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2012 Primary Election Predictions: Race For Judge

Posted by Honest Abe on May 30, 2012

One of our readers last week mentioned that I never made any prediction in the race for Orange County Judge between Eugene Jizhak and Deborah Chuang. Better late than never.

The candidates include:

Deborah Chuang– She is currently the incumbent in this race and had the misfortune of being in Office 1. The reason I say misfortune is because this is likely why her opponent chose to run here as opposed to in one of the other races. Prior to being a Judge in 2009 she was a Deputy Attorney General for 12 years after earning her J.D. from U.C. Berkeley School of Law.

Eugene Jizhak– He earned his J.D. from Newport University School of Law before becoming a general practice attorney. He has appeared on a lot of slate mailers that I have seen but does not appear to be running any direct mail pieces. According to his profile on slate mailers he appears to oppose the early release of “Insane Maniacs” which might be one of my favorite lines from this election.

The factors at play- In these races the most important factor is incumbency. Running in a race where all of Orange County votes you need a strong ballot statement (Jizhak did not get one), an open seat (Chuang is the incumbent), and a very strong campaign (Neither is campaigning very hard).

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the winning candidate will be:

Deborah Chuang

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