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New Poll Shows Allen Leading Edgar

Posted by Chris Emami on October 17, 2012

Got an e-mail from Probolsky research yesterday that showed Travis Allen leading Troy Edgar by a slim margin in the hotly contested 72nd Assembly District race. It is important to note that a vast majority ov voters are undecided but this is clearly promising news for Travis Allen.

Here are the poll results:

On Saturday, October 13, 2012 Probolsky Research conducted a telephone survey of likely voters in California Assembly District 72.

TRAVIS ALLEN LEADS TROY EDGAR

Allen enjoys a lead over Edgar (28.0% to 22.1%) in the race for the 72

nd Assembly District. However, nearly half of voters remain undecided:

Question:

“An election for California State Assembly District 72 will be held in November. If you were voting today for State Assembly, for whom would you vote? Pick one. If you have already voted, please let me know who you chose. Travis Allen, Prefers Republican Party, Small Business Owner OR Troy Edgar, Prefers Republican Party, Businessman/Mayor.”

A total of 307 surveys were collected. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/- 5.7% with a 95% degree of confidence. Interviews were conducted with voters on both landline and cell phones and were conducted in English, Spanish and Vietnamese languages.

The turnout model consisted of those voters who voted at least 1 of 11/10 or 6/12, OR voted in at least 2 of 2/08, 6/08, 11/08, 5/09 or 6/10, with at least 1 being 11-08 PLUS those who registered to vote after 6/12.

This represents 62.2% of voters and 72.3% of households.

Probolsky Research LLC specializes in opinion research on behalf of business, government, political, special interest and media clients.

5 Responses to “New Poll Shows Allen Leading Edgar”

  1. Gene V. said

    Since the June Primary, Allen’s climbed 14 points. Impressive: http://ocpoliticsblog.com/travis-allen-takes-5-9-lead-in-ad72-says-probolsky-poll/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+OcPolitics+%28OC+Politics%29. Edgar can look forward to a few more years on the Los Alamitos City Council and the big salary that comes with that.

  2. Greg Diamond said

    Frank Barbaro’s influence is clearly having an effect!

  3. Dude, I WANT this to be true, I’d like to see Travis beat Troy, but this is a freakin PROBOLSKY poll! When has a Probolsky poll been correct, when has it ever been not just Probolsky figuring out how to tell the person who paid him what they want to hear? Why did Travis waste his money on this?

  4. [...] in this race that I pointed to in a previous post showed that Allen had a slight lead a week after absentee ballots arrived. The problem with that [...]

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