OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Donate your political cash for community good…..

Posted by Thomas Gordon on May 10, 2012

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This evening Barack Obama drops by our quiet little state to pick up roughly $15 Million dollars from a few Hollywood types who agree with his stance that it’s unfair that they have so much money.

But what if that money went towards a better cause?

Roughly 46 children are diagnosed with cancer every day in the USA.

What if we each wrote a check today to CHOC instead of our favorite politician

You can by clicking here

Or what if instead we gave it to support those wounded warriors and their families who know what struggle and sacrifice really is.

Those brave warriors and their families can be helped by clicking here

Posted in National | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Proposition 29 Mailbox: No On 29 Strikes Again

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on May 10, 2012

We got another mailer yesterday from the No on 29 campaign. The mailer was similar to the John Campbell piece that I posted earlier being an 8.5 x 11 that folds out into an 8.5 x 22. Overall the lack of color to the piece makes it appear very bland and I don’t know that it will get the attention from the voters that it needs in order to make an impact:

Posted in California | 2 Comments »

CD 45 Mailbox: Another Campbell Positive Piece Arrives

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on May 10, 2012

Congressman John Campbell had another mailer that arrived at my house today. He is clearly taking this race very seriously. As of today I have yet to hear of a piece from either of his opponents John Webb or Sukhee Kang. However, Kang does have the most signs up in the district as of earlier this morning.

The mail piece was an 8.5 x 11 that folds out into an 8.5 x 22 piece. I have scanned the piece into four different files:


Posted in 45th Congressional District | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

OC Absentee Ballots Mailed

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on May 10, 2012

Editors’ Note: It’s official.  The Orange County Registrar of Voters finally mailed absentee ballots yesterday.  That means the first absentee ballots in Orange County arrive today.  Campaigns: were you ready?

This came over the wire from the Registrar of Voters yesterday…

Newsfeed header

Vote-by-Mail Ballots Mailed

May 9, 2012 – Our trucks are being loaded and vote-by-mail ballots are heading out to voters this afternoon. We are mailing 650,000 total in our permanent vote-by-mail files. In addition, we are mailing ballots to no-party preference voters who have requested a party ballot (17,000 total). We make sure the majority of sample ballots have reached voters so they have access to candidate statements before this crucial mailing.

Posted in Orange County | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

Congressional Opponents Decide To Save Money By Sharing A Sign

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on May 9, 2012

This election has been bizarre. Over the past few weeks we have written posts about some of the wildest things that we have witnessed, including:

Central Committee Candidate Signs

Central Committee Candidate Hit Piece

Central Committee Candidate Fundraiser

We now have a story that tops all of these in the world of the bizarre. 2 candidates for Congress in the 47th Congressional district live in the same house and neither of them is carpetbagging.

Dr. Jay Shah and his wife Usha Shah are both running for the same Congressional district. We here at OC Political found that a bit odd due to the fact that this decreases what were already slim odds on advancing to the November election. Perhaps they thought that Proposition 14 would allow voters to vote for 2 candidates to advance to the November election.

Whatever the reason they apparently also decided to split costs on signs by having a joint sign for both candidates that have started going up around Garden Grove and other parts of the district.

I think most readers would agree that the lone Democrat to advance to November will likely be Alan Lowenthal. It will be interesting to see which Shah finishes ahead of the other.

Posted in 47th Congressional District | Tagged: , | 1 Comment »

AD 68 Central Committee Mailbox: More Central Committee Madness, Spitzer Hits Pauly

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on May 9, 2012

In what continues to be the most absurd Central Committee election that I have ever witnessed, we now have an expensive district wide mailer that went out from the Todd Spitzer campaign hitting Deborah Pauly:

This piece is extremely crafty because even though it went out to AD 68 Republican voters the overlap between AD 68 and the 3rd Supervisorial district is huge. Other ramifications from this piece would be the fact that it may potentially knock her out of the top 6 slots for Central Committee.

I do believe that this piece went a bit far as candidates families should be off-limits. If Spitzer wanted to hit Pauly for poor judgement the evening of the DUI that would have been fine, because clearly what she did was stupid. However, do not mention her husband by name in the piece. I do want to clarify that I do not condone what he did and I am speaking strictly from the point of political etiquette.

In terms of effectiveness this piece will definitely have an impact on the election. Not that it will matter tough as most people appear to think that Spitzer winning is only a matter of time.

Posted in 3rd Supervisorial District | Tagged: , | 7 Comments »

Third Supervisorial District: Todd Spitzer in the Mail

Posted by Chris Nguyen on May 9, 2012

Excluding the Anaheim TOT mail (which has nothing to do with the June election), I received my fifth mailer of the primary election cycle yesterday.  The first mailer was from Congressman Ed Royce’s campaign on April 4,  the second one was from Todd Spitzer’s campaign for the Third Supervisorial District on April 19, the third one was another Royce piece on April 28, the fourth one was another Spitzer piece on May 1.  This mailer is the third I’ve received from Spitzer’s campaign, and the fifth I’ve received from any campaign this cycle.

This piece is obviously geared toward Republican voters.

The side with the address label has the two-star Republican elephant along with a large font highlighting Spitzer’s “Local Elected Official of the Year” award 12 years ago from the OCGOP.  It also has a picture of Spitzer with OCGOP Chairman Scott Baugh.  “Todd Spitzer” is the largest font on the page, is part of his campaign logo, and is repeated again in the caption under the picture with Baugh, thereby repeating his name thrice as a way to reinforce name ID even among voters who won’t flip the piece over to read the other side (I guess technically it’s four times since the paid for by message has his name, but that’s in the fine print).

The other side of the piece emphasizes conservative Republican values.  It includes a big CRA logo (with the official three-star Republican elephant) highlighting Spitzer’s CRA endorsement, including a quote from CRA Vice President (and OC Political blogger) Craig Alexander.  The piece also includes bullet points listing Republican stances on taxes, pensions, and crime, along with Spitzer’s membership on the Republican Central Committee and “A” rating from the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association.  This side of the piece also repeats Spitzer’s name in large type thrice, again reinforcing name ID even among voters who won’t read the piece and who received the piece in the mail with the address/postage side face down.

A subtle touch is the photo which has a clearly visible North Orange County Conservative Coalition logo on the banner behind Spitzer at the speech he was giving.  A casual reader might not notice the logo.  It does, however, catch the eye of anyone who recognizes the logo.

This is the first mailer from any campaign in quite a while that doesn’t include the needless logos that I admonished campaigns about in this post.

This is the first Spitzer mailer I’ve received that isn’t a four-pager that opens up.  This is a two-sided 8.5″ x 11″ piece.

2012-05-08 Todd Spitzer Mailer

Click on the picture to view a larger version.

Posted in 3rd Supervisorial District, Mail | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

OC Registrar of Voters News Feed Update: Six Marks the Spot

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on May 8, 2012

Editors’ note: Normally we don’t run newsletter reprint in the middle of a Tuesday, but this one is particularly timely.  Biggest piece of news: absentee ballots have not gone out yet; the absolute earliest they could arrive is tomorrow, assuming they start mailing today.  In all likelihood, it will be even later.

This came over the wire from the Registrar of Voters last night (key portion: “we will be mailing out 650,000 ballots shortly”)…

Newsfeed header

Six Marks the Spot

May 7, 2012 – Voting opened today for the June 5th Primary Election. Although we will be mailing out 650,000 ballots shortly voters can vote in our office in Santa Ana, and six did so today. It may not sound like a large number, but we have had a small turnout on the first few days of voting, only to grow into larger turnouts later in an election. In addition to our six in-person voters we have had 224 military and overseas voters return their ballots to date

Posted in Orange County | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Sample Ballot: Bob Huff Not Endorsed by California Republican Party

Posted by Chris Nguyen on May 8, 2012

The Orange County Registrar of Voters reports that the Republican Party issued no endorsement in the 29th State Senate District race.

This is utterly preposterous.

The only two candidates running in SD-29 are Democrat Greg Diamond and Senate Republican Leader Bob Huff.

Though some people have stated that Huff is “a bit of a squish,” the fact of the matter is that political parties always endorse their party leaders for re-election.  If you don’t like the leader, you dump him from his leadership post long before you try to dump him from his legislative seat.

Regardless, I know Huff was endorsed because I saw with my own eyes that he was endorsed  on the Orange County Republican Party’s consent calendar.  Furthermore, the California Republican Party publicly announced its endorsement of Huff.

Is there much of a political implication for this error?  Probably not since SD 29 has such lopsided registration.  However, if this had happened in a seat with much closer registration numbers, this could have been really bad.

Whose fault is this error?  Clearly, this clerical error could only have happened in one of three places: CRP, OCGOP, or ROV.  This error rests with the CRP because Huff was not listed as an endorsed candidate on the LA County sample ballot either.  (The odds of two county ROVs making the same mistake are highly unlikely.)

Right now, I would not want to be the person at the California Republican Party who left the Senate Republican Leader off the endorsement list sent to the county Registrars.

(Tangential note: interestingly, the American Independent Party endorsed Huff.)

In the meantime check out the Huff endorsement error for yourself on Page 6 of your sample ballot (or see our image of that page):

Party Endorsements in the June 2012 Sample Ballot

Party Endorsements in the Orange County’s June 2012 Sample Ballot

Check out the Huff endorsement error for yourself on Page 14 of the LA County sample ballot (or see our image of that page):
Party Endorsements in the LA County Sample Ballot for June 2012

Posted in 29th Senate District | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

Stanton: Vote For Tax Increase Or Become An Island

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on May 7, 2012

In a carefully worded letter found on the City of Stanton website it appears that scare tactics are being used to try to get voters to pass a tax increase. The letter from City Manager Carol Jacobs read as follows:

Dear Stanton Resident;

The City Council has asked me to update every concerned resident about the future of our city. Our city is faced with severe economic realities and there are important decisions facing every Stanton citizen.

What brought us to this situation?

Last spring, the City Council was forced to declare a “fiscal emergency.” That declaration was necessary because politicians in Sacramento have taken our local taxpayer money to fund the state budget. The resulting shortage of funds has put Stanton at risk in order to compensate for severe budget deficits.

The national recession has also hurt Stanton. Stanton residents lost jobs and are spending less, resulting in a decline in local tax revenues

Look at the actual numbers:

• Sales tax revenues will be lower in 2012 than revenues produced nine years ago in 2002.
• Sales tax has fallen $1.2 million (30%) since 2006-07.
• Property tax revenues for 2012 will be lower than property tax revenues produced seven years ago in 2004.
• Motor Vehicle License Fees have decreased 9.4% since 2007.
• The City of Stanton receives less than 1% of the 8.75% sales tax percentage and only 11 cents out of every property tax dollar.

This reduction in revenue has created a budget deficit of $2.8 million a year, estimated to grow until the City’s reserves are depleted in 2016.

What is the City Council doing about it?

Faced with these realities the City Council has made drastic cuts to the budget that affect all of us. Since 2008, many good programs have been eliminated.

• Closed two city parks and decreased park maintenance in all remaining parks.
• Graffiti abatement and code enforcement have been reduced.
• City funding for school crossing guards and afterschool programs have been eliminated.
• City Hall is closed one day a week.
• Police services have been cut.
• Many Parks and Recreation programs no longer receive needed taxpayer money.

The City Council has studied the economic realities and have concluded that the budget can not be downsized any further without risk to Stanton residents and their property.

What can you do to help?

Your City Council has placed a measure on the June ballot to improve the financial situation. I can not ask you to vote “Yes” or “No” on this Measure, but I can tell you what it will do. If the June ballot measure is passed, an additional $1.2 Million will be generated to provide public safety and other vital city services.

The choice for Stanton residents was never clearer. If we do not find an additional $1.2 million in revenues, the city faces bankruptcy and Stanton would become an unincorporated “island” of the County of Orange. This would likely result in fewer services, especially police, fire and paramedic services.

If the measure fails, local businesses that provide jobs and boost our economy may find new cities where they believe their property and personnel will be safer. Even worse, new businesses planning on locating in Stanton and improving vacant industrial and retail property, may not re-locate here if they believe our town is not safe or its future is uncertain.

I hope this information has been helpful in explaining the economic realties facing Stanton, what is being proposed to remedy some of the shortfalls, and the potential impact of continuing shortfalls. Please go to www.ci.stanton.ca.us where we have posted information about city revenues and expenses.

Thank you for your interest in our City of Stanton

Sincerely,

Carol Jacobs
City Manager
City of Stanton

In other words vote for the tax increase or Stanton will join Gilligan and the Skipper on an island. In other words, Stanton would cease to exist and become a County island. I am not surprised to see public administrators advocating for this tax increase, but this is pretty brazen on their part to try to scare voters into increasing taxes.

I will give them credit, this letter does not appear to violate any campaign laws due to careful wording. It pushes voters to vote for the increase without actually coming out and requesting a yes vote on the measure.

This measure will likely face a lot of skepticism, as voters are very uneasy about tax increases in the current economy. It may at the end of the day pass, but this scare tactic employed by the city is a bit disappointing.

Posted in Stanton | Leave a Comment »