OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Prop 14 in Action: Intraparty Battles in November

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 6, 2012

It used to be that the top vote-getter from each party in the June primary election advanced to the November general election.  Well, Proposition 14 changed all that, requiring the top two candidates from the June primary to advance to November regardless of party, regardless of whether someone gained more than 50% of the vote, and regardless of whether there were only two candidates in June.

Like it or not, Prop 14 has caused a number of intraparty battles in November.  Specifically, 28 out of 153 races (18.3%) will be intraparty battles in November.  Here’s a rundown, based on last night’s results:

8 out of 53 Congressional races (15.1%), with two Democrats in 6 of the races and two Republicans in 2 of the races

  • CD-8: Two Republicans (Paul Cook and Gregg Imus)
  • CD-15: Two Democrats (incumbent Pete Stark and Eric Swalwell)
  • CD-30: Two incumbent Democrats! (Brad Sherman and Howard Berman)
  • CD-31: Two Republicans (incumbent Gary Miller and Bob Dutton)
  • CD-35: Two Democrats (incumbent Joe Baca and Gloria Negrete McLeod)
  • CD-40: Two Democrats (incumbent Lucille Roybal-Allard and David Sanchez)
  • CD-43: Two Democrats (incumbent Maxine Waters and Bob Flores)
  • CD-44: Two incumbent Democrats! (Janice Hahn and Laura Richardson)

2 out of 20 State Senate races (10%), with two Democrats in both races (it’s 20 Senate seats because Senate terms are staggered so only half the seats are on the ballot in any given general election)

  • SD-13: Two Democrats (Jerry Hill and Sally Lieber)
  • SD-15: Two Democrats (Jim Beall and Joe Coto)

18 out of 80 State Assembly races (22.5%), with two Democrats in 12 of the races and two Republicans in 6 of the races

  • AD-1: Two Republicans (Brian Dahle and Rick Bosetti)
  • AD-2: Two Democrats (incumbent Wesley Chesbro and Tom Lynch)
  • AD-5: Two Republicans (Rico Oller and Frank Bigelow)
  • AD-10: Two Democrats (incumbent Michael Allen and Marc Levine)
  • AD-18: Two Democrats (Rob Bonta and Abel Guillen)
  • AD-19: Two Democrats (Phil Ting and Michael Breyer)
  • AD-20: Two Democrats (Bill Quirk and Jennifer Ong)
  • AD-23: Two Republicans (Jim Patterson and Bob Whalen)
  • AD-39: Two Democrats (Raul Bocanegra and Richard Alaron)
  • AD-46: Two Democrats (Adam Nazarian and Brian Johnson)
  • AD-47: Two Democrats (Joe Baca, Jr. and Cheryl Brown)
  • AD-50: Two Democrats (incumbent Betsy Butler and Richard Bloom)
  • AD-51: Two Democrats (Jimmy Gomez and Luis Lopez)
  • AD-59: Two Democrats (Reggie Jones-Sawyer and Rodney Robinson)
  • AD-62: Two Democrats (incumbent Steven Bradford and Mervin Evans)
  • AD-67: Two Republicans (Phil Paule and Melissa Melendez)
  • AD-72: Two Republicans (Troy Edgar and Travis Allen)
  • AD-76: Two Republicans (Rocky Chavez and Sherry Hodges)

Posted in 72nd Assembly District, California | 5 Comments »

OCBE 1: Hammond Takes Lead Over Nguyen

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

With 121 out of 249 precincts reporting, Robert Hammond leads Ken Nguyen by 0.9% after trailing in absentees.

Posted in Orange County Board of Education | Tagged: , | 4 Comments »

The Wisconsin Recall Election – Big Impact

Posted by Erik Brown on June 5, 2012


Congratulations Wisconsin!

The story tonight is the BIG WIN for Wisconsin and its effect across the country.

While California is leading the nation down the road to serfdom, Wisconsin is taking a sharp turn. They’re heading back toward the road to Prosperity!

This should be a nice encouragement for many great local and state candidates here in California who are fighting a similar fight.

Thrilling as all get out is the big win for Governor Scott Walker himself, who fended off a massive air and ground attempt to de-legitimize his tenure in office. It came at him from the most ardent activists and political operatives the left has going.

(Side note to the lefties, if your organizing a political movement in this country, you might want to reconsider the use of the “Clinched Fist” as central to your branding. Unless you’re consultants are former Sandinista Guerilla or one of Che’s motorcycle buddies that stuff doesn’t belong on a comp sheet let alone in the public debate. Clinched fists don’t go over well here, but big government redistributionist schemes do even worse)

His margin of victory in combination with the classy way in which he and his many supporters handled themselves deserves commendation.

With over 90% of the votes reported, Walker 54% – Barret 46%

This demonstrates that voters are looking for leadership and believe in results-focused management and sound public policy.

A good secondary takeaway is that voters are also increasingly tiring of recall efforts to oust their duly elected representatives. This factor is shifting away sympathy from government sector unions, especially when recalls are the method of choice

In a tough economy, everyone has had to make sacrifices, and the comprehensive public focus is evidencing a more critical examination of bureaucracy, mismanagement, unsustainable spending, and (as the left is so fond of reminding us), fundamental fairness.

In the lead up to Election Day, Walker was pulling ahead in several polls with a concern raised that the opposition may shift strategy and attempt to pull off a victory on the Legislative side by redeploying resources in the State Senate challenges.

An important second layer of effect tonight is demonstrated through the depth of the outcome. It’s an unsung campaign dynamic that permeated all the way down the ballot to include a strong victory for Lt Governor Kleefisch as well as at least 3 of the 4 key State Senate Races:

Seat 13 – (R) Scott Fitzgerald 59% defeated (D) Lori Compas 40%
Seat 21 – (R) Van Wanggaard 49%  (D) John Lehman 51% (Race Pending)
Seat 23 – (R) Terry Moulton 58% defeated (D) Kristen Dexter 42%
Seat 29 – (R) Jerry Petrowski 61% defeated (D) Donna Seidel 39%

Having worked closely with the Wisconsin effort, our firm was involved in message development and voter contact specifically targeting the senate opposition candidates. By highlighting their records on spending, size, scope and role of government, voters got a clear choice. It’s clearly about candidates who have their backs, and their opponents who are reaching for their pockets.

In all, it was a big win for advocates of sensible government. Undoubtedly it will bring the issue of fiscal leadership back to the forefront of the national discussion as we approach the fall. Proud to have been a part of a historic night!

Posted in National, Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

Where to Find Election Results

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Check out the OC Registrar of Voters for election results.

Remember that CD-38, CD-39, CD-47, CD-49, SD-29, and AD-55 are all multi-county races.

Check out the Secretary of State for those results.

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

AD-74 Initial Reaction: Mansoor Dominates Daigle; Munger Jumped in Too Late for Daigle

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Allan Mansoor, Leslie Daigle, Robert Rush

Assemblyman Allan Mansoor (R-Costa Mesa), Councilwoman Leslie Daigle (R-Newport Beach), and Businessman Robert Rush (D-Newport Beach)

With a 20% lead for Assemblyman Allan Mansoor over Councilwoman Leslie Daigle in the absentee votes, this will likely prove insurmountable for Daigle to overcome in late absentees and poll votes.  Charles Munger’s largesse was simply too late in the game to save Daigle to overcome Mansoor’s massive absentee lead.

Latest numbers
Mansoor: 42.8%
Rush: 34.4%
Daigle: 22.9%

Posted in 74th Assembly District | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Measure A Going Down in Flames: 62.6%-37.4%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Posted in Orange County, Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

Tea Party Looking To Have Rough Night In Central Committee Races

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 5, 2012

In the Orange County Central Committee races it appears that the Tea Party candidates are in for a very long night.

I would say that as of the initial results Tea Party supported candidates currently holding on to less than 1/3 of the seats.

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

Fullerton Recalls Passing, with over 60% each. Kiger at 59%, Sebourn 41% to Rands 25%, Chaffee 41% to Levinson 33%

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on June 5, 2012

Posted in Fullerton | Leave a Comment »

AD-69: Daly 42.8%, Moreno 21.7%, Martinez 17.8%, Perez 15.7%, Barragan 2.1%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Posted in 69th Assembly District | Leave a Comment »

AD-72: Edgar 27.8%, Pham 21.4%, Dovinh 21.1%, Allen 15.9%, Ayala 13.8%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on June 5, 2012

Posted in 72nd Assembly District | Leave a Comment »