OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

BREAKING NEWS: Keith Curry Jumps Into AD 74 Race

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on December 4, 2013

Keith_Curry_Newport_Beach_CouncilmanNewport Beach Mayor Keith Curry has declared his candidacy for the open 74th Assembly District seat.

Curry was first appointed to the Newport Beach City Council in 2006 and has run three elections, including two with well-funded opposition, winning both by 10 points (He was unopposed in 2012).

For over 20 years, Curry was a partner/owner of the nation’s largest public finance consulting organization, Public Financial Management where he advised states, cities and local agencies throughout the nation.  The firm was sold to a private equity group in 2009 and Curry retired in 2011 to form the Center for Public Policy at Concordia University.  He put together a board of bi-partisan heavyweights and has hosted several events in the past two years.

Curry also teaches public policy and government leadership courses in Concordia’s graduate business school.

Curry has a long Republican history, serving for five years in the Ronald Reagan administration as the Special Assistant to the Federal Transit Administrator, and prior to that as a Deputy to Los Angeles County Supervisor Pete Schabarum. In 2011, he led efforts to create a Ronald Reagan Centennial Memorial in Newport Beach.

In 1978-79, Curry worked with Paul Gann and managed the qualification effort of Gann’s “Spirit of 13 Initiative” that limited the growth of government spending.  Proposition 4 as it was known actually resulted in state tax rebates under Governor Deukmejian, but was later modified to limit its effectiveness.

A 20 year member of the Lincoln Club, Curry demonstrated strong fundraising capability in his city council races.  As the only candidate with the personal financial resources to self-fund his campaign, Curry appears to be in a very strong position out of the gate.

He was selected by his fellow elected officials to be the President of the Association of California Cities Orange County, President of the Orange County Division of the League of Cities, and President of the Orange County Parks Commission.

One of the biggest advantages that Curry has is his name identification in AD-74 both as a Newport Beach Councilmember and his teaching at Concordia in Irvine. His candidacy will likely end any speculation of Leslie Daigle jumping into the AD-74 fray.

Based on the current field, Curry will likely be fighting it out with Huntington Beach Mayor Matt Harper to win this seat. Other candidates that have declared their intention to run for this seat include AD-72 staffer Emanuel Patrascu and former Santa Ana City Council candidate Karina Onofre. In my initial posts profiling AD-74 I had mentioned former CRP Treasurer Keith Carlson as a potential candidate for the seat. Everybody I have been talking with has stated that they doubt that Carlson will run for the seat and as of today he has not opened a campaign committee. Unless I hear otherwise I will exclude Carlson from future posts on the topic of AD-74.

Harper and Curry are Councilmembers in two of the larger cities in AD-74. Newport Beach has approximately 50,000 registered voters and Huntington Beach has approximately 53,000 voters. Irvine is the largest city in AD-74 with it being home to approximately 62,000 voters but none of the three Irvine Council Republicans Steven Choi, Jeff Lalloway, or Christina Shea expected to announce their candidacy for this seat, especially since Choi and Lalloway live in AD-68.

This race is going to be extremely interesting and we here at OC Political will keep you posted on new developments as they happen in AD-74.

Posted in 74th Assembly District, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Newport Beach | Tagged: , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

AD-55 & AD-74: Assembly Candidates Ascend to Mayorships

Posted by Chris Nguyen on December 4, 2013

Yorba Linda Mayor Craig Young

Yorba Linda Mayor
Craig Young

Huntington Beach Mayor Matt Harper

Huntington Beach Mayor
Matt Harper

In a handy tool for their State Assembly campaigns, AD-55 Candidate Craig Young became Mayor of Yorba Linda last night and AD-74 Candidate Matt Harper became Mayor of Huntington Beach on Monday night.

Being mayor during the same year as an Assembly candidacy lends itself to a few helpful advantages:

  • “Mayor” is stronger than “Councilman” as a ballot designation.  Many voters do not realize that most California mayors are effectively the chair of the city council; these voters instead think of executive mayors, like the types in Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco, New York City, and Chicago.  (For the political scientists out there, many California voters believe they live in a city with a “strong mayor-council” system when in reality, most California cities have “council-manager” systems.)
  • Mayors tend to get more press coverage than councilmembers, as reporters are more likely to quote a mayor than a councilmember.
  • Mayors get more of the spotlight at community events.  Rather than asking five or seven councilmembers to speak at an event, most organizers will simply ask the mayor to speak.  After all, people attending a community event would generally prefer to hear a speech from one politician rather than speeches from about a half-dozen politicians.

At this point in the AD-55 race, Young’s opponents for the Republican nomination are Diamond Bar Councilwoman Ling-Ling Chang and Walnut Valley Unified School Board Member Phillip Chen.  Chang will not be mayor during her Assembly bid, as Carol Herrera became Mayor of Diamond Bar last night.  AD-55 Incumbent Curt Hagman is termed out.  You can find previous OC Political posts on the AD-55 race here.

Mayor Harper is the only elected official to have thrown his hat in the AD-74 ring as of this morning.  His two opponents for the Republican nomination are 2010 Laguna Beach City Council Candidate Emanuel Patrascu, whose day job is as District Director for State Assemblyman Travis Allen, and 2012 Santa Ana City Council Candidate Karina Onofre, whose day job is split between working for H&R Block and as a Field Representative for State Senator Bob Huff.  AD-74 Incumbent Allan Mansoor is running for Orange County Supervisor.  You can find previous OC Political posts on the AD-74 race here.

Posted in 55th Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, Huntington Beach, Yorba Linda | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Campaign Finance Research Report: 3rd Supervisorial District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on December 3, 2013

Orange County Board of Supervisors

3rd District

330px-Seal_of_Orange_County,_California_svg

Deborah Pauly

Totals

Category

Total $$$

Individuals  $  18,370.00
Union  $             –
Businesses  $       700.00
Trade Association  $             –
Political  $             –
Total  $  19,070.00


Chart
       Deborah_Pauly_Chart

Database

Category

Donor

 $$$

Individuals
Abdella, Jean A.  $       225.00
Atanous, Christmas  $       200.00
Barbre, Brett  $       250.00
Barsa, Joseph S.  $       450.00
Bell, Tim  $       225.00
Bjorklund, Lynn  $       200.00
Bowden, Melanie  $       100.00
Bragg, Stephanie  $       500.00
Brown, Paul  $     1,000.00
Calvin, Marilyn G.  $       350.00
Christian, Suzanne  $       500.00
Cone, Linda  $       200.00
Davenort, Marilyn R.  $       450.00
Desantis, Frank  $       125.00
Dfelix, Michael  $       250.00
Dickerson, Valerie  $       200.00
Everett, Elise G.  $       250.00
Fasbender, Angela  $       125.00
Felix, Chris J.  $       250.00
Gamboa, Rosilee  $       250.00
Giacobbi, Peter  $       100.00
Grabowski, Sonya E.  $     1,800.00
Guleserian, Mary  $       250.00
Gulsvig, Stephen  $       100.00
Gunderson, Edward  $       225.00
Haight, Jerry  $       200.00
Hollingsworth, Marilyn   C.  $       250.00
Jordan, Kelly L.  $       200.00
Kepner, Roger  $       100.00
Madole, Milton J.  $       200.00
Mahler, Roberta  $       125.00
Marcus, Kim E.  $       100.00
Mavali, Bruce  $       135.00
Miller, M. Lynne  $       100.00
Milstead, Tracy  $       500.00
Miskanic, Judy  $       200.00
Moeller, Steven  $       300.00
Murphy, Gloria  $       250.00
Nazzareno, Leissa  $       150.00
Nitikman, Mark  $       100.00
Obuljen, Ellie  $       200.00
Passanisi, John  $       200.00
Quick, Victoria  $       400.00
Reichert, James  $       100.00
Richardson, Catherine  $       200.00
Rodberg, Pat  $       100.00
Rogers, Nicholas  $       100.00
Runnion, David  $       200.00
Schroeder, Michael  $     1,800.00
Scott, Shelly  $       100.00
Silzel, Mary  $       100.00
Simon, Rebecca  $       300.00
Steinbergs, Mark A.  $       200.00
Sufficool, Norman  $       200.00
Tavour, Sargon  $       150.00
Townsend, Zonya  $       110.00
Truckey, Colleen  $       100.00
Verbarg, Francine  $       200.00
Wakeham, Selma  $       400.00
Walters, Robert  $       225.00
Wayland, Mark D.  $       100.00
Weber, Joann  $       200.00
Wedermeyer, Harriett   A.  $       100.00
Western, Judy  $       500.00
Wilder, Deborah  $       200.00
Yuhan, Anna M.  $       400.00
Totals  $ 18,370.00
Unions
Totals  $              –
Businesses
Hon Yu, M.D. Inc.  $       100.00
Sonnett Technologies Inc  $       600.00
Totals  $       700.00
Trade Association
 Totals  $              –
Political
Totals  $              –


Todd Spitzer

Totals

Category

Total $$$

Individuals  $  25,719.00
Union  $             –
Businesses  $  32,025.00
Trade Association  $       700.00
Political  $    2,700.00
Total  $  61,144.00

Chart

Todd_Spitzer_Chart

Database

Category

Donor

 $$$

Individuals
Broderick, Edwina  $       100.00
Brown, Cherie Lynn  $       100.00
Brown, David Lee  $       150.00
Copeland, Mark  $       500.00
Dieckell, Claus  $     1,000.00
Finch, Dan  $       200.00
Floyd, Raymond  $       100.00
Follman, Carole  $     1,800.00
Follman, Robert  $       700.00
Gaynor-McCue, Diane  $       500.00
Greig, Celeste  $       300.00
Halle, Brian  $       100.00
Hayhoe, John  $     1,000.00
Hellmers, Michael  $       300.00
Howarth, Ronald  $       125.00
Hurdle, Steve  $       100.00
Kabashima, John  $       199.00
Kachigian, Kenneth  $       250.00
Kelly, Anne  $       125.00
Khanlar, Mark  $       250.00
King, Westley  $       100.00
Kurtz, Todd  $       500.00
Lamb, Gary  $       600.00
Levy, Mark  $       100.00
Martin, John Robert  $     1,000.00
McConnell, Dr. James  $     1,000.00
Newman, Eileen  $       100.00
Ngo, Ernest  $       125.00
Nichelsen, Christopher   P.  $     1,000.00
Norwood, Bill  $       500.00
Olson, Craig  $     1,000.00
Pack, Jeff  $     1,000.00
Pack, Robert Clyde  $     1,000.00
Patel, Ajesh  $         20.00
Perozzi, Brad  $       100.00
Peters, Scott  $       100.00
Price, Joseph  $       125.00
Recupero, Michael  $     1,000.00
Sahota, Harvinder  $       250.00
Samaha, Devin  $       100.00
Sandhu, Jimmy  $       300.00
Sears, Theresa  $       100.00
Secor, Alan  $       100.00
Sette, Alan  $       100.00
Shockley, David  $       150.00
Smith, David  $       200.00
Spitzer, Dr. Michael  $       200.00
Strader, Patrick  $       800.00
Stratford, Laura  $       100.00
Tauvek, Michael  $       250.00
Telson, Rob  $       100.00
Townsend, Christopher  $     1,800.00
Townsend, Michele  $     1,800.00
Villasenor, Isabelle  $       250.00
Ware, Jay  $     1,000.00
Warner, John  $       150.00
Watt, Jeann  $       100.00
Will, George  $       100.00
Wright, Donald  $       500.00
Totals  $ 25,719.00
Unions
Totals  $              –
Businesses
Americare Amblance  $       250.00
Arcadis  $     1,500.00
Butsko Utility Design, Inc.  $       500.00
Career Networks Institute  $     1,500.00
Colleen O’Hara’s Beauty Academy  $     1,500.00
Corona Air Ventures, LLC  $       500.00
Don’s Bail Bonds  $       100.00
Douglas G. Wymore Plc.  $       600.00
Dr. Birinder S. Sahai Cottage Pet Hospital, Inc.  $       200.00
Group Delta Consultants, Inc.  $     1,000.00
Hall & Foreman, Inc.  $     1,500.00
Integrated Healthcare Holdings  $     1,800.00
JES Engineering Contractors, Inc.  $     1,000.00
JMI Santiago Partners  $     1,000.00
John O. Bronson Co., Inc.  $     1,500.00
Kmack Construction  $       100.00
Lake Development –   Anaheim, LLC  $       500.00
Law Offices of Robert Hawkins  $       125.00
Leighton Consulting   Inc.  $       250.00
Monarch Healthcare  $     1,000.00
Nakae & Associates, Inc.  $       500.00
Northgate Gonzalez LLC  $       400.00
Northstar Surveys, Inc.  $     1,000.00
Pacific Marina Development  $     1,800.00
Paskerian, Block, Martindale & Brinton LLP  $     1,000.00
Planning Solutions, Inc.  $     1,000.00
Platinum Advisors LLC  $     1,800.00
Prime Healthcare Anaheim, LLC, DBA West Anaheim Medical Center  $     1,000.00
Rush N. Hill, II S.P.C.  $       250.00
S R H Management  $       300.00
Salisbury Law Group  $       700.00
SCS Engineers  $     1,800.00
Tenet  $     1,000.00
The Whitaker Professional Corporation  $     1,000.00
Veolia Transportation  $       250.00
Yorba Linda Estates, LLC  $     1,800.00
Totals  $ 32,025.00
Trade Association
Builders & Contractors PAC  $       500.00
Orange County Automobile Dealers Association PAC  $       200.00
 Totals  $       700.00
Political
Committee for Improved Public Policy Local Account  $     1,200.00
Orange Park Acres PAC  $     1,500.00
Totals  $     2,700.00

Posted in 3rd Supervisorial District | Tagged: , , | 2 Comments »

Campaign Finance Research Report: 1st Supervisorial District

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on December 3, 2013

Orange County Board of Supervisors

1st District

330px-Seal_of_Orange_County,_California_svg

Janet Nguyen

Totals

Category

Total $$$

Individuals  $  73,304.70
Union  $             –
Businesses  $  53,849.00
Trade Association  $       817.00
Political  $             –
Total  $   127,970.70


Chart

 Janet_Nguyen_Chart

Database

Category

Donor

 $$$

Individuals
Adams, L. Joseph  $       500.00
Anderson, Susan  $       250.00
Asner, Elizabeth  $       250.00
Boktor Jr., Monir  $       250.00
Bolar, Daniel  $       500.00
Brothman, Edith  $       300.00
Bui, Cuong  $     1,600.00
Bui, Phat  $     1,800.00
Capouya, Lynn  $       250.00
Caskey, Susan  $       250.00
Chi, Dinh  $     1,800.00
Chopra, Jagdish  $       125.00
Cohen, Saralyn  $       250.00
Compton, Tanya  $       250.00
Dang, Nathan  $     1,600.00
Dao, Jason Huy  $     1,800.00
Dickerson, Kenneth  $       200.00
Dong, Nam Si  $     1,300.00
Dykema, Sandra  $     1,800.00
Gilwee, Bernadette  $       100.00
Hammack, Mary  $       100.00
Hammer Sr., Joseph  $       250.00
Harper, Matthew  $       100.00
Hong, John  $     1,300.00
Horowitz, Michelle  $     1,800.00
Huynh, Chinh V.  $       500.00
Huynh, Chinh Van  $       500.00
Huynh, Long  $     1,000.00
Jensen, Jeffrey  $       250.00
Kennington, Milas  $       250.00
Kim, Charles  $       250.00
Knox, Dennis  $       250.00
Krishan, Deepak  $       250.00
Lacy, James  $       250.00
Lam, Tony  $     1,550.00
Le, Annie  $     1,800.00
Le, Mimi  $     1,800.00
Le, Thoai  $     1,200.00
Malm, Rachelle  $       250.00
Masoum, Nazi  $       250.00
Matsutsuya, Keith  $       800.00
Mercado, David  $     1,800.00
Mercado, Mimi  $     1,800.00
Myers, Craig  $       250.00
Myszka Sr., James  $     1,800.00
Myszka, Rose Marie  $     1,800.00
Newen, Peter  $     1,000.00
Nghiem, Hoa Nguyen  $     1,800.00
Ngo, William  $     1,000.00
Nguyen, Alex  $     1,800.00
Nguyen, Anthony  $       300.00
Nguyen, Catherine  $     1,500.00
Nguyen, Connie  $       800.00
Nguyen, Helen  $     1,500.00
Nguyen, Huong Thi  $     1,600.00
Nguyen, Khiem  $       500.00
Nguyen, Kieu Lan  $     1,200.00
Nguyen, Michael  $     1,300.00
Nguyen, Quang  $     1,600.00
Nguyen, Susan  $     1,400.00
Nguyen, Thoa  $     1,800.00
Nguyen, Troy Thang  $       300.00
Norris, Doug  $       250.00
Patel, Ajesh  $       250.00
Pham, Alexander  $     1,600.00
Pham, Dung  $       500.00
Pham, Hong  $     1,800.00
Pham, Thuy T. LB  $       250.00
Probolsky, Adam  $       679.70
Rajpoot, Nisha  $       250.00
Rivas, Patricia  $       250.00
Sahota, Harvinder  $       250.00
Sanchez, Patricia  $       250.00
Sandhu, Hardeep  $       250.00
Sandhu, Jimmy  $       300.00
Shin, James  $     1,000.00
Skaist, Mark  $       500.00
Slagle, Larry  $       250.00
Stirrat, Bryan  $       100.00
Sunda, Sharon  $       500.00
Taylor, Carl  $       150.00
Tran, An Manh  $     1,000.00
Tran, Ly  $     1,100.00
Villasenor, Isabelle  $       250.00
Vo, Caitlyn  $     1,700.00
Vu, Nancy  $       100.00
Vu, Nguyen  $     1,800.00
Wong, Jhon  $       250.00
Zhong, Jian  $     1,000.00
Totals  $ 73,304.70
Unions
Totals  $              –
Businesses
2001 Dana Point Marina Co.  $       500.00
888 Business Network   Inc.  $     1,800.00
AKM Consulting Engineers  $       250.00
Anaheim General Hospital, Ltd  $     1,000.00
Belshire Environmental Services, Inc.  $     1,800.00
C.J. Segerstrom &   Sons  $       300.00
Cofiroute USA, LLC  $       500.00
Corona Air Ventures, LLC  $       500.00
Cottage Pet Hospital, Inc.  $       100.00
CR&R Incorporated  $       800.00
Danh’s Pharmacy  $       500.00
Disney Worldwide Services, Inc.  $       800.00
Do Construction & Design, Inc.  $     1,800.00
Dong Tam Corp.  $     1,800.00
Easy Choice Health Plan, Inc.  $     1,000.00
Empire Surgical Center Inc.  $     1,800.00
Empire Water Corporation  $       750.00
EMS Management LLC  $       250.00
Enterprise Holdings, Inc.  $       750.00
Garment Line, Inc.  $     1,800.00
Griffin Structures, Inc.  $       250.00
GXD Trading And Leasing Inc.  $     1,500.00
Harris & Associates  $       249.00
Harris Consulting Firm  $       100.00
Healthcare System 2000s  $     1,800.00
HMS Host  $       550.00
Howard S. Kunihiro, DDS  $       250.00
Huntington Westminster  $       250.00
Inland Group  $       250.00
Integrated Healthcare Holdings, Inc.  $       250.00
International Royale Homes, Inc.  $       350.00
Jacaranda Insurance Agency Inc.  $       500.00
Jaclynn Do, M.D., Inc.  $     1,000.00
Lake Development – Anaheim, LLC  $       250.00
Lee’s Sandwiches  $     1,600.00
Legacy Aviation LLC  $       500.00
Lyle Overby &   Associates  $     1,800.00
Metropro Towing, Inc  $       250.00
Nhu Truoung, M.D.  $       800.00
Organic Tree  $       500.00
Pacific Marina Development Inc.  $     1,800.00
Pacifica Pharmacy Corporation  $     1,800.00
Parking Concepts Inc.  $       100.00
Pediatrics Neonatology Medical Group Of Orange County Inc.  $       500.00
Peninsula Hotel Management, LLC  $     1,000.00
Premiercare IPA, Inc.  $       750.00
PsomasFMG, LLC  $     1,000.00
Republic Services, Inc.  $       500.00
Ritter Development Corporation  $     1,800.00
Riverside Airport Industrial Partners, LP  $     1,800.00
RMV Community Development, LLC  $       200.00
S R H Management  $       100.00
Scott Weimer And Associates., Ltd.  $       500.00
Sempra Energy  $       250.00
Sunny Realty & Management, Inc.  $         50.00
Tana Pharmacy  $       100.00
Tenet  $     1,000.00
Thanh M. Nguyen, MD. Inc. Co.  $     1,500.00
The Law Offices of Kermit D. Marsh  $       250.00
The Whitaker Professional Corporation  $       500.00
Tierra Verde Industries  $     1,000.00
TMSI  $       250.00
Trish Care Inc.  $     1,600.00
Tustin Hospital And   Medical Center  $       250.00
VCS Environmental  $       250.00
Vista Surgical Center  $     1,800.00
W & R Consulting, Inc.  $     1,000.00
Western Medical Management, LLC  $       400.00
Totals  $ 53,849.00
Trade Association
Associated Builders And Contractors Of Southern California PAC  $       250.00
California Hospital Association PAC  $       317.00
National Association Of Industrial & Office Properties Orange County PAC  $       250.00
 Totals  $       817.00
Political

Totals

 $              –

Steve Rocco

This candidate for Orange County Board of Supervisors, 1st District either filled out a “Form 470” which states that they would raise/spend less than $1,000 or raised less than $1,000 and still filed “Form 460” documents with the Orange County Registrar of Voters.

Posted in 1st Supervisorial District | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

CD-45 Watch: Moorlach Is In

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on December 2, 2013

Orange County Supervisor Jon Moorlach has been a rumored candidate for the 45th Congressional District since July. I received confirmation last night from a source that Moorlach appears to have made it official and a campaign event is set for next week on Monday December 9th at The Winery in Tustin from 5:30 PM-7:30 PM. MoorlachAt some point in the near future I will do an analysis on CD 45, but my early opinion is that regardless of fundraising John Moorlach is the front-runner for the seat in a field that currently includes Mimi Walters, Pat Maciarello, and Greg Raths. Here is the announcement (forgive the note on it, my source wrote directly on the page that they should send it to Chris N. and myself):

Moorlach_Fundraiser

Posted in 45th Congressional District | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Happy Thanksgiving

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on November 28, 2013

In honor of today being Thanksgiving, I am posting a press release that has been sitting around for quite a while:

Washington, D.C. October 3, 1863

This is the proclamation which set the precedent for America’s  national day of Thanksgiving. During his administration,  President Lincoln issued many orders similar to this. For example, on  November 28, 1861, he ordered government departments closed for  a local day of thanksgiving.

 Sarah Josepha Hale, a 74-year-old magazine editor, wrote a letter to Lincoln  on September 28, 1863, urging him to have the “day of our annual Thanksgiving  made a National and fixed Union Festival.” She explained, “You may have observed  that, for some years past, there has been an increasing interest felt in  our land to have the Thanksgiving held on the same day, in all the States;  it now needs National recognition and authoritive fixation, only, to become  permanently, an American custom and institution.”

Prior to this, each state scheduled its own Thanksgiving holiday at different  times, mainly in New England and other Northern states. President Lincoln  responded to Mrs. Hale’s request immediately, unlike several of his predecessors, who  ignored her petitions altogether. In her letter to Lincoln she mentioned that  she had been advocating a national thanksgiving date for 15 years as the  editor of Godey’s Lady’s Book. George Washington was the first president  to proclaim a day of thanksgiving, issuing his request on October 3, 1789,  exactly 74 years before Lincoln’s.

The document below sets apart the last Thursday of November “as a day  of Thanksgiving and Praise.” According to an April 1, 1864, letter from  John Nicolay, one of President Lincoln’s secretaries, this document  was written by Secretary of State William Seward, and the original  was in his handwriting. On October 3, 1863, fellow Cabinet member  Gideon Welles recorded in his diary how he complimented Seward on  his work. A year later the manuscript was sold to benefit Union troops.

By the President of the United States of America.

A Proclamation.

 The year that is drawing towards its close, has been filled with  the blessings of fruitful fields and healthful skies. To these  bounties, which are so constantly enjoyed that we are prone to  forget the source from which they come, others have been added,  which are of so extraordinary a nature, that they cannot fail to  penetrate and soften even the heart which is habitually insensible  to the ever watchful providence of Almighty God. In the midst of  a civil war of unequaled magnitude and severity, which has  sometimes seemed to foreign States to invite and to provoke their  aggression, peace has been preserved with all nations, order has  been maintained, the laws have been respected and obeyed, and  harmony has prevailed everywhere except in the theatre of military  conflict; while that theatre has been greatly contracted by the  advancing armies and navies of the Union. Needful diversions of  wealth and of strength from the fields of peaceful industry to  the national defence, have not arrested the plough, the shuttle  or the ship; the axe has enlarged the borders of our settlements,  and the mines, as well of iron and coal as of the precious metals,  have yielded even more abundantly than heretofore. Population has  steadily increased, notwithstanding the waste that has been made  in the camp, the siege and the battle-field; and the country,  rejoicing in the consiousness of augmented strength and vigor,  is permitted to expect continuance of years with large increase  of freedom. No human counsel hath devised nor hath any mortal  hand worked out these great things. They are the gracious gifts  of the Most High God, who, while dealing with us in anger for  our sins, hath nevertheless remembered mercy. It has seemed to  me fit and proper that they should be solemnly, reverently and  gratefully acknowledged as with one heart and one voice by the  whole American People. I do therefore invite my fellow citizens  in every part of the United States, and also those who are at  sea and those who are sojourning in foreign lands, to set apart  and observe the last Thursday of November next, as a day of  Thanksgiving and Praise to our beneficent Father who dwelleth  in the Heavens. And I recommend to them that while offering up  the ascriptions justly due to Him for such singular deliverances  and blessings, they do also, with humble penitence for our national  perverseness and disobedience, commend to His tender care all those  who have become widows, orphans, mourners or sufferers in the  lamentable civil strife in which we are unavoidably engaged, and  fervently implore the interposition of the Almighty Hand to heal  the wounds of the nation and to restore it as soon as may be  consistent with the Divine purposes to the full enjoyment of peace,  harmony, tranquillity and Union.

In testimony whereof, I have hereunto set my hand and caused the  Seal of the United States to be affixed.

Done at the City of Washington, this Third day of October, in  the year of our Lord one thousand eight hundred and sixty-three,  and of the Independence of the Unites States the Eighty-eighth.

By the President: Abraham Lincoln

William H. Seward, Secretary of State

Posted in National | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

President Lincoln’s 1863 Thanksgiving Proclamation

Posted by Allen Wilson on November 28, 2013

AbrahamLincoln

By the President of the United States of America.

A Proclamation.

The year that is drawing towards its close, has been filled with the blessings of fruitful fields and healthful skies. To these bounties, which are so constantly enjoyed that we are prone to forget the source from which they come, others have been added, which are of so extraordinary a nature, that they cannot fail to penetrate and soften even the heart which is habitually insensible to the ever watchful providence of Almighty God.

In the midst of a civil war of unequaled magnitude and severity, which has sometimes seemed to foreign States to invite and to provoke their aggression, peace has been preserved with all nations, order has been maintained, the laws have been respected and obeyed, and harmony has prevailed everywhere except in the theatre of military conflict; while that theatre has been greatly contracted by the advancing armies and navies of the Union. Needful diversions of wealth and of strength from the fields of peaceful industry to the national defence, have not arrested the plough, the shuttle or the ship; the axe has enlarged the borders of our settlements, and the mines, as well of iron and coal as of the precious metals, have yielded even more abundantly than heretofore. Population has steadily increased, notwithstanding the waste that has been made in the camp, the siege and the battle-field; and the country, rejoicing in the consiousness of augmented strength and vigor, is permitted to expect continuance of years with large increase of freedom. No human counsel hath devised nor hath any mortal hand worked out these great things. They are the gracious gifts of the Most High God, who, while dealing with us in anger for our sins, hath nevertheless remembered mercy. It has seemed to me fit and proper that they should be solemnly, reverently and gratefully acknowledged as with one heart and one voice by the whole American People.

I do therefore invite my fellow citizens in every part of the United States, and also those who are at sea and those who are sojourning in foreign lands, to set apart and observe the last Thursday of November next, as a day of Thanksgiving and Praise to our beneficent Father who dwelleth in the Heavens. And I recommend to them that while offering up the ascriptions justly due to Him for such singular deliverances and blessings, they do also, with humble penitence for our national perverseness and disobedience, commend to His tender care all those who have become widows, orphans, mourners or sufferers in the lamentable civil strife in which we are unavoidably engaged, and fervently implore the interposition of the Almighty Hand to heal the wounds of the nation and to restore it as soon as may be consistent with the Divine purposes to the full enjoyment of peace, harmony, tranquility and Union.

In testimony whereof, I have hereunto set my hand and caused the Seal of the United States to be affixed.

Done at the City of Washington, this Third day of October, in the year of our Lord one thousand eight hundred and sixty-three, and of the Independence of the Unites States the Eighty-eighth.

By the President: Abraham Lincoln

William H. Seward,
Secretary of State

Thanksgiving

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

Campaign Finance Database Is Coming Soon

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on November 27, 2013

I have completed the 2012 Campaign Finance Database and it will go up as a series on the blog starting next week. As a way to give our readers a taste of what they will get starting next week I am going to post the methodology behind the research today:

Methodology

Assignment

Clients have requested original research be conducted, and databases created for the 2012 election cycle[1] contributions to candidates who ran for County Offices, City Offices, School Districts, and Special Districts. Completed research may be found in the later parts of this document which was created from research beginning January 4th 2013 and ending November 18th 2013.

County Offices

  • County office research includes candidates who ran for Orange County Board of Supervisors and Orange County Board of Education.
  • The elections of Orange County Assessor, Auditor-Controller, Clerk-Recorder, District Attorney, Public Administrator, Sheriff-Coroner, Superintendent of Schools, and Treasurer-Tax Collector are not included in this database due to these elections taking place in 2014.
  • The “Form 460”[2] documents for each candidate running for these offices was acquired from the Orange County Registrar of Voters.
  • Once “Form 460” documents were acquired, the data from “Schedule A-Monetary Contributions Received”[3] was transferred to a Microsoft Excel database.
  • Once in the Excel database, each contribution was classified into a specific category for a candidate running for the office; Individuals, Unions, Businesses, Trade Associations, and Political Groups.
  • Once this data sort was finalized, Excel was used to calculate the total amount of money donated to that candidate in each category.
  • These steps were repeated for each candidate.
  • For purposes of this analysis, businesses are defined as a company that conducts any type of business.  Trade associations are defined as an organization that is founded and/or funded by businesses that operate in a specific business sector. Unions are defined as organizations of employees both in the private and public sector that are formed to advance the interests of their members. Individuals are defined as any individual person or couple. Political groups are defined as a Political Action Committee (PAC) which operates for political purposes (i.e. Political parties, candidate controlled committees, etc.)
  • This data once set, was then sent into chart format as well using a function in Microsoft Excel to show contributions (by category) in a pie chart to give a better visual depiction of where money came from for each candidate.
  • Finally, data from Excel was transferred into the later section of this document.

City Offices

  • City office research includes candidates that ran for City Councils, City Treasurers, City Clerks, and City Attorneys.
  • Certain races that did not take place in 2012 will not appear in this database.
  • The “Form 460” documents for each candidate running in these offices was acquired from the City Clerks of each individual city being researched.
  • Once “Form 460” documents were acquired, the data from “Schedule A-Monetary Contributions Received” was transferred to an Excel database.
  • Once in the Excel database, each contribution was classified into a specific category for a candidate running for the office: Individuals, Unions, Businesses, Trade Associations, and Political Groups.
  • Once this data sort was finalized, Excel was used to calculate the total amount of money donated to each candidates in each category.
  • These steps were repeated for each candidate.
  • For purposes of this analysis, businesses are defined as a company that conducts any type of business.  Trade associations are defined as an organization that is founded and/or funded by businesses that operate in a specific business sector. Unions are defined as organizations of employees both in the private and public sector that are formed to advance the interests of their members. Individuals are defined as any individual person or couple. Political groups are defined as a Political Action Committee (PAC) that operates for political purposes (i.e. Political parties, candidate controlled committees, etc.)
  • This data once set, was then sent into chart format as well using a function in Microsoft Excel to show contributions (by category) in a pie chart to give a better visual depiction of where money came from for each candidate.
  • Finally, data from Excel was transferred into this document.

School Districts

  • School District research included candidates who ran for Community College District, Union High School District, Unified School District, and Elementary School District.
  • Certain races that did not take place in 2012 will not appear in this database.
  • The “Form 460” documents for each candidate running in these offices was acquired from the Orange County Registrar of Voters.
  • Once “Form 460” documents were acquired, the data from “Schedule A-Monetary Contributions Received” was transferred to an Excel database.
  • Once in the Excel database, each contribution was classified into a specific category for a candidate running for the office: Individuals, Unions, Businesses, Trade Associations, and Political Groups.
  • Once this data sort was finalized, Excel was used to calculate the total amount of money donated to each candidates in each category.
  • These steps were repeated for each candidate.
  • For purposes of this analysis, businesses are defined as a company that conducts any type of business.  Trade associations are defined as an organization that is founded and/or funded by businesses that operate in a specific business sector. Unions are defined as organizations of employees both in the private and public sector that are formed to advance the interests of their members. Individuals are defined as any individual person or couple. Political groups are defined as a Political Action Committee (PAC) that operates for political purposes (i.e. Political parties, candidate controlled committees, etc.)
  • This data once set, was then sent into chart format as well using a function in Microsoft Excel to show contributions (by category) in a pie chart to give a better visual depiction of where money came from for each candidate.
  • Finally, data from Excel was transferred into this document.

Special Districts

  • Special District research includes candidates who ran for Community Services District, Water District, Sanitary District, Sewer District, Recreation/Park District, and Library District.
  • Certain races that did not take place in 2012 will not appear in this database.
  • The “Form 460” documents for each candidate running in these offices was acquired from the Orange County Registrar of Voters.
  • Once “Form 460” documents were acquired, the data from “Schedule A-Monetary Contributions Received” was transferred to an Excel database.
  • Once in the Excel database, each contribution was classified into a specific category for a candidate running for the office: Individuals, Unions, Businesses, Trade Associations, and Political Groups.
  • Once this data sort was finalized, Excel was used to calculate the total amount of money donated to each candidates in each category.
  • These steps were repeated for each candidate.
  • For purposes of this analysis, businesses are defined as a company that conducts any type of business.  Trade associations are defined as an organization that is founded and/or funded by businesses that operate in a specific business sector. Unions are defined as organizations of employees both in the private and public sector that are formed to advance the interests of their members. Individuals are defined as any individual person or couple. Political groups are defined as a Political Action Committee (PAC) that operates for political purposes (i.e. Political parties, candidate controlled committees, etc.)
  • This data once set, was then sent into chart format as well using a function in Microsoft Excel to show contributions (by category) in a pie chart to give a better visual depiction of where money came from for each candidate.
  • Finally, data from Excel was transferred into this document.

Variables & Other Issues

  • No other websites such as [http://www.followthemoney.org/] [http://www.opensecrets.org/] provide data as it relates to local campaign finance, as most data derived in research is from the California Secretary of State. This means that no other database exists which would provide a comparison for the data in this report.
  • The total amount of campaign contributions may appear slightly lower than might be expected, due to the amount of money that is spent on behalf of candidates through Independent Expenditures (I.E. s). This database consists only of money contributed directly to candidates.
  • Some candidates may have loaned money to their campaigns, which is also not included in this report.
  • Another variable is that reported numbers can change as candidates may amend original campaign finance reports and submit revised reports. All data in this report is accurate as of the day research was completed.

The accuracy of this database is heavily dependent on candidates/campaign treasurers accurately reporting data. Campaign data incorrectly reported due to human error is impossible to detect. Poor penmanship is another factor that causes transcription issues with this type of research.


 

[1] Includes all contributions reported by candidates running for local office on their “Form 460’s” which were turned in reporting contributions received from January 1st 2012 through December 31st 2012”

[2] “Form 460” is the official form as set by the Fair Political Practices Commission used by candidates running for office to report their campaign finance activity.

[3] This part of the “Form 460” includes information on who each contribution came from and what amount they donated to each campaign.

Posted in Campaign Finance, Orange County | Leave a Comment »

Irvine Great Park Vote A Success! All 3 Irvine Republicans Unite To Move Forward

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on November 27, 2013

UPDATE 8:01 PM- It was just brought to my attention that the decision to have the City of Irvine control the park is not quite as I portrayed it in the article. Jeff Lalloway was concerned (based on the arguments he made at the meeting) with having a lack of control over park hours and other important decisions that relate to operations. According to the recent knowledge I gained, it is still possible to have the park contracts put out to bid and this would still give the city a great opportunity to save some money.

I can never sleep after losing a basketball game. Tonight (technically this morning), it worked out for the best as I find myself able to write a brief recap of what happened last night/this morning at the Irvine City Council meeting. The end result was a huge win for Irvine residents with the Irvine Republicans fulfilling their promise to build “The Great Park.”Great Park Balloon

We shall start with a recap of the three key items that were on the agenda for this meeting.

The first Great Park item up on the agenda was Item 2.1 titled, “HERITAGE FIELDS PROJECT 2012 SECOND SUPPLEMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT FOR GENERAL PLAN AMENDMENT AND ZONE CHANGE IN PLANNING AREAS 30 AND 51.” The EIR reads in the Irvine City Council agenda as follows:

A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF IRVINE CERTIFYING THE SECOND SUPPLEMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT (SCH NO. 2022101020, 00538162-PCLE) AND MITIGATION MONITORING AND REPORTING PROGRAM FOR THE HERITAGE FIELDS PROJECT 2012 GENERAL PLAN AMENDMENT AND ZONE CHANGE, FILED BY FIVE POINT COMMUNITIES ON BEHALF OF HERITAGE FIELDS EL TORO, LLC; LOCATED IN PLANNING AREAS 30 AND 51

For those of our readers that are not as familiar with the intricacies of “The Great Park” they can read the staff report on this item by clicking on the following link EIR_Staff_Report. This item passed on a 3-2 party line vote with Mayor Choi, Councilmember Lalloway, and Councilmember Shea voting to approve the item and Councilmember Krom and Councilmember Agran voting in opposition to the item.

The second Great Park item up on the agenda was item 3.1 titled, “SECOND ADJACENT LANDOWNER AGREEMENT BETWEEN CITY OF IRVINE AND HERITAGE FIELDS EL TORO, LLC.” This adjacent landowner agreement outlined the following actions as part of the vote in the agenda:

1) It is recommended that the City Council consider the details of the proposal before it and determine whether the City will enter into the Second Agreement with City of Irvine as Adjacent Landowner (ALA II) proposed by Five Point Communities, together with the associated Ground Leases and Maintenance Agreements.

2) If the City Council elects to enter into the ALA II, Ground Leases, and Maintenance Agreements, it is recommended that the City Council withdraw its prior approval of the Western Sector Phase II Capital Improvement Program (CIP #371404) and re-allocate funds to one or more Capital Improvement Programs designed to improve the Western Sector of the Orange County Great Park and fund capital projects associated with expedited development of the Orange County Great Park under the ALA II.

3) If the City Council elects to enter into the ALA II, Ground Leases, and Maintenance Agreements, it is recommended that the City determine whether the “Design Package” proposed by Heritage Fields is substantially in conformance with the Orange County Great Park Master Plan.

4) If the City Council finds that the Design Package is substantially in conformance with the Orange County Great Park Master Plan, then it is recommended that the City Council approve the Design Package as a “Park Design” in accordance with Irvine Zoning Code Section 2-22-5.

5) If the City Council finds that the Design Package is not substantially in conformance with the Orange County Great Park Master Plan, then it is recommended that the City Council direct staff to commence processing of an amendment to the Great Park Master Plan, so that such amendment will be completed in accordance with City procedures and the requirements of the ALA II.

For those of you playing along at home that want more of a background click on the following link for the staff report on this item ALA_Staff_Report. This item was slightly changed during the meeting by Councilman Jeff Lalloway in that he proposed that the city run the park after it is built, get an extra $10,000,000 from the developer over 5-years, and improvements to Marine Way a street located within the development. It was clear that Shea and Choi were not completely on board with these amendments but went along with them as a compromise to get the deal done. This item was also passed on a 3-2 vote with Mayor Choi, Councilmember Lalloway, and Councilmember Shea voting to approve the item and Councilmember Krom and Councilmember Agran voting in opposition to the item.

I have no problem with Jeff Lalloway trying to get some extra money for the City of Irvine, but I disagree with him on the City of Irvine managing the park after it is built. Having a private sector company run the park seems like a great idea due to the cost savings that would benefit the city.

The third and final Great Park item up on the agenda was item 4.1 titled, “GENERAL PLAN AMENDMENT AND ZONE CHANGE IN PLANNING AREAS 30 AND 51 (GREAT PARK NEIGHBORHOODS).” This general plan amendment outlined the following actions as part of the vote in the agenda:

A) Adopt – A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF IRVINE APPROVING GENERAL
PLAN AMENDMENT (00537028-PGA) TO COMBINE PLANNING AREA 30 AND AN 11–ACRE PARCEL
LOCATED IN PLANNING AREA 9 INTO PLANNING AREA 51; DELETE REFERENCES TO PLANNING
AREA 30 THROUGHOUT THE GENERAL PLAN; AMEND THE LAND USE DESIGNATION FOR THE
11-ACRE PARCEL TO BE ORANGE COUNTY GREAT PARK; AMEND GENERAL PLAN TABLES A-1 AND
A-2 TO REFLECT SHIFTS OF INTENSITY BETWEEN RESIDENTIAL AND NON-RESIDENTIAL
CATEGORIES AND ADD THE 11-ACRE PARCEL IN TABLE A-2; AMEND THE APPROPRIATE
GENERAL PLAN FIGURES TO ELIMINATE ROCKFIELD BOULEVARD FROM THE EASTERN PROJECT
BOUNDARY TO MARINE WAY CONTINGENT UPON APPROVAL BY THE ORANGE COUNTY
TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY (OCTA); MODIFY GENERAL PLAN OBJECTIVE B-1, TO IDENTIFY
WHERE LEVEL OF SERVICE “E” IS CONSIDERED ACCEPTABLE; AMEND GENERAL PLAN FIGURE
G-1 TO DEPICT THE LOCATION OF A FUTURE HIGH SCHOOL; AND REVISE GENERAL PLAN
FIGURE L-2 TO DEPICT THE RELOCATED WILDLIFE CORRIDOR FEATURE; FILED BY FIVE
POINT COMMUNITIES, ON BEHALF OF HERITAGE FIELDS EL TORO, LLC FOR THE GREAT PARK
NEIGHBORHOODS DEVELOPMENT; LOCATED IN PLANNING AREAS 30 AND 51

B) Adopt – A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF IRVINE APPROVING THE
SECOND AMENDMENT TO DENSITY BONUS AGREEMENT BY AND BETWEEN THE CITY OF IRVINE, A
CALIFORNIA MUNICIPAL CORPORATION, AND HERITAGE FIELDS EL TORO, LLC, A DELAWARE
LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY

C) Introduce for first reading and by title only – AN ORDINANCE OF THE CITY COUNCIL
OF THE CITY OF IRVINE APPROVING ZONE CHANGE (00537029-PZC) TO REZONE AN 11-ACRE
PARCEL AND THE ENTIRE PLANNING AREA 30 TO 8.1/8.1B TRAILS AND TRANSIT ORIENTED
DEVELOPMENT DISTRICT AND COMBINE THESE PROPERTIES INTO PLANNING AREA 51; REZONE
PROPERTY TO 1.4 PRESERVATION TO ACCOMMODATE THE RELOCATED WILDLIFE CORRIDOR
FEATURE FOR SEGMENTS 2 AND 3, AND REZONE THE FORMER LOCATION OF THE WILDLIFE
CORRIDOR FEATURE TO 8.1 TRAILS AND TRANSIT ORIENTED DEVELOPMENT DISTRICT; MODIFY
THE RESIDENTIAL AND NON-RESIDENTIAL INTENSITY FOR A MAXIMUM 9,500 RESIDENTIAL
UNITS AND 6,135,200 SQUARE FEET OF NON-RESIDENTIAL INTENSITY IN PLANNING AREA
51; AND OTHER MINOR AMENDMENTS TO THE ZONING ORDINANCE TO IMPLEMENT THE PROJECT;
FILED BY FIVE POINT COMMUNITIES ON BEHALF OF HERITAGE FIELDS EL TORO, LLC FOR
THE GREAT PARK NEIGHBORHOODS DEVELOPMENT; LOCATED IN PLANNING AREAS 30 AND 51

As I have done with the previous two items, for those of you interested in reading the staff report for this item click on the following link Zoning_Staff_Report. As with the previous two items, this item was also passed on a 3-2 vote with Mayor Choi, Councilmember Lalloway, and Councilmember Shea voting to approve the item and Councilmember Krom and Councilmember Agran voting in opposition to the item.

I have to give some serious kudos to Jeff Lalloway who made an extremely classy gesture towards the end of this meeting in commending Christina Shea for being the driving force behind the agreement. In the past we have seen some minor tension between the two Councilmembers over a vote Christina Shea made on funding the Barclay Theatre and the vote that Jeff Lalloway made to delay “The Great Park” items for two weeks. This is a great chance for Mayor Choi, Councilmember Shea, and Councilmember Lalloway to rejoice in a great accomplishment that they achieved on behalf of the citizens of Irvine and to work together on future public policy items.

Posted in Irvine | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

AD-74 Watch: Karina Onofre Announces That She Is Running

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on November 26, 2013

74Yesterday, former Santa Ana City Council candidate Karina Onofre announced that she is running for the 74th Assembly District which is currently held by Allan Mansoor. Mansoor announced last week that he will not be seeking a third term, instead opting to battle Michelle Steel for the 2nd Supervisorial District, held by the termed out John Moorlach. This announcement by Onofre caught me completely off guard as I had not even heard any rumors about this.  When I told Chris Nguyen about this, his reaction was, “WHAT?!?!?!”  (On a related note, does anyone know how to replace a burst iPhone speaker?)

Running a race in AD-74 also presents totally different demographics and challenges than running a race for Santa Ana City Council. AD-74 consists of Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Laguna Beach, Laguna Woods, and Newport Beach.  In Santa Ana, Republicans are at a distinct disadvantage in voter registration, thus making it less likely to draw a crowd of Republicans who will fight for a seat. Two Republicans who have been able to overpower the Democratic stranglehold on elected offices are Orange County Board of Education Trustee Robert Hammond and Santa Ana Unified School District Trustee Cecilia Iglesias. (In the interest of full disclosure, Custom Campaigns served as the sole campaign consultants to both of these candidates.  Custom Campaigns is also the firm that owns OC Political.)

In AD-74, Republicans have a 12.6% registration advantage, which will lead to a rather bloody primary fight if last election is any indicator. In the 2012 Primary Election, Leslie Daigle (and the PACs supporting her) spent gobs of cash to fight incumbent Allan Mansoor by bloodying him up with lots of negative mail and negative television ads. Mansoor not only made it to the run-off in November, but he easily came in first place, and Daigle finished a distant third place:

MEMBER OF THE STATE ASSEMBLY 74th District                                   
Completed Precincts: 392 of 392
                 Vote Count                 Percentage                
ALLAN R. MANSOOR 33,319 43.5%
ROBERT RUSH 25,120 32.8%
LESLIE DAIGLE 18,207 23.8%

These results would not be surprising if it weren’t for the fact that Charles Munger Jr. spent almost $500,000 on Daigle’s behalf to try to get her to the November run-off. Even Bob Rush, who was a Dem sacrificial lamb in this race, spent almost $100,000. These numbers are stunning in that this much was spent trying to beat an incumbent and not for an open seat. Generally, candidates will spend more money trying to win an open seat as opposed to trying to unseat an incumbent (since incumbency is so tough to overcome).

While we are still looking at 2012, Onofre had a rough time against Roman Reyna last election in the Santa Ana City Council Ward 5 race:

CITY OF SANTA ANA Member, City Council, Ward 5                                   
Completed Precincts: 108 of 108
                 Vote Count                 Percentage                
ROMAN A. REYNA 32,419 61.8%
KARINA ONOFRE 20,065 38.2%

I’m going to be very honest: Onofre only raised $3,250 in her race for Santa Ana City Council, and this was for an open seat! AD-74 already has a field of strong candidates with the ability to raise money. Onofre has no name identification in AD-74, has no fundraising base, and will face allegations of being a carpetbagger.

Huntington Beach Councilman Matt Harper, AD-72 staffer Emanuel Patrascu, and former CRP Treasurer Keith Carlson have already expressed an interest in this race. Harper is the early front-runner in this race since Huntington Beach is the second-most populated city in AD-74 (Irvine is the most populated, but no current candidate is based out of Irvine). Patrascu is not very well-known in AD-74 and hails from Laguna Beach (only about 6% of the population in AD-74), but he does work for Travis Allen and might get some decent help from his boss, who would want to get an ally elected to the Assembly. Carlson will likely have a ton of establishment support and will be able to raise quite a bit of money through his connections as former CRP Treasurer.

I’m going to go out on a limb and say that the real wildcard here is Orange County Supervisor John Moorlach. He is set to announce his candidacy for the 45th Congressional District at some point very soon. If for whatever reason, Moorlach decides that CD-45 is not the right fit (I actually think that he can win), he could easily destroy anyone in the field in AD-74 (assuming he doesn’t just clear the field outright) and walk into the Assembly.

Posted in 74th Assembly District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments »