OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Posts Tagged ‘Tyler Diep’

BREAKING NEWS: Tyler Diep Drops Out of Assembly Race

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on February 7, 2012

According to the newspaper Người Việt, Tyler Diep has dropped out of the 72nd Assembly District race and will be running for re-election to the Westminster City Council. This comes on the heels of Los Alamitos Councilman Troy Edgar jumping into the race after switching from the 47th Congressional District earlier today. He stated that there was no pressure put on him by any other candidate or political entity to drop out of the race. You can expect to see him endorsing Troy Edgar in the very near future I would guess.

This is a bit surprising though because Diep was leading in the fundraising battle for this race with over $120,000 cash on hand in his account. You can read the story in Người Việt by clicking on the link here. Might I suggest this Google Translate link. The translation is not perfect but it will give you a rough idea of what exactly happened.

The big winner in this would appear to be Huntington Beach Councilman Matt Harper, but I am going to go out on a limb and say that OC Board of Education Member Long Pham actually benefits more from this turn of events. With Diep dropping out, Pham is now the only Vietnamese Republican remaining in the race with a possibility of Harper and Edgar splitting the vote. At the end of the day, though, I would now handicap this race as advantage Harper, assuming he does step up his fundraising.

Posted in 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: , , , | 3 Comments »

BREAKING NEWS: Troy Edgar Drops Out of CD 47 Race, Jumps in AD 72 Race

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on February 7, 2012

In a surprising turn of events Los Alamitos Counclman Troy Edgar has dropped out of the 47th Congressional District race and jumped into the 72nd Assembly District race. Edgar was the fundraising leader in CD 47 if you count money loaned to yourself ($400,000). This was in a race that included former Congressman Steve Kuykendall and Long Beach City Councilman Gary DeLong.

Realistically this race would have been a tough one for Edgar despite having the fundraising lead because Orange County is a small portion of the new district and on top of that the Democrats have a registration advantage. Having State Senator Alan Lowenthal running on the other side of the aisle does not help things either.

The Assembly race is no picnic either though having to go against Westminster Councilman Tyler Diep, Huntington Beach Councilman Matt Harper, and Orange County Board of Education Trustee Long Pham. However, this is a safe Republican seat and the last one of these guys standing will likely run away with this in the General election when facing off against Joe Dovinh who is likely to make it to the run-off.

I am impressed with the fact that Edgar dropped out of the Congressional race considering he has to walk away from some of the money in his committee that he set up for the congressional race. Los Alamitos is a small part of AD 72 but if Edgar is willing to throw some money at this race I could see him pulling this off.

Posted in 47th Congressional District, 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

AD-72: Diep Takes Early Cash Lead Over Harper

Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 1, 2012

In the race for the new 72nd Assembly District, Westminster Councilman Tyler Diep hopped in the race in late June while Huntington Beach Councilman Matt Harper jumped in the race in mid-October.  Thus far, the money race has proved decidedly lopsided, with Diep raising nearly nine times what Harper has raised and holding nearly sixteen times the amount of cash on hand.

In the 2.5 months after he entered the race, Harper raised $15,353 and had $7,887 cash on hand (excluding $7,500 in candidate loans), as of the close of 2011.

In the first three days after he entered the race, Diep raised $50,399 and had all of it on hand, with no loans.  By the end of 2011, he had raised $137,049 and still had $129,604 cash on hand.  He had no candidate loans.

Both candidates spent remarkably similar amounts just under $7,500, though Harper spent mostly on slate mailers while Diep spent mostly on his campaign consultants at Revolvis and his treasurer, Lysa Ray.  (I’m counting a $1,350 nonmonetary contribution to Diep from the New Santa Ana Blog as part of his spending.)  However, Harper also has $14,111 in unpaid bills to his campaign consultants at Gilliard Blanning and his treasurer, David Bauer.  If those unpaid bills are included and Harper spends the money he loaned to his campaign, Harper would have $1,276 cash on hand.

For visual learners:

Raised Spent Cash on
Hand
Unpaid
Bills
Candidate
Loans
Harper $15,353 $7,466 $7,887 $14,111 $7,500
Diep $137,049 $7,446 $129,604 $0 $0

The two candidates’ non-Assembly accounts (Harper’s council account, Diep’s council and sanitary district accounts) are superfluous, as those accounts have a combined $800, so it doesn’t really matter if they transfer that into their accounts.

Diep currently works for Board of Equalization Member Michelle Steel and previously worked for then-Assemblyman Van Tran.  Harper currently works for OC Waste & Recycling and previously worked for Supervisor Janet Nguyen.  Harper is also a fellow blogger for OC Political.

Excluding his own contribution of $10 and a $100,000 loan to himself, Orange County Board of Education Member Long Pham raised $5.  He had $13,370 in expenses ($9,530 paid plus another $3,840 in unpaid bills), all of which are going to financial services or to his consultant, Premiere Strategies.

The two Democrats who pulled papers in this race, Albert Ayala and Joe Dovinh, did not raise enough to trigger electronic filing requirements.

The new AD-72 consists of Westminster, Fountain Valley, Seal Beach, Los Alamitos, Rossmoor, Midway City, most of Garden Grove, half of Huntington Beach, and a sliver of Santa Ana.  AD-72 includes about 63,000 voters from Harper’s city and the 47,000 voters of Diep’s city.  It also includes 131,000 voters from the Huntington Beach Union High School District, where Harper was elected to three terms, and 52,000 voters from the Midway City Sanitary District, where Diep was elected to two terms.

Posted in 72nd Assembly District, Fundraising | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

New Senate Districts Weaken Statewide GOP, Strengthens OC GOP

Posted by Chris Nguyen on January 30, 2012

On Friday, the California Supreme Court ruled that this year’s elections will go with the maps created by the Citizen’s Redistricting Commission.  This bodes ill for Republicans statewide but could boost the strength of Republicans in Orange County.  Examining the great district-by-district numbers put together by Matt Rexroad, Chandra Sharma, and the rest of the Meridian Pacific team, it appears to me that there are 11 safe Republican districts, 25 safe Democrat districts, and 4 swing districts.

To maintain the status quo, Republicans have to capture all 4 swing seats: the 5th (Sacramento, San Joaquin, and Stanislaus Counties), 27th (LA & Ventura Counties), 31st (Riverside County), and 34th (Orange County).  To reach a 2/3 majority to raise taxes and wreak other havoc on California, Democrats only need to capture half the swing seats.  The 27th is the only one where a sitting Senator (Democrat Fran Pavley) is seeking the seat.  The other three are wide open.

The 5th, 27th, and 31st will all be on the ballot this year.  The 34th will be on the ballot in 2014.  More than 711,000 Californians have signed the petition to put the map on the ballot this November.  Whether the voters overturn the map or retain the map will likely have little effect on these four seats until at least 2016.  Whoever wins the 5th, 27th, and 31st will be able to retain their seats through at least 2016, and any new map would likely have little effect on the 34th, as the shape of that district is heavily controlled by federal Voting Rights Act requirements. Furthermore, Correa keeps the seat until 2014.

No seat is closer than the 34th right here in Orange County.  In the new 34th Senate District, held by termed out Democrat Lou Correa, Democrats hold a 0.6% registration advantage.  (In the old 34th Senate District, where Correa beat Lynn Daucher by 1.4% in 2006 and won re-election over Lucille Kring by 31.6% in 2010, Democrats held a 12% registration advantage.)  The Meridian guys have even dubbed the new 34th district “Open Republican” on their site.

Up for election in 2014, the SD-34 Republican nominee will very likely be either Supervisor Janet Nguyen or the new 72nd District Assemblyman (Tyler Diep or Matt Harper) and the Democrats’ nominee will very likely be either outgoing Assemblyman Jose Solorio or the new 69th District Assemblymember (Paco Barragan, Tom Daly, Michele Martinez, or Julio Perez).  If the new Assemblymembers go for it, they’d have to risk their Assembly seats after just one term in order to run for the Senate.  It would be a safe run for Nguyen and Solorio, as neither of them would be up for election in 2014. (For the record, I am not related to Supervisor Nguyen; 36% of Vietnamese people have the last name Nguyen.)

After 16 years in the hands of the Democrats, SD-34 could return to Republican control, producing the first all-Republican OC delegation to the State Senate since Rob Hurtt lost to Joe Dunn.

The new SD-34 includes:

  • Santa Ana (325,000 people)
  • Garden Grove (171,000 people)
  • 48% of northern Huntington Beach (91,000 people)
  • Westminster (90,000 people)
  • 20% of Central/Eastern Anaheim (68,000 people)
  • 13% of eastern Long Beach (61,000 people)
  • Fountain Valley (55,000 people)
  • Seal Beach (24,000 people)
  • Los Alamitos (11,000 people)
  • Rossmoor (10,000 people)
  • 7% of southwestern Orange (10,000 people)
  • Midway City (8,000 people)

Posted in 34th Senate District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »