OC Political

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Archive for the ‘California’ Category

#21 Stanford defeats #2 USC 21-14

Posted by Chris Nguyen on September 15, 2012

This is not a political post, but Emami urged me to do it anyway.

Stanford is now 5-1 against USC over the last six years in football, including going 4-0 against Mater Dei alum Matt Barkley.

That is all.

Posted in California | 2 Comments »

New Prop 32 Web Video: “Tragic” As CTA Spends Millions In Opposition

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on September 10, 2012

This just came across the wire from the Yes on Prop 32 campaign. (Full Disclosure: Custom Campaigns is doing some consulting work on this race):

New Prop 32 Web Video: “Tragic” As CTA Spends Millions In Opposition

Ad Shows Voters How Teachers Union Contributions Led To Failure Of SB 1530

(SACRAMENTO, CA)—Today, the Yes on Prop 32 campaign released a new web video, entitled “Tragic”, that explains how Prop 32 would reduce special interest control over politicians, exemplified by the California’s teachers union blocking SB 1530, a bill that would have made it easier to fire teachers accused of child molestation, violence and drug abuse.  Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in California | 5 Comments »

2012 General Election Predictions: U.S. Senate

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on September 10, 2012

It is once again time for my prediction series on the 2012 general election races that will appear on the ballot. I am not going to make predictions on all races, but I would say you can expect predictions on over 75% of them.

We are going to kick things off with the United States Senate race between Dianne Feinstein and Elizabeth Emken. In the primary election we had 24 candidates vying for this seat:

United States Senator

  • Dianne Feinstein, Democratic ………. 2,392,822 votes 49.3%
  • Elizabeth Emken, Republican ………. 613,613 votes 12.6%
  • Dan Hughes, Republican ………. 323,840 votes 6.7%
  • Rick Williams, Republican ………. 157,946 votes 3.3%
  • Orly Taitz, Republican ………. 154,781 votes 3.2%
  • Dennis Jackson, Republican ………. 137,120 votes 2.8%
  • Greg Conlon, Republican ………. 135,421 votes 2.8%
  • Al Ramirez, Republican ………. 109,399 votes 2.3%
  • Gail K. Lightfoot, Libertarian ………. 101,648 votes 2.1%
  • Diane Stewart, Democratic ………. 97,782 votes 2.0%
  • Mike Strimling, Democratic ………. 97,024 votes 2.0%
  • David Alex Levitt, Democratic ………. 76,482 votes 1.6%
  • Oscar Alejandro Braun, Republican ………. 75,842 votes 1.6%
  • Marsha Feinland, Peace and Freedom ………. 57,720 votes 1.2%
  • Robert Lauten, Republican ………. 56,524 votes 1.2%
  • Colleen Shea Fernald, Democratic ………. 51,623 votes 1.1%
  • Donald Krampe, Republican ………. 39,035 votes 0.8%
  • Don J. Grundmann, American Independent ………. 33,037 votes 0.7%
  • Dirk Allen Konopik, Republican ………. 29,997 votes 0.6%
  • John Boruff, Republican ………. 29,357 votes 0.6%
  • Nak Shah, Democratic ………. 27,203 votes 0.6%
  • Rogelio T. Gloria, Republican ………. 22,529 votes 0.5%
  • Nachum Shifren, Republican ………. 21,762 votes 0.4%
  • Kabiruddin Karim Ali, Peace and Freedom ………. 12,269 votes 0.3%
  • Linda R. Price, Republican (Write-in)

This data comes directly from the League of Women Voters “Smart Voter” website. Unfortunately for Republicans these numbers say it all. Feinstein almost managed to get 50% of the vote with 23 opponents running against her.

Unfortunately, this race is not Barbara Boxer vs. Carly Fiorina which was extremely competitive. Feinstein is the more moderate Democrat between the 2 Senators. Feinstein also hails from the bay area which is one of the largest 2 voting populations in California (the other being Los Angeles.

Many might argue that Feinstein is vulnerable because she was one of the victims of the Kindee Durkee scandal. However, Durkee may have taken all of her campaign money but Feinstein was listed as the 9th richest member of Congress in 2011. Also Diane Feinstein wrote her campaign a check for $5,000,000 after Durkee took her $4,500,000 during the alleged embezzlement scandal.

This race is going to take millions of dollars to do and with just over  $26,000 left after the primary election it just doesn’t seem like it is going to happen. On the other hand Feinstein had over $3,000,000 as of June 30th in her account

On a personal note I think Elizabeth Emken is a great person and I am hoping that all the stars will align for an upset on election night.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the winner will be:

Dianne Feinstein

Posted in California, National | Tagged: , | 1 Comment »

Prop 29 Recount Rolls into Orange County

Posted by Chris Nguyen on August 29, 2012

Prop 29 went down in defeat in June with 2,592,791 voting against the measure and 2,568,715 voting for the measure (a 50.2%-49.8% margin or 24,076 votes), according to the results certified by the Secretary of State on July 13.

Four days before certification, on July 9, Dr. John Maa (D-San Francisco) filed a request for a partial recount of the results.  Maa is being represented in the recount by attorney Brad Hertz (R-Woodland Hills) of the Sutton Law Firm.  Maa indicated he would spend up to $250,000 to pay for the recount (remember, under California law, anyone requesting a recount must pay for it; a refund will occur only if they succeed in overturning the election results).

On July 16, the partial recount commenced in Los Angeles County.  The recounting continued until August 11, at which point Maa’s recount added 464 “Yes” votes and 246 “No” votes, a net gain of 218 votes for the “Yes” side.

On August 6, the recount commenced in Placer County, but with Steven L. Heilig (G-San Francisco) rather than Ma as the person requesting the recount.  The recounting continued until August 13, at which point Heilig’s recount subtracted 10 “Yes” votes and 18 “No” votes, a net gain of 8 votes for the “Yes” side.

The recount is now rolling into Orange County, with the Registrar of Voters announcing the recount will commence on Wednesday, September 5.

Although the No on 29 side is gaining votes in the recount, it seems unlikely that they’ll achieve enough to overturn 24,076 considering they’ve only netted 226 votes so far.

If Maa sounds familiar, he was in a “Yes on 29” commercial:

Since we’re showing Prop 29 commercials, click here to see Orange County’s own Dr. Ken Williams (R-Villa Park) in a No on 29 commercial.

Posted in California, Orange County | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Secretary of State Bowen Announces Results of Randomized Alphabet Drawing for Candidate Order on November 6 General Election Ballots

Posted by Newsletter Reprint on August 16, 2012

This came over the wire from Secretary of State Debra Bowen’s office earlier today…

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
August 16, 2012

Secretary of State Bowen Announces
Results of Randomized Alphabet Drawing for
Candidate Order on November 6 General Election Ballots

SACRAMENTO – Secretary of State Debra Bowen’s office today held a randomized alphabet drawing to determine the order that candidates’ names will appear on November 6 general election ballots.

The results of today’s drawing are as follows:

  1. I
  2. X
  3. C
  4. A
  5. O
  6. U
  7. Z
  8. S
  9. W
  10. H
  11. K
  12. T
  13. D
  14. F
  15. Q
  16. V
  17. G
  18. M
  19. R
  20. J
  21. L
  22. Y
  23. E
  24. B
  25. P
  26. N

In accordance with Elections Code section 13111, the names of candidates on the ballot are arranged based on the randomized alphabet. This alphabet applies throughout the entire last name of the candidate. If the names of two or more candidates begin with the same letter, their ballot listing order is determined by applying the randomized alphabet to the next letter(s) of their names. If last names of multiple candidates are the same, the randomized alphabet also applies to first names.

Today’s randomized alphabet drawing was held in the Elections Division within the Secretary of State’s office in compliance with Elections Code section 13112. Staff members pulled the letters in a lottery-style drawing, with witnesses from the public present.

###

Posted in California | Tagged: , | 1 Comment »

California Republican Party Endorses Positions on November Ballot Measures

Posted by Chris Nguyen on August 12, 2012

Just moments ago, the California Republican Party approved the following endorsements of the measures on the November ballot.

  • No on 30 – Temporary Taxes to Fund Education. Guaranteed Local Public Safety Funding. (Governor Jerry Brown Tax Increase)
  • Yes on 31 – State Budget. State and Local Government. (Pay as you go)
  • Yes on 32 – Political Contributions by Payroll Deduction. Contributions to Candidates. (Stop Special Interest Money)
  • Yes on 33 – Auto Insurance Companies. Prices Based on Driver’s History of Insurance Coverage.
  • No on 34 – Elimination of Death Penalty.
  • Yes on 35 – Human Trafficking. Penalties
  • No on 36 – Three Strikes Law. Repeat Felony Offenders. Penalties.
  • No on 37 – Genetically Engineered Foods. Labeling.
  • No on 38 – Tax to Fund Education and Early Childhood Programs. (Molly Munger Tax Increase)
  • No on 39 – Tax Treatment for Multistate Businesses. Clean Energy Corporate Subsidies. (Tom Steyer Tax Measure)
  • Yes on 40 – Redistricting State Senate Districts.

The party had previously taken the positions above for Props 30, 32, 33, and 38. The other seven measures are new endorsements.

On Prop 31, Tom Hudson spoke in opposition to the measure, expressing concern that the measure would never permit a tax cut ever again. Jon Fleischman spoke in favor of Prop 31, expressing support for its requirement that budget bills must be in print for 72 hours before any votes can occur (making it more difficult to pass last-minute tax increases). Fleischman also noted the top opponents to Prop 31 were labor unions, like SEIU and AFSCME. The party delegates voted in favor of Prop 31.

On Prop 40, Initiatives Committee Chairman Mike Spence stated a parliamentary ruling determined that while the party had previously voted to support the petition circulation to qualify Prop 40 for the ballot, the party had not voted on the measure itself.

Tom Hudson spoke urging the delegates to endorse a position of “No on Prop 40” (i.e. support the referendum, reinforcing the position on the circulation), saying voters should overturn the lines because the Supreme Court had previously drawn excellent lines the last two times they did it in the 1970s and 1990s.

Senator Mimi Walters, who obtained and provided the bulk of the funding to qualify Prop 40 for the ballot, spoke urging the delegates to endorse a position of “Yes on Prop 40” (i.e. oppose the referendum, leaving the lines in place), saying voters should not overturn the lines because the Senate seats up in 2014 are more favorable to Republicans, enabling the GOP to pick up two Senate seats in 2014. She stated she had qualified the referendum in hopes that the courts would stay the lines in the 2012 election pending the outcome of the referendum. The courts refused. She indicated the lines made it so that the Senate seats up in 2012 are more favorable to Democrats, allowing them to pick up 2-3 seats.

The party delegates voted with the position proposed by Walters, voting in favor of Prop 40 (i.e. leaving the lines in place by opposing the referendum).

The positions on all the other ballot measures passed without discussion.

Posted in California, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Mismanagement, Wasteful Spending By Regulators Plague Effort to Restore Central Valley Salmon Populations

Posted by Cicero on August 6, 2012

At a time when the Governor is struggling to build support for his Bay Delta Conservation Plan and just weeks after the Safe, Clean, and Reliable Drinking Water Supply Act was pulled from the ballot for the second time, Californians are naturally skeptical about the competence of those responsible for ensuring both a clean and reliable water supply, and a healthy Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta.  One of the key elements of a healthy Delta is a stable population of the state’s iconic Central Valley salmon – something the state has not had for many years.

One group of stakeholders decided to find out why, despite over a billion dollars spent on protecting fish, we still do not have a healthy salmon population. The results of the investigation were not surprising – too much government, and no effective coordination. The San Joaquin Tributaries Authority (SJTA), State and Federal Water Contractors Agency and Northern California Water Association combined their resources to conduct the study, which can be found online here. The group, collectively known as the Salmon Recovery Group, found conflicting goals and inconsistent strategies of the regulators of the Delta had effectively cancelled out each other’s efforts.

The three entities primarily responsible for management of the fishery include the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), and California Department of Fish Game (CDFG). The target population goal ranges from doubling the salmon population to removing the endangered list. The timelines are also inconsistent with each other as are the strategies being used to achieve the goals.

In a press release issued last week by the SJTA, the executive director of the SJTA expressed a sentiment that probably speaks for most Californians who see the results of this study, “[We] have made significant investments in the recovery of native salmon populations and we are committed to working toward a sustainable long-term plan,” said Allen Short, executive director of the SJTA and general manager of the Modesto Irrigation District. “But this report is disturbing, because it shows a level of mismanagement – and waste of taxpayer dollars – that raise serious doubts about regulators’ ability to chart a productive course in the future.”

The study went on to state several potential solutions, most obviously the common sense solution of more coordination between agencies. The study was sent to each of the agencies, but no public response has been issued.

As the report notes, “None of the three restoration plans reviewed adequately provide a clear and succinct strategy for recovering Central Valley anadromous salmonid stocks to viable and sustainable levels. The principal reason is that these plans were prepared by different agencies for different purposes largely independent of one another. This has led to numerous inconsistencies and disconnects among the three plans.”

While many people may not find the fact that the government is wasteful and spent billions of dollars with little return surprising, that should not make this report any less significant. Water is critical to the future of California and until those responsible for the management of California’s water supply get on the same page, we will unfortunately continue to see even more waste and fewer results.

You can read the study in its entirety here.

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Roseanne Barr/Cindy Sheehan Win Peace and Freedom Party Nomination for White House

Posted by Chris Nguyen on August 6, 2012

Peace and Freedom Party Presidential Nominee Roseanne Barr

Peace and Freedom Party Presidential Nominee Roseanne Barr

In an odd turn of events over the weekend, actress Roseanne Barr and liberal activist Cindy Sheehan won the Peace and Freedom Party’s nomination for President and Vice President.

Just two months ago, Barr had been defeated for the Green Party presidential nomination by Massachusetts physician Jill Stein when the latter won the crucial California primary, clinching enough delegates to win the nomination.  Last month, Green Party watchers speculated that Stein would pick Barr to be her running mate, but that came to naught when Stein picked Pennsylvanian Cheri Honkala.

This past week proved most eventful for left-wing third parties.  On Wednesday, the Green Party’s Stein and Honkala were both jailed for a sit-in at a Philadelphia bank.  The next day, Barr jumped the Green Party ship and announced that she was the seeking the Peace and Freedom Party’s nomination for President and had selected Cindy Sheehan as her running mate.  Shortly after Barr’s announcement, Rocky Anderson, who had won the Peace and Freedom Party’s California primary, withdrew from the race.  Then, Barr and Sheehan won the Peace and Freedom nomination at their convention over the weekend.

The Peace and Freedom Party’s incredibly generous rules do not require their nominee “to run in the primary or be a registered party member,” State Party Chair C.T. Weber told the Sacramento Bee.

The Peace and Freedom Party, which calls itself “California’s Feminist Socialist Political Party,” has ballot access in California and Florida.  The party is also seeking ballot access in several other states.  Might I suggest Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Wisconsin, or Iowa?

This entire episode leaves two important questions:

  1. Is there still time for Barr to seek the presidential nomination of The Rent Is Too Damn High Party in New York?
  2. Since President Barack Obama’s campaign has already run hit ads on Mitt Romney featuring Romney singing America the Beautiful, will Jill Stein’s campaign run hit ads on Roseanne Barr featuring Barr singing The Star-Spangled Banner?


Posted in California, National | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Brown Bringing Tax Hammer Down On Lumber

Posted by The Master Cylinder on August 2, 2012

Perhaps the state motto should be changed to “The Taxman Cometh. And Cometh. And Cometh.” That’s the animating spirit of state policy under Governor Jerry Brown, whose Adminstration deals with the huge perma-deficit by levying taxes hither and thither without regard to the human or economic cost.

The Brown Administration’s is proposing a budget trailer to “reform” the Timber Harvest Plan by creating a Lumber Retail Sales tax that would be assessed on the purchase of any lumber product at the point of sale.  The funds generated from this tax would be used to fund state and industry regulatory agencies.

At what cost? This proposed tax would target small businesses and do-it-yourself consumers who utilize lumber products. Many of these small businesses, which use lumber regularly, have already been devastated by recent financial events.

Home builders, carpenters and roofers – just to name a few – were very successful during the housing boom, and now many can barely find work.  Under this plan, when these hard-working Californians do find work, their cost of doing business will be even higher. How can any intelligent policy maker or elected official consider this is a smart plan to promote economic recovery.

Why would any administration want to harm consumers and small business by forcing them to pay additional taxes? Is making it harder for a prostrate industry to recover pro-growth or even compassionate? That’s a question the Brown Administration and supporters of this tax need to answer.

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Tax Initiative Committee Raises Almost 8 Million

Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on July 31, 2012

It has been a relatively slow news day after yesterdays Santa Ana craziness. One thing that popped into my inbox from Capitol Weekly was an article about the Jerry Brown tax initiative committee raising almost 8 million dollars through the final week of July.

Taxes being raised in California is not a very popular concept right now and most experts believe that the tax increases will fail unless a lot of money comes in to  help the campaign. A great barometer for this is the slim margin of defeat for the cigarette tax that was on the ballot this past June. If voters are unwilling to pass a tax on cigarettes in California then it will be an uphill battle to get any other kind of tax raised.

However, with almost 8 million dollars raised at this early point in the campaign it will make for a very interesting and probably close race.

Another question that some have is what impact the Molly Munger PTA initiative (Proposition 38) would have on this as Munger is clearly not happy that her initiative was moved lower on the ballot. Proposition 38 has raised almost 9 million dollars during the same time period.

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