2012 Primary Election Predictions: Republican Central Committee AD 72
Posted by Chris Emami on April 25, 2012
AD 72 not only has one of the most hotly contested races for Assembly but it also has one of the most hotly contested Central Committee races.
Credit goes to Meridian Pacific for posting these maps on their website.
The candidates include:
Janet Nguyen- She is currently the Orange County Supervisor from the 1st District and an incumbent on the Central Committee too. *Incumbent.
John W. Briscoe- John W. Briscoe is President of the Fountain Valley Republican Assembly and a CRA State Officer. He is also a CPA on the Orange County Property Tax Appeals board and a past Chairman of the Fountain Valley Planning Commission. (He is not Ocean View School District’s John F. Briscoe.)
Mark McCurdy- He is currently an elected member of the Fountain Valley Council and is serving as the Mayor Pro Tem. Also he is an incumbent on the Central Committee. *Incumbent.
Dennis R. Catron- I am not sure if it is the same person but according to a bit of research that I did a Dennis Catron used to be the Vice-Chairman of the OC GOP back in 1986.
Brian Hoops- According to some research, I couldn’t quite pinpoint it but their was a Brian Hoop linked to a Tea Party meet-up group.
Matthew Harper- An elected member of the Huntington Beach City Council nd current candidate for the 72nd Assembly District seat. *Incumbent.
Dean Grose- He s a former member of the Los Alamitos City Council who got into some hot water for his watermelon e-mail that he sent out. *Incumbent.
Kermit Marsh- He is a former member of the Westminster CIty Council who left because he chose to do so, not because of term limits or losing an election. *Incumbent.
Patrick Dooley- The second of the brothers Dooley to pull papers for this office. He currently has a profile up on the Campaign For Liberty website as well.
Michael Gates- I could find no information on him. He is listed as a Businessman/Attorney on the ballot.
Patricia Ross- Although I was unable to find any political information out about her, she is involved in charity work with local schools.
Diane A. Lenning- She is a perennial candidate for the office of California State Superintendent of Public Instruction.
Steve A. Nagel- Currently an elected member of the Fountain Valley City Council and the OC GOP Central Committee. *Incumbent.
Mary Tuong Van Pham- This is the wife of Assembly candidate Long Pham. She will definitely help boost the name ID for Long Pham.
The factors at play- In these races the most important factor is luck. What I examined when determining who would win was name ID, ballot designation, ballot placement, district statistics.
Looking at all the factors at play in this district I believe that the 6 winning candidates (In no particular order) will be:
1. Janet Nguyen
2. Kermit Marsh
3. Steve Nagel
4. Mark McCurdy
5. Matthew Harper
6. John W. Briscoe