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Posted by OC Insider on April 25, 2013
Posted in 72nd Assembly District, Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Laguna Beach, Newport Beach, San Clemente, Seal Beach, Orange County, Sunset Beach Sanitary District, Surfside Colony Community Services District | Tagged: AQMD, Travis Allen | 4 Comments »
Posted by Chris Emami on March 23, 2013
A reader just sent me a new database that included some elected officials that I forgot about the first time around. These offices would be Congress, Senate, and Assembly which I cannot believe I forgot. Take a look at the short but informative database of these elected officials that represent at least a portion of Orange County.
Here you go:
| Office | Name | Party | Year |
Congress |
|||
| UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 38th DISTRICT | Linda Sanchez | (D) | 2014 |
| UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 39th DISTRICT | Ed Royce | (R) | 2014 |
| UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 45th DISTRICT | John Campbell | (R) | 2014 |
| UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 46th DISTRICT | Loretta Sanchez | (D) | 2014 |
| UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 47th DISTRICT | Alan Lowenthal | (D) | 2014 |
| UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 48th DISTRICT | Dana Rohrabacher | (R) | 2014 |
| UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 49th DISTRICT | Darrell Issa | (R) | 2014 |
Senate |
|||
| STATE SENATE 29th DISTRICT | Bob Huff | (R) | 2016 |
| STATE SENATE 30th DISTRICT | Ron Calderon | (D) | 2014 |
| STATE SENATE 34th DISTRICT | Lou Correa | (D) | 2014 |
| STATE SENATE 36th DISTRICT | Mark Wyland | (R) | 2014 |
| STATE SENATE 37th DISTRICT | Mimi Walters | (R) | 2016 |
Assembly |
|||
| STATE ASSEMBLY 55th DISTRICT | Curt Hagman | (R) | 2014 |
| STATE ASSEMBLY 65th DISTRICT | Sharon Quirk-Silva | (D) | 2014 |
| STATE ASSEMBLY 68th DISTRICT | Don Wagner | (R) | 2014 |
| STATE ASSEMBLY 69th DISTRICT | Tom Daly | (D) | 2014 |
| STATE ASSEMBLY 72nd DISTRICT | Travis Allen | (R) | 2014 |
| STATE ASSEMBLY 73rd DISTRICT | Diane Harkey | (R) | 2014 |
| STATE ASSEMBLY 74th DISTRICT | Allan Mansoor | (R) | 2014 |
Posted in 29th Senate District, 34th Senate District, 36th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 55th Assembly District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, State Assembly, State Senate | Tagged: Alan Lowenthal, Allan Mansoor, Bob Huff, Curt Hagman, Dana Rohrabacher, Darrell Issa, Diane Harkey, Don Wagner, Ed Royce, Joel Anderson, John Campbell, Linda Sanchez, Loretta Sanchez, Lou Correa, Mimi Walters, Sharon Quirk-Silva, Tom Daly, Travis Allen | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Chris Nguyen on February 5, 2013
Yesterday afternoon, the Sacramento Bee posted a story about the possible removal of Assembly Republican Leader Connie Conway (R-Visalia).
Conway led her caucus into the 2012 elections and into its smallest size since 1883. (In a ray of hope, while Republicans held 19 seats in 1883, the GOP gained 41 additional seats to reach 60 seats in 1885, thereby flipping a 61-19 majority for Democrats into a 60-20 majority for Republicans in two years).
While Conway’s failings and probable removal were the main thrust of the story, the more interesting information for our readership is that the two leading contenders in the story to replace Conway are both from Orange County.
Second-term Assemblyman Don Wagner of Irvine and first-term Assemblyman Travis Allen of Huntington Beach were cited as the two most likely contenders.
In the last 30 years, there have been 18 Assembly Republican Leaders, but only four have been from Orange County:
In the same time span, there have been 10 Senate Republican Leaders, and three have been from Orange County (and four have represented Orange County):
First elected in 2010, Wagner terms out in 2016. First elected in 2012, Allen terms out in 2024. (In both cases, I’m assuming that they are both re-elected the maximum number of terms allowed and serve those terms consecutively.)
In either case, Wagner or Allen would be the first Assembly Republican Leader from Orange County in a dozen years.
The next Assembly Republican Leader has exactly two priorities: protecting seats currently held by Republicans and winning seats occupied by Democrats. The top three seats the leader needs to protect are Jeff Gorell‘s Ventura County seat, Mike Morrell‘s San Bernardino County seat, and freshman Eric Linder‘s western Riverside County seat. Target #1 is the Antelope Valley seat held by freshman Steve Fox (D). Target #2 will be in the leader’s backyard (assuming Wagner or Allen is the next leader) with the North Orange County seat occupied by freshman Sharon Quirk-Silva (D).
Failure to preserve the existing seats 25 seats and failure to gain either of those target seats will result in the next leader going the way of Conway, and let’s not forget Conway became Republican Leader when Martin Garrick stepped down after losing a Republican seat in 2010.
Posted in 68th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: Bill Campbell, Connie Conway, Curt Pringle, Dick Ackerman, Don Wagner, Eric Linder, Jeff Gorell, Mike Morrell, Rob Hurtt, Ross Johnson, Scott Baugh, Sharon Quirk-Silva, Steve Fox, Travis Allen | 6 Comments »
Posted by Chris Emami on November 2, 2012
A reader sent me a note that Travis Allen had received $2,000 from the Orange County Employees Association. I told them to provide me with proof and they sent me the document that you see right below this:
I am not surprised to see Sharon Quirk-Silva on the form but Travis Allen actually caught me a bit off guard. This is a pretty bold move by OCEA to try to curry favor with a Republican and it will be interesting to hear what the Edgar camp has to say about this in the days leading up to the election.
Polling in this race that I pointed to in a previous post showed that Allen had a slight lead a week after absentee ballots arrived. The problem with that poll is the following result:
Travis Allen- 28.0%
Troy Edgar- 22.1%
This means that almost 50% of people are undecided which will make the mail that has arrived in recent weeks very important. I would also expect to see some hard-hitting roll-calls going out around town about the OCEA money from the Edgar campaign.
Fasten your seat belts for what should be some great political theatre over the next 4 days leading up to the election.
Posted in 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: Travis Allen, Troy Edgar | 2 Comments »
Posted by Chris Emami on October 31, 2012
I am a huge fan of October 31st despite the fact that Chris Nguyen despises it. This year for Halloween I carved the pumpkins displayed below in honor of the upcoming Presidential Election.
I remember back in the days of Red County doing a post on Halloween where we pondered a political movie being made about Orange County. Just because I am feeling a bit nostalgic we are going to do an abridged version of that post here based on the idea that a movie about OC Political is being made.
The part of myself will be played by radio personality Petros Papadakis:
The part of Chris Nguyen will be played by Korean rap sensation PSY (Gangnam Style):
The part of Alan Lowenthal Democrat running for CD 47 will be played by NBC 4 weather reporter Fritz Coleman:
The part of Republican AD 65 candidate Chris Norby will be played by actor Craig T. Nelson:
The part of Republican AD 72 candidate Troy Edgar will be played by 30 rock actor Jack McBrayer:
Lastly, the part of Edgar opponent Travis Allen in AD 72 will be played by NY Jets Quarterback Tim Tebow:
Posted in 47th Congressional District, 65th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: Alan Lowenthal, Chris Emami, Chris Nguyen, Chris Norby, Craig T. Nelson, Fritz Coleman, Jack McBrayer, Petros Papadakis, PSY, Tim Tebow, Travis Allen, Troy Edgar | 1 Comment »
Posted by Greg Woodard on October 30, 2012
The Atlas PAC, a conservative group that believes in the ideals of limited government, free market enterprise, low taxation, and individual liberty, held a forum on October 24 for its endorsed candidates. A veritable who’s who of Orange County state legislators arrived, with 5 current or prospective members of the Assembly and State Senator Mimi Walters making a brief appearance. Director Ben Pugh hosted the event, and he urged those in attendance to support the endorsed candidates, both financially and by walking or otherwise getting involved. Each candidate was given a chance to speak and, with less than two weeks before the election, the following made their pitch:
State Assembly
Irvine City Council
Aliso Viejo City Council
Anaheim City Council
Costa Mesa City Council
Costa Mesa Sanitation District
Lake Forest City Council
Mission Viejo City Council
Orange City Council
Santa Ana City Council
Santa Ana Unified School District
Posted in Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Costa Mesa, Costa Mesa Sanitary District, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Lake Forest, Mission Viejo, Orange, Orange County, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District | Tagged: Adam Nick, Allan Mansoor, Atlas PAC, Brian Chuchua, Cathy Schlicht, Cecilia Iglesias, Chris Norby, Colin McCarthy, Don Harper, Don Wagner, Dwight Robinson, Ed Sachs, Eric Linder, George Collins, Jeff Mathews, Jon Dumitru, Lynn Schott, Mike Munzing, Steven Choi, Travis Allen | 7 Comments »
Posted by Chris Emami on October 17, 2012
Got an e-mail from Probolsky research yesterday that showed Travis Allen leading Troy Edgar by a slim margin in the hotly contested 72nd Assembly District race. It is important to note that a vast majority ov voters are undecided but this is clearly promising news for Travis Allen.
Here are the poll results:
On Saturday, October 13, 2012 Probolsky Research conducted a telephone survey of likely voters in California Assembly District 72.
TRAVIS ALLEN LEADS TROY EDGAR
Allen enjoys a lead over Edgar (28.0% to 22.1%) in the race for the 72
nd Assembly District. However, nearly half of voters remain undecided:
Question:
“An election for California State Assembly District 72 will be held in November. If you were voting today for State Assembly, for whom would you vote? Pick one. If you have already voted, please let me know who you chose. Travis Allen, Prefers Republican Party, Small Business Owner OR Troy Edgar, Prefers Republican Party, Businessman/Mayor.”
A total of 307 surveys were collected. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/- 5.7% with a 95% degree of confidence. Interviews were conducted with voters on both landline and cell phones and were conducted in English, Spanish and Vietnamese languages.
The turnout model consisted of those voters who voted at least 1 of 11/10 or 6/12, OR voted in at least 2 of 2/08, 6/08, 11/08, 5/09 or 6/10, with at least 1 being 11-08 PLUS those who registered to vote after 6/12.
This represents 62.2% of voters and 72.3% of households.
Probolsky Research LLC specializes in opinion research on behalf of business, government, political, special interest and media clients.
Posted in 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: Adam Probolsky, Travis Allen, Troy Edgar | 5 Comments »
Posted by Chris Emami on September 19, 2012
THis race is the one I am predicting will be the closest and most heated in Orange County. Surprisingly 2 Republicans advanced from the June election to make this race as interesting as it is. The district is somewhat comparable to a more coastal version of Allan Mansoor’s old assembly district when it was AD 68:
Thank you to Meridian Pacific for the use of the map.
Party affiliation is meaningless in this race because they are both Republicans but it will be interesting to see which candidate targets the 31.6% of registered Democrats first. It is also interesting to note that Huntington Beach is the largest part of the district which is where Allen is from. Los Alamitos is the smallest city on the district which is where Edgar is from.
The results in June are inconclusive because it was close enough to where anybody could end up a winner in November. Here are the June results:
Member of the State Assembly; District 72
It is pretty amazing to see who close Allen, Dovinh, and Pham were to that 2nd place slot. Looking it the results it appears that Edgar has an advantage going into november which would mean that Travis Allen needs to raise his favorability amongst voters before voting in November.
Fundraising is the kicker for me, as Edgar has just under $100,000 in his account after the primary and Allen has just over $10,000 in his account. This can change with campaigning which will mean that this race will be extremely close. My prediction is based on the campaign as of right now and I reserve the right to change my opinion on this one:
Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the winner will be:
Troy Edgar
Posted in 72nd Assembly District | Tagged: Albert Ayala, Joe Dovinh, Long Pham, Travis Allen, Troy Edgar | 2 Comments »