posted in 3rd Supervisorial District, Fundraising | Tagged: Deborah Pauly, Todd Spitzer | 4 Comments »
Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 1, 2012
In the race for the new 72nd Assembly District, Westminster Councilman Tyler Diep hopped in the race in late June while Huntington Beach Councilman Matt Harper jumped in the race in mid-October. Thus far, the money race has proved decidedly lopsided, with Diep raising nearly nine times what Harper has raised and holding nearly sixteen times the amount of cash on hand.
In the 2.5 months after he entered the race, Harper raised $15,353 and had $7,887 cash on hand (excluding $7,500 in candidate loans), as of the close of 2011.
In the first three days after he entered the race, Diep raised $50,399 and had all of it on hand, with no loans. By the end of 2011, he had raised $137,049 and still had $129,604 cash on hand. He had no candidate loans.
Both candidates spent remarkably similar amounts just under $7,500, though Harper spent mostly on slate mailers while Diep spent mostly on his campaign consultants at Revolvis and his treasurer, Lysa Ray. (I’m counting a $1,350 nonmonetary contribution to Diep from the New Santa Ana Blog as part of his spending.) However, Harper also has $14,111 in unpaid bills to his campaign consultants at Gilliard Blanning and his treasurer, David Bauer. If those unpaid bills are included and Harper spends the money he loaned to his campaign, Harper would have $1,276 cash on hand.
For visual learners:
| Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand |
Unpaid Bills |
Candidate Loans |
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| Harper | $15,353 | $7,466 | $7,887 | $14,111 | $7,500 |
| Diep | $137,049 | $7,446 | $129,604 | $0 | $0 |
The two candidates’ non-Assembly accounts (Harper’s council account, Diep’s council and sanitary district accounts) are superfluous, as those accounts have a combined $800, so it doesn’t really matter if they transfer that into their accounts.
Diep currently works for Board of Equalization Member Michelle Steel and previously worked for then-Assemblyman Van Tran. Harper currently works for OC Waste & Recycling and previously worked for Supervisor Janet Nguyen. Harper is also a fellow blogger for OC Political.
Excluding his own contribution of $10 and a $100,000 loan to himself, Orange County Board of Education Member Long Pham raised $5. He had $13,370 in expenses ($9,530 paid plus another $3,840 in unpaid bills), all of which are going to financial services or to his consultant, Premiere Strategies.
The two Democrats who pulled papers in this race, Albert Ayala and Joe Dovinh, did not raise enough to trigger electronic filing requirements.
The new AD-72 consists of Westminster, Fountain Valley, Seal Beach, Los Alamitos, Rossmoor, Midway City, most of Garden Grove, half of Huntington Beach, and a sliver of Santa Ana. AD-72 includes about 63,000 voters from Harper’s city and the 47,000 voters of Diep’s city. It also includes 131,000 voters from the Huntington Beach Union High School District, where Harper was elected to three terms, and 52,000 voters from the Midway City Sanitary District, where Diep was elected to two terms.
Posted in 72nd Assembly District, Fundraising | Tagged: Albert Ayala, Gilliard Blanning, Joe Dovinh, Long Pham, Matt Harper, Premiere Strategies, Revolvis, Tyler Diep | 2 Comments »
Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 1, 2012
In the race for the new 74th District, Assemblyman Allan Mansoor raised more, but Newport Beach Councilwoman Leslie Daigle has more cash on hand, according to the latest campaign finance filings.
Mansoor raised $207,247 in 2011 between his two Assembly campaign accounts (2010 and 2012). He has not yet transferred money into his 2012 account, which I assume he will do at some point in 2012. Of that nearly quarter-million dollars, Mansoor has $60,875 cash on hand. The bulk of the money was spent on loan/debt repayment and payments to The Bovee Company, AimPoint, and Visteva.
Daigle transferred $23,250 from her Council account and raised an additional $111,818 in 2011 for her Assembly campaign. She spent $15,365, most of which went to polling company Wilson Perkins Allen (formerly Wilson Research Strategies). Interestingly, she spent $230 on Kenny the Printer, who many will recall is the favored printer of Democrat Larry Agran’s machine in Irvine.
For visual learners:
| Raised | Transferred | Spent | Cash on Hand | Unpaid Bills | Candidate Loans | |
| Mansoor | $207,247 | $0 | $117,312 | $60,875 | $4,060 | $25,000 |
| Daigle | $111,818 | $23,250 | $15,365 | $119,703 | $0 | $0 |
Huntington Beach Councilman Joe Carchio entered the race just two weeks ago, so no campaign finance filings will be available from him until March.
An independent by the name of Paul Vann has not yet reached the $1,000 threshold required to file a campaign committee with the Secretary of State.
No Democrats have pulled papers to run in this race.
The new AD-74 consists of Costa Mesa, Laguna Beach, Laguna Woods, Newport Beach, most of Irvine, and half of Huntington Beach. AD-74 includes about 67,000 voters from Huntington Beach, where voters elected Carchio to two terms on the City Council; the 63,000 voters from Newport Beach, where voters elected Daigle to two terms on the City Council; and the 58,000 voters of Mansoor’s hometown of Costa Mesa, where voters have elected Mansoor to office three times (two terms on the City Council and one term in the Assembly).
Posted in 74th Assembly District, Fundraising | Tagged: AimPoint, Allan Mansoor, Bovee Company, Joe Carchio, Kenny the Printer, Leslie Daigle, Paul Vann, Visteva, Wilson Perkins Allen | 3 Comments »