OC Political

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Archive for the ‘37th Senate District’ Category

Moorlach Might Win Out Right – Run-Off Looking Less Likely

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 17, 2015

The third results are in:

STATE SENATOR 37th District, Short Term
Completed Precincts: 171 of 248
Vote Count Percentage
JOHN M. W. MOORLACH (REP) 31,856 49.9%
DONALD P. WAGNER (REP) 28,449 44.6%
NAZ NAMAZI (REP) 2,266 3.6%
Louise Stewardson (W) 1,218 1.9%

 

This third set adds another 89 precincts; combined with 82 precincts already reported, there are now 171 of 248 precincts reporting (69.0%).

Moorlach added 2,127 votes, Wagner added 1,734, Namazi added 88, and Stewardson added 134.

Each update has added another 0.1% to Moorlach.  There are 77 precincts remaining.  It is entirely possible the SB 29 ballots could determine whether there will be a May 19 run-off or if John Moorlach will be a Senator on Friday night.  If Moorlach wins, in a four-month span, the majority of the Orange County Board of Supervisors left the Board and joined the Senate together (Moorlach, Janet Nguyen, and Pat Bates).

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Needle Moves 0.1% – Moorlach Slightly Widens Lead

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 17, 2015

The second results are in:

STATE SENATOR 37th District, Short Term
Completed Precincts: 82 of 248
Vote Count Percentage
JOHN M. W. MOORLACH (REP) 29,729 49.8%
DONALD P. WAGNER (REP) 26,715 44.7%
NAZ NAMAZI (REP) 2,178 3.6%
Louise Stewardson (W) 1,084 1.8%

The first results were all ballots received in the mail through today.  12% of all registered voters in SD-37 cast absentee ballots that were received in the mail by the Registrar as of today (absentee ballots can continue to arrive through Friday and still be counted).

This second set are the first 82 precincts of 248 (33.1%).

Moorlach added 861 votes, Wagner added 667, Namazi added 42, and Stewardson added 6.

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Run-off? Too Close to Call: Moorlach 49.7%, Wagner 44.8%

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 17, 2015

The first results from early absentees are in:

STATE SENATOR 37th District, Short Term
Completed Precincts: 0 of 248
Vote Count Percentage
JOHN M. W. MOORLACH (REP) 28,868 49.7%
DONALD P. WAGNER (REP) 26,048 44.8%
NAZ NAMAZI (REP) 2,136 3.7%
Louise Stewardson (W) 1,078 1.9%

 

Unfortunately, they’re inconclusive.  Early absentees show Moorlach ahead of Wagner by 2,820 votes (4.9%). Presumably, with the uptick in negative mail and robocalls, Moorlach should lose ground with poll voters. If voters are turned off by the negative mail and robocalls, it could benefit Namazi of all people because while Wagner went negative earlier, Moorlach went negative late as well.

I fear my prediction of a run-off may be true.

We should have more information from the Registrar’s 9:30 PM update.

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Some Last Thoughts on the SD-37 Special Primary Election

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 17, 2015

All the mail I got for the SD-37 special election.

All the mail I got for the SD-37 special election.

I really hope that I’m wrong about the election going to a run-off on May 19.  I hope whoever comes in first tonight, whether it is Don Wagner or John Moorlach, gets more than 50% of the vote.  A run-off would be bad for both candidates, their campaigns, and the voters.  The candidates and their campaign staffs would have their lives continue to be on hold for another two months, and the voters would be subject to another endless barrage of campaign mail and robocalls (not to mention the $1.974 million price tag to taxpayers for the run-off).

I imagine my aberrant voter behavior contributed to my voter contact level: I’m a poll voter who requested an absentee ballot on the first day you could request one, but then held on to it and surrendered it at the polling place to vote at the poll.

I personally received 11 robocalls, with 10 of them in the last week. The calls were from (in order of receipt):

  • Congressman Ed Royce for Wagner
  • Naz Namazi for herself
  • Supervisor Todd Spitzer for Wagner
  • John Moorlach for himself
  • Supervisor Andrew Do for Wagner (in Vietnamese)
  • Naz Namazi for herself
  • Mayor Tom Tait for Moorlach
  • Senator Janet Nguyen for Wagner (in Vietnamese)
  • Shawn Steel for Wagner
  • Ed Royce for Wagner

Additionally, I was even had a voicemail from Don Wagner personally phone banking.

Mailwise, I received:

  • 5 mailers from Wagner (1 positive in Vietnamese, 2 mostly-positive comparison pieces, and 2 mostly-negative comparison pieces)
  • 2 mailers from Moorlach (1 mostly-positive comparison piece and 1 mostly-negative comparison piece)
  • 3 IEs from AOCDS and the statewide law enforcement union (1 anti-Moorlach piece, 1 pro-Wagner piece, and 1 that was both)
  • 1 IE from the California Homeowners Association (a comparison piece)

The reason this race went so negative so fast is fundamentally, there are no real differences between Wagner and Moorlach.  They will compile virtually identical voting records in the Senate.  When there are no real policy differences, all you can do is go negative.  As Jon Fleischman of the Flash Report put it at the beginning of this election, “The conservatives have already won.”  The only real difference is one of style and priorities, but they’d vote the same, and Martin Wisckol’s piece in the OC Register was spot on.

Usually, when we say there’s no difference between the candidates, it’s a complaint.  In this election, it’s a compliment.  We’ll know the results in a few minutes, and hopefully somebody breaks 50%.

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It’s Election Day in the 37th Senate District

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 17, 2015

Wagner, Moorlach, and Namazi

Business Owner/Assemblyman Donald P. Wagner, former Orange County Supervisor John M. W. Moorlach, and Naz Namazi

At long last, election day has arrived in the 37th Senate District.  Voters in the 37th Senate District can find their polling place here; polls close at 8:00 PM.  Absentee ballots can still be mailed to the Registrar of Voters today, thanks to SB 29 (Correa).

Voters will fill the seat to succeed Mimi Walters, who was elected to Congress, unless neither Don Wagner nor John Moorlach achieves 50% of the vote, in which case Naz Namazi will cost Orange County taxpayers $1.974 million by causing an unnecessary May 19 run-off election.

For those tracking, 54,700 ballots were received by the Registrar of Voters as of Friday.  Of those, 19,655 ballots have come from portions of SD-37 that are in the 2nd Supervisorial District while 24,667 have come from portions of SD-37 that are in AD-68.  10,378 came from portions of SD-37 that are in neither district.  Additionally, another 2,894 ballots arrived yesterday, but location breakdowns are not yet available for those.

Wagner has represented the 68th Assembly District since 2010 and was on the ballot there most recently in both June and November of 2014.  Moorlach represented the 2nd District Supervisorial from December 2006 until January 2015 and was on the ballot there most recently in June 2010.  Moorlach served in Countywide office from March 1995 to December 2006 and was most recently on a Countywide ballot in June 2006.

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: , , | 9 Comments »

SD-37 Surprise: Naz Namazi Does a Robocall

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 11, 2015

While going through voicemails yesterday, I was shocked to hear a robocall from Naz Namazi.  Considering she had done no noticeable campaigning, I did not expect a robocall one week before Election Day.

Not surprisingly, it’s the worst robocall I’ve ever heard.  Click below to listen to the call or read the transcript:

I’m Naz, N-A-Z, Naz, and I’m running against two men: a liar and a hypocrite.

I am a legal immigrant who’s lived in Orange County for 33 years and graduated from UC Irvine.

I’m Naz, and of course, I approved this message. VoteNaz.org. Vote honesty. Vote Naz.

First, she opens by name-calling against her opponents.  She calls them “a liar and a hypocrite,” but doesn’t bother even saying why they’re “a liar and a hypocrite.”

Next, she rushes through the script so quickly that it’s difficult to tell if she said, “I am a legal immigrant…” or “I am illegal immigrant…”  While readers of this blog are aware she is a legal immigrant, most people listening to the robocall are not.

Also, UC Irvine doesn’t exactly bring up warm fuzzy feelings right now, with their unsuccessful effort to ban the American flag.  If someone misheard “illegal immigrant” and then heard “UC Irvine” in the call, the call is quickly going south.

She doesn’t explain a single issue stance or give any reasons why anyone should vote for her.

Finally, Namazi fails to say who paid for this call, as required by FPPC regulations.  Oddly, she gives half the FEC statement required for candidates for federal office (“I’m Naz, and of course, I approved this message”).  Since she is running for state office, she does not need to say she approved this message.  For either type of message, she has to say, “Paid for by X” (I assume this call was “Paid for by Namazi for Senate 2015” but can’t rule out anyone else paying for it since she didn’t disclose.)

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: | 5 Comments »

Jim Silva: Conservative leaders rightly back Don Wagner for Senate

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on March 9, 2015

This came over the wire to OC Political earlier today from former Assemblyman/former Supervisor Jim Silva (a slightly edited version was published in the Daily Pilot this afternoon)…

With the special election for state Senate District 37 set for March 17, the familiar lament about negative advertising fills the op-ed pages, blogs and social media sites.

He said this, she said that, he said the other thing, with each of the two front-runners denying the particular charges leveled against them.

So with all this noise, who do you believe? Who is best suited to represent the 37th Senate District in Sacramento?

The answer can be found by looking at the endorsements of the elected officials you know and trust. Assemblyman Don Wagner’s endorsements are a who’s who of Orange County conservative leaders: District Attorney Tony Rackauckas and Sheriff Sandra Hutchens both endorse him as the best candidate to keep our community safe.

Four of the five current county supervisors (Lisa Bartlett, Andrew Do, Todd Spitzer and Michelle Steel), and three of the four who served the last term with candidate John Moorlach (State Senators Janet Nguyen and Patricia Bates as well as Spitzer), have endorsed Wagner as the best candidate to work effectively in Sacramento to pass legislation that helps Orange County and California. Orange County Auditor-Controller Eric Woolery, Assessor Claude Parrish and Clerk-Recorder Hugh Nguyen likewise endorse Wagner.

All three of Orange County’s congressional representatives, Reps. Ed Royce, Mimi Walters and Dana Rohrabacher, the vast majority of the Republican caucus in the state Assembly, and many others round out the overwhelming support Wagner enjoys among those who have worked with him and Moorlach.

The reason for this overwhelming support is simple: Wagner has a well-earned reputation for taking a common-sense approach to the problems that face Orange County and the state and, while maintaining his conservative principles, working across the aisle to get legislation passed and signed by the governor.

That is why Wagner has been recognized as the legislator of the year by the Orange County Republican Party and the Orange County Business Council and has received the Collaborative Lawmaker Award from the Association of California Cities.

Orange County needs a principled and effective leader in the state Senate, and Wagner is that candidate.

Posted in 2nd Supervisorial District, 37th Senate District, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

Don Wagner Continues His Negativity and False Allegations Against Moorlach

Posted by Walter Myers III on March 9, 2015

Wagner Hit Piece on MoorlachSportscaster Heywood Broun coined the well-known phrase, “Sports do not build character. They reveal it.” I believe this also applies to the “sport” (or rather blood sport) of politics. I have always supported Assemblyman Don Wagner, and saw him as a noble man of high character. Unfortunately, I’m not seeing that man in his campaign for State Senate, but the opposite. I don’t know if it is his campaign advisers that are goading him into an attempt to destroy the excellent character of his opponent John Moorlach, but even if that is the case, Wagner is accepting that advice and acting on it. He is conducting a vicious, public employee union fueled campaign in a number of ways that I won’t detail here, but what I do want to address is his latest charge (per the clickable graphic to the left) that Moorlach supports amnesty for illegal immigrants based on an Orange County Register article dated February 22, 2013 (note the date on the document is February 24, 2013, but that only reflects the difference between digital vs. print dates). Presumably, Wagner is referring to the following excerpt from the article:

“Moorlach, who emigrated as a child with his parents from the Netherlands to Orange County, said it’s not time yet to discuss his views on issues such as immigration, as that would imply he’s made up his mind to run. However, he said, ‘I prefer some of the proposals that have been proffered by the Lincoln Club and Sen. Marco Rubio.’

Last year, the Lincoln Club adopted a policy statement on immigration reform that would allow undocumented immigrants to transition to guest-worker status and a pathway to legal residency, not citizenship.”

Note that the article clearly states the Lincoln Club policy Moorlach supports promotes a pathway to legal residency, and not citizenship. As a board member of the Lincoln Club and a proud contributor to the Lincoln Club immigration policy statement, I can affirm our position is that illegal immigrants are not entitled to citizenship because they broke the law coming to this country and should not be rewarded for conscious and willful lawbreaking, regardless of the reasons. However, our policy statement does extend some grace to those who have immigrated illegally and have been here for a long period of time, but only after our borders are secured so we won’t have the same problem in the future. The worst part of this subterfuge by Wagner is that a number of members of the Lincoln Club have had extensive conversations with Wagner on the Lincoln Club immigration policy during and after its crafting, which he himself has said he supports. He has told me himself that he supports it and he stated the same when speaking at a recent Lincoln Club meeting. So to use an article against Moorlach that doesn’t even support his baseless charge, and to then say that Moorlach supports amnesty based on the same policy that he supports himself, there is most definitely the smell of desperation in his campaign.

As if it couldn’t get any worse, this communication in favor of Wagner that is purportedly from the Conservative Republicans of California, Orange County, is actually not sanctioned by this group. I have learned conclusively that Wagner’s campaign produced this piece, so Wagner is wholly responsible for sending out a hit piece with false charges under the banner of a conservative political group with the express intent to deceive the public. So personally, I am done with Don Wagner, and believe me it does hurt me to say this. Wagner is the perfect example of what happens to well-intentioned people who go to Sacramento, and once they get a taste of power they begin to lust after it, and will do anything to keep it. All of the conservative principles he says that he espouses, those of character, dignity, and truthfulness, have gone by the wayside because being a State Senator trumps all of the values that he promised to cling to while in public service. It truly is a sad day in Orange County that Wagner has resorted to such tricks over a political seat. As the Bible says, what does it profit a man if he gains the whole world and forfeits his soul?

Posted in 37th Senate District | 27 Comments »

To San Diego Legislators Who want to Stop (or Delay) the Irvine Great Park Audit – BUTT OUT!

Posted by Craig P. Alexander on March 4, 2015

The OC Register has published an article noting that San Diego Assemblywoman Lorena Gonzalez has asked the California State Auditor’s Office to investigate the investigative audit the City of Irvine is conducting on the Great Park fiasco.  According to the article the Assemblywoman wants this “audit of the audit” done very quickly.  [San Diego Legislators]

Why is Assemblywoman Gonzalez so intent on stopping or delaying or discrediting this audit?  Some simple facts to consider:

1. One of the main vendors of services on the Great Park that may be implicated in the looming scandal is Gafcon, Inc. of San Diego.

2. Prior to being elected to the Assembly she worked for Gafcon, Inc.

3. Gafcon, Inc. contributed to Assemblywoman Gonzalez’ campaign.

Hum…you decide if there is another motive here of protecting home tuff or maybe more.  Maybe a lot more!

I would respond to Assemblywoman Gonzalez (and the other San Diego legislators who also signed onto this):

Where were you when the prior City of Irvine majority was spending over $200 million in the people’s money only to get a large orange ballon and almost nothing more for their money?

Where were you when the Great Park Committee was wasting this money in secret and on no bid contracts while citizens of Irvine and Orange County were asking questions and raising concerns over the cost of the project with so little results?

Where were you when it became apparent that vast sums of money were wasted, unaccounted for, spent on questionable expenditures some of which appear to be politically orientated to keep the Agran machine in power?

Where were you when key witnesses refused to give information / testimony to the auditors and the City’s retained attorneys investigating this boondoggle (with its chief witness Larry Agran recently refusing to obey a lawfully issued subpoena)?

Orange County Assemblyman Don Wagner (who represents part of Irvine as part of the 68th Assembly District) has wisely issued his own letter to Assemblywoman Gonzalez asking her to wait until the Irvine auditors have completed their work before having the SAO’s office review their audit.

I have a little more blunt message for Assemblywoman Gonzalez – BUTT OUT!

Disclaimer: I am supporting Assemblyman Don Wagner in his current race for State Senate in the special election of March 17th. [Wagner for Senate]

Posted in 37th Senate District, 68th Assembly District, Irvine, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Ông Don Wagner được sự ủng hộ của các lãnh đạo Vietnamese American như sau

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 4, 2015

Matt Cunningham over at Anaheim Blog has had pretty thorough coverage of the mailers in the SD-37 special election.  However, I think I got one in the mail yesterday that I’m pretty sure Matt couldn’t possibly have received (unless something is seriously wrong with Don Wagner’s mailer list).

(Click on each thumbnail below for a larger, readable version)

WagnerVietnameseMailerBack

WagnerVietnameseMailerFront

According to PDI, there are 11,980 Vietnamese voters in 7,255 houses in the 37th Senate District.

Wagner’s mailer features his endorsements from the two of the highest-ranking Vietnamese American elected officials in California: Senator Janet Nguyen and Supervisor Andrew Do.  It also features the endorsement of Congressman Ed Royce, who is popular in the Vietnamese community.

Wagner’s mailer also hits on three issues near and dear to Vietnamese voters: small business, education/affirmative action, and taxes.

The Vietnamese vote is truly up for grabs as John Moorlach and Don Wagner have similar name ID.  At the Orange County bankruptcy in 1994, there was one Vietnamese American elected official in the country (not county, country), and the Vietnamese community has become much more engaged in politics since then, but the Orange County bankruptcy is not an issue that resonates with Vietnamese voters, so with this mailer from Wagner, Moorlach will need to respond with his own Vietnamese outreach.

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »