OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Archive for June, 2012

Prop. 28 Leads by Double-Digit Margin in All Polls

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 2, 2012

The latest Field Poll released on Thursday shows Proposition 28 (term limits) leading 50%-28%, with 22% undecided. The poll measured likely voters from May 21-29.

Here’s a comparison of polling on Proposition 28 (term limits) over time:

Dates Poll Yes No Spread
5/21-5/29 Field 50% 28% Yes +22%
5/17-5/21 USC/LAT 49% 33% Yes +16%
5/14-5/20 PPIC 62% 29% Yes +33%
3/14-3/19 USC/LAT 51% 32% Yes +19%
2/21-2/28 PPIC 68% 24% Yes +44%

Compensating for variation in polls, note that the PPIC poll found Prop 28 declined from a 44% lead to a 33% lead while the USC/LA Times poll found Prop 28 declined from 19% to 16%.

The PPIC poll found that Prop 28 leads in every subgroup they had: Republicans (63%-28%), Democrats (60%-31%), Independents [no party preference] (66%-22%), conservatives (64%-26%), moderates (66%-26%), liberals (55%-36%), college graduates (56%-35%), people with some college education (66%-25%), and people with a high school education or less (65%-24%).

The USC/LA Times poll also found that Prop 28 leads in almost every subgroup they had: Republicans (46%-36%), Democrats (51%-30%), decline-to-state [no party preference/independents] 52%-35%), third party (35%-32%), whites (50%-32%), Latinos (53%-31%), minorities overall (50%-31%), people with children (47%-39%), people without children (50%-30%), people aged 30-39 (43%-31%), people aged 40-49 (57%-29%), people aged 50-64 (53%-31%), and people over 64 (52%-29%).

The USC/LA Times poll found that black voters actually oppose Prop 28 by a 45%-34% margin, and people aged 18-29 oppose Prop 28 by a 42%-37% margin.

The Field Poll also found that Prop 28 leads in every subgroup they had: Republicans (50%-32%), Democrats (50%-25%), no party preference [independent]/other (51%-30%), conservatives (45%-32%), moderates (59%-22%), liberals (46%-33%), LA County (46%-29%), Southern California outside LA County (49%-31%), San Francisco Bay Area (52%-30%), Northern California outside the Bay Area (55%-23%), men (53%-32%), women (48%-25%), people aged 18-39 (50%-23%), people aged 40-64 (50%-29%), people 65 and older (50%-31%), precinct [poll] voters (48%-28%), and mail ballot [absentee] voters (52%-29%).

Posted in California | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Episode VIII: Education

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on June 2, 2012

This came across the wire earlier this week from the office of Congressman John Campbell:

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Episode VII – Education:
In 1979, President Jimmy Carter created the Federal Department of Education. He did it to make the quality of education in this country better. This year, that department will have an administrative budget of $69 billion. That does not include the roughly $19 billion in federal dollars we will spend on education entitlements like Pell Grants and student loans.

The question is simple: Is American education better now than it was in 1979? Has spending trillions of federal dollars over the last 33 years led to America’s students consistently receiving a superior level of education?
The answer is painfully obvious. NO! So, why are we still trying to do what has failed for over 30 years expecting to achieve positive results?!

Sorry. I’ll calm down now. I have included education in this “Fix It” series on how to jump start two new decades of American hegemony, growth and prosperity because, like infrastructure, a strong education system is a prerequisite to growth and prosperity. So then, what is the state of education in America? In order to analyze our system, we have to break education into two distinct categories which are in very different places right now: K-12 education and higher education.

We already have the finest higher education system in the world, bar none. This is so for a number of reasons. Amongst them is that we have many private, public and for-profit colleges competing with one another in the marketplace. There is relatively little government interference in this category, which is a significant part of its success. Unfortunately, President Obama recently indicated that he would like the government to regulate what a unit of higher education is and how much it can cost. This is the President’s road map to screw up a part of America that is actually working. Unbelievable!

Higher education is too expensive. But, that is not because the government has not interfered enough. It is because it has interfered too much. Over the last 30 years, the inflation rate on higher education tuition has been greater than any other part of the economy. Health care is second. The increases in both dwarf the inflation rate for energy or housing or food. And, do you notice something in common with higher ed and health care? Both have a lot of government subsidies. The increases in college tuition have largely corresponded with the increases in federal assistance. When I was an undergrad at UCLA in the mid-1970s, my tuition (I remember well) was $625.50 per year. Today, in-state tuition at UCLA is $12,686 per year. That means it has increased more than 20 times over that time period. Gas and housing have also gone up over that period, but not by 2000%. And, that is in spite of increases in California tax rates since then.  Now, all this being said, the state of higher education could be much worse. But, if we are concerned about the cost, we should be looking at whether federal subsidies have caused higher tuitions, rather than helped reduced them.

Unfortunately, our K-12 system is in a different place. We do NOT have the finest primary and secondary education system in the world. And, we do NOT have many private, public and for-profit K-12 schools competing in the marketplace. There are roughly 98,700 public schools in the United States. There are about 33,700 private ones. The details of fixing K-12 education are way beyond the scope of this series. But, there’s one thing I know: We can’t fix 98,700 schools from Washington, DC. We can’t even fix California schools from Sacramento. Parents, teachers and administrators closer to the problem should have more freedom and flexibility to respond to their own unique needs.

So, get rid of the Department of Education. Save half the money the department currently costs and give the other half directly to the states and local school districts. However, most importantly, give them the flexibility to create competition and fix their problems. They will do it.

Until next time, I remain respectfully,


Congressman John Campbell
Member of Congress

Posted in 45th Congressional District | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Taxin Troy Edgar

Posted by OC Insider on June 2, 2012

Today, I received another great mail piece from Travis Allen for Assembly.   This is the first hit piece that I received from Travis and I have to say it is probably the best hit piece have seen this cycle.

The image of Taxin Troy Edgar is definitely going to stick in my mind.  I am attaching a scan of the piece to this post for people to check out.

Image

Image

Will this mail piece be enough to make the race competitive?  I am not sure, but I a bet a lot of voters will have a picture of Taxin Troy Edgar in their heads when they vote on Tuesday.

Also, it looks like Travis has found one of Troy’s real weaknesses.  Edgar’s horrible voting record on taxes and his refusal to sign the No New Tax Pledge might hunt him on Tuesday.

Here is a LINK to a Press Release that OC-Breeze posted about Edgar’s refusal to sign the No New Tax Pledge.

Posted in 72nd Assembly District, Fountain Valley, Fountain Valley School District, Garden Grove, Garden Grove Unified School District, Huntington Beach, Huntington Beach City School District, Huntington Beach Union High School District, Los Alamitos, Los Alamitos Unified School District, Ocean View School District, Orange County, Rossmoor, Rossmoor Community Services District, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District, Seal Beach, Sunset Beach Sanitary District, Surfside Colony Community Services District, Westminster, Westminster School District | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

Public Safety Slate Mailer Controversy

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 1, 2012

Ironically enough I was intending to post this slate mailer over the weekend, but due to a press release just issued by the Orange County Professional Firefighters Association I couldn’t wait until tomorrow to post this.

In my mailbox this week I received the California Public Safety Voter Guide. It was another well done slate from Landslide Communications and Jim Lacy. It appears that the Orange County Professional Firefighters Association is not that thrilled to see the use of a firefighter on the front of the piece.

Here is the slate mailer:

The following is the press release just issued by the Orange County Professional Firefighters Association:

The Orange County Professional Firefighters Association has become aware of a slate mailer titled the California Public Safety Newsletter and Voter Guide (see attached). The mailer features a prominent image of a firefighter engaged in firefighting operations. As the largest public safety firefighting organization in Orange County, the Orange County Professional Firefighters Association was surprised by the depiction of firefighters on the mailer alongside prominent conservative candidates who have previously opposed organizations representing the men and women who serve in fire and emergency services. Our organization is hopeful this mailer signals the end of vitriolic attacks on firefighters and other public safety employees, and we are pleased to accept the support of prominent conservative individuals such as former CRP Executive Committee member Jon Fleischman and current State Assemblymember Allan Mansoor. We look forward to the support of such prominent individuals within the conservative movement as the union representing the 950 men and women protecting 24 cities with a population of 1.7 million citizens. As the County of Orange enters what could potentially be a difficult fire season, the Orange County Professional Firefighters Association would like to confirm that conservatives such as Mr. Fleischman and others supported by the California Public Safety Newsletter and Voter Guide will, in the future, support public safety issues relating to fire protection, including:

1. Support funding to keep current staffing levels at John Wayne Airport, as well as the OCFA Handcrew Program that is slated to be curtailed at the end of current calendar year.

2. Support the 36 firefighter positions that were recommended but never adopted by the OCFA’s After Action report after the devastating firestorms of 2007 and 2008.

The Orange County Professional Firefighters Association is an issue based organization that enthusiastically accepts support from individuals regardless of their political affiliation. We are hopeful this mailer signals real support among conservatives in Orange County – and not just political posturing — and that we will be able to count on them to help advance our goals of improving the public safety of all Orange County citizens.

 

 

Posted in Mail, Orange County Fire Authority | 3 Comments »

Where is Orly Taitz’s Naturalization Certificate?

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 1, 2012

Happy Friday, readers!  Today, we’ll take a look at a rather under-covered issue in this year’s U.S. Senate race.

Back in April 2011, Barack Obama released his birth certificate.  Earlier this week, on Tuesday, Mitt Romney released his birth certificate.

Birth Certificates for Barack Obama & Mitt Romney

Barack Obama’s birth certificate (left) and Mitt Romney’s birth certificate (right)

These birth certificates indicate that Obama was born in Honolulu, Hawaii while Romney was born in Detroit, Michigan.  The documents also state that Obama’s mother was born in Kansas while Romney’s mother was born in Utah.  These certificates also show that Obama’s father was born in the foreign country of Kenya while Romney’s father was born in the foreign country of Mexico.

Article II, Section 1 of the Constitution requires:

No Person except a natural born Citizen, or a Citizen of the United States, at the time of the Adoption of this Constitution, shall be eligible to the Office of President; neither shall any Person be eligible to that Office who shall not have attained to the Age of thirty five Years, and been fourteen Years a Resident within the United States.

So only a natural born citizen can be President of the United States.

U.S. Senate candidate Orly Taitz has repeatedly launched lawsuits challenging the authenticity of Obama’s birth certificate and asserting that Obama is not a natural born citizen.

Article I, Section 3 of the Constitution requires:

No Person shall be a Senator who shall not have attained to the Age of thirty Years, and been nine Years a Citizen of the United States, and who shall not, when elected, be an Inhabitant of that State for which he shall be chosen.

Taitz freely states that she was born in the former Soviet Union in present-day Moldova.  She claims she became a naturalized citizen in 1992.  However, she has never released her naturalization certificate.

Obama and Romney have released their birth certificates, yet Taitz has not released her naturalization certificate.  If she were simply a private citizen, she’d have no obligation to do so, but now that she is running for the United States Senate, should it not be incumbent upon her to prove that she meets the constitutional requirements to become a U.S. Senator?

If she is a properly-naturalized citizen, then Taitz should just release her naturalization certificate.  Why hasn’t she released her naturalization certificate?  Does she have something to hide?

Posted in California, National | Tagged: , , , , | 3 Comments »

Two Bloggers Suspended from OC Political

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 1, 2012

Third Supervisorial District Candidates

The two candidates for the Third Supervisorial District who were the subjects of the blog posts by HBK and The Rock of OC

Well, you’ve likely seen the two immediately prior posts, one each from HBK and The Rock of OC.  We had warned HBK and The Rock of OC to refrain from posting their propagandistic blogs regarding the Third Supervisorial District.  We had urged them to post about things that were outside the scope of the Third Supervisorial District contest, as those two bloggers had been using their posts simply to promote their favorite supervisorial candidate and attack that candidate’s opponent.

They have been unable to post about things outside of their propaganda relating to the Third Supervisorial District race and have abused the privilege of blogging here.

In light of their inability to restrain themselves, we have decided to take the extraordinary step of suspending those two bloggers.  They have lost their ability to post on this blog until June 6, the day after the Third Supervisorial District election is over.

Posted in Uncategorized | 12 Comments »

Special-Interest Spitzer Uses $17,000 in Union Money to Attack Pauly

Posted by The Rock of OC on June 1, 2012

The Chrises told me to back off of the Third Supervisorial District, and they’d get HBK to back off.  Since HBK broke that agreement, I’m coming back in.

Before Chuck DeVore left the Supervisor’s race, leaving Deborah Pauly to fill the conservative void, DeVore produced this commercial revealing Todd Spitzer’s $54,000 in union money from the AFL-CIO, Teamsters, and CTA.  Special-Interest Spitzer put all that union money in Spitzer for Central Committee.

Spitzer then used the $17,000 from Spitzer for Central Committee to create a hit piece attacking Pauly and her husband.  It’s clear Spitzer used union money to attack Pauly.

Here’s the video from DeVore revealing Spitzer’s $54,000 in union money.  The “slush fund” DeVore referenced is Spitzer for Central Committee.

Posted in 3rd Supervisorial District, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »