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Archive for the ‘38th Congressional District’ Category

Forgot Some Electeds: Party Affiliation Part 2

Posted by Chris Emami on March 23, 2013

A reader just sent me a new database that included some elected officials that I forgot about the first time around. These offices would be Congress, Senate, and Assembly which I cannot believe I forgot. Take a look at the short but informative database of these elected officials that represent at least a portion of Orange County.

IntraPartyElephantDonkey

Here you go:

Office Name Party Year

Congress

UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 38th DISTRICT Linda Sanchez (D) 2014
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 39th DISTRICT Ed Royce (R) 2014
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 45th DISTRICT John Campbell (R) 2014
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 46th DISTRICT Loretta Sanchez (D) 2014
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 47th DISTRICT Alan Lowenthal (D) 2014
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 48th DISTRICT Dana Rohrabacher (R) 2014
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 49th DISTRICT Darrell Issa (R) 2014

Senate

STATE SENATE 29th DISTRICT Bob Huff (R) 2016
STATE SENATE 30th DISTRICT Ron Calderon (D) 2014
STATE SENATE 34th DISTRICT Lou Correa (D) 2014
STATE SENATE 36th DISTRICT Mark Wyland (R) 2014
STATE SENATE 37th DISTRICT Mimi Walters (R) 2016

Assembly

STATE ASSEMBLY 55th DISTRICT Curt Hagman (R) 2014
STATE ASSEMBLY 65th DISTRICT Sharon Quirk-Silva (D) 2014
STATE ASSEMBLY 68th DISTRICT Don Wagner (R) 2014
STATE ASSEMBLY 69th DISTRICT Tom Daly (D) 2014
STATE ASSEMBLY 72nd DISTRICT Travis Allen (R) 2014
STATE ASSEMBLY 73rd DISTRICT Diane Harkey (R) 2014
STATE ASSEMBLY 74th DISTRICT Allan Mansoor (R) 2014

Posted in 29th Senate District, 34th Senate District, 36th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 55th Assembly District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, State Assembly, State Senate | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

OC’s New Republican Congressmen Vote 3-1 Against Fiscal Cliff Deal; Old Ones Voted 3-2 in Favor

Posted by Chris Nguyen on January 3, 2013

In a far-too-brief summary of the fiscal cliff deal: income taxes increased on people making more than $400,000 (couples over $450,000), tax deductions phase out for individuals making more than $250,000 (couples over $300,000), payroll taxes increased on people making more than $50,000, the death tax was increased from 35% for estates over $5.12 million to 40% for estates over $5 million, the Earned Income Tax Credit was expanded, college tuition tax credits were extended for five years, and federal unemployment benefits were extended for a year.

The vote on the fiscal cliff provides an interesting illustration of the impact of redistricting on Orange County’s Congressional representation.

fiscalcliffolddist

How the Representatives of the Old Congressional Districts Voted on the Fiscal Cliff Deal

fiscalcliffvotes

How the Representatives of the New Congressional Districts Voted on the Fiscal Cliff Deal

The old OC delegation voted 5-2 in favor of the fiscal cliff deal while the new OC delegation voted 4-3 against the fiscal cliff deal, with the new 8th member not yet seated.

More interestingly, the old districts had Republicans 3-2 in favor of the deal with the Democrats at 1-0 while the new districts have Republicans 3-1 against the deal with the Democrats at 2-0.

Ed Royce (R-Fullerton), Linda Sanchez (D-Cerritos), and Loretta Sanchez (D-Santa Ana) voted in favor of the fiscal cliff deal.

John Campbell (R-Irvine), Darrell Issa (R-Vista), and Dana Rohrabacher (R-Huntington Beach) voted against the fiscal cliff deal.

(Newly Elected Congressman Alan Lowenthal (D-Long Beach) will not take take office until later this morning.)

Congressmen Gary Miller (R-Diamond Bar) and Ken Calvert (R-Corona) represented portions of Orange County until yesterday but now represent exclusively Inland Empire districts.  Miller and Calvert both voted for the fiscal cliff deal.

Posted in 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, National | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Republican? Democrat? Independent? The Partisan Affiliations of Everyone Running for Everything in Orange County

Posted by Chris Nguyen on October 30, 2012

There’s been a lot of talk and mail about the partisan affiliations of candidates, so I’m providing the definitive guide of partisan affiliations for every candidate running for everything in Orange County in the November 6, 2012, general election.  Whether they’re running for President of the United States or Director of the Silverado-Modjeska Canyon Recreation and Park District, we’ve got it all:

FEDERAL OFFICES

President and Vice President
Roseanne Barr/Cindy Sheehan – Peace and Freedom
Thomas Hoefling/Robert Ornelas – American Independent
Gary Johnson/James P. Gray – Libertarian
Barack Obama/Joe Biden – Democrat
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan – Republican
Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala – Green

United States Senator
Elizabeth Emken – Republican
Dianne Feinstein – Democrat

United States Representative, 38th District
Linda T. Sánchez – Democrat
Benjamin Campos – Republican

United States Representative, 39th District
Jay Chen – Democrat
Ed Royce – Republican

United States Representative, 45th District
John Campbell – Republican
Sukhee Kang – Democrat

United States Representative, 46th District
Jerry Hayden – Republican
Loretta Sanchez – Democrat

United States Representative, 47th District
Gary DeLong – Republican
Alan Lowenthal – Democrat

United States Representative, 48th District
Dana Rohrabacher – Republican
Ron Varasteh – Democrat

United States Representative, 49th District
Darrell Issa – Republican
Jerry Tetalman – Democrat

STATE LEGISLATURE

State Senator, 29th District
Greg Diamond – Democrat
Robert “Bob” Huff – Republican

State Senator, 37th District
Mimi Walters – Republican
Steve Young – Democrat

Member of the State Assembly, 55th District
Gregg D. Fritchle – Democrat
Curt Hagman – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 65th District
Chris Norby – Republican
Sharon Quirk-Silva – Democrat

Member of the State Assembly, 68th District
Christina Avalos – Democrat
Donald P. “Don” Wagner – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 69th District
Tom Daly – Democrat
Jose “Joe” Moreno – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 72nd District
Travis Allen – Republican
Troy Edgar – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 73rd District
James Corbett – Democrat
Diane L. Harkey – Republican

Member of the State Assembly, 74th District
Allan R. Mansoor – Republican
Robert Rush – Democrat

MUNICIPAL OFFICES

Aliso Viejo City Council
Ross Chun – Democrat
Greg Ficke – Republican
Donald A. Garcia – No Party Preference
Mike Munzing – Republican
William A. “Bill” Phillips – Republican

Anaheim City Council
Jordan Brandman – Democrat
Brian Neil Chuchua – Republican
Rodolfo “Rudy” Gaona – Democrat
Lucille Kring – Republican
John Leos – Republican
Linda Linder – Republican
Steven Albert Chavez Lodge – Republican
Jennifer Rivera – Republican
Duane Roberts – Green

Brea City Council
Christine Marick – No Party Preference
Chris Parkin – Republican
Marty Simonoff – Republican
Tory Stone – Republican
Steven Vargas – Republican

Brea City Treasurer
Glenn G. Parker – Democrat

Buena Park City Council
Art Brown – Democrat
Paul D. Gonzales – Republican
Baron Night – Republican
Al Salehi – No Party Preference
Fred R. Smith – Republican
Michael Sohn – No Party Preference
Rod P. Williams – Democrat
Cristi Woodward – No Party Preference

Costa Mesa City Council
Sandra L. “Sandy” Genis – Republican
Colin McCarthy – Republican
Al Melone – No Party Preference
Steve Mensinger – Republican
Gary Monahan – Republican
James Rader – No Party Preference
John Stephens – Democrat
Harold Weitzberg – Democrat

Cypress City Council
Rob Johnson – Republican
Bijan Mohseni – Republican
Jay Sondhi – Republican
Mariellen Yarc – No Party Preference

Dana Point City Council
Norm Denton – Republican
Carlos N. Olvera – Republican
J. Scott Schoeffel – Republican
Ed Stevenson – Republican

Fountain Valley City Council
Cheryl Brothers – Republican
Steve A. Nagel – Republican
Duy T. Nguyen – Republican
Bryan J. Tice – American Independent
Patrick Tucker – Republican

Fullerton City Council
Rick Alvarez – Republican
Don Bankhead – Republican
Brian Bartholomew – No Party Preference
Jennifer Fitzgerald – Republican
Jan M. Flory – Democrat
Matthew Hakim – Democrat
Kitty Jaramillo – Democrat
Travis Kiger – Republican
Barry Levinson – Republican
Jane Rands – Green
Roberta Reid – No Party Preference
Bruce Whitaker – Republican

Mayor of Garden Grove
Bruce A. Broadwater – Democrat
Myke Cossota – Republican
Sherry Runnells Williams – Republican
James Torres Ybarra – Republican

Garden Grove City Council
Zack Barrett – Republican
Kris Beard - Democrat
Phat Bui – Republican
Steve Jones – Republican
Josh McIntosh – No Party Preference
Jenny Nguyen – No Party Preference
John R. O’Neill – Republican
Chris Phan – Republican

Huntington Beach City Council
Bruce J. Brandt – Republican
Tony James Carter – No Party Preference
Barbara Delgleize – Republican
Devin Dwyer – Republican
Jill Hardy - Democrat
Jim Katapodis – Republican
William “Billy” O’Connell – Republican
Erik Peterson – Republican
Alexander S. Polsky – Democrat
Tim Ryan – No Party Preference
Dave Sullivan – Republican
Bob Wentzel – Republican

Huntington Beach City Clerk
Joan L. Flynn – Republican

Huntington Beach City Treasurer
Alisa Cutchen – Republican

Mayor of Irvine
Larry Agran – Democrat
Steven S. Choi – Republican
Katherine Daigle – Republican

Irvine City Council
Evan Chemers – Republican
Gavin Huntley-Fenner – No Party Preference
Beth Krom – Democrat
Lynn Schott – Republican
Christina L. Shea – Republican
PK Wong – No Party Preference

Laguna Beach City Council
Steve Dicterow – Republican
Jane Egly – Democrat
Verna Rollinger - Democrat
Robert M. Ross – No Party Preference
Bob Whalen – Democrat

Laguna Beach City Clerk
Lisette Chel-Walker – Democrat

Laguna Beach City Treasurer
Laura Parisi – No Party Preference

Laguna Hills City Council
Raghu P. Mathur – Republican
Aj Djowharzadeh - Republican
Andrew Blount - Republican
Dore Gilbert - Republican
Bill Hunt - Republican

Laguna Niguel City Council
Laurie Davies – Republican
Tony English – Republican
Jerry McCloskey – Republican
Jerry Slusiewicz – Republican
Brad Barber – Republican

Laguna Woods City Council
Mara G. Hodgkins – Republican
Shari L. Horne – No Party Preference
Milton W. Robbins – Democrat
David Russell Ohrn – No Party Preference
Cynthia S. Conners - Democrat
Noel Hatch – Republican

Lake Forest City Council
Marcia Rudolph – Republican
Ken Carrell – Democrat
Kathy “Kathyz” Zechmeister – Republican
Adam Nick – Republican
Jim Gardner – Republican
Dwight Robinson – Republican
Terry D. Anderson – Republican

La Palma City Council
Robert Carruth – No Party Preference
Patricia “Pat” Craig – Republican
Sylvia Colannino Smith – Republican
Steve Shanahan – Democrat
Gerard Goedhart – Republican
Christine Barnes – Republican
Peter Kim – Republican

Los Alamitos City Council
Ken Stephens – Republican
Dean Grose – Republican
Demi Devaney – Democrat
Richard D. Murphy – Republican

Mission Viejo City Council
Richard W. Coleman – American Independent
Wendy Bucknum – Republican
Frank Ury – Republican
Desi J. Kiss – Republican
Cathy Schlicht – Republican
Ed Sachs – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 2
Anthony Petros – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 5
Edward D. Selich – Republican

Newport Beach City Council, District 7
Keith D. Curry – Republican

Mayor of Orange
Teresa “Tita” Smith – Democrat
Jon Dumitru – Republican

Orange City Council
Lawrence R. “Larry” Labrado – Democrat
Robert L. Douglas - Democrat
Ray Grangoff – Republican
Mike Alvarez – Republican
Brian A. Del Vecchio – Republican
Mark A. Murphy – Republican
Josh Nothom – Democrat
Richard Callahan – Republican

Orange City Clerk
Mary E. Murphy – Republican

Orange City Treasurer
George Small – Republican
Helen Y. Walker – Republican

Placentia City Council
Jeremy Yamaguchi – Republican
Alan D. Frank – Republican
Scott William Nelson – Republican
Constance “Connie” Underhill – Republican

Placentia City Treasurer
Greg Sowards – Republican
Craig Green – Republican

Rancho Santa Margarita City Council, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Kenney Hrabik – Republican
Carol Gamble – Republican
Tony Beall – Republican

Rancho Santa Margarita City Council, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Lawrence McCook – Republican
Glenn Acosta – Republican
Brad McGirr – Republican

San Clemente City Council
0 Robert “Bob” Baker – Democrat
1 Robert “Bob” Baker – Republican
Jim Dahl – Republican
Chris Hamm – Republican
David Clegg – Republican
Mike Mortenson – Republican

San Clemente City Clerk
Joanne Baade – Democrat

San Clemente City Treasurer
T. Pall Gudgeirsson – Republican

San Juan Capistrano City Council
Kim McCarthy – Republican
Roy L. Byrnes – Republican
Sam Allevato – Republican
Ginny Kerr – Republican
Melissa Abbott-Kaffen – Republican
Tom Marantz – Republican

Mayor of Santa Ana
Roy Alvarado
George M. Collins – Republican
Lupe Moreno – Republican
Miguel Angel Briseno – No Party Preference
Miguel A. Pulido – Democrat
P. David Benavides – Democrat

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 1
Estela Amezcua – Democrat
Vincent F. Sarmiento - Democrat

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 3
Angelica Amezcua – Democrat
Shane Ramon Barrows – Democrat
Eric M. Alderete – Democrat
Brett Elliott Franklin – Republican
Charles Hart – Republican
Stefano “Steve” Rocco – No Party Preference

Santa Ana City Council, Ward 5
Karina Onofre – Republican
Roman A. Reyna – Democrat

Stanton City Council
Andrew N. Marques – No Party Preference
Sou Moua – Republican
Bryan Palomares – Republican
Carol Warren – Democrat
Al Ethans – Republican

Tustin City Council
John Nielsen – Republican
Tracy Worley Hagen – Republican
Charles E. “Chuck” Puckett – Republican
David Waldram – Republican
Allan Bernstein – Republican

Mayor of Westminster
Ha Mach – Republican
Tri Ta – Republican
Penny Loomer - Democrat
Al Hamade – Republican
Tamara Sue Pennington – Republican

Westminster City Council
Tyler Diep – Republican
Charlie Nguyen Manh Chi – Republican
Helena Rutkowski – Republican
Sergio Contreras – Democrat
Khai Dao – Libertarian
Diana Carey – Democrat
Al P. Krippner – Republican

Yorba Linda City Council
Kennith L. Peterson – Republican
Mark Schwing – Republican
Nancy Rikel – Republican
Eugene J. “Gene” Hernandez – Republican
Louis Lee Knappenberger, Jr. – Democrat
Craig Young – Republican
Todd P. Cooper – Republican

COMMUNITY COLLEGE BOARDS

North Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 7
M. Tony Ontiveros – Republican
Monika Koos – Republican

Rancho Santiago Community College District, Trustee Area 3
Nelida M. Yanez – Democrat
Thomas Anthony Gordon – Republican
Antonio Jesus “Tony” Tapia – Democrat

Rancho Santiago Community College District, Trustee Area 5
Claudia Alvarez – Democrat
Mark McLoughlin – Democrat
R. David Chapel – No Party Preference

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 1
Dave Lang – Republican
David L. Martin – No Party Preference

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 3
William “Bill” Jay – Republican
Arlene C. Greer – Republican
Jennifer J. Long – Democrat

South Orange County Community College District, Trustee Area 7
John S. Williams – Republican
Mike Moodian – No Party Preference
Jan Serrantino Cox – No Party Preference
Timothy “Tim” Jemal – No Party Preference

SCHOOL BOARDS

Anaheim City School District
John Santoianni – Democrat
Bob Gardner – Democrat
Al Jabbar – Democrat
James Derek Vanderbilt – Republican
Jerry Silverman – Democrat

Anaheim Union High School District, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Katherine H. Smith – Republican
Gerald C. Adams – Republican
Brian O’Neal – Republican
Thomas “Hoagy” Holguin – Republican

Anaheim Union High School District, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Annemarie Randle-Trejo – Democrat
Vernon F. Beckett – Republican
Thomas Peters – Republican

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 1
Karin Schnell – Democrat
Amy Hanacek – Democrat

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 2
Jim Reardon – Republican
Carol L. McCormick – Republican
Don Franklin Richardson – Republican
Michele Taylor-Bible – No Party Preference

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 3
Yolanda McNamara – Democrat
Steve R. Lang – Republican
John Alpay – Republican

Capistrano Unified School District, Trustee Area 5
Gary Pritchard – Democrat
William “Bill” Perkins – Republican

Centralia School District
Ashi Kothary – Republican
Dennis Salts – Republican
Steve Harris – Democrat
Art Montez - Democrat

Cypress School District
Alexandria Coronado – Republican
Candi Kern – Democrat
Jimmy Fuller – Republican
Brian Nakamura – Democrat

Fountain Valley School District
Jeanne Galindo – Republican
Thomas Hobbs – No Party Preference
Jim Cunneen – Republican
Ian Collins – Democrat

Fullerton Joint Union High School District
William E. “Bill” Dunton – Republican
James A. Najera – Democrat
Andy Montoya – Republican
Barbara R. Kilponen – Republican

Garden Grove Unified School District
Linda Zamora – Democrat
Linda Paulsen-Reed – Republican
Bao Quoc Nguyen – Democrat
George West – Democrat

Huntington Beach City School District
Rob Fishel – No Party Preference
Brian Rechsteiner – Republican
Bridget Kaub – Republican

Huntington Beach Union High School District, 4-Year Full Term (2 Seats)
Edward C. Pinchiff - Republican
Tom Dern - Republican
Susan Henry – Republican
Michael H. Simons – Republican
John Briscoe – Republican

Huntington Beach Union High School District, 2-Year Short Term (1 Seat)
Cathey Ryder – Republican
Duane Dishno – Republican

Irvine Unified School District
Michelle Ollada Alipio – Republican
Margaret Brown – Republican
Michael Parham – Republican
Bob Vu – Republican
Paul Bokota – Democrat
Omar Ezzeldine – No Party Preference
Lauren Brooks – Republican
Carolyn Inmon – No Party Preference
Cyril Yu - Democrat

La Habra City School District
John Dobson – Republican
Elizabeth “Liz” Steves – No Party Preference
Kevin Jacobson – Republican
Susan M. Hango – Republican

Laguna Beach Unified School District
Dee Namba Perry – Democrat
Tammy Keces – Democrat
Jan Vickers – Democrat
Bill Landsiedel – Democrat

Lowell Joint School District
Martha Leonard – Democrat
Fred W. Schambeck
Brandon R. Jones – Republican

Magnolia School District
Nathan Zug – Republican
Gary Shields – Republican
Barbara J. Clendineng – Republican

Ocean View School District
Debbie Cotton – Republican
Gina Clayton-Tarvin – Democrat
Norm Westwell – Libertarian

Orange Unified School District, Trustee Area 3
Robert “Bob” Ausmus – Republican
Alexia L. Deligianni – Republican
Michele Gabbard – No Party Preference

Orange Unified School District, Trustee Area 6
Mark Wayland – Republican
Tracey L. Colombo Curtis – No Party Preference

Saddleback Valley Unified School District
Suzie R. Swartz – Republican
Don Sedgwick – Republican
Ginny Fay Aitkens – Democrat
Earl H. Carraway – Republican

Santa Ana Unified School District
Cecilia “Ceci” Iglesias – Republican
Robert Allen – Republican
Rob Richardson – Republican
Jose Alfredo Hernandez – Democrat
Myriam Tinajero - Democrat
Valerie Amezcua - Democrat

Tustin Unified School District
Tammie Bullard – Republican
Monique Ketteringham – Democrat
Elias Teferi – Democrat
James H. Laird – Republican
Francine Pace Scinto – Republican

Westminster School District
Jamison Power - Democrat
Jo-Ann W. Purcell - Democrat
Amy Walsh – Republican

WATER BOARDS

East Orange County Water District
Bill Vanderwerff – Republican
Douglas M. Chapman – Republican
Douglass S. Davert – Republican

El Toro Water District
Ralph Sogliuzzo – Republican
Ted F. Martin – Republican
Carol Moore – Republican
Edward Fern – Libertarian
Jose Vergara – Republican
Scott Goldman – Democrat

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 1
Eric Bever – Republican
Fred R. Bockmiller – Republican

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 2
Dan Worthington – Republican
James R. Fisler – Republican

Mesa Consolidated Water District, Division 3
Ethan Temianka – Republican
Trudy Ohlig-Hall – Republican

Moulton-Niguel Water District, Division 6
Wayne Posey – Republican
Larry McKenney – Republican

Moulton-Niguel Water District, Division 7
Michael Kogus – Republican
Gary R. Kurtz – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 3
David Vu Pham – Republican
Wayne Osborne – Republican
Larry R. Crandall – Republican
Joel M. Rattner – Democrat

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 4
Joan Finnegan – Republican
Dwayne Smith – No Party Preference
Daniel “Skip” Marshall – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 6
Don Chadd – Republican
Jeffery Thomas – Republican

Municipal Water District of Orange County, Division 7
Vanessa A. Mathews – Republican
Susan Hinman – Republican

Orange County Water District, Division 2
Douglas M. Chapman – Republican
Denis R. Bilodeau – Republican

Orange County Water District; Division 3
Roger C. Yoh – Republican
Frank Alonzo – Republican

Santa Margarita Water District
Stan Dziecielski – Democrat
Betty H. Olson – No Party Preference
Charley Wilson – Republican
Fred Carr – Republican
Charles “Chuck” Gibson – Republican

Serrano Water District, Division 3
Jim Fasbender – Republican
Robert “Woody” Rickerl – Republican

South Coast Water District
Rick Erkeneff – Republican
Joel Bishop – Republican
Gary “Water Watch Dog” Langdale – Republican
Richard Gardner – Democrat
Dick Dietmeier – No Party Preference
Wayne Rayfield - Democrat

OTHER SPECIAL DISTRICTS

Costa Mesa Sanitary District
Art Perry – Republican
James Ferryman – Republican
Jeff R. Mathews – Republican
Don Harper – Republican

Midway City Sanitary District
Jerry Vilander – Republican
Frank Fry – Republican
Joy L. Neugebauer – Republican
Al P. Krippner – Republican

Placentia Library District
Richard DeVecchio – No Party Preference
Diane Cunningham – Democrat
Gayle Carline – Democrat
Joann Sowards – Republican
Elizabeth Minter – Republican

Rossmoor/Los Alamitos Area Sewer District
William C. Poe – Republican
Van M. Jew – No Party Preference
Jim Bell – Republican
Carolyn T. Sylvia – Republican
Eric Frankenberg – Democrat

Silverado-Modjeska Recreation and Park District
Chalynn “Chay” Peterson – No Party Preference
Lisa Collins – Republican
Steve Kerrigan – Liberatrian
Timothy Janca – Democrat
Jane Bove – Democrat

Posted in 29th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 55th Assembly District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District, Aliso Viejo, Anaheim, Anaheim City School District, Anaheim Union High School District, Brea, Buena Park, Capistrano Unified School District, Centralia School District, Costa Mesa, Costa Mesa Sanitary District, Cypress, Cypress School District, Dana Point, East Orange County Water District, El Toro Water District, Fountain Valley, Fountain Valley School District, Fullerton, Fullerton Joint Union High School District, Garden Grove, Garden Grove Unified School District, Huntington Beach, Huntington Beach City School District, Huntington Beach Union High School District, Irvine, Irvine Unified School District, La Habra City School District, La Palma, Laguna Beach, Laguna Beach Unified School District, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Los Alamitos, Lowell Joint School District, Magnolia School District, Mesa Consolidated Water District, Midway City Sanitary District, Mission Viejo, Moulton-Niguel Water District, Municipal Water District of Orange County, Newport Beach, North Orange County Community College District, Ocean View School District, Orange, Orange Unified School District, Placentia, Placentia Library District, Rancho Santa Margarita, Rancho Santiago Community College District, Rossmoor/Los Alamitos Area Sewer District, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Santa Ana, Santa Ana Unified School District, Santa Margarita Water District, Seal Beach, Serrano Water District, Silverado-Modjeska Recreation and Park District, South Coast Water District, South Orange County Community College District, Stanton, Tustin, Tustin Unified School District, Westminster, Westminster School District, Yorba Linda | 7 Comments »

2012 General Election Predictions: 38th Congressional District

Posted by Chris Emami on September 10, 2012

We move on from the U.S. Senate to the series of Congressional races. These are all pretty straight forward picks with the exception of one race which we will discuss later this week. We start off with the 38th Congressional District which has a sliver of Orange County in it (La Palma).

Thank you to the good people at Meridian-Pacific for the use of the map.

In this race we see Linda Sanchez (D) take on Benjamin Campos (D) and the results from the primary election tell the story:

United States Representative; District 38

  • Linda T. Sánchez, Democratic ………. 33,223 votes 56.0%
  • Benjamin Campos, Republican ………. 13,363 votes 22.5%
  • Jorge Robles, Republican ………. 12,713 votes 21.4%

You have to understand that Republican turnout is generally higher in a primary election than it is in a general election. Democrats have a huge registration advantage of 49.8% to Republicans 27.4%.  The 18.8% of DTS voters in this district lean a bit more on the liberal side as well.

Registration aside, Linda Sanchez is going to have a big financial advantage in terms of fundraising capabilities and will have a huge name ID advantage based on the amount of time that she has served in Congress. The argument is always made that Congress is extremely unpopular and incumbents will easily be tossed out but people forget that voters still do generally like their own Congressional Representative.

Getting into specifics Sanchez has over $200,000 cash on hand after the primary election and Benjamin Campos has just over $5,000 cash on hand. This comparison just will not get the job done for a challenger facing a huge registration disadvantage.

The main factors at play on this campaign as stated above are fundraising, name id, and campaign experience. Linda Sanchez has the advantage in every one of these categories. However, I do believe that Benjamin Campos will beat Republican registration because in this election CPA is a strong designation to have due to the focus being budgetary issues.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the winner will be:

Linda Sanchez

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2012 Primary Election Predictions: 38th Congressional District

Posted by Chris Emami on April 10, 2012

UPDATED 2:41 PM With Explanation.

I was going to post this yesterday but Chris Nguyen kind of stole the show with this post.

This will be the first post in a series of predictions on all races that involve any part of Orange County. We will start with a look at the 38th Congressional District which covers just a tiny piece of Orange County (La Palma). Thank you to the people at Meridian Pacific for posting these great maps on their website.

As a matter of fact Chris Nguyen wrote a post that states the California Redistricting Commission forgot that La Palma was part of Orange County.

This seat is a stronghold for Democrats who have over a 20 point advantage in registration. Looking at the numbers from 2010, no Republican for any major office ended up winning in this district. The only victory here that was not supported by the Democratic Party would be Proposition 8 passing by around 20 points.

Currently Congresswoman Linda Sanchez holds this seat and has been representing this area for a while.

Challengers include Benjamin Campos a Certified Public Accountant that has a business based in Long Beach. He is listed as a Republican on the ballot.

The other challenger is Jorge Robles a Law Enforcement Officer that appears to have a business based in Montebello. He is also listed as a Republican on the ballot.

Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the 2 candidates advancing to November will be:

Linda Sanchez & Jorge Robles

The factors at play- I have gotten a couple of e-mails asking me to further explain what factors are at play that made me arrive at my prediction. I assure you that this is not a crystal ball or a flip of a coin.

Linda Sanchez is the only Democrat on the ballot in what is a very liberal seat. She also has incumbency on her side. She will advance based on these factors alone not to mention relatively high name ID.

The other two candidates are both Republicans and they will both pull from the same base of voters. However, I believe that voters are more likely to support someone who is involved in law enforcement as opposed to a CPA.

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OC’s Best Ballot Designations

Posted by Chris Nguyen on April 5, 2012

Ballot

Ballot designations are the only piece of information that appear directly on the ballot other than a candidate's name (and party in some - but not all - races).

Last week, I wrote about OC’s worst ballot designations. In this post, I’ll be looking at OC’s best ballot designations.

As I said last week, “The most important thing a candidate does in a campaign may well be selecting a ballot designation.  That little phrase underneath a candidate’s name are the last piece of information that voters see before casting their ballots.  In low-profile races (like Central Committee, where you can’t even get a candidate’s statement in the sample ballot), that little phrase may well be the only piece of information that voters see before casting their ballots.”

Elected officials’ ballot designations are an inherent advantage, so I’m excluding the designations of elected officials.

OC’s Ten Best Ballot Designations (for Non-Incumbents/Non-Elected Officials)

  1. Retired Navy Captain (Emily Sanford in the 74th District Republican Central Committee)
    Retired Naval Officer (Norm Dickinson in the 73rd District Republican Central Committee)
    Who could possibly vote against the military?  People have a deep respect for career military officers, as these people have served their country, have substantial leadership experience, understand complex government bodies, and are educated.
  2. Deputy Attorney General (Peggy Huang in the 55th District Republican Central Committee)
    Voters love prosecutors.  Prosecutors put criminals in prison.  Deputy District Attorneys rarely lose elections.  Deputy Attorney General is higher on the food chain, so it should be even more impressive to voters.
  3. Deputy District Attorney (Cyril Yu in the 74th District Democratic Central Committee)
    See above.
  4. Retired Police Commander (Albert Ayala in AD-72)
    Voters love law enforcement because the police catch criminals.  A retired police commander has served his community, has leadership experience, and understands dealing with government.
  5. Law Enforcement Officer (Jorge Robles in CD-38)
    As above, voters love law enforcement because they catch criminals and have served the community.
  6. Businessman/Victims Advocate (Todd Spitzer in the 3rd Supervisorial District)
    How on earth do you vote against a victims advocate?  That’d be like voting against victims.
  7. Businesswoman/Childrens Advocate (Brenda McCune in the 55th District Republican Central Committee)
    How on earth do you vote against a childrens advocate?  That’d be like voting against the children.  (Of course, we’d expect all OC Political bloggers to have great ballot designations when running for office, and she’s done just that.)
  8. Retired Constitutional Litigator (Jonathan Adler in the 74th District Democratic Central Committee)
    Voters hate most lawyers as ambulance chasers and corporate raiders.  However, there are two types of lawyers people like: the prosecutors who put criminals away and the constitutional lawyers who battle for constitutional causes and rights (note that Spitzer and McCune went with “Advocate” instead of “Lawyer” – it’s the same job but “Advocate” sounds friendlier than “Lawyer”).
  9. Emergency Physician (Bill Honigman in the 73rd District Democratic Central Committee)
    Doctors improve health.  Emergency room doctors save lives.  People vote for lifesavers.
  10. Charitable Organization President (Usha Shah in CD-47)
    Too many people who work for non-profit organizations run with “Non-Profit Organization” or “Non-Profit Group” in their ballot designation.  “Charitable Organization” brings happy thoughts that make voters feel warm and fuzzy.  “Charitable” just sounds better than “Non-Profit” even though 90% of the time they’re the same thing.

Interestingly, half of the above are lawyers.  Note that none of these lawyers used “lawyer” in their designation.  None used “Attorney” except when it had key modifiers to become “Deputy Attorney General” or “Deputy District Attorney” instead.  These candidates realize voters don’t like lawyers, but they’re smart enough to realize people like prosecutors and advocates.

Lessons from the group above:

  • Non-prosecutor lawyers should generally run as advocates.
  • People like the military, law enforcement, and doctors.
  • When possible, “Charitable” should be used instead of “Non-Profit” to attract voters.

Best Pair of Ballot Designations in a Two-Person Race: 3rd Supervisorial District

  • Businessman/Victims Advocate (Todd Spitzer)
  • Councilwoman, City of Villa Park (Deborah Pauly)

Spitzer’s designation was #6 on my list of the ten best ballot designations in OC.  Pauly’s designation was ineligible to be on the list due to my “elected officials’ ballot designations are an inherent advantage” rule.  Therefore, this race inherently has the best pair of ballot designations in any two-person race.

Best Set of Ballot Designations in One Race Featuring 3+ Candidates: AD-72

  • Small Business Owner (Travis Allen – Republican)
  • Retired Police Commander (Albert Ayala – Democrat)
  • City Commissioner/Businessman (Joe Dovinh – Democrat)
  • Member, Orange County Board of Education (Long Pham – Republican)
  • Businessman/Mayor (Troy Edgar – Republican)

I noted last week that the five candidates in CD-46 has the worst set of ballot designations in any one race.  Well, another set of five candidates, this time in AD-72, has the best set of ballot designations in any one race with three or more candidates.

Every single one of these candidates maximized their occupations and political positions in their descriptions of themselves.

  • Allen runs a wealth management firm.  “Wealth Management Businessowner” could be offputting to some voters.  He wisely (and accurately) chose to describe himself as a “Small Business Owner” because his wealth management firm is a small business, and he does own it.  Plus people on both sides of the aisle respect people who own small businesses; indeed, the majority of Americans work for small businesses.
  • Ayala’s “Retired Police Commander” came in at #4 on my list of best ballot designations.  When the most hopeless candidate makes the best ballot designations list, you know you’ve got a fun race.
  • Dovinh’s “City Commissioner/Businessman” maximizes his appointed political role and takes advantage of his job as a general contractor.  The “City Commissioner” part wisely leaves off a specific city making it possible he could be a city commissioner in any of the cities in AD-72: Huntington Beach, Fountain Valley, Seal Beach, Westminster, Garden Grove, Los Alamitos, or Santa Ana.  (He’s a Garden Grove Planning Commissioner for the record.)  Additionally, there are cities out there (though not in California) that call their city elected officials commissioners instead of councilmembers.  For voters looking for candidates with private sector experience, Dovinh’s “Businessman” designation appeals to them.
  • Pham’s “Member, Orange County Board of Education” takes advantage of my “elected officials’ ballot designations are an inherent advantage” rule.  Not only that, he takes advantage of the Elections Code regulation that allows sitting elected officials to exceed three words in a ballot designation if they use their elected title as their sole ballot designation (this counts as a five-word designation; remember, “Orange County” is legally one word for purposes of the Elections Code).  Further, Pham is one of a small group of elected officials whose elected position includes “Orange County” in the title.  Since the entirety of AD-72 is in Orange County, his title sounds like he could represent all the people of AD-72 (for the record, he represents Fountain Valley, Garden Grove, Santa Ana, and Tustin).
  • Edgar’s “Businessman/Mayor” takes advantage of his status owning two businesses and the fact that he is currently Mayor of Los Alamitos.  Edgar is the only candidate in AD-72 who didn’t maximize the word limit, and he also failed to use the stronger “Businessowner” over “Businessman” in his designation: I would have tweaked this to be “Orange County Businessowner/Mayor” or “Small Businessowner/Mayor” though this is still a strong ballot designation.  Everything I said about Dovinh’s ballot designation applies to Edgar, with the added advantage that the mayor is leader of a city while a commissioner is just one of several officials.  Edgar’s not a directly-elected mayor; he’s mayor in one of those cities (specifically, Los Alamitos) where mayor is rotated on an annual basis among the councilmembers.  However, for ballot designation purposes, it doesn’t matter if you’re directly-elected or rotated into the position, as long as you’re the mayor when you’re running.

So last week, I wrote about OC’s worst ballot designations. In this post, these are Orange County’s best ballot designations.

Posted in 38th Congressional District, 3rd Supervisorial District, 47th Congressional District, 72nd Assembly District, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

California Republican Party’s Endorsements for OC: Royce, Campbell, Hayden, DeLong, Rohrabacher, Issa, Huff, Walters, Hagman, Norby, Wagner, Harkey, Mansoor

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 20, 2012

The California Republican Party has endorsed in most races for Congress, the State Senate, and the State Assembly.  Emami blogged about the CRP endorsement of Elizabeth Emken for the US Senate while I indirectly linked to the list of endorsements in this post (via CapitolAlert).

However, we never really discussed the state Republican Party endorsements here on OC Political, so here’s the CRP’s endorsements for OC’s US Congressional delegation:

  • CD-39: Congressman Ed Royce (R-Fullerton) was endorsed and is the sole Republican running.
  • CD-45: Congressman John Campbell (R-Irvine) was endorsed over Small Business Owner John Webb.
    While the CRP endorsed Campbell, the OCGOP did not.
    I covered the OCGOP endorsement drama in this race here, and Emami covered it here.
  • CD-47: Long Beach Councilman Gary DeLong was endorsed over former Congressman Steve Kuykendall, an OC man named Steve Foley, and Small Business Owner Sanford Kahn.
    The Democrats running for this open seat are State Senator Alan Lowenthal, College Professor Peter Mathews, and inexplicably, a married couple are both running: Dr. Jay Shah and Charity President Usha Shah.  I’d pay to go to the Shah family dinner the night before the election.  It must be awkward to be one of the Shahs’ two adult sons; hope they live outside CD-47.
    As a legitimate swing district with no incumbent, this is one of the most interesting races involving Orange County.
  • CD-48: Congressman Dana Rohrabacher (R-Huntington Beach) was endorsed and is the sole Republican running.
  • CD-49: Congressman Darrell Issa (R-Vista) was endorsed and is the sole Republican running.

Here’s the CRP’s endorsements for OC’s State Senate delegation (in both cases, they’re the sole Republican running; I covered both those races here):

Here’s the CRP’s endorsements for OC’s State Assembly delegation:

  • AD-55: Assemblyman Curt Hagman (R-Chino Hills) was endorsed is the sole Republican running.
  • AD-65: Assemblyman Chris Norby (R-Fullerton) was endorsed and is the sole Republican running.
    Emami covered this race here.
  • AD-68: Assemblyman Don Wagner (R-Irvine) was endorsed and is the sole Republican running.
    I did an article on his opponent, Christina Avalos (D-Orange), here.  Emami covered her here.
  • AD-69: No endorsement was made.  OC Eligibility Technician Jose Moreno is the sole Republican running.  I sort of covered him here.
  • AD-72: No endorsement was made.
    Los Alamitos Mayor Troy Edgar, OC Board of Education Trustee Long Pham, and Businessman Travis Allen are the three Republicans running for this open seat.
    Click here to see our various articles related to AD-72.
  • AD-73: Assemblywoman Diane Harkey (R-Dana Point) was endorsed and is the sole Republican running.

For the full list of all Congressional, State Senate, and State Assembly endorsements by the California Republican Party, click here.

(In the interest of full disclosure, my day job is working in the office of Assemblyman Chris Norby, who was endorsed in AD-65.)

Posted in 29th Senate District, 37th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 45th Congressional District, 46th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 48th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 55th Assembly District, 65th Assembly District, 68th Assembly District, 69th Assembly District, 72nd Assembly District, 73rd Assembly District, 74th Assembly District | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Redistricting Commission Didn’t Realize La Palma is in Orange County

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 19, 2012

38th Congressional District with La Palma Circled in BlueI will first note that I did vote for both Prop 11 (which created the California Citizens Redistricting Commission) and Prop 20 (which extended the Commission’s jurisdiction to Congressional districts).  I do still believe the commission is a better way to redistrict than having the Legislature do it.  However, that doesn’t mean the commission is perfect, and I do believe we should point out their mistakes.

Unbelievably, the Redistricting Commission did not realize that the City of La Palma is in Orange County.  They placed La Palma in the 38th Congressional District, which is represented by Linda Sanchez.  Yes, the Redistricting Commission added another Sanchez sister to the OC Congressional delegation.  Every other city in CD-38 is in LA County.

However, my statement that the Redistricting Commission didn’t realize La Palma is in Orange County isn’t because of the reasons above.  It’s because of the paragraph describing CD-38 in the commission’s final report:

CD 38 includes the Los Angeles County cities and communities of South El Monte, Cerritos, Artesia, Whittier, Norwalk, Pico Rivera, La Mirada, East La Mirado, Montebello, Santa Fe Springs, La Palma, Hawaiian Gardens and divides the cities of Bellflower and Lakewood to comply with Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act and to achieve population equality. These cities share the major transportation corridors of the Interstate 5 and Interstate 605 freeways, with their corresponding traffic and environmental concerns. The district is characterized by shared commercial, economic, educational, and public safety issues among these cities. In this district, South El Monte is whole.

Yes, the  commission included La Palma in its list of “Los Angeles County cities and communities” in CD-38.  (I’m also sure the people of “East La Mirada” appreciate being called “East La Mirado” in the report.)

How big is La Palma?  It has 15,568 people.  I recognize that some districts do need to cross county lines, but was La Palma really the way to go on that?  Couldn’t 15,568 people be moved from the LA County part of CD-47 to CD-38 and then have La Palma move from CD-38 to CD-47?  CD-47 is 58% LA County and 42% Orange County, so my La Palma switch would simply make CD-47′s composition 56% LA County and 44% Orange County while CD-38 would then be exclusively LA County, instead of 98% LA County and 2% Orange County.  (The switch also would have had little effect on either district’s party registration.)

It seems that Linda Sanchez acquired an Orange County city and joined the OC Congressional delegation due to an error by the Redistricting Commission.

(Again, I do believe the Redistricting Commission has been a net gain for California, but they’re not perfect, and we should point out their mistakes.)

Posted in 38th Congressional District, California, La Palma, Orange County | Tagged: , , | 4 Comments »

Feeling Lucky! Newest California Lottery Winners: Webb, Garcia, Varaseth, Walters, Norby, Avalos, Daly, Allen, Harkey, Daigle, Nguyen, Spitzer, Downing, Night, Dumitru, Dyrud, Nagel, Anderson, Aiken

Posted by Chris Nguyen on March 16, 2012

LotteryYesterday afternoon, the newest winners of the California lottery were announced: Businessman John Webb, Businessman Pat Garcia, Businessman Ron Varaseth, Senator Mimi Walters, Assemblyman Chris Norby, Perennial candidate Christina Avalos, Clerk-Recorder Tom Daly, Businessman Travis Allen, Assemblywoman Diane Harkey, Newport Beach Councilwoman Leslie Daigle, Supervisor Janet Nguyen, former Supervisor/Assemblyman Todd Spitzer, Businesswoman Karla Downing, Central Committee Member Baron Night, Orange Councilman Jon Dumitru, Central Committee Member Gwen Dyrud, Central Committee Member Steve Nagel, San Clemente Planning Commissioner Nesa Anderson, and Office Clerk Jon Aiken.

No, these 19 people are not splitting a $200,000,000 jackpot.  They won the Secretary of State’s candidate order lottery.

What’s the candidate order lottery, you ask?

Well, California law requires a lottery to determine the order of candidates on the ballot.  Why does this law exist?  Studies of the primacy effect showed the candidate at the top of the ballot gains as much as a 5% increase in votes.  Consequently, in 1975, California legislators adopted a law mandating an end to the alphabetical listing of candidates (likely to the chagrin of Sam Aanestad and Dick Ackerman but the joy of Mary Young and Ed Zschau) and requiring a lottery before each election.

The Secretary of State’s candidate order lottery has determined the alphabet for the June primary to be UNADIVXWQGOZLTRKSJHMCBFPYE.

This applies to most races on the ballot, excluding races that cross county lines (for OC, these would be CD-38, CD-39, CD-47, CD-49, SD-29, and AD-55).

The primacy effect is weaker when there are fewer candidates on the ballot, and when there are higher-profile campaigns.  Being at the top of the ballot is most valuable for low-profile campaigns with large numbers of candidates.  That means that of the 19 people I listed above, the biggest winners in this lottery are the Central Committee candidates, so the biggest congratulations goes to the following Republican Central Committee Candidates for their 5% vote bonus:

  • 55th District: Karla Downing, Small Business Owner (1st of 10 candidates)
  • 65th District: Baron Night, Incumbent (1st of 11 candidates)
  • 68th District: Jon Dumitru, City Councilman (1st of 18 candidates)
  • 69th District: Gwen A. Dyrud, Appointed Incumbent (1st of 10 candidates)
  • 72nd District: Steve A. Nagel, Incumbent (1st of 14 candidates)
  • 73rd District: Nesa Anderson, Planning Commissioner/Businesswoman (1st of a stunning 22 candidates)
  • 74th District: Jon Aiken, Office Clerk (1st of 16 candidates)

For the races that cross county lines, each county does its own lottery, so here are the OC Registrar’s lottery results: DMNESVTUHKWGXFCIQYAORZPLJB.

Congratulations to these candidates who won the Registrar’s lottery and will appear at the top of the ballot in the Orange County portions of their districts:

  • 38th Congressional District: Linda Sanchez (D), United States Representative (1st of 3)
  • 39th Congressional District: D’Marie Mulattieri (DCorrection: NPP), Community Volunteer (1st of 3)
  • 47th Congressional District: Gary DeLong (R), Local Small Businessman (1st of 8)
  • 49th Congressional District: Albin Novinec (NPP), United States Marine (1st of 4)
  • 29th Senate District: Greg Diamond (D), Workers’ Rights Attorney (1st of 2)
  • 55th Assembly District: Curt Hagman (R), Member of the State Assembly (1st of 2)

You would think that with electronic voting now, the names could be randomized for every poll voter (obviously, we’d still need the lottery for absentee voters).

(In the interest of full disclosure, my day job is working for Assemblyman Chris Norby, one of the lottery winners, as the letter N came in second in the alphabet behind U, though no one with a last name starting with U is running in all of Orange County.)

Posted in 29th Senate District, 38th Congressional District, 39th Congressional District, 47th Congressional District, 49th Congressional District, 55th Assembly District, Republican Central Committee | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments »

 
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