OC Political

A right-of-center blog covering local, statewide, and national politics

Archive for March, 2015

To San Diego Legislators Who want to Stop (or Delay) the Irvine Great Park Audit – BUTT OUT!

Posted by Craig P. Alexander on March 4, 2015

The OC Register has published an article noting that San Diego Assemblywoman Lorena Gonzalez has asked the California State Auditor’s Office to investigate the investigative audit the City of Irvine is conducting on the Great Park fiasco.  According to the article the Assemblywoman wants this “audit of the audit” done very quickly.  [San Diego Legislators]

Why is Assemblywoman Gonzalez so intent on stopping or delaying or discrediting this audit?  Some simple facts to consider:

1. One of the main vendors of services on the Great Park that may be implicated in the looming scandal is Gafcon, Inc. of San Diego.

2. Prior to being elected to the Assembly she worked for Gafcon, Inc.

3. Gafcon, Inc. contributed to Assemblywoman Gonzalez’ campaign.

Hum…you decide if there is another motive here of protecting home tuff or maybe more.  Maybe a lot more!

I would respond to Assemblywoman Gonzalez (and the other San Diego legislators who also signed onto this):

Where were you when the prior City of Irvine majority was spending over $200 million in the people’s money only to get a large orange ballon and almost nothing more for their money?

Where were you when the Great Park Committee was wasting this money in secret and on no bid contracts while citizens of Irvine and Orange County were asking questions and raising concerns over the cost of the project with so little results?

Where were you when it became apparent that vast sums of money were wasted, unaccounted for, spent on questionable expenditures some of which appear to be politically orientated to keep the Agran machine in power?

Where were you when key witnesses refused to give information / testimony to the auditors and the City’s retained attorneys investigating this boondoggle (with its chief witness Larry Agran recently refusing to obey a lawfully issued subpoena)?

Orange County Assemblyman Don Wagner (who represents part of Irvine as part of the 68th Assembly District) has wisely issued his own letter to Assemblywoman Gonzalez asking her to wait until the Irvine auditors have completed their work before having the SAO’s office review their audit.

I have a little more blunt message for Assemblywoman Gonzalez – BUTT OUT!

Disclaimer: I am supporting Assemblyman Don Wagner in his current race for State Senate in the special election of March 17th. [Wagner for Senate]

Posted in 37th Senate District, 68th Assembly District, Irvine, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Ông Don Wagner được sự ủng hộ của các lãnh đạo Vietnamese American như sau

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 4, 2015

Matt Cunningham over at Anaheim Blog has had pretty thorough coverage of the mailers in the SD-37 special election.  However, I think I got one in the mail yesterday that I’m pretty sure Matt couldn’t possibly have received (unless something is seriously wrong with Don Wagner’s mailer list).

(Click on each thumbnail below for a larger, readable version)

WagnerVietnameseMailerBack

WagnerVietnameseMailerFront

According to PDI, there are 11,980 Vietnamese voters in 7,255 houses in the 37th Senate District.

Wagner’s mailer features his endorsements from the two of the highest-ranking Vietnamese American elected officials in California: Senator Janet Nguyen and Supervisor Andrew Do.  It also features the endorsement of Congressman Ed Royce, who is popular in the Vietnamese community.

Wagner’s mailer also hits on three issues near and dear to Vietnamese voters: small business, education/affirmative action, and taxes.

The Vietnamese vote is truly up for grabs as John Moorlach and Don Wagner have similar name ID.  At the Orange County bankruptcy in 1994, there was one Vietnamese American elected official in the country (not county, country), and the Vietnamese community has become much more engaged in politics since then, but the Orange County bankruptcy is not an issue that resonates with Vietnamese voters, so with this mailer from Wagner, Moorlach will need to respond with his own Vietnamese outreach.

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Correa Probably Regrets Authoring SB 183

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 3, 2015

An OC Political reader with a strong knowledge of recounts pointed out SB 183 (Correa, 2011) to me.  I had earlier written about the difficulty of getting new results in recounts in California.  SB 183 is the bill that made successful recounts virtually impossible.

Prior to SB 183, recount strategy typically relied on getting ballots tossed for identifiable marks, such as the infamous flower ballot of 2007.

Lou Correa (D-Santa Ana) put an end to that with SB 183.  Identifiable marks no longer invalidated ballots.  Consequently, the only way a ballot can be tossed is if the voter voted for more candidates than were available on the ballot (e.g. two candidates for Supervisor, four candidates for three city council slots) or voted both yes and no on a ballot measure.  Even then, the whole ballot wouldn’t be tossed, just the race in which the voter overvoted.

With more accurate ballot counting software and SB 183, recounts of anything other than provisional ballots are almost pointless in California.  That’s why the Garden Grove mayoral recount had no vote changes, the State Controller recount had 8 vote changes statewide, etc.

As one friend suggested while I talked to her about this situation, perhaps Correa wrote SB 183 in 2011 expecting to narrowly lead in a future election and wanted to prevent a recount from overturning his result.  Instead, he found himself narrowly behind in 2015 and wasn’t able to overturn the result.

Correa’s SB 183 of 2011 was actually identical to SB 387 of 2009 by Senator Loni Hancock (D-Berkeley), which was vetoed by Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, who

The provisions of this bill allowing elections officials to process ballots that contain extraneous non-identifying marks are acceptable; however, I am concerned that remaking a ballot that contains personal identifying information compromises ballot secrecy and increases the opportunity for fraud.

The only difference two years later for SB 183 (Correa) of 2011 versus SB 387 (Hancock) of 2009 was a new Governor, Jerry Brown.

The two key changes in SB 183 were for Elections Code Sections 15154 and 15208:

SB 183 modified Elections Code Section 15154 as follows:

Any ballot that is not marked as provided by law or that is marked or signed by the voter so that it can be identified by others shall be rejected.

SB 183 struck this sentence out of Elections Code Section 15208:

Any ballot that is marked in a manner so as to identify the voter shall be marked “Void” and shall be placed in the container for void ballots.

SB 183 also replaced the voter instruction “All distinguishing marks or erasures are forbidden and make the ballot void” and replaced it with “Marking the ballot outside of the designated space to vote for a candidate or measure may compromise the secrecy of the ballot.”

Promoted by Common Cause and now-disgraced Secretary of State Debra Bowen, Correa introduced SB 183 on February 7, 2011. It passed the Legislature on near-party-line votes (oddly, Assemblyman Chris Norby voted against it in Assembly Appropriations and for it 12 days later on the Assembly Floor).  Governor Jerry Brown signed SB 183 into law on October 9, 2011, and it took effect January 1, 2012.

Posted in 1st Supervisorial District | Tagged: , , , , , | 9 Comments »

SD-37 Special Election: AD-68 Ballots Outpacing 2nd Supervisorial District Ballots

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 2, 2015

Wagner, Moorlach, and Namazi

Business Owner/Assemblyman Donald P. Wagner, former Orange County Supervisor John M. W. Moorlach, and Naz Namazi

In the SD-37 Special Election (polls close in 15 days), 28,555 ballots have been returned so far.  Of those, 11,940 (41.8%) have come from the 68th Assembly District, 9,988 (35.0%) have come from the 2nd Supervisorial District, and 6,627 (23.2%) come from neither of those districts.

Assemblyman Don Wagner has represented the 68th District since 2010 and was on the ballot there most recently in both June and November of 2014.  Former Orange County Supervisor John Moorlach represented the 2nd District from December 2006 until January 2015 and was on the ballot there most recently in June 2010.  Moorlach served in Countywide office from March 1995 to December 2006 and was most recently on a Countywide ballot in June 2006.

The Wagner camp should be pleased by their district of strength leading Moorlach’s district of strength by 6% in ballots returned in SD-37.

Naz Namazi remains a wildcard who could eat up as much as 5% of the vote.  Write-in Democrat Louise Stewardson is probably good for another 4% of the vote.

While well over 60% of the votes are from Republicans, the wildcard is what did non-Republican voters do?  There are 5,783 Democrats (20.3%), 3,783 NPP (13.2%), 596 AIP (2.1%), 185 Libertarians (0.6%), 49 Greens (0.2%), and 20 Peace and Freedom (0.1%).

Faced with three Republicans on the ballot, only a fraction of those Democrats are going to notice their write-in candidate, and the Greens and Peace and Freedom voters were only 69 people.  The NPPs, AIP, and Libertarians comprise 15% of the vote.

Which candidate campaign most effectively to the non-Republicans, and especially the Democrats?  Wagner and Moorlach are both acknowledged as two of the leading conservatives in Orange County.  Which campaigned best to Democrats?  Or which IE best campaigned to Democrats?

Posted in 37th Senate District | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »