OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Archive for June, 2012

AD-69: Daly 42.8%, Moreno 21.7%, Martinez 17.8%, Perez 15.7%, Barragan 2.1%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Leave a Comment »

AD-72: Edgar 27.8%, Pham 21.4%, Dovinh 21.1%, Allen 15.9%, Ayala 13.8%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Posted in 72nd Assembly District | Leave a Comment »

AD-74: Mansoor 42.8%, Rush 34.4%, Daigle 22.9%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Posted in 74th Assembly District | Leave a Comment »

Polls Officially Closed: Results To Come In Shortly

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 5, 2012

As the clock strikes 8:00 PM the polls are officially closed. Stick with us here at “OC Political” as we update our readers on results as they start rolling in.

I certainly hope that all of our readers were able to beat the clock today.

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

OC Political Election Night Pool

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 5, 2012

Updated 7:59 PM Contest is now closed.

UPDATED 7:34 PM: 30 MINUTE WARNING.

Updated 11:55 AM Tuesday: Deadline is tonight.

It is time for what used to be my annual election night pool on Red County, but since it appears that I am no longer there, we shall move that pool over to OC Political.

I assure you that the rumors are not true, this years prize will be a $50 gift card to Barnes & Noble and not the opportunity to ride on a solid gold jet ski in a caviar pool with Chris Nguyen or to sing Sweet Caroline with Erik Brown and myself at a karaoke bar. However, if you do pick Orly Taitz to win the U.S. Senate race and you manage to win the pool you will be required to show us your birth certificate before we can send you the prize.

All entries must be submitted in the comment section below by 7:59 PM today in order to be eligible. You must be willing to use your real name in order for us to be able to verify who the winner is and have the ability to contact them.

Here are the races to choose:

President Republican Primary (6 Points)-
Republican Central Committee AD 55 (choose 6) (10 Points Each)-
Republican Central Committee AD 65 (choose 6) (11 Points Each)-
Republican Central Committee AD 68 (choose 6) (18 Points Each)-
Republican Central Committee AD 69 (choose 6) (10 Points Each)-
Republican Central Committee AD 72 (choose 6) (14 Points Each)-
Republican Central Committee AD 73 (choose 6) (22 Points Each)-
Republican Central Committee AD 74 (choose 6) (16 Points Each)-
United State Senate (24 Points)-
Congress 38th District (choose 2) (3 points each)-
Congress 39th District (choose 2) (3 points each)-
Congress 45th District (choose 2) (3 points each)-
Congress 46th District (choose 2) (5 points each)-
Congress 47th District (choose 2) (8 points each)-
Congress 48th District (choose 2) (3 points each)-
Congress 49th District (choose 2) (4 points each)-
Senate 29th District (Free Points!!!!) (choose 2) (2 points each)-
Senate 37th District (Free Points!!!!) (choose 2) (2 points each)-
Assembly 55th District (Free Points!!!!) (choose 2) (2 points each)-
Assembly 65th District (Free Points!!!!) (choose 2) (2 points each)-
Assembly 68th District (Free Points!!!!) (choose 2) (2 points each)-
Assembly 69th District (choose 2) (5 points each)-
Assembly 72nd District (choose 2) (5 points each)-
Assembly 73rd District (Free Points!!!!) (choose 2) (2 points each)-
Assembly 74th District (choose 2) (3 points each)-
Superior Court Judge Office 1 (2 points)-
Member County Board of Education, Trustee Area 1 (4 points)-
Member County Board of Education, Trustee Area 3 (2 points)-
County Supervisor, 1st District (2 points)-
County Supervisor, 3rd District (2 points)-
Fullerton Recall Dick Jones (Yes/No) (2 points)-
Fullerton Recall Pat McKinley (Yes/No) (2 points)-
Fullerton Recall Don Bankhead (Yes/No) (2 points)-
Fullerton Recall Dick Jones Replacement (5 points)-
Fullerton Recall Pat McKinley Replacement (4 points)-
Fullerton Recall Don Bankhead Replacement (4 points)-
Prop 28 (Yes/No) (2 points)-
Prop 29 (Yes/No) (2 points)-
Measure A (Yes/No) (2 points)-
Measure B (Yes/No) (2 points)-

Tiebreaker: Percentage of the vote for 2nd place U.S. Senate candidate.

Posted in Uncategorized | 6 Comments »

Final Election Predictions Before the Polls Close

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 5, 2012

Alright, polls close in five minutes.  No one reading this still has time to vote.  So here are my predictions.  For the record, these are not my preferences; these are my predictions; I love some of these results, and I hate some of these results; they are my predictions, not my preferences or endorsements.

Once the results are known, feel free to tell me how brilliantly accurate, dead wrong, or (more likely) somewhere in between my predictions are.

Republican Presidential Primary:
1. Mitt Romney
2. Ron Paul
3. Rick Santorum
4. Newt Gingrich
5. Buddy Roemer
6. Fred Karger

United State Senate:
1. Dianne Feinstein by a humongous margin.
2. Elizabeth Emken edging out #3.
3. Dan Hughes edging out #4.
4. Al Ramirez edging out #5.
5. Orly Taitz
6-24. Not even worth predicting

Congress 38th District:
1. Linda Sanchez
2. Jorge Robles
3. Benjamin Campos

Congress 39th District:
1. Ed Royce
2. Jay Chen
3. D’Marie Mulattieri

Congress 45th District:
1. John Campbell
2. Sukhee Kang
3. John Webb

Congress 46th District:
1. Loretta Sanchez
2. Jerry Hayden
3. Jorge Rocha
4. Pat Garcia
5. John Cullum

Congress 47th District:
1. Alan Lowenthal
2. Gary DeLong
3. Steve Kuykendall
4. Peter Mathews
5. Sanford Kahn
6. Steve Foley
7. Usha Shah
8. Jay Shah

Congress 48th District:
1. Dana Rohrabacher
2. Ron Varasteh
3. Alan Schlar

Congress 49th District:
1. Darrell Issa
2. Jerry Tetalman
3. Dick Eiden
4. Albin Novinec

Senate 29th District:
1. Bob Huff
2. Greg Diamond

Senate 37th District:
1. Mimi Walters
2. Steve Young

Assembly 55th District:
1. Curt Hagman
2. Gregg Fritchle

Assembly 65th District:
1. Chris Norby
2. Sharon Quirk-Silva

Assembly 68th District:
1. Don Wagner
2. Christina Avalos

Assembly 69th District:
1. Tom Daly
2. Jose “Joe” Moreno
3. Michele Martinez
4. Julio Perez
5. Francisco “Paco” Barragan

Assembly 72nd District:
1. Troy Edgar
2. Joe Dovinh
3. Long Pham
4. Travis Allen
5. Albert Ayala

Assembly 73rd District:
1. Diane Harkey
2. James Corbett

Assembly 74th District:
1. Robert Rush
2. Allan Mansoor
3. Leslie Daigle
No more than a 4% separation between first and third place.  Daigle beats Mansoor at the polls, but Mansoor’s absentee lead is large enough to keep him ahead of her.

Superior Court Judge Office 1:
1. Deborah Chuang with more than 70% of the vote
2. Eugene Jizhak

Member County Board of Education, Trustee Area 1:
1. Robert Hammond
2. Art Pedroza
3. Ken Nguyen
4. Eleazar Elizondo

Member County Board of Education, Trustee Area 3:
1. Ken Williams
2. Mary Galuska

County Supervisor, 1st District:
1. Janet Nguyen with more than 70% of the vote
2. Steve Rocco

County Supervisor, 3rd District:
1. Todd Spitzer
2. Deborah Pauly

All three Fullerton recalls pass.

Replacing Dick Jones:
1. Travis Kiger by a double-digit margin
2. Glenn Georgieff
3. Dorothy Birsic
4. Matthew Hakim
5. Roberta Reid

Replacing Don Bankhead:
1. Rick Alvarez by 2%
2. Greg Sebourn
3. Jane Rands
4. Paula Williams

Replacing Pat McKinley:
1. Barry Levinson by a single-digit margin
2. Doug Chaffee
3. Matt Rowe
4. Sean Paden

Prop 28: Yes by double digits

Prop 29: Yes by single digits.  It will lose among poll voters but will win the absentee vote by a large enough margin to pass.

Measure A: Yes, over 70%

Measure B: Yes, over 60%

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment »

Orange County Mailbox: Lincoln Club Sends Out Last Minute Mailer

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 5, 2012

The Lincoln Club is a bit late to the party bit they did send out this mail piece supporting some of the candidates that they endorsed.

Here is the piece:

Posted in Mail | Leave a Comment »

BREAKING NEWS: Governor Scott Walker declared winner in Wisconsin

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 5, 2012

In a huge defeat for labor unions Governor Scott Walker has been declared victorious in Wisconsin. We will recap this race with an analysis later tonight or early tomorrow.

(Updated 7:00 PM): Also I forgot to mention the Lt. Governor Rebecca Kleefisch has also been declared victorious.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , | 1 Comment »

Live Blogging from My Polling Place

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Well, info-junkies, 4600 of you have visited OC Political trying to find info on this election day. Results don’t come in for a little over an hour, so to tide you over, I’m live-blogging from my polling place.

This is my first time ever voting at the polls, as I’ve cast an absentee ballot in every election since I turned 18 years old.

At 6:52, I notice a Deborah Pauly for Supervisor sign at the main road leading to my polling place.

At 6:54, I find a half-full parking lot and get a relatively close parking space.

At 6:55, I enter. There’s some minor confusion as I surrender my absentee ballot. There are only two other voters present.

At 6:59, I begin voting.

For President, hm.

Ron Paul has a lot of online followers. Oh wait, Americans Elect’s online primary failed.

How about Mitt Romney? Polls show 2% of the American people believe his full first name is Mittens.

Sigh…

Republican Central Committee, 68th District

Clearly, the goal is to maximize the temptation for Brown Act violations at Central Committee.

Ah, the majority of the Orange City Council is on the ballot: Mayor Pro Tem Denis Bilodeau and Councilmen Jon Dumitru and Fred Whitaker.

Let’s see: Shawn Nelson will likely win in the 65th, and Janet Nguyen will likely win in the 72nd, so to put the majority of the Board of Supervisors on Central Committee, 68th District voters can vote for both Todd Spitzer and Deborah Pauly for Central Committee.

US Senate

I scroll over Orly Taitz’s name, but am concerned that I haven’t seen her naturalization certificate.

Dan Hughes is the interim Fullerton Police Chief. Oh, it’s not the same one?

Elizabeth Emken is the CRP-endorsed candidate. Wait, wasn’t CRP responsible for Watergate? Oh, different CRP?

US Representative, 39th District
Let’s see: White Republican Ed Royce, Asian Democrat Jay Chen, or white independent D’Marie Mulattieri.

According to conventional wisdom, Asian voters vote for Asian candidates. Conventional wisdom also says Republican voters vote for Republican candidates.

What’s an Asian Republican to do? Vote the color of my skin (though a different ethnicity) or vote my party/beliefs. Hm, skin color or beliefs?

State Senate, 37th District

Mimi Walters vs. Steve Young

So a character from The Drew Carey Show is running against an NFL star?

State Assembly, 68th District

Don Wagner vs. Christina Avalos

Yeah, I’ve got no lame wisecracks for this one. Sorry.

Judge of the Superior Court, Office #1

Deborah Chuang vs. Eugene Jizhak

Man, this is a boring streak on the ballot.

County Board of Education, Trustee Area 3

Hey, isn’t Ken Williams that doctor from the “No on 29” commercial?

County Supervisor, 3rd District

Spitzer vs. Pauly

Wait, didn’t Spitzer resign as Governor of New York in a prostitution scandal? And when did Pauly leave the cast of Jersey Shore? Why are these East Coasters carpetbagging to become Orange County Supervisor.

Oh, they’re different people. Darn.

Ballot Measures

Eh, I’m losing steam.

At 7:02, I finish voting.

Okay, sarcastic live blogging done. Real live blogging kicks in at 8:05 PM when the real results come in.

Posted in 37th Senate District, 39th Congressional District, 3rd Supervisorial District, 68th Assembly District, Anaheim, California, Orange County, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Polls are Open! Latest Voter Turnout/Absentee Return Numbers; Find Your Polling Place

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Absentee BallotPolls are now open in the June 5, 2012 Primary.  Find your polling place here.

If you’re an absentee voter who hasn’t already submitted their ballot, find any polling place in Orange County, and drop it off before 8 PM today.

The Registrar of Voters reports that 198,235 out of 684,836 absentee ballots issued have been returned as of this morning, or a 28.9% voter turnout rate among absentee voters as of this morning.

There are 1,612,145 registered voters in Orange County, as of May 21 (the last day someone could register to vote to be eligible to vote in the June 5 election).  That means 42.5% of all registered voters were issued absentee ballots.  That also means 12.3% of registered voters in Orange County have turned out to vote as of this morning.

Posted in California, Orange County | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »