2012 Primary Election Predictions: Republican Central Committee AD 65
Posted by Former Blogger Chris Emami on April 23, 2012
AD 65 was also available to avoid a circus atmosphere of having over 20 candidates competing for the 6 seats.
Credit goes to Meridian Pacific for posting these maps on their website.
The candidates include:
Baron Night– He is currently an incumbent member of the central committee and will likely be the lone Buena Park resident on the committee.
Greg Sebourn– He ran for Fullerton City Council back in the 2010 election and fell just short of winning one of the two seats that was up. He is also a candidate for Fullerton City Council in the recall election.
Henry Charoen– Currently a La Palma City Councilman and potentially a future candidate for the 65th Assembly District as he has already formed a committee.
Steve Hwangbo– Also a La Palma City Councilman and although he is a Republican he is not quite as solid of a vote on the City Council as Henry Charoen.
Samuel “Sam” Han– He is currently a Republican staffer for Assemblyman Don Wagner in the new AD 68 district.
Jerry Jackson– He is currently a sitting member of the OC GOP Central Committee. *Incumbent.
Sou Moua– I was not able to find any information about this individual.
Pat Shuff– She currently sits on the OC GOP Central Committee in this district and is a former Fullerton RWF President. *Incumbent.
Alexandria Coronado– She used to be a member of the Orange County Board of Education before she was narrowly defeated last election by David Boyd.
David John Shawver– He is currently a member of the Stanton City Council and a previous opponent of John Moorlach for public office.
Shawn Nelson– Orange County Supervisor representing the 4th district and he has been a solid vote so far. He is also a current member of the OC GOP Central Committee. *Incumbent.
The factors at play- In these races the most important factor is luck. What I examined when determining who would win was name ID, ballot designation, ballot placement, district statistics.
Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the 6 winning candidates (In no particular order) will be:
1. Shawn Nelson
2. Pat Shuff
3. Baron Night
4. Henry Charoen
5. Greg Sebourn
6. David John Shawver